Studies concerned with demographic methods and with methods from other disciplines that have been applied to demographic data as a whole. Includes mathematical demography and studies on methods of estimation and indirect estimation. Methodological studies and models concerned with one demographic variable, such as migration, are coded under the category concerned with that topic and cross-referenced to this heading. Studies on models used to investigate relationships between demographic variables and for the analysis of empirical data are also coded under this heading.
62:30749 Chen, Youhua. A parity-
and group-age-specific regression population development model.
Chinese Journal of Population Science, Vol. 7, No. 3, 1995. 259-66 pp.
New York, New York. In Eng.
A model of population dynamics in China
is presented that takes into account available data on parity, age, and
marital status. The author considers how the model can be applied to
setting birth quota targets at the local level in the implementation of
population policy.
Correspondence: Y. Chen, Family Planning
Commission, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
62:30750 Ebrahimi, Nader. The
effects of misclassification of the actual cause of death in competing
risk analysis. Statistics in Medicine, Vol. 15, No. 14, Jul 30,
1996. 1,557-66 pp. Chichester, England. In Eng.
The author develops
a way to modify the classical approach to the competing risks analysis
of causes of death. This modification is made in order to accommodate
the problems caused by misclassifications, particularly when
information on the actual cause of death is not available and when a
set of possible causes is provided. The author notes that "many
times there are several causes that act together and realistically it
is impossible for the expert to assign a death to a single cause. In
particular, I provide a likelihood for parametric competing risks
analysis when the actual cause of death is possibly misclassified. The
data include time to death...and a set of possible causes of death. If
misclassification probabilities are unknown, I propose a Baysian
analysis based on a prior distribution for the parameters of interest
and for the misclassification
probabilities."
Correspondence: N. Ebrahimi, Northern
Illinois University, Division of Statistics, De Kalb, IL 60115-2854.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
62:30751 Eggerickx, Thierry; Poulain,
Michel. On the variability of demographic parameters for
small populations. [De la variabilité des paramètres
démographiques pour les petites populations.] Espace,
Populations, Sociétés, No. 1, 1996. 93-102 pp. Villeneuve
d'Ascq, France. In Fre. with sum. in Eng.
"Several obstacles
such as the lack of data, an excessive variability of the parameters or
problems of confidentiality usually stop any attempt to develop a
demographic analysis for local populations. This paper mainly concerns
the problem of variability in the demographic parameters when dealing
with small numbers of events. This is usually the case with local
populations even if several years of observations are grouped. The
discussion concludes by giving formulas for estimating a confidence
interval for different demographic parameters while some examples are
proposed on the base of a set of Belgian communes with different
population size."
Correspondence: T. Eggerickx,
Université Catholique de Louvain, Département de
Démographie, 1 place Montesquieu, B.P. 17, 1348
Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
62:30752 Hoem, Jan M. Harmless
omission in the standardization of demographic rates. Stockholm
Research Reports in Demography, No. 93, ISBN 91-7820-106-3. Mar 1995.
13 pp. Stockholm University, Demography Unit: Stockholm, Sweden. In
Eng.
"Standardization is a well-known technique used to avoid
compositional effects when a schedule of demographic rates are compared
for two or more subpopulations. Common sense tells us that such
standardization can be omitted when the subpopulations have the same
structure with respect to the covariates one could standardize for. The
present note gives a theoretical justification of this intuitive
insight and relates it to the theory for harmless model
misspecification in intensity-regression
analysis."
Correspondence: Stockholm University,
Demography Unit, 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
62:30753 Liao, Tim F. Demographic
theories and models. Sociological Quarterly, Vol. 37, No. 1,
Winter 1996. 17-144 pp. University of California Press: Berkeley,
California. In Eng.
This special issue contains five articles that
examine "the three major substantive matters in demography:
fertility, mortality, and migration. They also span the spectrum from
fairly formal mathematical and statistical models to feminist
renditions and critical evaluations of existing demographic
theories."
Selected items will be cited in this or subsequent
issues of Population Index.
Correspondence: University of
California Press, Journals Division, 2120 Berkeley Way, Berkeley, CA
94720. Location: Princeton University Library (PR).
62:30754 Loriaux, Michel. The
contribution of the Louvain school of demography: critical reflections
on the past and new challenges for the future of the population
sciences. [L'apport de l'école louvaniste de
démographie: réflexions critiques sur le passé et
nouveaux défis pour l'avenir des sciences de la population.]
Population, Vol. 51, No. 2, Mar-Apr 1996. 405-16 pp. Paris, France. In
Fre.
The author, director of the Institute of Demography at the
Catholic University of Louvain in Belgium, discusses the state of the
field of demography. In order to ensure the survival of demography as
an independent discipline, he calls for adaptations to be made to take
into account the increasing complexity of social realities, and for
renewed consideration of the social and human aspects of demographic
issues.
Correspondence: M. Loriaux, Université
Catholique de Louvain, Institut de Démographie, 1 place
Montesquieu, B.P. 17, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
62:30755 Pollard, John H.
Modelling the interaction between the sexes. Actuarial Studies
and Demography Research Paper, No. 007/95, ISBN 1-86408-095-7. Sep
1995. 34 pp. Macquarie University, School of Economic and Financial
Studies: Sydney, Australia. In Eng.
"In this paper, we outline
the traditional one-sex models used by demographers, and point out
their limitations in handling the necessary interaction between the
sexes. We then describe some of the more important approaches which
have been proposed to tackle the two-sex
problem."
Correspondence: Macquarie University, School
of Economic and Financial Studies, Sydney, NSW 2109, Australia.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
62:30756 Pressat, Roland. The
characteristics of French demography. [Spécificité
de la démographie française.] Population, Vol. 51, No. 2,
Mar-Apr 1996. 399-404 pp. Paris, France. In Fre.
The author
attempts to define what is meant by "the French school of
demography." In contrast to the United States, France possesses
many decades of complete and detailed national population data; this
has contributed to a French focus on a quantitative, statistical
approach to analytical demography, while the United States is
particularly strong in specific or sociological research, in part
because many U.S. studies are privately funded by various foundations.
Citing Louis Henry as an example, the author concludes that the French
school of demography is defined by a particular attention to the
details of demographic analysis and by efforts to systematize its
methods.
Correspondence: R. Pressat, Institut National
d'Etudes Démographiques, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris Cedex
14, France. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
62:30757 Roussel, Louis; Chasteland,
Jean-Claude. A half-century of demography in the
industrialized countries: some reflections on what it has
accomplished. [Un demi-siècle de démographie dans
les pays industriels: quelques réflexions sur un bilan.]
Population, Vol. 51, No. 2, Mar-Apr 1996. 417-37 pp. Paris, France. In
Fre.
The authors discuss the past and present identity of the field
of demography. The discussion refers to papers given at INED's fiftieth
anniversary colloquium on the past and future of demography in France,
Great Britain, the United States, the former Soviet Union, Hungary, the
Netherlands, and Italy. In order to prevent demography from becoming a
merely auxiliary discipline, they call for preserving the specificity
of the science while opening it up to other
disciplines.
Correspondence: L. Roussel, Institut National
d'Etudes Démographiques, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris Cedex
14, France. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
62:30758 Shen, J.; Spence, N. A.
Modelling urban-rural population growth in China. Environment
and Planning A, Vol. 28, No. 8, Aug 1996. 1,417-44 pp. London, England.
In Eng.
"The population of China is still growing despite a
dramatic decline in fertility in the past two decades. There are marked
urban-rural differentials in fertility and, as a result, the pace of
urbanization has significant effects on population growth. In this
research an attempt is made to model urban-rural population growth in
China. A demoeconomic model of urban and rural sectors is calibrated to
account for the long-term trend of urbanization in China....An
accounts-based urban-rural population model, in which rural to urban
migration and transition are driven by the foregoing demoeconomic
model, is established....These models are used to make urban-rural
population projections for the period 1988-2087 under various fertility
rate assumptions."
Correspondence: J. Shen, University
of Wales, Department of Geography, Singleton Park, Swansea SA2 8PP,
Wales. Location: Princeton University Library (UES).
