Volume 63 - Number 2 - Summer 1997

N. Methods of Research and Analysis Including Models

Studies concerned with demographic methods and with methods from other disciplines that have been applied to demographic data as a whole. Includes mathematical demography and studies on methods of estimation and indirect estimation. Methodological studies and models concerned with one demographic variable, such as migration, are coded under the category concerned with that topic and cross-referenced to this heading. Studies on models used to investigate relationships between demographic variables and for the analysis of empirical data are also coded under this heading.

63:20459 Campbell, Harrison S. School enrollment in an extended demographic model. Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, Vol. 23, No. 1, 1997. 27-42 pp. Amsterdam, Netherlands. In Eng.
"This paper presents a demographic model for projecting school enrollment in a metropolitan area. A standard cohort survivorship model is disaggregated with respect to education allowing students to be `aged' through the system of education according to calculated progression rates. Education as a life event is introduced through the concept of educational survivorship. The model is applied to the Chicago region and projections for the region are compared to actual enrollment data. It is argued that the framework makes the effects of demographic structure and assumptions concerning the rate at which students flow through the system transparent, facilitating the educational planning process."
Correspondence: H. S. Campbell, University of North Carolina, Department of Geography and Earth Sciences, Charlotte, NC 28223. E-mail: hscampbe@email.uncc.edu. Location: Princeton University Library (SF).

63:20460 Courgeau, Daniel; Najim, Jamal. Interval-censored event history analysis. Population: An English Selection, Vol. 8, 1996. 191-207 pp. Paris, France. In Eng.
"Event history analysis...has [over time] branched out in two directions: on the one hand, surveys collecting retrospective information on respondent's life course, family and occupational histories, residential mobility...; on the other, individual biographies compiled by extracting information from administrative sources (vital registration data, census schedules, notifications of residence...). Each method has constraints--the second, in particular, because of depending on the availability of administrative data: job changes are never registered and in France, neither are residential moves. That limits observation to the information collected when a census is held or a vital event registered. [The authors] test here the validity of these incomplete data by comparing them to information supplied by an ad hoc survey."
For the original French version, see 61:20789.
Correspondence: D. Courgeau, Institut National d'Etudes Démographiques, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris Cedex 14, France. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

63:20461 Oskamp, Anton G. Local housing market simulation: a micro approach. PDOD Publication, Series A, ISBN 90-5170-418-6. 1997. 204 pp. Thesis Publishers: Amsterdam, Netherlands. In Eng. with sum. in Dut.
"At the local level, demographic development and housing market behaviour are interacting systems. Demographic development on the one hand generates housing demand, but is constrained by housing opportunities on the other. This book describes the development of the dynamic microsimulation model LOCSIM which captures the intricate web of interaction between the housing market and the occurrence of demographic events. Using the LOCSIM model, the development of the population and the housing market of the municipality of Lelystad, the Netherlands, is simulated. In a number of simulations, the effects of housing market policies are shown to be not always straightforward."
Correspondence: Thesis Publishers, Prinseneiland 305, 1013 LP Amsterdam, Netherlands. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

63:20462 Petrioli, Luciano. Relational methods in demography. Sezione di Popolazione, Ambiente e Metodi Matematico-Statistici, Quaderno, No. 1, Nov 1996. 24 pp. Università degli Studi di Siena, Dipartimento di Studi Aziendali e Sociali: Siena, Italy. In Eng.
This paper presents a brief review of relational methods utilized in demography in the study of life tables and distributions of age-specific fertility rates. Using these methods, a procedure is demonstrated that permits the completion of a truncated table of fertility and the estimation of the total fertility rate. These concepts are illustrated using Italian data.
Correspondence: Università degli Studi di Siena, Dipartimento di Studi Aziendali e Sociali, Piazza S. Francesco 17, 53100 Siena, Italy. E-mail: seg.az_soc@unisi.it. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

Copyright © 1997, Office of Population Research, Princeton University.