Volume 62 - Number 4 - Winter 1996

F. Fertility

Studies that treat quantitative fertility data analytically. References to crude data are coded under S. Official Statistical Publications . Methodological studies specifically concerned with fertility are cited in this division and cross-referenced to N. Methods of Research and Analysis Including Models , if necessary.

F.1. General Fertility

Analytical studies of quantitative birth data and reproduction rates and studies of fertility and its concomitants. Studies of age at marriage, divorce, and factors influencing family size are coded under G.1. Marriage and Divorce or G.2. Family and Household .

62:40211 Acs, Gregory. The impact of welfare on young mothers' subsequent childbearing decisions. Journal of Human Resources, Vol. 31, No. 4, Fall 1996. 898-915 pp. Madison, Wisconsin. In Eng.
The impact of welfare on fertility in the United States is explored, focusing on the theory that some women have many children to increase their incomes and to prolong their stay on welfare rolls. The author "examines the relationship between welfare and births to women who already have a child, using data on young mothers from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY). I find that variations in welfare benefit levels and the incremental benefit have no statistically significant impacts on the subsequent childbearing decisions of young mothers in general, nor on the subsequent childbearing decisions of women who received welfare in particular. Furthermore, mothers who received welfare to support their first children are no more likely to have additional children in any given year through the age of 23."
Correspondence: G. Acs, Urban Institute, 2100 M Street NW, Washington, D.C. 20037. Location: Princeton University Library (SPIA).

62:40212 Ainsworth, Martha. A symposium on fertility in Sub-Saharan Africa. World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 10, No. 1, Jan 1996. 79-222 pp. World Bank: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
This special section contains four papers on aspects of fertility in Sub-Saharan Africa. The papers attempt to provide some answers to two basic questions. The first concerns how Sub-Saharan Africa is different from other developing regions with regard to the factors influencing the demand for children, and, if it is different, the extent to which policies and programs associated with fertility decline in other regions will be effective in Africa. The second concerns whether high levels of fertility are the result of low levels of economic development that encourage large families, or a consequence of the insufficient provision of family planning information and methods.
Selected items will be cited in this or subsequent issues of Population Index.
Correspondence: M. Ainsworth, World Bank, Policy Research Department, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, D.C. 20433. Location: Princeton University Library (UN).

62:40213 Ainsworth, Martha; Beegle, Kathleen; Nyamete, Andrew. The impact of women's schooling on fertility and contraceptive use: a study of fourteen Sub-Saharan countries. World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 10, No. 1, Jan 1996. 85-122 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This article examines the relationship between female schooling and two behaviors--cumulative fertility and contraceptive use--in fourteen Sub-Saharan African countries where Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) have been conducted since the mid-1980s. Average levels of schooling among women of reproductive age are very low, from less than two years to six. Controlling for background variables, the last years of female primary schooling have a negative relation with fertility in about half of the countries, while secondary schooling is associated with substantially lower fertility in all countries. Female schooling has a positive relationship with contraceptive use at all levels. Among ever-married women, husband's schooling exerts a smaller effect than does female schooling on contraceptive use and, in almost all cases, on fertility."
Correspondence: M. Ainsworth, World Bank, Policy Research Department, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, D.C. 20433. Location: Princeton University Library (UN).

62:40214 Amin, Sajeda. Female education and fertility in Bangladesh: the influence of marriage and the family. In: Girls' schooling, women's autonomy and fertility change in South Asia, edited by Roger Jeffery and Alaka M. Basu. 1996. 184-204 pp. Sage Publications: New Delhi, India. In Eng.
"This paper explores the connections between women's status, education and fertility, drawing upon evidence from a long-term, intensive village study on family structure and change in two villages in north-west Bangladesh. While we utilise individual level data from the village study and from a large nationally representative fertility survey, the emphasis is on familial and contextual factors affecting women's lives."
Correspondence: S. Amin, Population Council, One Dag Hammarskjold Plaza, New York, NY 10017. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40215 Anderies, John M. An adaptive model for predicting !Kung reproductive performance: a stochastic dynamic programming approach. Ethology and Sociobiology, Vol. 17, No. 4, Jul 1996. 221-45 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"A stochastic dynamic programming model is presented that supports and extends work on the reproductive performance of the !Kung Bushmen [of Botswana]..., proposing that !Kung women and their reproductive systems may be maximizing reproductive success. The stochastic dynamic programming approach allows the construction of a whole-life model where the physical/environmental constraints along with the uncertainty about future events !Kung women face when making reproductive choices can be explicitly built in....By including the effect of the mother's mortality...the model allows for further exploration of the application of an adaptive approach to human reproductive performance. By adding some considerations about the risks of childbirth for the mother the model not only predicts optimal birth spacing...but also predicts the optimal time for a woman to begin and cease having children. These predictions coincide with menarche and menopause and shed light on their possible adaptive value."
Correspondence: J. M. Anderies, University of British Columbia, Institute of Applied Mathematics, Vancouver, British Columbia V6T 1Z2, Canada. Location: Princeton University Library (SZ).

62:40216 Basu, Alaka M. Girls' schooling, autonomy and fertility change: what do these words mean in South Asia? In: Girls' schooling, women's autonomy and fertility change in South Asia, edited by Roger Jeffery and Alaka M. Basu. 1996. 48-71 pp. Sage Publications: New Delhi, India. In Eng.
"In this paper I...try to understand, first...what words such as education, autonomy and fertility change mean in the South Asian cultural milieu. Then...I try to understand the ways in which female schooling may lead to increased female autonomy and...the ways in which increased female autonomy in turn may lead to lower fertility. In each case, I begin with the problems--in defining the terms of interest, in interpreting relationships, and in drawing any lessons for South Asia from the non-South Asian experience."
Correspondence: A. M. Basu, Cornell University, Division of Nutritional Sciences, 104 Savage Hall, Ithaca, NY 14853-6301. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40217 Benefo, Kofi; Schultz, T. Paul. Fertility and child mortality in Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana. World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 10, No. 1, Jan 1996. 123-58 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This article examines individual, household, and community characteristics that may affect fertility in contemporary Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana and the relationship between child mortality and fertility. It was not possible to reject the null hypothesis that child mortality is exogenous. Treating child mortality as exogenous, fertility responds directly to child mortality, but by a smaller proportion than estimated in studies of East Asia and Latin America. Increases in female education and urbanization are likely to contribute to declines in fertility in both countries, but economic growth without these structural changes is not yet strongly related to lower fertility."
Correspondence: K. Benefo, Brown University, Department of Sociology, Box 1916, Providence, RI 02912. Location: Princeton University Library (UN).

62:40218 Bosveld, Willemien. The ageing of fertility in Europe: a comparative demographic-analytic study. ISBN 90-5170-382-1. 1996. 285 pp. Thesis Publishers: Amsterdam, Netherlands. In Eng. with sum. in Dut.
"In the past, many women had their children when they were young, whereas nowadays the trend is to have children at an older age. This book provides insight into the changes in tempo and quantum of post-war fertility among birth cohorts in a number of European countries. Based on an advanced demographic-analytic approach, it demonstrates how age and parity distributions have changed between successive cohorts and the effects of these changes on period fertility. How cohort life course patterns have changed varies between countries because of country-specific characteristics, opportunities and constraints."
Correspondence: Thesis Publishers, P.O. Box 14791, 1001 LG Amsterdam, Netherlands. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40219 Caldwell, Bruce. Female education, autonomy and fertility in Sri Lanka. In: Girls' schooling, women's autonomy and fertility change in South Asia, edited by Roger Jeffery and Alaka M. Basu. 1996. 288-321 pp. Sage Publications: New Delhi, India. In Eng.
"In this chapter I explore the linkages between female schooling, autonomy and fertility in Sri Lanka. I do not seek to be predictive in the sense of saying that so many years of schooling will create so much autonomy and ultimately lead to a specific degree of reduction in fertility. Rather I seek to investigate a very complex and confusing interrelationship....Accepting that fertility control of some kind has been practised in Sri Lanka for much longer than elsewhere in South Asia, the issue for this paper is whether this was related to female schooling and autonomy."
Correspondence: B. Caldwell, Australian International Development Assistance Bureau, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40220 Cleland, John; Jejeebhoy, Shireen. Maternal schooling and fertility: evidence from censuses and surveys. In: Girls' schooling, women's autonomy and fertility change in South Asia, edited by Roger Jeffery and Alaka M. Basu. 1996. 72-106 pp. Sage Publications: New Delhi, India. In Eng.
"The purpose of this chapter is to review the evidence concerning the relationship between schooling and fertility and its proximate determinants, with special reference to South Asia. The main focus is on the findings of censuses and large demographic surveys. An implicit assumption of our approach is that interpretation of findings from large-scale surveys can go beyond mere numerical description and yield valuable insights about the possible pathways of influence."
Correspondence: J. Cleland, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Centre for Population Studies, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, England. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40221 Fattah, Mohamed N. A. The relational Gompertz model in detecting the recent changes of fertility in Egypt. Egyptian Population and Family Planning Review, Vol. 27, No. 2, Dec 1993. 82-101 pp. Giza, Egypt. In Eng.
"The main objective of this research is to detect the recent changes in fertility in Egypt using Gompertz's relational model....The analysis [in] this chapter is based on the data collected in the maternity history section of the PAP/child (1991) and DHS 1992 individual questionnaire for ever married women aged 15-49 years....It turns out that fertility is still high in Egypt although there is an indication that it has declined from the level prevailing in the recent past."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40222 Ferroukhi, D.; Zemamouche, S. An econometric analysis of data on duration in demography. [Analyse économétrique des données de durée en démographie.] Collections Statistiques, No. 51, [1993?]. 161 pp. Office National des Statistiques: Algiers, Algeria. In Fre.
This work concerns the application of the econometric concept of duration data in demography. It includes three separate studies that attempt to use this concept for the study of fertility in Algeria. The first part examines birth intervals as duration data using data from the 1986 National Algerian Fertility Survey. The second part looks at intergenerational changes in fertility, and the third part examines birth spacing.
Correspondence: Office National des Statistiques, 8-10 Rue des Moussebiline, Algiers, Algeria. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40223 Gallagher, Sally K.; Stokes, Randall G.; Anderson, Andy B. Economic disarticulation and fertility in less developed nations. Sociological Quarterly, Vol. 37, No. 2, Spring 1996. 227-44 pp. Berkeley, California. In Eng.
"A large body of research and theory seeking to explain fertility levels in less developed nations has stressed the effects of economic development on family-level decision making. While clearly a major factor, economic development levels fail to explain much of the variation in fertility rates. Some researchers have attempted to remedy this shortcoming by taking into account cross-national variation in income distributions, on the grounds that this approach provides a more refined indication of the real social consequences of economic development. The present analysis extends this tradition of research by arguing that the degree of disarticulation [a distorted mode of economic growth] provides a theoretically more powerful and empirically more accurate way to operationalize these hypothesized distributional effects on fertility levels."
Correspondence: S. K. Gallagher, Oregon State University, Department of Sociology, Fairbanks 307, Corvallis, OR 97331. Location: Princeton University Library (PR).

62:40224 Goodkind, Daniel. Chinese lunar birth timing in Singapore: new concerns for child quality amidst multicultural modernity. Journal of Marriage and the Family, Vol. 58, No. 3, Aug 1996. 784-95 pp. Minneapolis, Minnesota. In Eng.
"In line with traditional folk beliefs, many Chinese societies throughout the world (with the exception of China itself) began in the 1970s and 1980s to exhibit birth fluctuations during significant lunar zodiac years--baby booms during the auspicious Year of the Dragon and baby busts during the inauspicious (for daughters) Year of the Tiger....The article details how lunar birth fluctuations have been influenced by and have influenced official policies instituted by Singapore's shrinking Chinese majority. None of the assimilative social forces discussed here can be expected to weaken lunar birth timing in the future, although government intervention may inhibit its reoccurrence."
Correspondence: D. Goodkind, University of Michigan, Department of Sociology, Population Studies Center, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1070. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40225 Gould, W. T. S.; Brown, M. S. A fertility transition in Sub-Saharan Africa? International Journal of Population Geography, Vol. 2, No. 1, Mar 1996. 1-22 pp. Chichester, England. In Eng.
"There is now substantial evidence for fertility decline in the majority of countries of sub-Saharan Africa. This paper reviews that evidence, identifying the large variation in the extent of change, particularly between Southern Africa and West Africa, and sets it in the context of the demographic transition model, concluding that it is not yet clear whether or to what extent the recent African experience and likely future trends are consistent with the experience of demographic change in other continental areas. The discussion examines issues for theory (how unique is Africa?), for method (what are the limitations of dependence on large-scale, standardised demographic surveys for fertility data?) and for policy (how have the survey data been used and interpreted to formulate population policy?) raised by the recent African experience."
Correspondence: W. T. S. Gould, University of Liverpool, Department of Geography, Liverpool L69 3BX, England. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40226 Jeffery, Roger; Basu, Alaka M. Girls' schooling, women's autonomy and fertility change in South Asia. ISBN 0-8039-9276-9. LC 95-35991. 1996. 339 pp. Sage Publications: New Delhi, India. In Eng.
"This...volume challenges the popular notions that there is a universal and causal relationship between rising levels of schooling and declining levels of fertility, and that schooling enhances female autonomy. Presenting primary evidence from India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh and utilising existing census and survey data, the eleven original papers in this book explore the interrelated issues of women's autonomy, girl's schooling, and fertility reduction in South Asia. The volume concludes that schooling is indeed important for women and should definitely be supported and encouraged, but not because of the possible impact it may have on fertility decline. Further, that while resources should continue to be devoted to the spread of education, this should not be at the expense of providing women-friendly contraceptive and maternal/child health services, which give couples the ability to successfully plan the size of the family they want."
Selected items will be cited in this or subsequent issues of Population Index.
Correspondence: Sage Publications, M-32 Greater Kailash Market I, New Delhi 110 048, India. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40227 Jeffery, Roger; Basu, Alaka M. Schooling as contraception? In: Girls' schooling, women's autonomy and fertility change in South Asia, edited by Roger Jeffery and Alaka M. Basu. 1996. 15-47 pp. Sage Publications: New Delhi, India. In Eng.
"In this introduction our main task is as follows. To begin with, we need to unpack some of the terms which enter into the title of this book. What has been meant by female education, by women's autonomy, and by fertility in the demographic literature? How do these discussions relate to those in neighbouring disciplines? What are the implications of these discussions for the indicators to be used in empirical research? Because education and female autonomy are thought to have combined and separate effects on fertility, we will then set out the key elements in how they are thought to affect the proximate determinants of fertility: in particular, natural fertility, demand for children, and access to contraception. In this context we will consider in more detail the related issue of the extent to which female schooling reduces fertility via the impact it has on child mortality." The geographical focus is on South Asia.
Correspondence: R. Jeffery, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 9YL, Scotland. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40228 Kalipeni, Ezekiel. The fertility transition in Africa. Geographical Review, Vol. 85, No. 3, Jul 1995. 286-300 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"Some African countries may be going through the initial stages of the fertility transition. In this article multivariate analysis based on country-level data from 1980 and 1993 assesses spatial variations and changes in fertility rates. Demographic and socioeconomic factors such as education, rural or urban residence, status of women, and use of contraceptives are important factors in determining the onset of the fertility transition. Over the long term, fertility will decline to acceptable levels as Africa continues to experience socioeconomic and cultural changes. Of special importance in the transition is the status of women in society."
Correspondence: E. Kalipeni, University of Illinois, Department of Geography, Urbana, IL 61801. Location: Princeton University Library (PR).

62:40229 Kraus, Jaroslav; Tomek, Ivan; Velebil, Petr. Results of reproduction and health research, the Czech Republic 1993: Part 1. [Výsledky pruzkumu reprodukce a zdraví, CR 1993: 1. cást.] Demografie, Vol. 38, No. 2, 1996. 105-20 pp. Prague, Czech Republic. In Cze. with sum. in Eng.
This article "deals with two basic spheres: natality (abortion rate) and family planning. Natality was evaluated by current indicators such as specific female birth rate, by age, aggregate fertility, and/or median age at birth of the first child." Women were also asked about contraceptive use, knowledge of contraceptive methods, and reasons for use or nonuse.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40230 Kravdal, Øystein. How the local supply of day-care centers influences fertility in Norway: a parity-specific approach. Population Research and Policy Review, Vol. 15, No. 3, Jun 1996. 201-18 pp. Dordrecht, Netherlands. In Eng.
"In order to assess how expansion of day care facilities affects fertility, the Norwegian Family and Occupation Survey of 1988 was linked with individual register-based migration histories and time-series data on day-care coverage rates in all Norwegian municipalities. Many factors affect both the allocation of resources to day-care centers and a woman's probability of giving birth. The local coverage rate is positively associated with the probability of advancing from parity two...[and] contributed to a moderate rise in third-birth rates after the mid 1970s. However, if the aggregate employment rate for women is also regarded as a confounder, the effect of day care may actually be insignificant. Moreover, the effect fades at higher coverage levels. Finally, there are indications that second- and first-birth probabilities decline with increasing provision of day care. These results suggest that further efforts to improve the supply of private and public day care...will have little stimulating effect on fertility."
Correspondence: Ø. Kravdal, University of Oslo, Department of Economics, P.O. Box 1095, Blindern, 0317 Oslo, Norway. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40231 Lam, David A.; Miron, Jeffrey A. The effects of temperature on human fertility. Demography, Vol. 33, No. 3, Aug 1996. 291-305 pp. Silver Spring, Maryland. In Eng.
"Monthly birth and temperature data for a variety of states and countries are used to estimate the effect of short-run temperature fluctuations on fertility. Regressions of monthly births on a flexible specification of lagged monthly temperature show that temperature has quantitatively important effects on both seasonal and nonseasonal variation in births. Summer temperature extremes reduce conceptions in the southern United States, explaining a substantial part of the observed seasonal birth pattern. Extreme cold shows no evidence of affecting conceptions. The results also show significant seasonality in births even after accounting for temperature. Controls for monthly temperature do not explain the persistent spring peak in births in northern Europe. This finding suggests that other factors play an important role."
This is a revised version of a paper originally presented at the 1993 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America.
Correspondence: D. A. Lam, University of Michigan, Department of Economics, Ann Arbor, MI 48109. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40232 Letamo, Gobopamang. Contributions of the proximate determinants to fertility change in Botswana. Journal of Biosocial Science, Vol. 28, No. 3, Jul 1996. 325-38 pp. Cambridge, England. In Eng.
"This study uses Bongaarts's model to examine the relative contributions of three proximate determinants (non-marriage, contraceptive use and postpartum infecundability) to fertility change using data from the 1984 and 1988 Botswana Family and Health Surveys. Breast-feeding is shown to be the most important proximate determinant of fertility, followed by contraceptive use, and finally non-marriage, both in 1984 and 1988. However, contraceptive use increased between 1984 and 1988 leading to fertility decline over this period. Marriage is the least important proximate determinant of fertility, probably due to the high prevalence of premarital childbearing. Other factors such as induced abortion could have played a major role in the fertility decline but their effect could not be estimated due to lack of accurate data."
Correspondence: G. Letamo, University of Botswana, Department of Demography, Private Bag 0022, Gaborone, Botswana. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40233 Mahadevan, Kuttan. Demographic transition and development strategies in India. ISBN 81-7018-855-5. 1996. viii, 143 pp. B. R. Publishing: Delhi, India. Distributed by D. K. Publishers Distributors, 1 Ansari Road, Darya Ganj, New Delhi 110 002, India. In Eng.
This study of the demographic transition in India is based on a review of the literature published from 1974 to 1992. "The first part of the report focuses on historical changes and regional variations [in] fertility, general mortality and infant mortality rate (IMR). Following these vital events, subsequent discussion focuses on demographic transition at the all India level and also briefly highlights...the fascinating Demographic Transition completed in Kerala state. The second part of the report covers major studies on determinants of fertility behavior. The third part highlights...[the] family planning programme and research. The fourth part relates to studies on determinants of mortality and at the end, a comprehensive list of references [to] studies, published in the form of papers, reports, books, theses and the like [has] been presented."
Correspondence: B. R. Publishing Corporation, A-6 Nimri Commercial Centre, Near Bharat Nagar, Ashok Vihar, Delhi 110 052, India. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40234 Matthiessen, Poul C. Regional aspects of reproduction and family formation in Denmark. [Regionale aspekter af reproduktion og familiedannelse i Danmark.] Nationaløkonomisk Tidsskrift, No. 1996/Suppl., 1996. 115-20 pp. Copenhagen, Denmark. In Dan. with sum. in Eng.
"Similar to the trends in other industrialized countries, Denmark has since the mid-1960s experienced substantial changes in the demographic components which are determining the reproduction rate and formation of families. At present the development is characterized by a widespread formation of couples at an early age, which in most cases is commenced without a marriage certificate. Further the fertility level has decreased and there has been an increase in the average age of females at first child birth. These changes have also taken place in the three selected geographic areas; however, most of the deviations from the national average that were prevailing before the changes are still present."
Correspondence: P. C. Matthiessen, Carlsbergfondet, H. C. Andersens Boulevard 35, 1553 Copenhagen, Denmark. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40235 Montgomery, Mark R.; Lloyd, Cynthia B. Fertility and maternal and child health. In: The impact of population growth on well-being in developing countries, edited by Dennis A. Ahlburg, Allen C. Kelley, and Karen O. Mason. 1996. 37-65 pp. Springer-Verlag: New York, New York/Berlin, Germany. In Eng.
"This chapter explores the relationship between levels of fertility, on the one hand, and levels of mortality and morbidity among women and children, on the other....Our task in this chapter is first to weigh the evidence that has been accumulated, and then to consider its implications for government investments in family planning programs. That is, we shall ask whether family planning programs can be justified in terms of their health benefits for women and children, these benefits being derived from changes in the level, timing and spacing of fertility." The geographical focus is on developing countries.
Correspondence: M. R. Montgomery, Population Council, Research Division, One Dag Hammarskjold Plaza, New York, NY 10017. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40236 Norden, R. H. On the distribution of completed parities when fertility is heritable. Mathematical Population Studies, Vol. 6, No. 2, 1996. 95-128, 171 pp. Amsterdam, Netherlands. In Eng. with sum. in Fre.
"Over the last one hundred years, there has been, in many developed countries, a demographic convergence towards the two child family. The possible implications for population growth of such a tendency are considered in this paper in terms of both family limitation and also the intergenerational transmission of fertility. These two effects interact so that as the proportion of two-child families increases, the possible influence of mother-daughter fertility associations on population growth decreases, though even now it could override otherwise significant changes in either or both of the birth and death intensities. In particular, it is shown that according...to how fertility is transmitted through generations, it is still possible to have zero growth rates consistently with a widely dispersed stable distribution of family size as well as a typical mortality regime."
Correspondence: R. H. Norden, St. Wulstans, Abbey Road, Chilcompton, Bath BA3 4HY, England. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40237 Otani, Kenji. The Cigno model and cumulative fertility in Canada and Japan: the effects of wife's education and work experience. Review of Economics and Business, Vol. 24, No. 1-2, Mar 1996. 1-26 pp. Osaka, Japan. In Eng.
"This paper examined the effects of wife's education and work experience on fertility comparing Canada and Japan on the basis of the modified Cigno model....We used the micro data of the [1984] Canadian Fertility Survey and the Ninth Japanese National Fertility Survey [undertaken in 1987]....Finally we discussed the implication of these findings [for] future fertility trends with a reference to the result of decomposing recent changes in total fertility rate in Canada and Japan."
Correspondence: K. Otani, Kansai University, Faculty of Economics, 3-3-35 Yamate-cho, Suita-shi, Osaka 564, Japan. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40238 Patel, Tulsi. Fertility behaviour: population and society in a Rajasthan village. ISBN 0-19-563539-6. 1994. xvi, 287 pp. Oxford University Press: Delhi, India. In Eng.
"The present research attempts a holistic perspective on fertility behaviour through a monographic study of a village community. A holistic perspective here means an integrated view of the village community and its functioning, especially in relation to people's fertility. The aim is to understand fertility behaviour as an integral part of village society." The village concerned is Mogra, located in the Jodhpur district of Rajasthan, and the data were collected during the course of in-depth interviews of 713 women and their husbands conducted in 1984-1985. In addition to examining the cultural and social factors affecting fertility, the author considers the effects of child mortality on fertility, and the impact of both indigenous and modern methods of fertility control.
Correspondence: Oxford University Press, YMCA Library Building, Jai Singh Road, Delhi 110 001, India. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40239 Pennec, Sophie; Blanchet, Didier; Kojima, Hiroshi. Women's labour force participation and family size: the case of France and Japan. Institute of Population Problems Reprint Series, No. 26, May 1996. 76-106 pp. Institute of Population Problems: Tokyo, Japan. In Eng. with sum. in Jpn.
The authors investigate the impact of women's labor force participation on fertility, with a focus on the examples of France and Japan. A model is developed that postulates "that both activity and fertility behaviours change in response to changes in a set of three latent explanatory variables: the value attributed to work, the value attributed to raising a large family, and the degree of incompatibility between work and family care. Identification of the changes in these three explanatory factors allows [discrimination] between the two different potential scenarios for the explanation of the joint increase in labour force participation rates and decrease in fertility: the scenario where both variables would change in reaction to an increasing inclination to work, and the scenario where the same change would result from a change in attitudes toward large families."
Correspondence: Institute of Population Problems, Ministry of Health and Welfare, 1-2-2 Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-45, Japan. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40240 Pick, William M.; Obermeyer, Carla M. Urbanisation, household composition and the reproductive health of women in a South African city. Social Science and Medicine, Vol. 43, No. 10, Nov 1996. 1,431-41 pp. Tarrytown, New York/Oxford, England. In Eng.
"This paper focuses on urbanisation, household structures and women's reproductive histories. It examines the relationships between household composition, migration, other socio-demographic variables, and fertility and infertility in a group of women in a rapidly growing South African city." The data are from a survey, carried out in 1989-1990, of 659 households in a suburb of Capetown.
Correspondence: W. M. Pick, University of the Witwatersrand, Medical School, Department of Community Health, 7 York Road, Parktown, Johannesburg, South Africa. Location: Princeton University Library (PR).

62:40241 Raftery, Adrian E.; Lewis, Steven M.; Aghajanian, Akbar; Kahn, Michael J. Event history modeling of World Fertility Survey data. Mathematical Population Studies, Vol. 6, No. 2, 1996. 129-53, 171 pp. Amsterdam, Netherlands. In Eng. with sum. in Fre.
"Event history analysis seems ideally suited for the analysis of World Fertility Survey [WFS] data, which consists of full birth histories and related information, but it has not been much used for this purpose. This may be because event history analysis has practical drawbacks for WFS data, namely partial dates, computational burden, the need to take account of five clocks at once and the difficulty of interpreting coefficients. We propose a modeling strategy for the event history analysis of WFS data which overcomes these problems, and we apply it to the previously unanalyzed WFS data from Iran. This yields estimates of the time of onset of fertility decline and the extent to which it was due to compositional changes in the population. It also enables us to determine whether it was a period effect, a cohort effect, or both....In addition, the usefulness of ACE [an Alternating Conditional Expectation algorithm] as an exploratory tool for determining the best coding of independent variables is illustrated."
Correspondence: A. E. Raftery, University of Washington, Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology, Box 353340, Seattle, WA 98195-3340. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40242 Rindfuss, Ronald R.; Morgan, S. Philip; Offutt, Kate. Education and the changing age pattern of American fertility: 1963-1989. Demography, Vol. 33, No. 3, Aug 1996. 277-90 pp. Silver Spring, Maryland. In Eng.
"Using pooled data from the 1980, 1985, and 1990 [U.S.] Current Population Surveys, we describe fertility trends by age and education for the period 1963-1989. Interest focuses on whether the effects of education have changed across this period. We show that women with college degrees experienced dramatic shifts toward later ages of childbearing. This shift is consistent with arguments we develop about the increased opportunity for women to pursue careers and about changes in the availability of child care."
Correspondence: R. R. Rindfuss, University of North Carolina, Carolina Population Center, University Square, CB# 8120, 124 West Franklin Street, Chapel Hill, NC 27516-3997. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40243 Rychtaríková, Jitka. Current changes in the characteristics of reproduction in the Czech Republic and the international situation. [Soucasné zmeny charakteru reprodukce v Ceské republice a mezinárodní situace.] Demografie, Vol. 38, No. 2, 1996. 77-89 pp. Prague, Czech Republic. In Cze. with sum. in Eng.
The author analyzes reproduction trends in the Czech Republic and compares them with patterns in some other European countries since World War II. "Population in the East has a stronger feeling of insecurity and of a certain personal distress and this fact contributes apparently towards creating...different family strategies compared to the past."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40244 Sathar, Zeba A. Women's schooling and autonomy as factors in fertility change in Pakistan: some empirical evidence. In: Girls' schooling, women's autonomy and fertility change in South Asia, edited by Roger Jeffery and Alaka M. Basu. 1996. 133-49 pp. Sage Publications: New Delhi, India. In Eng.
"Since schooling, despite its low level of pervasiveness, [has] an impact on fertility in Pakistan, it remains worthwhile to investigate why this is so. To what extent is female schooling a measure of the relative status of women? How important is the position of women in influencing fertility? These are the questions which are explored in this paper."
Correspondence: Z. A. Sathar, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, P.O. Box 1091, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40245 Scotese, Carol A.; Wang, Ping. Can government enforcement permanently alter fertility? The case of China. Economic Inquiry, Vol. 33, No. 4, Oct 1995. 552-70 pp. Huntington Beach, California. In Eng.
The authors "quantitatively assess the main sources of fertility fluctuations in China and find that only preference shifts, involving education, health care and the employment and social status of women, can generate a statistically significant long-run decline in fertility growth. However, the government's enforcement power can explain some short-run movements in fertility. To examine the effect of key variables, we modify a growth model with endogenous fertility to represent the average rural household's fertility decisions under government imposed constraints. The model provides the structure necessary to econometrically identify shocks to government enforcement ability, agricultural output and preferences toward fertility."
Correspondence: C. A. Scotese, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405. Location: Princeton University Library (FST).

62:40246 Srinivasan, K. Recent fertility trends and prospects in India. Current Science, Vol. 69, No. 7, Oct 10, 1995. 577-86 pp. Bangalore, India. In Eng.
"There is an increasing pace of fertility decline in large parts of...[India] in...recent years. Among the proximate determinants, the variables that have played a dominant role in fertility changes directly...are natural fertility and contraceptive use and indirectly, female literacy and infant mortality. For [the] future, we can expect the TFR to be in the range of 2.9 to 3.0 by the year 2001 and 2.00 to 2.13 by the year 2011. The spurt in the female literacy rate will have a major impact on...future fertility levels."
Correspondence: K. Srinivasan, Population Foundation of India, B-28 Qutab Institutional Area, Tara Crescent, New Delhi 110 016, India. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40247 Street, Alan. Projecting complete cohort fertility in Singapore. Asia-Pacific Population Journal, Vol. 11, No. 1, Mar 1996. 59-86 pp. Bangkok, Thailand. In Eng.
"The aim of this paper has been to describe one way in which complete cohort fertility rates [for Singapore] may be projected into the future, with the underlying purpose, essentially, of addressing the issue of population replacement. It is certainly not claimed that this is the only way or indeed necessarily the best way to make such projections but, based as it is on the secure foundation of partial cohort fertility, it possesses the advantage of being grounded in objectively determined past fertility performance....The paper seeks to justify the use of cohort fertility measures in the approach to answering questions concerning population replacement and ends with a very brief review...of some practical issues and of a method that could be used where the available data are not as comprehensive as they are in Singapore."
Correspondence: A. Street, Skandia International Insurance Corporation, 13-10 Ocean Building, 10 Collyer Quay, Singapore 049315. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40248 Thang, Nguyen Minh; Swenson, Ingrid. Variations in Vietnamese marriages, births and infant deaths by months of the Julian calendar and years of the Vietnamese and Chinese astrological calendars. Journal of Biosocial Science, Vol. 28, No. 3, Jul 1996. 367-77 pp. Cambridge, England. In Eng.
"The timing of births and marriages in Vietnam appears to have some statistically significant relationships with the signs of the Chinese and Vietnamese astrological calendars. Years considered to be good years have significantly more births and marriages than years that are not considered as desirable. Births and marriages also have some significant variations with seasons of the year. Infant deaths do not appear to have any significant relationships with the astrological signs although infant mortality has some significant relationships with seasons of the year. The findings indicate that there is some purposeful planning for marriages and births to coincide with optimal times defined in the astrological calendars."
Correspondence: I. Swenson, University of North Carolina, Carolina Population Center, University Square, CB8120, 143 West Franklin Street, Chapel Hill, NC 27516-3997. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40249 Tolnay, Stewart E. Structural change and fertility change in the South, 1910 to 1940. Social Science Quarterly, Vol. 77, No. 3, Sep 1996. 559-76 pp. Austin, Texas. In Eng.
"This paper provides new information about the decline in [U.S.] southern fertility that occurred between 1910 and 1940....This analysis focuses specifically on fertility change, rather than static cross-sectional differences across geographic areas. Fertility change and structural change are measured for state economic areas (SEAs) within the South....The findings show that southern fertility fell mainly because of a reduced pace of childbearing by married couples, rather than less exposure to marital fertility. Further, marital fertility decline was sharper in areas that experienced larger reductions in the number of farms per capita, and greater increases in education and manufacturing activity. Marriage became less common in SEAs that saw growth in manufacturing opportunities."
This paper was originally presented at the 1995 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America.
Correspondence: S. E. Tolnay, State University of New York, Department of Sociology, 1400 Washington Avenue, Albany, NY 12222. Location: Princeton University Library (PR).

62:40250 Torrado, Susana. Reproduction in Argentina: facts and ideas. [Procreación en la Argentina: hechos e ideas.] ISBN 950-515-372-4. 1993. 397 pp. Ediciones de la Flor: Buenos Aires, Argentina; Centro de Estudios de la Mujer: Buenos Aires, Argentina. In Spa.
Changes in fertility in Argentina are analyzed over time. The study begins with a chapter on methods of fertility analysis. The author then analyzes fertility trends from 1870 to 1980 in the context of the country's socioeconomic progress. Focusing on fertility differentials by social class and geographic region, she presents a more detailed analysis of fertility in 1980. Finally, attempts to influence fertility through policy measures are described. The author notes that the process of change from high to low fertility took place prior to the general availability of modern contraceptive methods. It also occurred despite opposition from political, religious, and military authorities to lowering fertility through family planning. She notes that the poorer members of society, who now want to achieve a low level of fertility, still have difficulty in obtaining access to modern contraception.
Correspondence: Ediciones de la Flor, Anchoris 27, 1280 Buenos Aires, Argentina. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40251 Udjo, Eric O. Is fertility falling in Zimbabwe? Journal of Biosocial Science, Vol. 28, No. 1, Jan 1996. 25-35 pp. Cambridge, England. In Eng.
"With an unequalled contraceptive prevalence rate in sub-Saharan Africa, of 43% among currently married women in Zimbabwe, the Central Statistical Office (1989) observed that fertility has declined sharply in recent years. Using data from several surveys on Zimbabwe, especially the birth histories of the Zimbabwe Demographic and Health Survey, this study examines fertility trends in Zimbabwe. The results show that the fertility decline in Zimbabwe is modest and that the decline is concentrated among high order births. Multivariate analysis did not show a statistically significant effect of contraception on fertility, partly because a high proportion of Zimbabwean women in the reproductive age group never use contraception due to prevailing pronatalist attitudes in the country."
Correspondence: E. O. Udjo, University of Botswana, Department of Demography, Private Bag 0022, Gaborone, Botswana. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40252 Vlassoff, Carol. Against the odds: the changing impact of schooling on female autonomy and fertility in an Indian village. In: Girls' schooling, women's autonomy and fertility change in South Asia, edited by Roger Jeffery and Alaka M. Basu. 1996. 218-34 pp. Sage Publications: New Delhi, India. In Eng.
"This paper investigates the relationships between female schooling, autonomy and fertility in a village in Maharashtra [India] from the perspectives of unmarried adolescent girls and young married women, and the changes in these relationships over a 12-year period. It argues that the above associations are not as straightforward as is often suggested, and that educational advancement and fertility decline may be simultaneous, but relatively independent, processes, while female autonomy plays a marginal, and somewhat equivocal, role."
Correspondence: C. Vlassoff, World Health Organization, Avenue Appia, 1211 Geneva 27, Switzerland. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40253 Wadhera, Surinder; Millar, Wayne J. Pregnancy outcomes. [Issue des grossesses.] Health Reports/Rapports sur la Santé, Vol. 8, No. 1, Summer 1996. 7-15 pp. Ottawa, Canada. In Eng; Fre.
This article examines trends in the outcomes of pregnancies in Canada over the period 1974-1992, including live births, abortions, and miscarriages or stillbirths. "An estimated 525,100 pregnancies ended in Canada during 1992. While this was a substantial increase from 438,300 in 1974, the pregnancy rate in 1992--77 pregnancies per 1,000 women aged 15-44--was actually lower than in 1974, when it had been 85 per 1,000. As the pregnancy rate declined, there was a shift in outcomes. The share of pregnancies that ended in live births fell from 79% to 76%, and the proportion ending in miscarriages/stillbirths went from 9% to 5%. A growing proportion of pregnancies ended in abortions: 19% in 1992, compared with 12% in 1974."
Correspondence: S. Wadhera, Statistics Canada, Health Statistics Division, Ottawa, Ontario K1A 0T6, Canada. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40254 Wang, Yan. The impact of boy preference on fertility in China. Chinese Journal of Population Science, Vol. 8, No. 1, 1996. 69-75 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"[Son] preference is prevalent in China and has long become a focus of concern by both the academic circles and the government. However, the question about the extent of the impact of the sex of existing children on fertility has never received a direct and quantitative answer. Using data from a sample survey and analysis techniques from a life table and the Arnold-Index method, this article quantitatively calculates the specific amount of influence the sex of children already born to women may have on the women's later fertility behavior."
Correspondence: Y. Wang, Beijing Medical University, Research Office of the Public Health College, Xue Yuan Lu, Northern Suburb, Beijing 100083, China. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40255 Welti Chanes, Carlos. Fertility in Mexico. [La fecundidad en México.] ISBN 970-13-0176-5. 1994. [viii], 251, [14] pp. Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Geografía e Informática [INEGI]: Aguascalientes, Mexico. In Spa.
This is one in a series of monographs presenting analyses of data from the 1990 census of Mexico. This study concerns fertility and contains chapters on the marital status of the female population, fertility levels and trends, and fertility rates. The focus is on changes in period fertility from 1980 to 1990 rather than on changes in cohort fertility. This is examined at both the state and national levels. Some attention is also given to fertility differentials by socioeconomic status.
Correspondence: Instituto Nacional de Estadística, Geografía e Informática, Edificio Sede, Avenida Héroe de Nacozari Número 2301 Sur, Fracc. Jardines del Parque, C.P. 20270, Aguascalientes, AG, Mexico. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40256 Yadava, K. N. S. Status and fertility of women in rural India. ISBN 81-85445-83-4. 1995. x, 142 pp. Manak Publications: Delhi, India. In Eng.
"The main objective of this book is to define women's status in rural eastern Uttar Pradesh [India] and to examine its impact on fertility." The data concern 864 women from 590 households living in rural areas. Following chapters on survey methodology, there are chapters on women's status in the region; the relationship between women's status and fertility, fecundability, and knowledge, attitude, and practice of family planning; and women's status and fertility.
Correspondence: Manak Publications, G-19, Vijaya Chowk, Laxmi Nagar, Delhi 110 092, India. Location: Columbia University Library, New York, NY.

62:40257 Yusuf, Farhat; Siedlecky, Stefania. Family formation patterns among migrant women in Sydney. Journal of Biosocial Science, Vol. 28, No. 1, Jan 1996. 89-99 pp. Cambridge, England. In Eng.
"A demographic survey among a probability sample of 980 married migrant women was carried out in Sydney in 1988. The sample included 507 Lebanese, 250 Turkish and 223 Vietnamese women. The study revealed differences in family formation patterns within and between the three groups and between them and the general population. Family size had declined among all three groups compared with their family of origin, and it was clear that the younger women would not achieve the same family size as the older women. Migrant women tended to marry earlier than the general population and to start their families earlier. While they showed a strong preference for their children to marry within their own ethnic and religious group, nearly one-third said it was up to the choice of the individual. Overall, the future family size of younger migrant women is expected to converge towards the Australian norm."
Correspondence: F. Yusuf, Macquarie University, School of Economic and Financial Studies, Demographic Research Group, Sydney, NSW 2109, Australia. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40258 Zakharov, Sergei V.; Ivanova, Elena I. Fertility decline and recent changes in Russia: on the threshold of the second demographic transition. In: Russia's demographic "crisis", edited by Julie DaVanzo and Gwendolyn Farnsworth. 1996. 36-83 pp. RAND: Santa Monica, California. In Eng.
"This paper surveys fertility trends in Russia since the beginning of the 1900s, focusing on the 1980s and 1990s, with comparisons to selected countries....[It] examines fluctuations in post-war fertility, completed fertility of post-war generations, and the timing of fertility. Distinguishing features of the fertility decline in Russia appeared over the recent transitional period and in the post-war trends, as well. An extremely large contribution by younger mothers to the total number of births and short intervals between successive births have been characteristic of Russian fertility patterns in the last two decades. The paper introduces period and cohort analyses of Russian fertility trends in 1979-1993. Though the tempo of cohort fertility reflects shifts in the timing of births, the results of cohort analysis show that the female post-war cohorts have stabilized towards the two-child family. The findings of the present research help to identify the historical point that Russia's fertility transition has reached." Some comments by discussants are included (p. 83).
Correspondence: S. V. Zakharov, Russian Academy of Sciences, Institute for Economic Forecasting, Center for Demography and Human Ecology, Leninsky Pr. 14, 117901 Moscow, Russia. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40259 Zhang, Erli; Su, Ronggui. Trend analysis of fertility in China in the 1990s. Chinese Journal of Population Science, Vol. 8, No. 1, 1996. 51-8 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"Fertility...in China in the early 1990s...dropped below replacement level, due to 20 years of continued socioeconomic development since the adoption of the reform policies and the persistent enforcement of birth control practices. Because many women postponed marriage and childbearing in the early 1990s, fertility is expected to surge in the mid and late 1990s. However, as long as efforts are made to carry on family planning and improve services, fertility will remain below the replacement level. At present, the basis for the low-fertility rate is still precarious. In addition, there is always the danger of `heaping' after a period of `dormancy' in marriage and fertility."
Correspondence: E. Zhang, State Family Planning Committee, Planning and Statistics Bureau, Beijing, China. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

F.2. Differential Fertility

Studies on differences in fertility patterns and levels in subgroups of a population. Also included are studies on age-specific fertility, such as teenage pregnancy.

62:40260 Chaudhury, Rafiqul H. Factors affecting variations in fertility by states of India: a preliminary investigation. Asia-Pacific Population Journal, Vol. 11, No. 2, Jun 1996. 59-68 pp. Bangkok, Thailand. In Eng.
"The purpose of this paper has been to study the inter-state variation in fertility [in India] in relation to certain aspects of female status (education and employment) and the survival status of children (infant/child mortality). Of these three status variables, survival status of children, particularly the child mortality rate, emerges as the single most important factor explaining inter-state variations in fertility. The chances of survival of a child are strongly related to fertility: the lower the chances of survival of a child (in other words, the higher the child mortality rate), the higher is the fertility rate....Female labour force participation, particularly a woman's participation in activities outside the home for someone else, turns out to be the second most important variable affecting fertility....Female education, at less than the primary level, is the third most important variable explaining inter-state variations in fertility."
Correspondence: R. H. Chaudhury, UNDP, P.O. Box 107, Kathmandu, Nepal. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40261 East, Patricia L. Do adolescent pregnancy and childbearing affect younger siblings? Family Planning Perspectives, Vol. 28, No. 4, Jul-Aug 1996. 148-53 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"To understand the consequences of adolescent pregnancy and childbearing on siblings, a [U.S.] study compares 309 younger brothers and sisters of pregnant, parenting and never-pregnant teenagers. Compared with the younger siblings of never-pregnant teenagers, the younger sisters of pregnant teenagers see school and career as less important, are more accepting of adolescent childbearing, perceive younger ages as appropriate for first intercourse, marriage and childbearing and engage in more problem behavior. The younger sisters of parenting teenagers are more accepting of teenage childbearing than are younger sisters of never-pregnant teenagers and have more definite intentions of having a child at a young age. Compared with boys who have a never-pregnant older sister, younger brothers of pregnant and parenting teenagers are more accepting of nonmarital childbearing, ascribe more importance to childbearing, perceive fewer problems related to early childbearing, have lower self-esteem and report engaging in more drug use and partying behavior."
Correspondence: P. L. East, University of California, School of Medicine, La Jolla, CA 92093. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40262 Luker, Kristin. Dubious conceptions: the politics of teenage pregnancy. ISBN 0-674-21702-0. LC 95-52833. 1996. 283 pp. Harvard University Press: Cambridge, Massachusetts/London, England. In Eng.
"In this book we will look at what American society can and should be doing for teenage parents and their children, as well as ways in which teenagers might be persuaded to postpone childbearing. The discussion will be shaped by what is sometimes called the social-construction model of analysis. This model assumes that whatever the `facts' about pregnancy and parenthood among teenagers, the public is nonetheless concerned because teenagers and their pregnancies have come to represent a host of other worrisome changes that are deeply rooted in American society--changes involving race, age, gender, and poverty....How can society's concern about teenagers and their babies be mobilized to good effect? How can such anxiety be made less confused and inchoate--be made to reflect real problems? Most centrally, how can society ensure that this anxiety--which relates to sexuality, race, poverty, gender, and a changing world economy--not simply exacerbate the existing problems of young women and their babies?"
Correspondence: Harvard University Press, 79 Garden Street, Cambridge, MA 02138. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40263 Narring, Françoise; Michaud, Pierre-André; Sharma, Vinit. Demographic and behavioral factors associated with adolescent pregnancy in Switzerland. Family Planning Perspectives, Vol. 28, No. 5, Sep-Oct 1996. 232-6 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"In this research note, we seek to describe the general characteristics of 15-20-year-old women [in Switzerland] who have ever been pregnant in a sample representative of high school and vocational students....We then analyze the relationships between social, demographic and lifestyle variables, sexual behavior characteristics and pregnancy history." Results indicate that "5% of 1,726 sexually active adolescents in [this] group of 3,993...women...had ever been pregnant; most of these women (80%) had terminated their pregnancy....Multiple logistic regression analysis identified seven factors associated with pregnancy: having had four or more sexual partners; not having used contraceptives at first intercourse; ever use of less-effective contraceptive methods; having used illicit drugs during the last 30 days; living apart from one's parents; recently experiencing stress; and perceiving a lack of future prospects."
Correspondence: F. Narring, Institut Universitaire de Médecine Sociale et Préventive, Bugnon 17, 1005 Lausanne, Switzerland. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40264 Oris, Michel. Fertility and migration in the heart of the industrial revolution. History of the Family, Vol. 1, No. 2, 1996. 169-82 pp. Greenwich, Connecticut/London, England. In Eng.
"Using research into the formation of industrial populations in the nineteenth century, this article examines the relationships between immigration and natality in Tilleur, an exemplary locality for studying the industrial revolution in Belgium. The main purpose is to test the general hypothesis positing a distinction between a foundation phase and a maturation phase in the process through which an industrial population is formed. The results are a contribution to the debate about the beginning of the fertility transition in industrial cities, and its relations to differential nuptiality and fertility in light of spatial origins."
Correspondence: M. Oris, University of Liège, Laboratory of Demography, 32 place du XX-Août, 4000 Liège, Belgium. Location: Princeton University Library (PR).

F.3. Sterility and Other Pathology

Studies on infertility, as well as studies of spontaneous abortion, prematurity, and other relevant pathologies of pregnancy.

62:40265 Heinrichs, Jürgen. Environment and fertility: introduction to aspects of sexual ecology (contribution to world population trends). [Umwelt und Fertilität: Einführung in Aspekte der Sexualökologie (Beitrag zur Weltbevölkerungsentwicklung).] Politikwissenschaft, Vol. 25, ISBN 3-8258-2040-8. 1994. 120 pp. Lit: Münster, Germany. In Ger.
This book focuses on the interplay between fertility and the environment, with a special emphasis on environmentally caused infertility. There are chapters on occupational medicine and fertility, population growth and environmental damage, environmental causes of lowered fertility, experiences on the various continents, and human rights in these matters, as well as a chapter on information sources and an appendix containing news documents.
Correspondence: Lit Verlag, Dieckstraße 73, 48145 Münster, Germany. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

F.4. Actions and Activities Directly Affecting Fertility

Studies concerning activities, including family planning programs, that are primarily designed to influence fertility.

F.4.1. General Fertility Control and Contraception

General aspects of fertility control, primarily those concerned with family planning and family planning programs.

62:40266 Accampo, Elinor A. The rhetoric of reproduction and the reconfiguration of womanhood in the French birth control movement, 1890-1920. Journal of Family History, Vol. 21, No. 3, Jul 1996. 351-71 pp. Thousand Oaks, California. In Eng.
"Birth control movements that emerged in Europe and the United States during the last third of the nineteenth century lost their emancipatory and feminist potential in the twentieth century as they succumbed to control by the medical profession, eugenicists, and institutionalized goals of planned parenthood. The neo-Malthusian movement in France, however, retained a radical character and became a focal point for the convergence of libertarian, feminist, and anarchist concerns. By emancipating women from their `biological destiny' and separating sexuality and reproduction, neo-Malthusian rhetoric reconfigured womanhood and established the basis for women's development as full individuals and citizens."
Correspondence: E. A. Accampo, University of Southern California, University Park, Los Angeles, CA 90089. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40267 Ahituv, Avner; Hotz, V. Joseph; Philipson, Tomas. The responsiveness of the demand for condoms to the local prevalence of AIDS. Journal of Human Resources, Vol. 31, No. 4, Fall 1996. 869-97 pp. Madison, Wisconsin. In Eng.
"This paper investigates the degree to which the local prevalence of AIDS increases the demand for disease-preventing methods of contraception among young adults [in the United States]. Using data from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY-1979), we find substantial evidence that the use of condoms was quite responsive to the prevalence of AIDS in one's state of residence, and this responsiveness has been increasing over time. We present both cross-sectional and longitudinal evidence estimating that a 1 percent increase in the prevalence of AIDS increases the propensity to use a condom significantly and up to 50 percent for the most prevalence-responsive groups. Our findings lend support to the existence of a self-limiting incentive effect of epidemics--an effect that tends to be ignored in epidemiological theories of the spread of infectious diseases."
Correspondence: V. J. Hotz, University of Chicago, Harris School of Public Policy Studies, 1155 East 60th Street, Chicago, IL 60637. Location: Princeton University Library (SPIA).

62:40268 Alan Guttmacher Institute (New York, New York). Readings on emergency contraception. ISBN 0-939253-42-9. 1996. 63 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
This report contains a selection of articles published in either Family Planning Perspectives or International Family Planning Perspectives between 1992 and 1996 on emergency contraception. The geographical focus is worldwide. The topics covered include the effectiveness of different regimens and the impact of emergency contraception on unintended pregnancy.
Correspondence: Alan Guttmacher Institute, 120 Wall Street, New York, NY 10005. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40269 Association Internationale des Démographes de Langue Française [AIDELF] (Paris, France). Methods of regulating human reproduction: impacts on fertility and health. [Les modes de régulation de la reproduction humaine: incidences sur la fécondité et la santé.] No. 6, ISBN 2-7332-7013-3. 1994. xi, 777 pp. Presses Universitaires de France: Paris, France. In Fre.
These are the proceedings of an international conference held in Delphi, Greece, October 6-10, 1992, on aspects of fertility control. The 66 papers are divided into six sessions. The first session looks at the social pressures that affect fertility in various countries around the world. The second session examines policies affecting fertility, and includes both pro- and antinatalist policies. The next two sessions are concerned with methods to increase and decrease fertility. There are also sessions on problems of data collection and analysis, and on the health impact of fertility control methods. The geographical focus is worldwide, with particular emphasis on the French-speaking countries of Africa and Europe.
Correspondence: Presses Universitaires de France, 108 Boulevard Saint-Germain, 75006 Paris, France. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40270 Bertrand, Jane T.; Makani, Bakutuvwidi; Edwards, Michael P.; Baughman, Nancy C.; Niwembo, Kinavwidi L.; Djunghu, Balowa. The male versus female perspective on family planning: Kinshasa, Zaire. Journal of Biosocial Science, Vol. 28, No. 1, Jan 1996. 37-55 pp. Cambridge, England. In Eng.
"Males have often been neglected in both family planning programmes and in surveys used to design and evaluate such programmes. A 1988 study on fertility, family planning and AIDS in Kinshasa, Zaire, provides comparable data on 3,140 men and 3,485 women of reproductive age which served as the basis for analyzing male/female differences. The study indicated a fair degree of similarity in the attitudes, beliefs, knowledge levels and practices of men and women regarding fertility and family planning. Where they differed (e.g. on expected or ideal number of children, the desire for more children at parity 7 or above), men tended to be more pronatalist than women. The implications of the findings for future family planning programmes are discussed."
Correspondence: J. T. Bertrand, Tulane University, School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine, New Orleans, LA 70118. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40271 Caldwell, John C. The International Conference on Population and Development, Cairo, 1994. Is its Plan of Action important, desirable and feasible? Health Transition Review, Vol. 6, No. 1, Apr 1996. 71-123 pp. Canberra, Australia. In Eng.
This is an introduction to a forum on the 1994 International Conference on Population and Development and on its resulting Plan of Action. Consisting of 12 papers by various authors, it examines aspects of establishing family planning programs in developing countries.
Correspondence: J. C. Caldwell, Australian National University, National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Health Transition Centre, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40272 Cleland, John; Kamal, Nashid; Sloggett, Andrew. Links between fertility regulation and the schooling and autonomy of women in Bangladesh. In: Girls' schooling, women's autonomy and fertility change in South Asia, edited by Roger Jeffery and Alaka M. Basu. 1996. 205-17 pp. Sage Publications: New Delhi, India. In Eng.
"The objectives of this analysis are two fold. First, we wish to establish whether or not the exposure of [Bangladeshi] women to formal schooling enhances their autonomy or position....Secondly and more importantly, we seek to assess the effects of schooling and autonomy on contraceptive practice. Special interest lies in the answers to two closely related questions: To what extent is it possible to account for the link that usually exists between schooling and fertility behaviour in terms of any empowering effect of schooling? And does high autonomy have a major impact on contraceptive use, after controlling for potentially confounding factors such as socio-economic status and urban-rural residence?"
Correspondence: J. Cleland, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Centre for Population Studies, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, England. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40273 Crosier, Adam. Women's knowledge and awareness of emergency contraception. British Journal of Family Planning, Vol. 22, No. 2, Jul 1996. 87-91 pp. London, England. In Eng.
The aim of this study was "to assess women's knowledge, awareness and use of emergency contraception, and to investigate women's views of how access to information about emergency contraception might be improved....A sample of 1,354 women [in the United Kingdom] aged 16 to 49 was identified from a national omnibus survey of 125,000 individuals. Seven hundred and ninety eight interviews were conducted by telephone with women aged 16 to 49 over a one week period in November 1994....There was found to be very little `spontaneous' awareness of the term, `emergency contraception'. When a list of various contraceptive methods was read aloud, however, 97 per cent of the sample had heard of the misleadingly named `morning after pill'. Less than a quarter of these were able to say accurately how long emergency contraceptive pills could be used following unprotected sex or contraceptive failure."
Correspondence: A. Crosier, Health Education Authority, Hamilton House, Mabledon Place, London WC1H 9TX, England. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40274 Devi, D. Radha; Rastogi, S. R.; Retherford, Robert D. Unmet need for family planning in Uttar Pradesh. National Family Health Survey Subject Report, No. 1, May 1996. 25 pp. International Institute for Population Sciences [IIPS]: Mumbai, India; East-West Center, Program on Population [POP]: Honolulu, Hawaii. In Eng.
The unmet need for family planning in the Indian state of Uttar Pradesh is examined. Using data from the 1992-1993 National Family Health Survey, the authors show that 30 percent of currently married women of reproductive age have an unmet need for family planning, roughly the same percent as are currently practicing family planning. They also note that the need for contraception to space births is particularly acute. "Considerable need for spacing exists, but 89 percent of that need is unmet. It is therefore not surprising that 55 percent of all unmet need for contraception in the state is due to unmet need for spacing. These findings support the widespread perception that demand for temporary methods exceeds supply, and that a greatly increased effort is needed to meet the demand for temporary methods....Substantial proportions of women with unmet need...say that they do not intend to use family planning at any time in the future. " The variations in unmet need by women's socioeconomic characteristics are explored.
Correspondence: International Institute for Population Sciences, Govandi Station Road, Deonar, Mumbai 400 088, India. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40275 El-Zanaty, Fatma; Hussein, Enas M.; Shawky, Gihan A.; Way, Ann A.; Kishor, Sunita. Egypt Demographic and Health Survey, 1995. Sep 1996. xxiv, 348 pp. National Population Council: Cairo, Egypt; Macro International, Demographic and Health Surveys [DHS]: Calverton, Maryland. In Eng.
This is the main report from the 1995 DHS survey, the third DHS survey to be carried out in Egypt. It involved a nationally representative sample of 14,779 ever-married women aged 15-49. Following introductory chapters on survey methodology, there are chapters on fertility; knowledge, attitudes, and ever use of family planning; current use of family planning; nonuse and intention to use family planning; fertility preferences; the proximate determinants of fertility; infant and child mortality; maternal health care; child health; infant feeding and maternal and child nutrition; female circumcision; and women's status.
Correspondence: National Population Council, P.O. Box 1036, Cairo, Egypt. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40276 El-Zanaty, Fatma H. Women segmentation based on contraceptive use. Egyptian Population and Family Planning Review, Vol. 28, No. 1, Jun 1994. 19-54 pp. Giza, Egypt. In Eng.
"This paper represents the main results obtained from the in-depth analysis of the 1992 Egypt Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS) data for women. Three main groups were of interest, current [contraceptive] users, discontinuers and non-users. The main characteristics of each group were studied, then cluster analysis was applied [to] each group, which helps to identify homogenous subgroups. Accordingly, special attention can be given to each segment based on their characteristics. The results of the cluster analysis indicated that, the key variables from which natural groups emerge are area of residence, level of education, age, parity, desire for more children, intention to practice family planning and husband's approval. The clusters were mapped according to age and level of intention to use family planning."
Correspondence: F. H. El-Zanaty, Cairo University, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, P.O. Box 12611, Giza, Egypt. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40277 Fathonah, Siti. Contraceptive use dynamics in Indonesia. DHS Working Paper, No. 20, Jul 1996. 31 pp. Macro International, Demographic and Health Surveys [DHS]: Calverton, Maryland. In Eng.
"This report is based on the DHS Model Further Analysis Plan on Contraceptive Use Dynamics....The analyses use data from the 1994 Indonesia DHS survey. The main aim of this report is to provide a comprehensive, descriptive analysis of contraceptive discontinuation, switching, and failure in Indonesia that is of interest to policymakers and researchers. The structure of this report is as follows: Background, Data and Methodology, Contraceptive Discontinuation Rates, Discontinuation Rates by Reason for Discontinuation, Contraceptive Switching Behavior, and Contraceptive Failure Rates. The report concludes with a discussion of the main findings and their policy significance."
Correspondence: Macro International, Demographic and Health Surveys, 11785 Beltsville Drive, Calverton, MD 20705-3119. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40278 Feyisetan, Bamikale J.; Ainsworth, Martha. Contraceptive use and the quality, price, and availability of family planning in Nigeria. World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 10, No. 1, Jan 1996. 159-87 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"Nigeria has experienced high fertility and rapid population growth for at least the past thirty years. Only recently have public authorities launched efforts to promote contraceptive use. In this article, individual women are linked to the characteristics of the nearest health facility, pharmacy, and source of family planning to assess the relative importance of women's socioeconomic background and the characteristics of nearby services on contraceptive use. The results suggest that the limited levels of female schooling...are constraining contraceptive use, especially in rural areas. Another major constraint to increased contraceptive use is the low availability of family planning services in Nigeria....Outpatient or consultation fees at nearby health facilities do not appear to be constraining demand for modern contraceptive methods."
Correspondence: B. J. Feyisetan, Obafemi Awolowo University, Department of Demography and Social Statistics, Ile-Ife, Nigeria. Location: Princeton University Library (UN).

62:40279 Graham, Anna; Green, Lora; Glasier, Anna F. Teenagers' knowledge of emergency contraception: questionnaire survey in south east Scotland. British Medical Journal, Vol. 312, No. 7046, Jun 22, 1996. 1,567-9 pp. London, England. In Eng.
The level of knowledge about emergency contraception among young people in Scotland is explored. The data concern 1,206 pupils aged 14 and 15 years in secondary schools in Lothian and were collected in 1995. The results show that "one third of sexually active girls aged under 16 in Lothian have used emergency contraception. This may help explain the fairly constant teenage pregnancy rates despite increasing sexual activity. Scottish teenagers are well informed about the existence of emergency contraception. However, many do not know when and how to access it properly."
Correspondence: A. F. Glasier, Family Planning and Well Woman Services, 18 Dean Terrace, Edinburgh EH4 1NL, Scotland. Location: Princeton University Library (SZ).

62:40280 Hoa, H. T.; Toan, N. V.; Johansson, A.; Hoa, V. T.; Höjer, B.; Persson, L. Å. Child spacing and two child policy in practice in rural Vietnam: cross sectional survey. British Medical Journal, Vol. 313, No. 7065, Nov 2, 1996. 1,113-6 pp. London, England. In Eng.
The reproductive history of women in rural Viet Nam is explored using data on 1,132 women who had at least one child under five years of age in 1992 in the Red River Delta area. The results suggest that most families do not adhere to the official family planning policy, which stipulates that couples should have a maximum of two children with three to five years spacing between births. "The mean age at first birth was 22.2 years. The average spacing between the first and the second child was 2.6 years. Mothers with a lower educational level, farmers, and women belonging to the Catholic religion had shorter spacing between the first and second child and also a higher probability of having a third child. In addition, women who had no sons or who had lost a previous child were more likely to have a third child."
Correspondence: H. T. Hoa, c/o B. Höjer, Karolinska Institute, Division of International Health Care Research, Department of Public Health Sciences, Stockholm 171 77, Sweden. Location: Princeton University Library (SZ).

62:40281 Hynie, Michaela; Lydon, John E. Sexual attitudes and contraceptive behavior revisited: can there be too much of a good thing? Journal of Sex Research, Vol. 33, No. 2, 1996. 127-34 pp. Mount Vernon, Iowa. In Eng.
"A longitudinal study was performed to explore a possible curvilinear relationship between sexual attitudes and contraceptive behavior. A community sample of 62 [Canadian] women recorded their sexual and contraceptive behavior for five consecutive weeks using daily diary reports. During an initial testing session, participants were asked to report their contraceptive behavior in the last month and to predict their contraceptive behavior for the coming month. Women reported using less effective contraceptive methods during the five weeks than they had for the month prior to the study and than they had predicted for the month concurrent with the study. Both the consistency and effectiveness of women's contraceptive behavior over the five weeks were found to have a quadratic (inverted-U) relationship with their sexual attitude....The results are discussed with respect to biases inherent in subjective retrospective data and the possible link between an extremely positive emotional orientation toward sexuality and willingness to engage in high-risk sexual behavior."
Correspondence: M. Hynie, McGill University, Department of Psychology, 1205 Dr. Penfield Avenue, Montreal, Quebec H3A 1B1, Canada. Location: Princeton University Library (PR).

62:40282 Jaccard, James; Dittus, Patricia J.; Gordon, Vivian V. Maternal correlates of adolescent sexual and contraceptive behavior. Family Planning Perspectives, Vol. 28, No. 4, Jul-Aug 1996. 159-65, 185 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"Maternal disapproval of premarital sex, maternal discussions about birth control and the quality of the parent-child relationship may have an important influence on adolescents' sexual activity and the consistency of their contraceptive use. Findings from a survey of 751 black [U.S.] youths showed that adolescent perceptions of maternal disapproval of premarital sex and satisfaction with the mother-child relationship were significantly related to abstinence from adolescent sexual activity and to less-frequent sexual intercourse and more consistent use of contraceptives among sexually active youths. Teenagers who reported a low level of satisfaction with their mother were more than twice as likely as those highly satisfied with their relationship to be having sexual intercourse. Discussions about birth control were associated with an increased likelihood that adolescents were sexually active. Such discussions were not significantly related to consistent contraceptive use for female adolescents, but were associated with increased contraceptive use for male teenagers."
Correspondence: J. Jaccard, State University of New York, Department of Psychology, Albany, NY 12222. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40283 Johnson, J. Timothy; Macke, Beth A. Estimating contraceptive needs from trends in method mix in developing countries. International Family Planning Perspectives, Vol. 22, No. 3, Sep 1996. 92-6 pp. New York, New York. In Eng. with sum. in Spa; Fre.
"Data from 106 national surveys conducted in 35 countries between 1974 and 1992 permit calculation of changes in total and method-specific prevalence and of annual rates of change, upon which contraceptive forecasts can be based. In all, 44% of women in the most recent surveys were practicing contraception; 36% were using a modern method. Between the first and most recent surveys, total contraceptive prevalence rose at an annual rate of 5%, and modern method use increased by 6% annually. The increases were most rapid in Sub-Saharan Africa (9-10% annually) and slowest in Latin America and the Caribbean (3-4%). Whereas reliance on sterilization grew by 8% yearly, increases in prevalence of the pill, IUD and condom were 2% or less annually. In most regions, reliance on sterilization has changed at a much quicker pace than use of other methods; the exception is North Africa and the Middle East, where the annual increase for sterilization has been modest, but IUD use has climbed quite rapidly."
Correspondence: J. T. Johnson, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Division of Reproductive Health, Program Services and Evaluation Section, Atlanta, GA 30333. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40284 Kamal, Nashid. Influence of family head's reproductive behaviour on the use of modern contraceptive methods by other members of the family in rural Bangladesh. Journal of Biosocial Science, Vol. 28, No. 3, Jul 1996. 297-303 pp. Cambridge, England. In Eng.
"A study in Bangladesh showed that the probability of use of modern contraception by eligible family members of a household increases significantly if the household head himself is a user. Multinomial logistic regression showed that contraceptive use was also significantly related with maternal age, parity, education, socioeconomic status and experience of child mortality. Inclusion of ever use of modern contraceptives by the family head or his wife, showed family head's religiosity to be a significant predictor of use, apart from his age and parity, and after controlling for socioeconomic correlates."
Correspondence: N. Kamal, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Centre for Population Studies, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, England. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40285 Kanojia, J. K.; Nirbhavane, N. C.; Toddywala, V. S.; Betrabet, S. S.; Patel, S. B.; Datte, S.; Gaur, L.; Saxena, B. N. Dynamics of contraceptive practice amongst urban Indian women. National Medical Journal of India, Vol. 9, No. 3, 1996. 109-12 pp. New Delhi, India. In Eng.
"In this study, a mixed urban population was surveyed....Two thousand parous women from different social and educational backgrounds residing in the metropolis of Mumbai (Bombay), Maharashtra were included in the study....Fifty per cent of illiterates, semi-literates and high-school educated, and 80% of college-educated couples said that they had no gender preferences for their children, but actual practice belied this. Regardless of the level of education, 25%, 75% and 95% of all couples were sexually active by 6 weeks, 3 months and 6 months after childbirth. Awareness regarding the availability of various contraceptives increased with education; 20% of all graduate couples used condoms or the rhythm method immediately after marriage. After the birth of their first child, 80% of educated couples used spacing methods whereas even after the birth of their third child more than 50% of the uneducated did not....Spacing methods were popular among the educated, and terminal ones among the uneducated. Steroidal contraceptive pills were not popular with any group, regardless of the level of education."
Correspondence: V. S. Toddywala, Institute of Research and Reproduction, Metabolic Department, Jehangir Merwanji Street, Parel, Mumbai 400 012, Maharashtra, India. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40286 Khan, Mehrab A. Factors affecting use of contraception in Matlab, Bangladesh. Journal of Biosocial Science, Vol. 28, No. 3, Jul 1996. 265-79 pp. Cambridge, England. In Eng.
"This study examines the relationship between family planning, perceived availability of contraceptives, and sociodemographic factors in rural Bangladesh. Data are from the 1990 KAP survey in the Matlab treatment and comparison areas, using a sample of about 8,500 married women of reproductive age. The contraceptive prevalence rate was 57% in the treatment area but substantially lower in the comparison area where mainly traditional methods of family planning were used by women who did not know of a source of supply of contraceptives. Education has no effect on contraceptive use in the treatment area but in the comparison area, modest but consistent differentials in use by level of education were found. Number of living children is the best predictor for contraceptive use, followed by number of living sons, and the attitude of respondents and their husbands towards family planning."
Correspondence: M. A. Khan, International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, G.P.O. Box 128, Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40287 Knodel, John; Pramualratana, Anthony. Prospects for increased condom use within marriage in Thailand. International Family Planning Perspectives, Vol. 22, No. 3, Sep 1996. 97-102 pp. New York, New York. In Eng. with sum. in Spa; Fre.
"The transmission of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) from infected husbands to their wives is now an important component of the AIDS epidemic in Thailand. Although the value of condoms in reducing the spread of HIV is well-known among Thai men and women, the rate of condom use for contraception among married couples has never exceeded 2%. Focus groups and individual interviews with both urban and provincial Thai men and women reveal a number of formidable barriers to increasing the rate of marital condom use: condoms are widely perceived as interfering with male sexual pleasure, and they are primarily considered to be a prophylactic for use with prostitutes. The potential for increasing the use of condoms as a method of marital contraception appears limited, as highly effective alternatives are widely available....Findings suggest that general promotion of condoms for use during extramarital sex, together with advocacy of voluntary HIV testing for individuals at high risk of infection and counseling for those testing positive, are practical recommendations."
Correspondence: J. Knodel, University of Michigan, Department of Sociology, Population Studies Center, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1070. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40288 Landry, David J.; Forrest, Jacqueline D. Private physicians' provision of contraceptive services. Family Planning Perspectives, Vol. 28, No. 5, Sep-Oct 1996. 203-9 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"Private physicians provide family planning services to the majority of American women. According to data from the National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey, office-based physicians received on average 13.5 million visits annually for contraceptive services during 1990-1992. Private insurance was the expected form of payment for 38% of visits, while managed care covered 22% of visits, and Medicaid or another source of public assistance subsidized 12%; 22% were self-paid and 6% covered by other sources. The majority of patients who received contraceptive services gave a reason other than general family planning or care regarding a specific contraceptive as the primary purpose for their visit, although women covered by a managed care plan or through public funding were the most likely to give general family planning needs as the main reason. Women whose visit was listed as publicly funded were less likely to have a contraceptive prescribed or provided or to obtain a Pap test than were those expected to pay with private insurance."
Correspondence: D. J. Landry, Alan Guttmacher Institute, 120 Wall Street, New York, NY 10005. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40289 Maynard-Tucker, Gisèle. Haiti: unions, fertility and the quest for survival. Social Science and Medicine, Vol. 43, No. 9, Nov 1996. 1,379-87 pp. Tarrytown, New York/Oxford, England. In Eng.
"This essay examines Haitian cultural and programmatic barriers to modern contraception and reports on types of unions as they relate to pregnancy and the prevalence of contraception." The data are from three mini-surveys and represent 2,383 rural and urban women. The results show that contraceptive usage is higher among urban (23%) than rural (13%) women, and that the choice of contraceptive method is influenced by the medical staff involved and by the availability of specific methods. Recommendations are made about ways to increase contraceptive usage, including improvements in the family planning services provided, increased support for first-time users, and improved education for women to encourage their greater economic independence.
Correspondence: G. Maynard-Tucker, International Health and Development Associates, 18133 Coastline Drive, Suite 4, Malibu, CA 90265. Location: Princeton University Library (PR).

62:40290 Measham, Anthony R.; Heaver, Richard A. Supplement to India's Family Welfare Program: moving to a reproductive and child health approach. Directions in Development, ISBN 0-8213-3500-6. Mar 1996. vii, 113 pp. World Bank: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
This is a companion volume to a report on the policy issues that India faces concerning its family welfare program. This supplement contains edited versions of the background papers on which the main volume was based. There are papers on the government's action plan to revamp the program, family welfare policy issues, estimates of unwanted and wanted fertility, gender and poverty concerns in a reproductive health program, reproductive and child health services, the management of reproductive tract and sexually transmitted infections, HIV/AIDS, IEC efforts and social marketing, management and evaluation of a reproductive and child health program, enhancing the role of private voluntary organizations, and financing India's reproductive and child health program.
For the full report, also published in 1996, see 62:30287.
Correspondence: World Bank, Publications Department, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, D.C. 20433. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40291 Oliver, Raylynn. Contraceptive use in Ghana: the role of service availability, quality, and price. Living Standards Measurement Study Working Paper, No. 111, ISBN 0-8213-3020-9. LC 94-31691. Feb 1995. xi, 46 pp. World Bank: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"In this paper, individual women are linked to the characteristics of the nearest pharmacy, health facility and source of family planning to assess the relative importance of socioeconomic background and the availability, price and quality of family planning services on contraceptive use and fertility. The source of data is the 1988-89 Ghana Living Standards Survey (GLSS). The results suggest that raising levels of female schooling will also raise contraceptive use and lower fertility, particularly in rural areas."
Correspondence: World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, D.C. 20433. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40292 Parazzini, Fabio; Negri, Eva; Ricci, Elena; Franceschi, Silvia; La Vecchia, Carlo. Correlates of oral contraceptive use in Italian women, 1991-93. Contraception, Vol. 54, No. 2, Aug 1996. 101-6 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"In order to understand the determinants of oral contraceptive (OC) use in Italy, we analyzed data on 1,577 women aged under age 60 (median age 50 years) admitted as controls in a case-control study of breast cancer....In this Italian population, OCs were more likely to have been used by more educated and parous women, and by women reporting a history of induced abortions. Furthermore, OC use was less frequently reported by overweight women, but the finding was of borderline statistical significance."
Correspondence: F. Parazzini, Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri, Via Eritrea 62, 20157 Milan, Italy. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40293 Potter, Linda; Oakley, Deborah; de Leon-Wong, Emelita; Cañamar, Ruth. Measuring compliance among oral contraceptive users. Family Planning Perspectives, Vol. 28, No. 4, Jul-Aug 1996. 154-8 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"Irregular use of the pill compromises the effectiveness of this highly reliable method. The consistency of pill-taking has traditionally been estimated through women's own reports of their patterns of pill use. In this study, self-reported data on pill-taking were compared with data from an electronic device measuring compliance among 103 [U.S.] women attending university health services and publicly funded family planning clinics. In three months of pill use, the electronic and self-reported data agreed on the number of days when pills were missed only 45% of the time; the level of agreement dropped from 55% in the first month to 38% in the third month. In each month, the proportion of women reporting no missed pills was much higher than the proportion recorded electronically (53-59% compared with 19-33%), and the proportion missing at least three pills according to the electronic data was triple that derived from the women's reports (30-51% vs. 10-14%). In addition, the electronic data recorded substantially more episodes in which women missed pills on two or more consecutive days (88 vs. 30)."
Correspondence: L. Potter, Family Health International, One Triangle Drive, Research Triangle Park, NC 27709. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40294 Rahman, M. Mujibur; Islam, M. Nurul; Islam, M. Mazharul. Users of traditional methods of contraception in Bangladesh: 1981-91. Journal of Biosocial Science, Vol. 28, No. 3, Jul 1996. 257-64 pp. Cambridge, England. In Eng.
"This paper examines the changing patterns of knowledge, attitude and use of traditional methods of contraception, compared to modern methods, over the last five contraceptive prevalence surveys in Bangladesh (1981-91). The results show that knowledge of at least one method of family planning is universal in Bangladesh and usage is higher at all ages for women who are using modern methods than for those who are using traditional methods. Educated women and those in employment are more likely to use modern contraceptive methods."
Correspondence: M. M. Rahman, University of Chittagong, Department of Statistics, Chittagong, Bangladesh. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40295 Schuler, Sidney R.; Hashemi, Syed M. Family planning outreach and credit programs in rural Bangladesh. Human Organization, Vol. 54, No. 4, Winter 1995. 455-61 pp. Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. In Eng.
"Results of this recent study in rural Bangladesh suggest that programs that draw women out of their homes and reduce their dependence on men are contributing to greater use of contraception. One such program, Grameen Bank, now has female members in nearly half of all Bangladesh villages. Participation in the program was found to be associated with high levels of contraceptive use even among women who have not been exposed to family planning outreach. For nonparticipants in communities where the program works, the combination of home visits by female family planning workers and the presence of Grameen Bank in the village appears to have a dramatic effect on contraceptive use."
Correspondence: S. R. Schuler, JSI Research and Training Institute, Empowerment of Women Research Program, 1616 North Fort Myer Drive, Arlington, VA 22209. Location: Princeton University Library (PR).

62:40296 Sollom, Terry; Gold, Rachel B.; Saul, Rebekah. Public funding for contraceptive, sterilization and abortion services, 1994. Family Planning Perspectives, Vol. 28, No. 4, Jul-Aug 1996. 166-73 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"In this article, we present the results of our [fiscal year] 1994 survey on [U.S.] public funding for contraceptive, sterilization and abortion services. These data are then analyzed with the results of previous survey data collected between 1980 and 1992. The purpose of this research is to examine current spending for family planning services in all 50 states, the District of Columbia and other federal jurisdictions from various funding sources and to identify trends in public funding for family planning services." Results indicate that "in 1994, federal and state funding for contraceptive services and supplies reached $715 million. Funding totaled $148 million for contraceptive sterilization and $90 million for abortion services....The largest source of public funds for family planning services continues to be the joint federal-state Medicaid program....State funds continue to be the second largest source, providing almost one-quarter of reported public expenditures in 1994."
Correspondence: T. Sollom, Alan Guttmacher Institute, 120 Wall Street, New York, NY 10005. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40297 Soonthorndhada, Amara. Sexual attitudes and behaviours and contraceptive use of late female adolescents in Bangkok: a comparative study of students and factory workers. IPSR Publication, No. 202, ISBN 974-588-356-5. 1996. ix, 95 pp. Mahidol University, Institute for Population and Social Research [IPSR]: Nakhon Pathom, Thailand. In Eng.
This study examines attitudes toward premarital sex and contraceptive usage among adolescent women in Thailand. The data concern 500 unmarried female adolescents in Bangkok, of whom 250 attended secondary schools and 250 worked in factories. The results indicate that despite their general awareness of contraceptive methods, many young women did not know of a place where they could obtain contraceptive services. Among the few women who were sexually active, 5 out of 15 did not use birth control; this was due to a reported lack of knowledge about contraception.
Correspondence: Mahidol University, Institute for Population and Social Research, Salaya, Nakhon Pathom 73170, Thailand. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40298 Thailand. National Statistical Office (Bangkok, Thailand). Report of the survey of knowledge, attitude and family planning practice in the southern region of Thailand, 1994. ISBN 974-236-184-3. [1996?]. [xii], 49, 111 pp. Bangkok, Thailand. In Eng; Tha.
Results of a KAP survey carried out in southern Thailand in 1994 are presented. The survey involved all women aged 15-49 residing in 10,308 households in both urban and rural areas. The data for Muslim and Buddhist women are analyzed separately. The results indicate that knowledge of contraception is almost universal; that approval of contraception is higher among Buddhist women (91.3%) than among Muslim women (70.6%); and that contraceptive practice also differs significantly by religion (77.2% of Buddhist women said they had ever practiced contraception compared to 36.9% of Muslim women). Consideration is also given to differences in contraceptive methods chosen.
Correspondence: National Statistical Office, Statistical Data Bank and Information Dissemination Division, Larn Luang Road, Bangkok 10100, Thailand. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40299 Thompson, M. S. Contraceptive implants: long acting and provider dependent contraception raises concerns about freedom of choice. British Medical Journal, Vol. 313, No. 7069, Nov 30, 1996. 1,393-5 pp. London, England. In Eng.
In response to a recent editorial in the British Medical Journal, the author discusses some issues concerning contraceptive implants. "Implanted contraceptives may increase the choice of contraceptive methods, but they put control of fertility increasingly into the hands of the medical profession. Herein lies their greatest problem: their potential to increase providers' control over clients' choice. There is the danger that certain groups of women may be targeted for their use: in the United States the coercive use of Norplant for mothers receiving welfare benefit has been suggested. Long acting contraceptives are a contraceptive of choice only when they are available without pressure, as part of a wider menu; when instant removal on request is guaranteed; and when there is an open and free flow of information and opinions between users, health professionals, and special interest groups."
Correspondence: M. S. Thompson, Apartado Postal 38, 29200 San Cristobal de las Casas, Chiapas, Mexico. Location: Princeton University Library (SZ).

62:40300 Toan, N. V.; Hoa, H. T.; Trong, P. V.; Höjer, B.; Persson, L. Å.; Sundström, K. Utilisation of reproductive health services in rural Vietnam; are there equal opportunities to plan and protect pregnancies? Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, Vol. 50, No. 4, Aug 1996. 451-5 pp. London, England. In Eng.
The authors "describe the utilisation of reproductive health services (family planning, antenatal care, and delivery services) and the socioeconomic determinants for utilisation of health services [in Tien Hai district, Viet Nam]....In spite of a relatively high educational level in the population and services which are generally available, there was an under utilisation of antenatal and delivery care and there was no equal opportunity for different groups of mothers to use these services. Family planning services were, however, frequently used and were used to the same extent by different groups of mothers. Except for abortion, alternatives to the intrauterine device method were rarely available. If pregnancies are to be protected in an efficient way in rural Vietnam, reproductive health care must be strengthened and efforts should be made to reach the women who are not using these services at present."
Correspondence: N. V. Toan, c/o B. Höjer, Karolinska Institute, Department of Public Health Services, Division of International Health Care Research, 171 77 Stockholm, Sweden. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40301 United Nations. Department for Economic and Social Information and Policy Analysis. Population Division (New York, New York). Family planning, health and family well-being. No. ST/ESA/SER.R/131, Pub. Order No. E.96.XIII.12. ISBN 92-1-151308-1. 1996. xiv, 458 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
These are the proceedings of a UN expert group meeting held in Bangalore, India, October 26-30, 1992, one of six such meetings convened as part of the preparations for the 1994 International Conference on Population and Development held in Cairo, Egypt. It contains a report of the meeting and its recommendations, as well as a selection of the papers prepared for the meeting. These papers are grouped under eight topics: general overview, society and family planning, lessons learned from existing family planning programs, issues in the implementation of family planning programs, family planning and health, family planning and family well-being, people's involvement in the future development of family planning programs, and discussion notes.
Correspondence: United Nations Secretariat, Population Division, Room DC2-1950, New York, NY 10017. Location: Princeton University Library (FST).

62:40302 Varea, C.; Crognier, E.; Bley, D.; Boetsch, G.; Baudot, P.; Baali, A.; Hilali, M. K. Determinants of contraceptive use in Morocco: stopping behaviour in traditional populations. Journal of Biosocial Science, Vol. 28, No. 1, Jan 1996. 1-13 pp. Cambridge, England. In Eng.
"The determinants of modern contraceptive use in traditional populations are analysed in married women aged 30-44 living in the province of Marrakech (Morocco)....The probability of contraceptive use increases with female age at marriage and decreases with the woman's age, indicating a generational change in reproductive behaviour. The socioeconomic variables education, employment and residence, have no significant independent predictive character on contraceptive use, although the interaction between education and residence does. The paper evaluates the hypothesis that traditional populations in the initial phase of their demographic transition resort to modern contraception in order to stop childbearing, when they have reached a desired number of children, rather than to space births or reduce their fertility."
Correspondence: C. Varea, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Departamento de Biología, 28049 Madrid, Spain. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

F.4.2. Clinical Aspects and Use-Effectiveness Studies

Selected studies on the medical aspects of fertility control methods, including studies on side effects and use-effectiveness.

62:40303 Kambic, R. T.; Lamprecht, V. Calendar rhythm efficacy: a review. Advances in Contraception, Vol. 12, No. 2, Jun 1996. 123-8 pp. Hingham, Massachusetts/Dordrecht, Netherlands. In Eng. with sum. in Fre; Spa.
The authors review the literature concerning the unplanned pregnancy rate associated with the calendar rhythm method of natural family planning. Specifically, they analyze eight studies published between 1940 and 1989. They show that the pregnancy rates of from 15 to 18.5 indicated by the best of these studies are in the same range of effectiveness as those associated with more modern natural family planning and barrier methods. The need is stressed for more clinical trials of the calendar method to establish its true effectiveness.
Correspondence: R. T. Kambic, Johns Hopkins University, School of Hygiene and Public Health, Department of Population Dynamics, 615 North Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD 21205. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40304 Kazi, Afroze; Kennedy, Kathy I.; Visness, Cynthia M.; Khan, Talat. Effectiveness of the lactational amenorrhea method in Pakistan. Fertility and Sterility, Vol. 64, No. 4, Oct 1995. 717-23 pp. Birmingham, Alabama. In Eng.
"The purpose of the present study was to determine the contraceptive effectiveness of lactational amenorrhea method in a cohort of women who ordinarily breastfeed their infants. This prospective trial was conducted among rural and urban women in Pakistan who received no special ongoing support for breastfeeding, but who chose to use the lactational amenorrhea method as their contraceptive." Results indicate that "the lactational amenorrhea method was found to be highly effective for 6 months. A high degree of contraceptive protection endures for a full year during lactational amenorrhea, but not after the return of menses during breastfeeding."
Correspondence: K. I. Kennedy, Family Health International, P.O. Box 13950, Research Triangle Park, NC 27709. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40305 Ramos, Rebecca; Kennedy, Kathy I.; Visness, Cynthia M. Effectiveness of lactational amenorrhoea in prevention of pregnancy in Manila, the Philippines: non-comparative prospective trial. British Medical Journal, Vol. 313, No. 7062, Oct 12, 1996. 909-12 pp. London, England. In Eng.
The contraceptive effectiveness of lactational amenorrhoea is examined using data on 485 low-income women from urban Manila, the Philippines. The results indicate that this method "was 99% effective when used correctly (that is, during lactational amenorrhoea and full or nearly full breast feeding for up to six months). At 12 months the effectiveness during amenorrhoea dropped to 97%."
Correspondence: K. I. Kennedy, 2201 South Fillmore Street, Denver, CO 80210. Location: Princeton University Library (SZ).

62:40306 Soroodi-Moghaddam, Sheitaneh. Quinacrine pellet method of nonsurgical female sterilization in Iran: preliminary report on a clinical trial. International Family Planning Perspectives, Vol. 22, No. 3, Sep 1996. 122-3, 127 pp. New York, New York. In Eng. with sum. in Spa.
"For a study of the safety, efficacy and acceptability of female sterilization with quinacrine pellets in a private setting, data on 160 women who obtained the procedure in Tehran between September 1990 and April 1994 were evaluated. Three-fourths of the women were monitored for at least one year, and more than half were monitored for more than two years. By the end of the study period, two women had become pregnant, for a gross pregnancy rate of 1.2%; neither pregnancy was ectopic. Within the first two months after the procedure, about half of the women reported complications or side effects, which were minor and easily treatable; after the first two months, the only side effect reported was delayed menses. The cost of sterilization with quinacrine pellets is one-10th that of surgical sterilization. However, knowledge about the method is not widespread within the medical community in Iran."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40307 Van Look, P. F. A.; Pérez-Palacios, G. Contraceptive research and development, 1984 to 1994: the road from Mexico City to Cairo and beyond. ISBN 0-19-563630-9. 1994. xvi, 546 pp. Oxford University Press: Delhi, India. In Eng.
"This book records the proceedings of a symposium organized by the Government of Mexico and the UNDP/UNFPA/WHO/World Bank Special Programme of Research, Development and Research Training in Human Reproduction. Renowned international experts review the progress made in the field of fertility regulation research since 1984, when Mexico City hosted the International Conference on Population. The book not only covers the biomedical aspects of contraceptive research, it also includes chapters on knowledge gained through social science research and on the perspectives of women's health advocates."
Correspondence: Oxford University Press, YMCA Library Building, Jai Singh Road, Delhi 110 001, India. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

62:40308 World Health Organization. Family and Reproductive Health (Geneva, Switzerland). Improving access to quality care in family planning. Medical eligibility criteria for initiating and continuing use of contraceptive methods. No. WHO/FRH/FPP/96.9, 1996. 143 pp. Geneva, Switzerland. In Eng.
This document is designed to improve access to quality care in family planning programs. It reviews the medical eligibility criteria for selecting methods of contraception, and summarizes the recommendations of two WHO scientific working groups convened in Geneva in 1994 and 1995. "The document provides recommendations for appropriate medical eligibility criteria based on the latest clinical and epidemiological data and is intended to be used by policy-makers, family planning programme managers and the scientific community. It aims to provide guidance to national family planning/reproductive health programmes in the preparation of guidelines for service delivery of contraceptives. It should not be seen or used as the actual guidelines but as a reference."
Correspondence: World Health Organization, Family Planning and Population, Family and Reproductive Health, Avenue Appia, 1211 Geneva 27, Switzerland. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

F.4.3. Evaluation of Programs

Studies evaluating either the demographic impact or other criteria of effectiveness of family planning programs.

62:40309 Ahlburg, Dennis A.; Diamond, Ian. Evaluating the impact of family planning programmes. In: The impact of population growth on well-being in developing countries, edited by Dennis A. Ahlburg, Allen C. Kelley, and Karen O. Mason. 1996. 299-335 pp. Springer-Verlag: New York, New York/Berlin, Germany. In Eng.
"The aims of this chapter are: (1) to investigate the relationship between fertility decline and family planning programmes, with a particular emphasis on the use of contraceptives; (2) to assess the contribution of family planning programmes to fertility decline; (3) to discuss the components of a good family planning programme....We discuss the avenues through which a family planning programme and socioeconomic development can affect fertility...[and] discuss the numerous approaches that have been employed to identify the impact of family planning programmes (and socioeconomic development) on fertility." The geographical focus is on developing countries.
Correspondence: D. A. Ahlburg, University of Minnes