Studies concerned with demographic methods and with methods from other disciplines that have been applied to demographic data as a whole. Includes mathematical demography and studies on methods of estimation and indirect estimation. Methodological studies and models concerned with one demographic variable, such as migration, are coded under the category concerned with that topic and cross-referenced to this heading. Studies on models used to investigate relationships between demographic variables and for the analysis of empirical data are also coded under this heading.
64:10759 Blanchet, Didier.
Nonlinear demographic models and models with chaotic
demo-dynamics. [Modèles démographiques non
linéaires et modèles à dynamique chaotique.]
Population, Vol. 52, No. 4, Jul-Aug 1997. 933-45 pp. Paris, France. In
Fre. with sum. in Eng; Spa.
"Linear models derived from stable
population theory still remain a basic reference, but it is clear that
non linear models offer much more possibilities to account for actual
demographic or demoeconomic dynamics. On the other hand, there is one
aspect of non linear models which has been probably overemphasized over
the last [few] years, which is their ability to generate chaotic
dynamics. Up to now, models which have been proposed have some
difficulties in deriving such a behavior from plausible assumptions
concerning demographic behavior or demo-economic relationships. We
illustrate this point of view by discussing two examples, borrowed
respectively from Day (1984) and Prskawetz/Feichtinger
(1995)."
Correspondence: D. Blanchet, Ecole Nationale
de la Statistique et de l'Administration Economique, 3 avenue Pierre
Larousse, 92245 Malakoff Cedex, France. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
64:10760 Courgeau, Daniel; Baccaïni,
Brigitte. Multilevel analysis in the social sciences.
[Analyse multi-niveaux en sciences sociales.] Population, Vol. 52, No.
4, Jul-Aug 1997. 831-63 pp. Paris, France. In Fre. with sum. in Eng;
Spa.
"The multilevel approach can be used to study human
behaviour taking into account not only individual characteristics but
also the fact that these individuals belong to larger geographical
units such as communes and regions. This article gives a detailed
critical presentation of the aims and formulations of these models.
Attention ranges from the most basic models, which introduce the many
different levels in the form of individual and aggregated
characteristics, to more complex models which operate with the random
characteristics specific to each level, and culminates with multilevel
event history models. The article concludes with a more general
epistemological reflection on the contribution of these
models."
Correspondence: D. Courgeau, Institut
National d'Etudes Démographiques, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675
Paris Cedex 14, France. E-mail: courgeau@ined.fr. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:10761 Fratczak, Ewa; Jozwiak, Janina;
Paszek, Barbara. The application of event history analysis
to demography. [Zastosowania analizy historii zdarzen w
demografii.] ISBN 83-86689-51-X. 1996. 154 pp. Szkola Glowna Handlowa,
Oficyna Wydawnicza: Warsaw, Poland. In Pol. with sum. in Eng.
The
application of the methods of event history analysis to the study of
demography is described in this report, with particular reference to
the demography of Poland. Chapter 1 introduces the concepts of event
history analysis and describes the retrospective study Life Course
(Family, Occupational and Migratory Biography) carried out in Poland in
1988. Chapter 2 introduces the concept of survival models and gives
examples of their application. Chapter 3 examines the relationship
between events in different careers using the family and migration as
examples. Chapter 4 focuses on theoretical aspects and gives examples
of the use of semi-parametric models to analyze the relationships
between events in two careers.
Correspondence: Szkola
Glowna Handlowa, Oficyna Wydawnicza, Al. Niepodleglosci 162, 02-554
Warsaw, Poland. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:10762 Guérin-Pace, France.
Textual statistics: an exploratory tool for the social
sciences. [La statistique textuelle: un outil exploratoire en
sciences sociales.] Population, Vol. 52, No. 4, Jul-Aug 1997. 865-87
pp. Paris, France. In Fre. with sum. in Eng; Spa.
"The value
of textual statistics is now widely acknowledged in many branches of
the social sciences....The statistical processing may be of responses
to open questions, interviews, texts and even individual itineraries.
The procedures are numerous and can be adapted to different kinds of
material. The aim in the present article is to give a broad overview of
the various applications of these methods, ranging from the most
traditional to the most recent, and focusing on both the methodology
used and the results obtained."
Correspondence: F.
Guérin-Pace, Institut National d'Etudes Démographiques,
27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris Cedex 14, France. E-mail:
guerin@ined.fr. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:10763 Holian, John. Client and
birth record linkage: a method, biases, and lessons. Evaluation
Practice, Vol. 17, No. 3, 1996. 227-35 pp. Greenwich, Connecticut. In
Eng.
"Due to rising data collection costs and the availability
of extant data files, record linkage is becoming increasingly important
in evaluation research. We begin by discussing record linkage as a
data-generating technique and its applicability to evaluation studies.
This paper--part of a larger study assessing the perinatal outcomes of
a comprehensive prenatal program for poor, urban women--describes a
method for linking client records to live and stillbirth records [in
Cleveland, Ohio]. Biases which can enter into the linkage process and
general issues which need to be addressed early in an investigation are
also discussed."
Correspondence: J. Holian, Cuyahoga
Community College, Sociology Department, Western Campus, 11000 Pleasant
Valley Road, Parma, OH 44130-5199. E-mail: john.holian@tri-c.cc.oh.us.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:10764 Lelièvre, Eva; Bonvalet,
Catherine; Bry, Xavier. Event history analysis of groups:
initial results from an ongoing research project. [Analyse
biographique des groupes: les avancées d'une recherche en
cours.] Population, Vol. 52, No. 4, Jul-Aug 1997. 803-30 pp. Paris,
France. In Fre. with sum. in Eng; Spa.
"The event history
approach...is applied using individual longitudinal data. Ideally,
however, each individual itinerary would be situated in as broad a
context as possible, and the analysis of individual demographic
processes would take account of the close or competing events affecting
the individual's entourage. In event history modelling, a shift from
the individual to their entourage, for both data collection and
analysis, implies a reconsideration of the choice of entities for
longitudinal monitoring. A compromise must be reached between
conceptual operationality and analytical consistency, in terms of both
theory and models: this article presents the formal developments, then
the more applied results from this on-going research [using French
data]."
Correspondence: E. Lelièvre, Institut
National d'Etudes Démographiques, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675
Paris Cedex 14, France. E-mail: eva@ined.fr. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
64:10765 Rogerson, Peter A. The
future of global population modeling. Futures, Vol. 29, No. 4-5,
May-Jun 1997. 381-92 pp. Oxford, England. In Eng.
"To consider
future population change in an informed manner, it is important to
appreciate some of the conceptual facets that underlie global
demographic processes. In this paper, we shall examine some of the
fundamental issues associated with global population modeling. The
following sections sequentially consider questions of geographic scale,
the nature of linkages between populations, population monitoring, the
potential of new technology to address the task of population modeling,
and the requirements for improved population analysis." The focus
is on modeling future population trends.
Correspondence: P.
A. Rogerson, State University of New York, Department of Geography,
Buffalo, NY 14261. Location: Princeton University Library
(PR).
64:10766 Sánchez,
Jesús. A new proposal for the measurement of
fertility. Population Studies Center Research Report, No. 97-382,
Feb 1997. 32 pp. University of Michigan, Population Studies Center: Ann
Arbor, Michigan. In Eng.
"In this paper a critical analysis is
made on some of the indexes used in numerous historical studies on the
descent of fertility. More concretely, it is demonstrated how the Total
Marital Fertility Rate (TMFR) and the I'g index of Marital Fertility
designed by Coale (1986) not only are not good indicators of a
population's level of marital fertility, but also in some cases (for
example when there is an important delay in the female mean age at
marriage) can even indicate an increase in marital fertility when in
reality it is decreasing. Likewise, new indexes for measuring fertility
(known as the Navarre Indexes) are presented which take into account
the average marrying age for women as well as their mortality rate
during their reproductive period."
Correspondence:
University of Michigan, Population Studies Center, 1225 South
University Avenue, Ann Arbor, MI 48104-2590. Location:
University of Michigan Library, Ann Arbor, MI.
64:10767 Verleye, G. Missing at
random data problems and maximum likelihood structural equation
modelling. IPD Working Paper, No. 1997-3, 1997. 20 pp. Vrije
Universiteit Brussel, Interface Demography: Brussels, Belgium;
Universiteit Gent, Vakgroep Bevolkingswetenschappen: Gent, Belgium. In
Eng.
"The aim of this paper is to present the results of a
performance study that compares five missing data solutions in the
context of structural equation modelling (SEM). By means of a 5 factor
simulation approach with multiple numerical and graphical evaluations,
7 research hypotheses are tested. A new and easy applicable method to
handle multiple imputed data sets is also
presented."
Correspondence: Vrije Universiteit
Brussel, Interface Demography, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussels, Belgium.
E-mail: esvbalck@vnet3.vub.ac.be. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
64:10768 Westert, Gert P.; Verhoeff,
René N. Places and people: multilevel modelling in
geographical research. Nederlandse Geografische Studies, No. 227,
ISBN 90-6809-247-2. 1997. 128 pp. Royal Dutch Geographical Society
[KNAG]: Utrecht, Netherlands; Utrecht University, Faculty of
Geographical Sciences: Utrecht, Netherlands. In Eng.
This
publication is the product of a seminar held in Utrecht in April 1996
on the use of multilevel modeling in data analysis. The papers included
provide examples of the application of multilevel models to the
analysis of data on health services, voting behavior, geographical
information systems, home help utilization, physiotherapy utilization,
and commuting. In the first three papers, the authors deal with some
general issues related to the use of multilevel modelling in research.
The next four papers describe specific projects using data from the
Netherlands.
Correspondence: University of Utrecht, Faculty
of Geographical Sciences, P.O. Box 80123, 3508 TC Utrecht, Netherlands.
E-mail: KNAG@frw.ruu.nl. Location: British Library, Document
Supply Centre, Wetherby, England.
64:10769 Word, David L.; Perkins, R.
Colby. Building a Spanish surname list for the 1990's--a
new approach to an old problem. Population Division Working Paper
Series, No. 13, Mar 1996. iii, 25 pp. U.S. Bureau of the Census:
Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This paper describes a direct and
reproducible method for creating an inventory of surnames
characteristic of the Hispanic origin population in the United States.
The individual surnames included in this inventory are created by
combining distinct surnames into groups and then analyzing group
responses to the 1990 Hispanic origin question." Both a long list
and a short list can be purchased in electronic format.
The material
in this paper was originally presented at the 1994 Annual Meeting of
the Population Association of America.
Correspondence: U.S.
Bureau of the Census, Population Division, Washington, D.C. 20233.
Author's E-mail: dword@census.gov. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
