Studies concerned with demographic methods and with methods from other disciplines that have been applied to demographic data as a whole. Includes mathematical demography and studies on methods of estimation and indirect estimation. Methodological studies and models concerned with one demographic variable, such as migration, are coded under the category concerned with that topic and cross-referenced to this heading. Studies on models used to investigate relationships between demographic variables and for the analysis of empirical data are also coded under this heading.
65:41566 Alter, George; Gutmann, Myron
P. Casting spells: database concepts for event-history
analysis. Historical Methods, Vol. 32, No. 4, Fall 1999. 165-76
pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
Some aspects of event history analysis
as a method of demographic research are explored. "After several
years of using these methods ourselves, we have concluded that the
event-history approach requires that data be organized and
conceptualized differently from the way in which data are organized and
conceptualized in many other demographic or social scientific
applications. This article deals with some issues at work in
understanding event-history data and ways of understanding how to use
them in the statistical analysis of event histories. This approach
calls for a thorough knowledge of the data needed for event-history
analysis and methods for transforming those data to make the analysis
possible."
Correspondence: G. Alter, Indiana
University, Population Institute for Research and Training, Memorial
Hall East 220, Bloomington, IN 47405. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
65:41567 Andreozzi, Luciano.
Analogies and mechanical models at the dawn of mathematical
demography. The case of the logistical curve. [Analogie e modelli
meccanici all'alba della demografia matematica. Il caso della
"logistica"] Bollettino di Demografia Storica, No. 29, 1998.
5-22 pp. Bologna, Italy. In Ita.
The author examines the history of
the use of the logistical curve in demography. It was originally born
out of the idea of studying population growth using a mechanical
analogy, namely the motion of a body falling in a viscous medium. The
author argues that all attempts to model population growth on the basis
of mechanical analogies have failed.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
65:41568 Birg, H.; Filip, D.; Flöthmann,
E.-J.; Frein, T. The internal dynamics of population
growth in the 16 states of Germany in the twenty-first century: a
multi-regional population model with endogenous migration. [Zur
Eigendynamik der Bevölkerungsentwicklung der 16 Bundesländer
Deutschlands im 21. Jahrhundert: ein multiregionales
Bevölkerungsmodell mit endogenen Wanderungen.] IBS-Materialien,
Vol. 41, ISBN 3-923340-36-2. 1997. x, 208 pp. Universität
Bielefeld, Institut für Bevölkerungsforschung und
Sozialpolitik [IBS]: Bielefeld, Germany. In Ger.
A model for
calculating population trends is developed that includes migration as
an endogenous variable. The model is applied to official German data
from 1991.
Correspondence: Universität Bielefeld,
Institut für Bevölkerungsforschung und Sozialpolitik,
Postfach 100131, 33501 Bielefeld, Germany. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
65:41569 Courgeau, Daniel.
Methods for the analysis of event history data.
[Métodos para el análisis de datos biográficos.]
Estudios Demográficos y Urbanos, Vol. 14, No. 3, Sep-Dec 1999.
599-629, 782 pp. Mexico City, Mexico. In Spa. with sum. in Eng.
"This article suggests three approaches for analyzing
biographical data. The non-parametric approach deals with the
interaction between various demographic phenomena and leads to various
types of dependence between them. The parametric approach attempts to
incorporate the heterogeneity observed in the population into the
analysis, by linking temporary behavior with various characteristics
that are either dependent on or independent from time. The
semi-parametric approach permits the simultaneous exploration of
interactions and heterogeneity. The issue of non-observed heterogeneity
in data is also explored. These methods are illustrated using examples
of the application of data taken from
surveys."
Correspondence: D. Courgeau, Institut
National d'Etudes Démographiques, 133 boulevard Davout, 75980
Paris Cedex 20, France. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
65:41570 Das Gupta, Prithwis.
Decomposing the difference between rates when the rate is a
function of factors that are not cross-classified. Genus, Vol. 55,
No. 1-2, Jan-Jun 1999. 9-26 pp. Rome, Italy. In Eng. with sum. in Ita;
Fre.
"In an earlier paper in this journal (1994), the author
discussed in detail the problem of decomposition of the difference
between two overall rates into the effects of the underlying factors,
and these factors appeared in the data in the form of a
cross-classification. The present paper deals with the problem of
decomposition when the rate is a function of several factors, but the
data are not cross-classified. The techniques are illustrated by
numerical examples, and a general program is provided for data up to
ten factors."
For the 1994 publication referred to, see
61:20792.
Correspondence: P. Das Gupta, U.S. Bureau of the
Census, Population Division, Washington, D.C. 20233. E-mail:
prithwis.dasgupta@ccmail.census.gov. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
65:41571 Diamond, Ian; Clements, Steve; Stone,
Nicole; Ingham, Roger. Spatial variation in teenage
conceptions in south and west England. Journal of the Royal
Statistical Society, Series A: Statistics in Society, Vol. 162, No. Pt.
3, 1999. 273-89 pp. London, England. In Eng.
"Multilevel
Poisson models are used to identify factors influencing variation in
census ward level teenage conception rates. Multilevel logistic models
are also employed to examine the outcome of these conceptions.
Demographic and socioeconomic characteristics are accounted for as well
as access to family planning services. The paper emphasizes the
importance of customized deprivation indices that are specific to the
health outcome in urban and rural areas." Comments on this and
other papers in this issue by Fiona Steele are included (pp.
329-30).
Correspondence: I. Diamond, University of
Southampton, Department of Social Statistics, Southampton SO9 5NH,
England. Location: Princeton University Library (PF).
65:41572 Dykstra, Pearl A.; van Wissen, Leo J.
G. Introduction: the life course approach as an
interdisciplinary framework for population studies. In: Population
issues: an interdisciplinary focus, edited by Leo J. G. van Wissen and
Pearl A. Dykstra. 1999. 1-22 pp. Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers: New
York, New York/Dordrecht, Netherlands. In Eng.
The authors discuss
the use of the life course approach for the study of population, and
provide a general explanation of the approach. They also present an
overview of the chapters in this volume.
Correspondence: P.
A. Dykstra, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute,
Postbus 11650, 2502 AR The Hague, Netherlands. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
65:41573 France. Institut National d'Etudes
Démographiques [INED] (Paris, France). Event
history analysis. The result of 14 event history collections.
[Biographies d'enquêtes. Bilan de 14 collectes biographiques.]
Méthodes et Savoirs, No. 3, ISBN 2-7332-6003-0. 1999. xvi, 340
pp. Paris, France. In Fre.
This work contains 14 examples of
research using event history analysis, and is a product of an
international seminar held in Paris in June 1997. The studies were
carried out between 1974 and 1997 in France, Romania, Poland, Italy,
Mali, Cameroon, Senegal, Colombia, Mexico, and India. The objective of
the seminar was to reorganize the data from these projects in a way
that would facilitate comparative analysis among them. The theoretical
basis underpinning them and the methodological choices that were made
are described and compared in order to develop some common guidelines
that will be useful in future research using event history
analysis.
Correspondence: Institut National d'Etudes
Démographiques, 133 boulevard Davout, 75980 Paris Cedex 20,
France. E-mail: ined@ined.fr. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
65:41574 Graham, Elspeth.
Breaking out: the opportunities and challenges of multi-method
research in population geography. Professional Geographer, Vol.
51, No. 1, Feb 1999. 76-89 pp. Cambridge, Massachusetts. In Eng.
The author makes the argument that population geographers should
break out from the confines of an empirical research tradition and
examine some broader philosophical and theoretical issues. In
particular, she explores the possibility of examining how and for what
purpose various research methods might be
combined.
Correspondence: E. Graham, University of St.
Andrews, School of Geography and Geosciences, St. Andrews, Fife KY19
9ST, Scotland. E-mail: gg@st-and.ac.uk. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
65:41575 Hill, Mark E.
Multivariate survivorship analysis using two cross-sectional
samples. Demography, Vol. 36, No. 4, Nov 1999. 497-503 pp. Silver
Spring, Maryland. In Eng.
"As an alternative to survival
analysis with longitudinal data, I introduce a method that can be
applied when one observes the same cohort in two cross-sectional
samples collected at different points in time. The method allows for
the estimation of log-probability survivorship models that estimate the
influence of multiple time-invariant factors on survival over a time
interval separating two samples. This approach can be used whenever the
survival process can be adequately conceptualized as an irreversible
single-decrement process (e.g., mortality, the transition to first
marriage among a cohort of never-married individuals). Using data from
the Integrated Public Use Microdata Series...I illustrate the
multivariate method through an investigation of the effects of race,
parity, and educational attainment on the survival of older women in
the United States."
Correspondence: M. E. Hill,
University of Pennsylvania, Population Studies Center, 3718 Locust
Walk, Philadelphia, PA 19104-6298. E-mail: mhill@pop.upenn.edu.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
65:41576 Hooimeijer, Pieter; Oskamp,
Anton. Advances in the microsimulation of demographic
behavior. In: Population issues: an interdisciplinary focus,
edited by Leo J. G. van Wissen and Pearl A. Dykstra. 1999. 229-63 pp.
Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers: New York, New York/Dordrecht,
Netherlands. In Eng.
"In this contribution we will report the
progress that has been made in the microsimulations carried out in the
context of the Priority Program [in the Netherlands]. First, the shared
conceptual framework in the Priority Program, namely the life course
approach, will be elaborated in order to develop a number of criteria
for the functional design of simulation models of demographic behavior.
Next, some general methodological issues that have been resolved in the
Priority Program will be discussed. Third, the substantive properties
of three microsimulation models will be described in more
detail."
Correspondence: P. Hooimeijer, University of
Utrecht, Urban Research Centre Utrecht, P.O. Box 80115, 3508 TC
Utrecht, Netherlands. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
65:41577 Hoppensteadt, Frank.
Mathematical theories of populations: demographics, genetics and
epidemics. CBMS-NSF Regional Conference Series in Applied
Mathematics, Vol. 20, ISBN 0-89871-017-0. LC 97-19735. 1993. vii, 72
pp. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics: Philadelphia,
Pennsylvania. In Eng.
"Many techniques for analyzing
complicated physical problems can be applied to population problems....
Several population problems will be analyzed here which illustrate
these methods and techniques. The monograph begins with a study of
population age structure. A basic model is derived first, and it
reappears frequently throughout the remainder. Various extensions and
modifications of the basic model are then applied to several population
phenomena, such as stable age distributions, self-limiting effects and
two-sex populations. The second part is devoted to population genetics,
and it contains a summary of some of the most successful applications
of mathematics in the biological sciences.... The final part...is
concerned with the dynamics of contagious phenomena in a population....
The emphasis...is placed on studies of qualitative properties of
several typical models." This work was originally published in
1975.
Correspondence: Society for Industrial and Applied
Mathematics, 3600 University City Science Center, Philadelphia, PA
19104-2688. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
65:41578 Lillard, Lee A.; Panis, Constantijn
W. A. Panel attrition from the Panel Study of Income
Dynamics: household income, marital status, and mortality. Journal
of Human Resources, Vol. 33, No. 2, Spring 1998. 437-57 pp. Madison,
Wisconsin. In Eng.
"This analysis is concerned with the
determinants of panel attrition from the [U.S.] Panel Study of Income
Dynamics and with its consequences for estimation of dynamic behavioral
models which exploit the panel or longitudinal information--household
income dynamics, marriage formation and dissolution, and adult
mortality risk. We develop and estimate joint models of attrition and
one or more of these substantive processes, and allow for correlation
across the equations through random effects. Although we find evidence
of significant selectivity in attrition behavior, the biases that are
introduced by ignoring selective attrition are very
mild."
Correspondence: L. A. Lillard, RAND
Corporation, 1700 Main Street, Santa Monica, CA 90401. E-mail:
Lee_Lillard@rand.org. Location: Princeton University Library
(IR).
65:41579 McKendrick, John H.
Multi-method research: an introduction to its application in
population geography. Professional Geographer, Vol. 51, No. 1, Feb
1999. 40-9 pp. Cambridge, Massachusetts. In Eng.
"This paper
sets the context for four papers on multi-method research in population
geography. It begins by outlining the various ends to which
multi-method research may be employed. The focus then shifts to the
broader plane of method, epistemology, and research design. It is
argued that epistemological position only determines how methods can be
used: it does not preclude the use of particular methods. The
possibilities for multi-method research are therefore considerable.
Finally, some issues pertaining to multi-method research that have not
yet been resolved are raised for future
debate."
Correspondence: J. H. McKendrick, Glasgow
Caledonian University, School of Social Sciences, Glasgow G4 0BA,
Lanark, Scotland. E-mail: j.mckendrick@gcal.ac.uk. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
65:41580 Navaneetham, K.; Saxena, Prem
C. Multivariate graphical methods for characterizing
development: an application of Chernoff-type faces. Demography
India, Vol. 28, No. 1, Jan-Jun 1999. 111-22 pp. Delhi, India. In Eng.
"This paper highlights the use of graphical methods in
statistical data analysis, which may [be found] useful to overcome some
of the limitations in the formal statistical procedures. In particular,
an attempt has been made in this paper to illustrate the potential use
of Chernoff-type faces for characterizing the development of regions.
This paper also examines the way in which `face' method would be
effective for communicating information of the data and therefore
helpful to derive additional information which otherwise would have
been missed from the analytical methods."
Correspondence:
K. Navaneetham, Centre for Development Studies,
Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala, India. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
65:41581 Norman, Paul. Putting
iterative proportional fitting on the researcher's desk. School of
Geography Working Paper, No. 99/03, Nov 1999. iv, 32 pp. University of
Leeds, School of Geography: Leeds, England. In Eng.
"`Iterative Proportional Fitting' (IPF) is a mathematical
procedure originally developed to combine the information from two or
more data sets. IPF is a well-established technique with the
theoretical and practical considerations behind the method thoroughly
explored and reported. In this paper the theory of IPF is investigated
with a mathematical definition of the procedure and a review of the
relevant literature given. So that IPF can be readily accessible to
researchers the procedure has been automated in Visual Basic and a
description of the program and a `User Guide' are provided. IPF is
employed in various disciplines but has been particularly useful in
census related analysis to provide updated population statistics and to
estimate individual-level attribute
characteristics."
Correspondence: University of Leeds,
School of Geography, Leeds LS2 9JT, England. Author's E-mail:
p.norman@geography.leeds.ac.uk. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
65:41582 Poulain, Michel; Eggerickx,
Thierry. The "quartier" as the unit of analysis
for the study of the relationship between demography and local
development. [Le quartier comme cadre d'analyse des interactions
entre démographie et aménagement du territoire.] In:
Démographie et aménagement du territoire: actes du Xe
colloque national de démographie. Bordeaux--21, 22, 23 mai 1996,
edited by Janine d'Armagnac, Chantal Blayo, and Alain Parant. 1999.
107-17 pp. Conférence Universitaire de Démographie et
d'Etude des Populations [CUDEP]: Paris, France; Presses Universitaires
de France: Paris, France. In Fre.
Based on experience with local
demographic studies carried out in Belgium, the authors describe the
use of the "quartier", a subdivision of the commune, as the
geographical unit best suited to the study of the relationship between
demography and local development. The criteria for defining these
quartiers are spelled out, and their value for efficient administration
at the local level is noted.
Correspondence: M. Poulain,
Université Catholique de Louvain, Centre d'Etude de Gestion
Démographique pour les Administrations Publiques, Place de
l'Université 1, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
65:41583 Rohrbasser, Jean-Marc; Véron,
Jacques. The Huygens brothers and forecasting the age at
death: the argument about the "fair bet" concept. [Les
frères Huygens et le "calcul des aages": l'argument du
pari équitable.] Population, Vol. 54, No. 6, Nov-Dec 1999.
993-1,011 pp. Paris, France. In Fre. with sum. in Eng; Spa.
Some
aspects of the seventeenth-century correspondence between the Huygens
brothers concerning ways to estimate life expectancy are examined. The
focus is on the distinction between the mean and probable length of
life remaining to an individual.
Correspondence: J.-M.
Rohrbasser, Institut National d'Etudes Démographiques, 133
boulevard Davout, 75980 Paris Cedex 20, France. E-mail:
rohrbass@ined.fr. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
65:41584 Shanmugam, Ramalingam.
Statistical modeling of fertility: review. In: Studies in
applied demography: proceedings of the 5th International Conference on
Applied Demography, 1994, edited by K. Vaninadha Rao. 1996. 65-75 pp.
Bowling Green State University, Department of Sociology, Population and
Society Research Center: Bowling Green, Ohio. In Eng.
"The
purpose of this review article is to critically narrate the
developments that have occurred thus far in the literature on
statistical modeling of fertility, discuss some deficiencies in such
developments, and offer new directions for future research
work."
Correspondence: R. Shanmugam, University of
Colorado, Department of Mathematics, P.O. Box 173364, Denver, CO
80217-3364. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
65:41585 van Wissen, Leo J. G.; Dykstra, Pearl
A. Epilogue: new directions in population studies.
In: Population issues: an interdisciplinary focus, edited by Leo J. G.
van Wissen and Pearl A. Dykstra. 1999. 265-75 pp. Kluwer
Academic/Plenum Publishers: New York, New York/Dordrecht, Netherlands.
In Eng.
"Most Western countries today face similar population
issues.... The distinguishing quality of the contributions in this book
is that they approach these population issues from an interdisciplinary
life course perspective. This perspective has proven to be extremely
useful. This chapter highlights and evaluates some of the most salient
findings, and at the same time elaborates on some of the deficiencies
in our current knowledge."
Correspondence: L. J. G.
van Wissen, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute,
Postbus 11650, 2502 AR The Hague, Netherlands. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
65:41586 Willekens, Frans J. The
life course: models and analysis. In: Population issues: an
interdisciplinary focus, edited by Leo J. G. van Wissen and Pearl A.
Dykstra. 1999. 23-51 pp. Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers: New York,
New York/Dordrecht, Netherlands. In Eng.
"The life course
perspective has proven to be extremely useful in studies of social and
demographic change.... The paper aims at contributing to an integration
of life course theorizing and methods of analysis. The approach is to
reduce life course theories and methods to a few basic and universal
elements and to investigate the use of these elements in studies of
life histories. Basic elements are life event, time, risk and
uncertainty, exposure, and interaction."
Correspondence:
F. J. Willekens, University of Groningen, Population Research
Centre, P.O. Box 800, 9700 AV Groningen, Netherlands. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
