Volume 62 - Number 3 - Fall 1996

I. Historical Demography and Demographic History

Studies dealing with the demographic events of any given period from the early historical up to World War I.

I.1. General Historical Demography

Comprehensive surveys, notes of sources, and items on the state of research. Particularly concerned with the period before modern vital registration was introduced and censuses were taken. Historical items that primarily pertain to one specific demographic variable are classified first under the specific heading and then cross-referenced to this heading.

62:30548 Hammel, E. A. Demographic constraints on and probable female contributions to the emergence of homosapiens. Program in Population Research Working Paper, No. 39, Apr 1995. 21, [5] pp. University of California, Institute of International Studies, Program in Population Research: Berkeley, California. In Eng.
"This paper speculates on some demographic aspects of the population growth of early humans, perhaps including pre-sapiens species." The author notes that "the human population grew for most of its existence at very low average rates. Expectation of life at birth was probably low. The fertility necessary to achieve even infinitesimal growth under such mortality implies birth intervals sufficiently short to conflict with the ability to care for and carry children in a foraging economy. Techniques for the control of mortality, especially of children before puberty and of women in childbirth, and of child care exchange, probably developed by females, may have been essential in permitting population growth."
Correspondence: University of California, Institute of International Studies, Program in Population Research, Berkeley, CA 94720. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:30549 Hoch, Steven L. On good numbers and bad: Malthus, population trends and peasant standard of living in late imperial Russia. Slavic Review, Vol. 53, No. 1, Spring 1994. 41-75 pp. Stanford, California. In Eng.
This study concerns the problems involved in measuring the standard of living in Russia prior to 1917. "The intent of this article is to critique much that has been written on the peasant standard of living debate and to place population theory and demographic issues at the center of discussion. The first part...will evaluate various surrogate measures that have been used to assess rural living standards; it finds most of them wanting....The focus of the second part...is to call into question the implicit malthusian paradigm linking rapid population growth to economic and social distress....My findings will place the secular decline in mortality in Russia as far back as the immediate post-emancipation period, and raise the heretical possibility that the reforms of the 1860s might have actually bettered the peasants' lot. The mechanism for this mortality decline has yet to be determined, but there is strong evidence suggesting that an improved level of rural nutrition and a resultant decrease in deaths from specific infectious diseases were more significant factors in Russia than elsewhere in Europe."
Location: Princeton University Library (PR).

62:30550 Hoem, Jan M. Moving-average graduation and the timing of the historical demographic transition in Sweden. In: Demography, economy and welfare, edited by Christer Lundh. 1995. 466-78 pp. Lund University Press: Lund, Sweden; Chartwell-Bratt: Bromley, England. In Eng.
"In this paper, we use optimal moving-average graduation to determine the time of onset of the stages of the (first) demographic transition in Sweden more accurately than before....The purpose of the present paper is to indicate the principles of construction of well-smoothing moving averages and to illustrate their use in a demographic context. Our illustrations use long historical time series of demographic rates for Sweden, and they lead to a more accurate determination than before of the onset of the mortality and fertility declines that demarcate the stages of (first) demographic transition in this country."
Correspondence: J. M. Hoem, Stockholm University, Demography Unit, 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:30551 Robin, Jean. From childhood to middle age: cohort analysis in Colyton, 1851-1891. Cambridge Group for the History of Population and Social Structure Working Paper Series, No. 1, ISBN 0-9527065-0-4. 1995. 64, [23] pp. Cambridge Group for the History of Population and Social Structure: Cambridge, England. In Eng.
"The object of this study has been to follow the life courses of the 633-strong cohort of 0-9 years-olds listed in the 1851 census for Colyton [England] through 40 years to 1891, or until their earlier disappearance through death or migration, and to use their experiences to explore the rural society of which they were part....The division of the children of the cohort into five main groups, based on the occupations of their fathers, makes it possible to attempt an assessment of how far their lives were influenced by socio-economic factors, whether within the family or as members of a co-residential group in childhood, or in relation to education, employment, migration, mortality, marriage, social mobility, poverty and related topics, as the children became teenagers and progressed into adulthood and finally middle age."
Correspondence: Cambridge Group for the History of Population and Social Structure, 27 Trumpington Street, Cambridge CB2 1QA, England. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:30552 Schellekens, Jona. Irish famines and English mortality in the eighteenth century. Journal of Interdisciplinary History, Vol. 27, No. 1, Summer 1996. 29-42 pp. Cambridge, Massachusetts. In Eng.
The relationship between famines in Ireland and mortality in England in the eighteenth century is explored. Specifically, the author attempts to confirm Charles Creighton's hypothesis that typhus (or typhoid) epidemics in England were directly related to periods of famine in Ireland. The author uses data from Wrigley and Schofield's calculation of English death rates. The results suggest that nearly 50% of England's mortality decline was crisis-related, and that "English health was constantly under threat from Irish famines, which caused the stream of vagrants to the much wealthier England to swell."
Correspondence: J. Schellekens, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Department of Demography, Mount Scopus, 91905 Jerusalem, Israel. Location: Princeton University Library (SH).

62:30553 Schlumbohm, Jürgen. Micro-history and the macro-models of the European demographic system in pre-industrial times: life course patterns in the parish of Belm (Northwest Germany), seventeenth to the nineteenth centuries. History of the Family, Vol. 1, No. 1, 1996. 81-95 pp. Greenwich, Connecticut/London, England. In Eng.
"Current models of the European demo-economic system in pre-industrial times are based on strong assumptions about the predominant patterns of individual life courses. Now recent micro-studies of individual communities make it possible to check whether the actual patterns of life fit these assumptions. The findings for Belm present an amazing blend of confirmations and contradictions. In particular, the connection between marriage and the formation of a new self-supporting household is subject to doubt. Together with the findings of other micro-studies, the evidence for Belm suggests that the assumptions about mechanisms linking marriage to economic resources should be reconsidered, and that there is need for a dialogue between macro-theories and micro-history."
Correspondence: J. Schlumbohm, Max-Planck Institute for History, Hermann-Föge-Weg 11, 37073 Göttingen, Germany. Location: Princeton University Library (PR).

62:30554 Vasey, Daniel E. Population regulation, ecology, and political economy in preindustrial Iceland. American Ethnologist, Vol. 23, No. 2, 1996. 366-92 pp. Arlington, Virginia. In Eng.
"Social controls on sex and marriage, rooted in the political economy, regulated population in preindustrial Iceland. Married women had high fertility, offset by low illegitimacy and a means prerequisite for marriage. The number of married householders in their childbearing years responded to changes in population pressure, adjusting fertility and moving the population toward about 50,000, a level determined by both the sub-Arctic environment and the political economy, which discouraged full use of available technology."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

I.2. Methods of Historical Demography

Applications of demographic methodology to the records of the past. Relevant items are coded here and, if of more general interest than to historical demography alone, are cross-referenced to N. Methods of Research and Analysis Including Models .

62:30555 Cazes, Marie-Hélène; Cazes, Pierre. How to measure the genealogical depth of an ancestry? [Comment mesurer la profondeur généalogique d'une ascendance?] Population, Vol. 51, No. 1, Jan-Feb 1996. 117-40 pp. Paris, France. In Fre. with sum. in Eng; Spa.
"Many studies in genetics and historical demography rely on family reconstitution, beginning with one individual and his or her ancestry. Information from such genealogies varies depending on the number of the individual's ancestors who can be identified. Traditional assessments of kinship or consanguinity ratios are often based on such reconstitution. This reinforces the need for information from these genealogies to be quantified in order that individual situations may be compared. In this paper it is shown that an index which is supposed to provide information about the average length of an ancestry may lead to inconsistent results in some cases, and two new indices and their associated variances are introduced which eliminate inconsistencies and can be used to measure average genealogical lengths."
Correspondence: M.-H. Cazes, Institut National d'Etudes Démographiques, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris Cedex 14, France. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:30556 Hagnell, Mats. Economic-historical applications of latent variable models for time series data. In: Demography, economy and welfare, edited by Christer Lundh. 1995. 479-93 pp. Lund University Press: Lund, Sweden; Chartwell-Bratt: Bromley, England. In Eng.
"Here we will consider two economic-historical applications of latent variable models for time series data. In the first application we treat the regression of an observed variable on a latent variable....In the other application we consider the regression of a latent variable on another latent variable....The two applications use nearly the same data so they mainly differ with regard to the complexity of the models used. In the first application we are interested in the dependence of the observed variable adult mortality on the latent variable real income in Sweden during the years 1751-1850....In the second application we consider the same economic-historical problem as above but generalize our approach...."
Correspondence: M. Hagnell, University of Lund, Department of Statistics, Box 7008, 220 07 Lund, Sweden. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

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