Studies on changes over time in population size and the bases of their estimation. Studies that are concerned primarily with the methodology of trends, estimations, and projections are classified under this heading and cross-referenced to N. Methods of Research and Analysis Including Models. Studies dealing with two or more of the topics listed in this division are coded under D.2. Current Rates and Estimates and cross-referenced where appropriate.
Studies of observed data on population growth in the past and its components. Includes studies that are primarily concerned with population trends up to and including World War II.
64:20068 Polyakov, Yu. A.; Aralovets, N. A.;
Verbitskaya, O. M.; Zhiromskaya, V. B. The population of
Russia in the period 1920 to 1950: population size, losses, and
migration. A collection of scholarly works. [Naselenie Rossii v
1920-1950-e gody: chislennost', poteri, migratsii. Sbornik nauchnykh
trudov.] ISBN 5-201-00666-3. LC 95-119924. 1994. 222 pp. Rossiiskaya
Akademiya Nauk, Institut Rossiiskoi Istorii: Moscow, Russia. In Rus.
This is a collection of studies by various authors that attempts to
throw more light on demographic developments in Russia in the period
1920-1950. This period was characterized by a lack of available
demographic data, since the data that were collected were generally
kept confidential, and those that were released generally served
propaganda purposes, showing the Soviet regime in a favorable light.
The studies presented here make use of the data that are now becoming
more available for this period, and examine such subjects as population
losses during the Russian Revolution and World War I, the famines that
occurred between 1921 and 1932, the repressions of specific
populations, and forced migrations.
Correspondence:
Rossiiskaya Akademiya Nauk, Institut Rossiiskoi Istorii, Leninsky
Pr. 14, 117901 Moscow, Russia. Location: U.S. Library of
Congress, Washington, D.C.
64:20069 Rasevic, Miroslav. An
estimate of the basic parameters of the population in the Brankovica
region for 1455. [Procena osnovnih pararmetara stanovnistva
oblasti brankovica za 1455. Godinu.] Stanovnistvo, Vol. 35, No. 3-4,
Jul-Dec 1997. 45-92 pp. Belgrade, Yugoslavia. In Scr. with sum. in Eng.
The author provides estimates of the 1455 population structure in a
region of what is now part of Kosovo, Yugoslavia. Information is
provided on population size, households, family structure, age and sex
distribution, fertility, mortality, ethnic groups, and socioeconomic
characteristics.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
Studies of censal and other estimates based on current data, together with the relevant methodological studies. Includes studies from World War II up to the present day.
64:20070 Beale, Calvin L.; Johnson, Kenneth
M. The identification of recreational counties in
nonmetropolitan areas of the USA. Population Research and Policy
Review, Vol. 17, No. 1, Feb 1998. 37-53 pp. Dordrecht, Netherlands. In
Eng.
"Nonmetropolitan counties in the USA with significant
concentrations of recreational activity are identified using a
combination of quantitative and contextual indicators. The 285 counties
identified as recreational encompass 12 percent of the nonmetropolitan
counties and 15 percent of the 1990 nonmetropolitan population.
Population growth in such counties has consistently exceeded that in
other nonmetropolitan areas as well as that in metropolitan areas. Net
migration accounted for most of the population growth in such counties
during the 24 years considered. The revenue and expenditure patterns of
local governments in recreational counties differ from those elsewhere
suggesting significant policy concerns."
Correspondence:
K. M. Johnson, Loyola University, Department of Sociology, 933
Damen Hall, 6525 North Sheridan Road, Chicago, IL 60626. E-mail:
kjohnso@luc.edu. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:20071 Cook, Tricia. Overnight
visitor counts in Australia and their implications for population
estimation. People and Place, Vol. 6, No. 1, 1998. 60-70 pp.
Clayton, Australia. In Eng.
"On the night of the 1996 Census,
5.4 per cent of the people counted in Australia were staying away from
home (visitors), compared to 4.6 per cent in 1986. Queensland's share
of the nation's visitors has risen since 1986, largely at the expense
of Western Australia's. Queensland is now the most popular destination
for interstate and overseas visitors, while New South Wales hosts a
large proportion of intrastate visitors. But the overall picture is
partly obscured because the Census missed around 100,000 overseas
visitors."
Correspondence: T. Cook, Queensland
Department of Local Government and Planning, Planning and Forecasting
Unit, Brisbane, Australia. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
64:20072 de Guibert-Lantoine, Catherine;
Monnier, Alain. The current demographic situation: Europe
and developed countries overseas. [La conjoncture
démographique: L'Europe et les pays développés
d'outre-mer.] Population, Vol. 52, No. 5, Sep-Oct 1997. 1,187-215 pp.
Paris, France. In Fre.
This is the latest in a series of annual
reviews of current demographic trends in the developed countries of the
world. There are sections on population trends, fertility, marriage and
divorce, abortion, and mortality.
For a previous review in this
series, see 63:10069.
Correspondence: C. de
Guibert-Lantoine, 12 rue Letellier, 75015 Paris, France. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:20073 European Communities. Statistical
Office [EUROSTAT] (Luxembourg). Population, households and
dwellings in Europe: main results of the 1990/1991 censuses. Theme
3, Population and Social Conditions: Series C, Accounts and Surveys,
ISBN 92-827-8838-5. 1996. xxxix, 236, [16] pp. Luxembourg. In Eng.
This publication presents a selection of data from recent censuses
undertaken in the countries of Europe. There are tables on population
by age, sex, marital status, and citizenship; the economically active
population and employment; education; households; families; and
housing. "The information is presented not only at national but
also at regional level and is illustrated by figures and maps. This
publication provides not only absolute figures but also calculated
percentages and rates. The differing national practices as regards
census dates, definitions, classifications and tabulations make
comparisons between the different Member States difficult. A diskette
accompanying this publication is available. It contains most of the
information included in this publication. All census data collected by
Eurostat are included in the NEW CRONOS database at
Eurostat."
Correspondence: Office for Official
Publications of the European Communities, 2985 Luxembourg.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:20074 Japan. Statistics Bureau. Management
and Coordination Agency (Tokyo, Japan). Intercensal
adjustment of current population estimates. Population Estimates
Series, No. 69, Dec 1997. 84 pp. Tokyo, Japan. In Eng; Jpn.
This
report contains adjusted population estimates by age and sex for Japan
for the period 1990-1995. The estimates have been adjusted to take into
account the final results from the 1990 and 1995 censuses. The
estimates are presented separately for the whole country and for
individual prefectures.
Correspondence: Statistics Bureau,
Management and Coordination Agency, 19-1 Wakamatsu-cho, Shinjuku-ku,
Tokyo 162-8668, Japan. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
64:20075 Kerjosse, Roselyne; Tamby,
Irène. The demographic situation in 1995:
population changes. [La situation démographique en 1995:
mouvement de la population.] INSEE Résultats:
Démographie-Société, No. 65-66, ISBN
2-11-066667-6. Dec 1997. 264 pp. Institut National de la Statistique et
des Etudes Economiques [INSEE]: Paris, France. In Fre.
This is one
in a series of reports in which current demographic trends in France
are reviewed. The report consists primarily of statistical data
organized into sections on population, marriages, divorces,
legitimizations of children born outside of marriage, births, induced
abortions, deaths, monthly data, migrations, departmental and regional
data, and international data. The French vital statistics system is
described in an appendix, and some definitions and methods used in
producing the data are described.
For a previous report concerning
1994, see 63:10067.
Correspondence: Institut National de
la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, Direction
Générale, 18 boulevard Adolphe Pinard, 75675 Paris Cedex
14, France. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:20076 Lithuania. Lietuvos Statistikos
Departamentas (Vilnius, Lithuania); Estonia. Eesti Statistikaamet
(Tallinn, Estonia); Latvia. Valsts Statistikas Komiteja (Riga,
Latvia). Demographic statistics in the Baltic countries,
1996. ISBN 9986-589-49-5. 1996. 67 pp. Vilnius, Lithuania. In Eng.
This publication presents a selection of official demographic
statistics for the three Baltic countries Estonia, Latvia, and
Lithuania, the most recent of which are for 1995. Data are included on
rural and urban population, sex and age distribution, nationality,
vital statistics, fertility, illegitimacy, abortion, mortality, life
expectancy, stillbirths and infant deaths, marriage and divorce, and
international migration.
Correspondence: Lithuanian
Department of Statistics, Section of Demography, Gedimono Av. 29, 2746
Vilnius, Lithuania. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
64:20077 Smith, Stanley K.; Nogle, June
M. An experimental methodology for estimating Hispanic
residents for states and counties. Journal of Economic and Social
Measurement, Vol. 23, No. 4, 1997. 263-75 pp. Amsterdam, Netherlands.
In Eng.
"In this article, we describe an experimental
methodology for estimating the Hispanic population of states and
counties. Postcensal data on births, deaths, and school enrollment are
used for estimates of the total Hispanic population and data from the
two most recent decennial censuses are used for estimates of the age,
sex, and race distribution of that population. We discuss the strengths
and weaknesses of this methodology and illustrate its application by
making estimates of the Hispanic population for counties in
Florida."
Correspondence: S. K. Smith, University of
Florida, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, 221 Matherly Hall,
Gainesville, FL 32611-7145. E-mail: stans@bebr.cba.ufl.edu.
Location: Princeton University Library (SF).
64:20078 Sommer, Bettina.
Marriages, births, and deaths, 1996. [Eheschließungen,
Geburten und Sterbefälle 1996.] Wirtschaft und Statistik, No. 3,
Mar 1998. 232-8 pp. Wiesbaden, Germany. In Ger.
This report of
marriages, births, and deaths in Germany summarizes changes and trends
in 1996. As in previous years, there were fewer marriages, and the
trend toward higher age at marriage continued. There was a significant
increase in the number of births and in the total fertility rate, and
the number of births to women over 30 continued to increase. There were
fewer deaths, and life expectancy continued to rise. The report draws
some comparisons between the former East and West Germany, and also
looks at past trends.
Correspondence: B. Sommer,
Statistisches Bundesamt, Gustav-Stresemann-Ring 11, 6200 Wiesbaden,
Germany. Location: Princeton University Library (PF).
64:20079 South Africa. Central Statistical
Service (Pretoria, South Africa). Census '96: preliminary
estimates of the size of the population of South Africa. Jun 1997.
56 pp. Pretoria, South Africa. In Eng.
Preliminary estimates of the
population of South Africa based on data from the 1996 census are
presented in this report. The data are provided by sex, province, and
for rural and urban areas. The results indicate that the total size of
the population was around 37.9 million in 1996, compared with previous
estimates indicating that the total population at that date would
probably be about 42.1 million.
Correspondence: Central
Statistical Service, Private Bag X44, Pretoria 0001, South Africa.
Location: U.S. Bureau of the Census, ISPC Library, Washington,
D.C. Source: APLIC Census Network List, No. 173, Sep-Oct 1997.
64:20080 Swanson, David; Carlson, John; Roe,
Linda; Williams, Christopher. Estimating the population of
rural communities by age and gender: a case study of the effectiveness
of local expert procedure. Small Town, Vol. 25, No. 6, May-Jun
1995. 14-21 pp. Ellensburg, Washington. In Eng.
"This article
examines the accuracy of a survey-based technique called the Local
Expert Procedure (LEP), for estimating selected demographic
characteristics of small, rural areas. The procedure...employs local
citizens to provide demographic information about households which were
randomly selected from a residential sample extracted from utility
records." The procedure is used to provide age and sex estimates
for the population of three communities near Yucca Mountain,
Nevada.
Correspondence: D. Swanson, Portland State
University, School of Urban and Public Affairs, Center for Population
Research and Census, P.O. Box 751, Portland, OR 97207-0751. E-mail:
DSwa697646@aol.com. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
Studies of both long-term and short-term future trends and studies on the appropriate methodology.
64:20081 Alba, Francisco.
Population, economy, and society: conflict or convergence in the
future of Mexico? [Población, economía y sociedad:
¿conflicto o convergencia en el futuro de México?] Estudios
Demográficos y Urbanos, Vol. 11, No. 3, Sep-Dec 1996. 521-47,
660 pp. Mexico City, Mexico. In Spa. with sum. in Eng.
"Probable demographic trends and characteristics from the
1990s to the year 2020 [in Mexico] are presented. Then, some of the
main economic and social implications of these trends are explored at
the aggregate level. Also, some general considerations are given to the
possibilities of convergence or conflict between the future demographic
evolution, the needs of an open and free-market-oriented economic
development strategy, and some social demands associated, probably, to
a less controlled and less predictable political
system."
Correspondence: F. Alba, El Colegio de
México, Camino al Ajusco 20, 10740 Mexico City, DF, Mexico.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:20082 Bell, Felicitie C.
Social Security area population projections: 1997. Actuarial
Study, No. 112, Pub. Order No. 11-11553. Aug 1997. v, 130 pp. U.S.
Social Security Administration: Baltimore, Maryland. In Eng.
Population projections are presented for the Social Security Area
(consisting of the United States and various territories and U.S.
dependencies overseas). Three alternative projections are provided for
each of the next 75 years by age, sex, and marital status using
official estimates for 1995 as the base population. The methods and
assumptions used in making the projections are
described.
Correspondence: U.S. Social Security
Administration, Office of the Actuary, Room 700, Altmeyer Building,
Baltimore, MD 21235. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
64:20083 Boleslawski, Lech.
Assumptions of the forecast of Poland's population by voivodships
for the years 1995-2020. Polish Population Review, No. 11, 1997.
143-57 pp. Warsaw, Poland. In Eng.
"The paper briefly
discusses the course of the basic demographic phenomena and processes
in Poland, and the factors that determine the changes.... A detailed
analysis [is provided] of the size and variability of fertility,
mortality and migrations.... The method of calculating particular
forecast components is presented, as well as results of calculations of
the...number and structure of population and of the forecast of the
vital statistics and migrations of
population."
Correspondence: L. Boleslawski, Central
Statistical Office, Division of Demographic Statistics, al.
Niepodleglosci 208, 00-925 Warsaw, Poland. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
64:20084 Bolivia. Instituto Nacional de
Estadística (La Paz, Bolivia). Bolivia: population
projections by department and by sex and age-group (1990-2025).
[Bolivia: proyecciones de la población por departamentos segun
sexo y grupos de edad (1990-2025).] LC 97-176838. Jul 1996. [v], 48 pp.
Instituto Nacional de Estadística [INE]: La Paz, Bolivia; United
Nations Population Fund [UNFPA]: New York, New York; UN Centro
Latinoamericano de Demografía [CELADE]: Santiago, Chile. In Spa.
Population projections are presented for Bolivia and its provinces
by sex and age group for the period 1990-2025.
Correspondence:
Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Ministerio de Hacienda,
Plaza Mario Guzmán Aspiazu No. 1, Casilla 6129, La Paz, Bolivia.
Location: U.S. Library of Congress, Washington, D.C.
64:20085 de Beer, J. Population
forecasts 1997-2003: more births. [Bevolkingsprognose 1997-2003:
meer geboorten.] Maandstatistiek van de Bevolking, Vol. 46, No. 1, Jan
1998. 17-9 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
"The new [Netherlands] population forecasts differ in three
respects from the previous forecasts published one year ago. 1. The
forecast period is limited to 1997-2003, whereas the previous forecasts
covered the period until 2050.... 2. The observed population on 1
January 1997 is 7 thousand higher than the forecasts published one year
ago. 3. The assumption of the total fertility rate (TFR) in the period
1997-2002 is revised in an upward direction...."
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:20086 de Jong, A. H.
Population scenarios for the European Economic Area: components of
population growth. Maandstatistiek van de Bevolking, Vol. 45, No.
12, Dec 1997. 9-16 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Eng.
"This
article examines the individual contribution of the constituent
components of population growth (fertility, mortality and net external
migration) for the European Economic Area (EEA) and its countries.
Section 2 describes the general outline of the scenarios for the
countries of the EEA. Section 3 gives the main results for the EEA,
whereas section 4 elaborates on the countries of the
EEA."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:20087 Heuveline, Patrick. AIDS
and population growth in Sub-Saharan Africa: assessing the sensitivity
of projections. Population Research and Policy Review, Vol. 16,
No. 6, Dec 1997. 531-60 pp. Dordrecht, Netherlands. In Eng.
"In sub-Saharan Africa, population growth rates are projected
to remain positive in spite of the [AIDS] pandemic over the next few
decades. To investigate this conclusion, alternative projections of an
HIV/AIDS epidemic and its related mortality are first produced from
different sets of input parameters and assumptions. Their incorporation
into the population projections of a fast-growing country illustrates
the robustness of projected population growth rates under very
different scenarios of the future epidemic but with the common
assumption that it will not affect the mortality of the uninfected
population, fertility nor migration. This paper then shows that the
projected growth rates are much less robust when interactions between
the epidemic and the demographic regime are allowed and identifies
several potential mechanisms for such interactions."
This paper
was originally presented at the 1995 Annual Meeting of the Population
Association of America.
Correspondence: P. Heuveline,
University of Pennsylvania, Population Studies Center, 3718 Locust
Walk, Philadelphia, PA 19104-6298. E-mail: heuvel@ssc.sas.upenn.edu.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:20088 Japan. National Institute of
Population and Social Security Research (Tokyo, Japan).
Population projections by prefecture, 1995-2025. Research
Series, No. 293, Aug 1, 1997. ii, 163 pp. Tokyo, Japan. In Jpn.
Population projections are presented by age and sex for Japan by
prefecture up to the year 2025.
Correspondence: National
Institute of Population and Social Security Research, 1-2-2
Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-45, Japan. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:20089 Kenya. Central Bureau of Statistics
(Nairobi, Kenya). Kenya population census 1989: Analytical
report. Volume VII: population projections. [1997?]. [77] pp.
Nairobi, Kenya. In Eng.
These projections are based on data from
the 1989 census of Kenya. The projections are made by sex up to the
year 2010, both with and without taking into consideration the
demographic impact of AIDS. They are given for the whole country and
for provinces and districts.
Correspondence: Central Bureau
of Statistics, Ministry of Planning and National Development, P.O. Box
30266, Nairobi, Kenya. Location: Northwestern University
Library, Evanston, IL.
64:20090 Marciniak, Grazyna.
Verification of the assumptions underlying the forecast of Poland's
population to the year 2020. Polish Population Review, No. 11,
1997. 158-65 pp. Warsaw, Poland. In Eng.
"The forecast of
Poland's population to the year 2020 was developed in two stages. The
paper briefly discusses the basic assumptions of the demographic
forecast...." Aspects considered include fertility, mortality, and
migration. The impact of economic conditions and changes in the labor
market is considered.
Correspondence: G. Marciniak, Central
Statistical Office, Division of Demographic Statistics, al.
Niepodleglosci 208, 00-925 Warsaw, Poland. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
64:20091 Morocco. Centre d'Etudes et de
Recherches Démographiques [CERED] (Rabat, Morocco).
Current demographic situation and future prospects in Morocco.
[Situation et perspectives démographiques du Maroc.] Etudes
Démographiques, 1997. 315 pp. Rabat, Morocco. In Fre.
This
report includes five separate studies on aspects of current and future
population trends in Morocco. The first examines current demographic
trends, including population size, characteristics, growth, and spatial
distribution. The factors affecting these trends, including fertility,
mortality, and migration, are analyzed. An attempt is also made to
estimate the socioeconomic needs of a growing population. The second
study looks at population projections up to the year 2014 for the
country as a whole and its various regions and districts. The third
study examines longer-term projections up to the year 2060. The fourth
study focuses on household projections up to 2010. The fifth and final
study analyzes levels and determinants of maternal mortality in
Morocco.
Correspondence: Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches
Démographiques, B.P. 178 avenue Maâ Elainine, Rabat,
Morocco. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:20092 Pitkin, John R.; Simmons, Patrick
A. The foreign-born population to 2010: a prospective
analysis by country of birth, age, and duration of U.S. residence.
Journal of Housing Research, Vol. 7, No. 1, 1996. 1-31 pp. Washington,
D.C. In Eng.
"This article uses a variant of the
cohort-component method to project the foreign-born population by
country of birth, age, and duration of U.S. residence.... Assuming a
continuation of recent immigration levels and foreign-born emigration
rates, the foreign-born population is projected to grow to 31.1 million
in 2010. Growth is projected to be substantial among Latino and Asian
immigrants. Rapid growth is also projected among immigrants ages 45 to
59 and immigrants who have resided in the United States for at least 20
years."
Correspondence: J. R. Pitkin, Analysis and
Forecasting Incorporated, P.O. Box 415, Cambridge, MA 02238.
Location: Princeton University Library (FST).
64:20093 Shen, Jianfa. China's
future population and development challenges. Geographical
Journal, Vol. 164, No. 1, Mar 1998. 32-40 pp. London, England. In Eng.
"This paper is concerned with the consequences of population
growth and rapid urbanization in China since the beginning of economic
reforms. Detailed urban-rural and national population projections were
carried out using an urban-rural population model. Three main
challenges crucial to China's future development were identified in the
light of the results. These are the agriculture-food challenge, the
employment challenge and the urbanization
challenge."
Correspondence: J. Shen, Chinese
University of Hong Kong, Department of Geography, Shatin, New
Territories, Hong Kong, China. Location: Princeton University
Library (PR).
64:20094 Takahashi, Shigesato; Kaneko,
Ryuichi; Ishikawa, Akira; Ikenoue, Masako; Mita, Fusami.
Population projections for Japan: 1996-2100. Jinko Mondai
Kenkyu/Journal of Population Problems, Vol. 53, No. 1, 1997. 64-98 pp.
Tokyo, Japan. In Jpn.
Population projections are presented for
Japan up to the year 2100.
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
64:20095 Tayman, Jeff; Schafer, Edward;
Carter, Lawrence. The role of population size in the
determination and prediction of population forecast errors: an
evaluation using confidence intervals for subcounty areas.
Population Research and Policy Review, Vol. 17, No. 1, Feb 1998. 1-20
pp. Dordrecht, Netherlands. In Eng.
"This paper describes a
technique for making subcounty population forecasts and for generating
confidence intervals around their forecast error. It also develops
statistical equations for calculating point estimates and confidence
intervals for areas with different population sizes. A non-linear,
inverse relationship between population size and forecast accuracy was
found and we demonstrate the ability to accurately predict average
forecast error and confidence intervals based on this relationship....
The data consists of 1980 and 1990 census observations and 1990
population forecasts for San Diego County, California,
USA."
Correspondence: J. Tayman, San Diego Association
of Governments, 401 B Street, Suite 800, San Diego, CA 92101. E-mail:
jta@sandag.cog.ca.us. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
64:20096 Ünalan, Turgay.
Turkey's population at the beginning of the 21st century.
Turkish Journal of Population Studies/Nüfusbilim Dergisi, Vol. 19,
1997. 57-72 pp. Ankara, Turkey. In Eng. with sum. in Tur.
"The
aim of this paper is first to provide a brief evaluation of...Turkey's
population and second to present a picture of the Turkish population at
the first decades of the 21st century based on...population
projections, and thirdly to compare both the present and the future
populations of Turkey and some European
countries."
Correspondence: T. Ünalan, Hacettepe
University, Institute of Population Studies, Hacettepe Parki, Ankara,
Turkey. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:20097 United Nations. Department of
Economic and Social Affairs. Population Division (New York, New
York). World population projections to 2150. Feb 1,
1998. 7 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"The long-range
population projections presented here, prepared by the United Nations
Population Division, cover the period from 1950 to 2150.... The median
fertility scenario projects that world population could reach 10.8
billion persons by 2150 and would ultimately stabilize at nearly 11
billion persons around 2200. However, the low and high fertility
scenarios put a large band around the numbers--from 3.6 billion persons
in 2150 to 27.0 billion in 2150."
Correspondence: J.
Chamie, UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population
Division, DC2-1950, United Nations, New York, NY 10017. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:20098 van der Gaag, N.; de Jong, A.
H. Population scenarios for the European Union: regional
scenarios. Maandstatistiek van de Bevolking, Vol. 45, No. 12, Dec
1997. 17-31 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Eng.
"This article
presents a look at future demographic developments at the regional
level within the countries of the European Union. Although total
population within the Union will still be growing in the next three
decades, several regions will face a zero or negative population growth
at some time. As a consequence of a declining fertility, coinciding
with an increased number of deaths due to ageing, only a small number
of regions will still experience a positive natural growth in 2025. For
many regions the impact of net migration on population growth will
become more important."
Correspondence: N. van der
Gaag, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, Postbus
11650, 2502 AR The Hague, Netherlands. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
64:20099 van Miert, Hans. The
Immigration and Naturalization Service and demographic forecasts.
[De Immigratie- en Naturalisatie Dienst en demografische prognoses.]
Maandstatistiek van de Bevolking, Vol. 46, No. 1, Jan 1998. 14-6 pp.
Voorburg, Netherlands. In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
"The
Immigration and Naturalisation Service of the Netherlands is a
government institution with the authority to decide which persons are
allowed immigration into the Netherlands. Its decisions are not only of
importance to the potential immigrants themselves, but also to
organizations responsible for enforcing the jurisdiction. In order to
perform such tasks in a fair and efficient manner, forecasts of
immigrants, in particular forecasts of asylum seekers, are
indispensable."
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
64:20100 Vasina, G.; Vukolova, S.; Nikitina,
S. Population projections for the Russian Federation up to
2010. [Prognoz chislennosti naseleniya Rossiiskoi Federatsii do
2010 goda.] Voprosy Statistiki, No. 10, 1997. 67-75 pp. Moscow, Russia.
In Rus.
Four alternative population projections for the Russian
Federation are presented by sex up to the year 2010. Projections for
the urban and rural population are presented separately. Information is
included on the assumptions concerning fertility, mortality, and life
expectancy on which the various projections are
based.
Correspondence: G. Vasina, Goskomstat Rossii,
Izmailovskoe Shosse 44, 105679 Moscow, Russia. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
Studies on changes in population between two specific points in time. Includes studies on negative growth, natural increase, zero population growth, and population reproduction.
64:20101 Dyagilev, B.; Luchkina, L.
Demographic changes in East European countries and Russia.
Social Sciences, Vol. 25, No. 1, 1994. 86-96 pp. Moscow, Russia. In
Eng.
The authors outline demographic trends in Eastern Europe and
Russia since 1970. Aspects considered include population size, birth
rate and number of births, marriage and divorce, death rate, infant
mortality, natural increase, sex ratio, and life
expectancy.
Correspondence: B. Dyagilev, Russian Academy of
Sciences, Institute for International Economic and Political Studies,
Leninsky Pr. 14, 117901 Moscow, Russia. Location: Princeton
University Library (FST).
64:20102 Lincot, Liliane; Lutinier,
Bruno. Departmental and regional demographic changes
between 1975 and 1994. [Les évolutions
démographiques départementales et régionales entre
1975 et 1994.] INSEE Résultats:
Démographie-Société, No. 67-68, ISBN
2-11-066699-4. Feb 1998. 242 pp. Institut National de la Statistique et
des Etudes Economiques [INSEE]: Paris, France. In Fre.
This report
presents data on the main demographic indicators for the departments
and regions of France for the period 1975-1994. The data are provided
separately for the population as a whole and for natality and
fertility, mortality, and nuptiality. A separate section includes
similar data for the overseas departments of France for the period
1983-1994.
Correspondence: Institut National de la
Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, 18 boulevard Adolphe Pinard,
75675 Paris Cedex 14, France. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
64:20103 Sobczak, Izydor. Natural
movement of the population in the voivodships of western and northern
Poland. Polish Population Review, No. 10, 1997. 310-35 pp. Warsaw,
Poland. In Eng.
The author discusses natural increase in western
and northern Poland since 1948. Sections are included on marriages,
births, and deaths.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
