61:30764 Burch,
Thomas K. Estimating the Goodman, Keyfitz, Pullum kinship
equations: an alternative procedure. Mathematical Population
Studies, Vol. 5, No. 2, 1995. 161-70, 183 pp. Langhorne,
Pennsylvania/Basel, Switzerland. In Eng. with sum. in Fre.
"In a
pioneering paper, Goodman, Keyfitz and Pullum...presented a general
analytic system for studying the relationships between mortality and
fertility and kin numbers. For stable populations with varying regimes
of fertility and mortality, they provide formulas to calculate average
numbers of kin, by category of kin, for females of various ages....This
note illustrates an alternative procedure for evaluating the kinship
integrals, using computer software developed since their paper first
appeared....The procedure involves two steps: 1) analytic expressions
are found to represent empirical data on age-specific fertility and
survivorship; 2) these expressions are substituted into the theoretical
integral equations for kin numbers...which are then evaluated
numerically....The procedure is illustrated for children and
grandchildren for 1981 Canadian data...."
For the study by Leo
Goodman et al., see 40:3393 and 42:21501.
Correspondence:
T. K. Burch, University of Western Ontario, Department of Sociology,
Population Studies Centre, London, Ontario N6A 5C2, Canada.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30765 Dionne,
Claude. Intergenerational relations and some models
derived from them. [Les relations intergenerationnelles et
quelques modeles qui en decoulent.] European Journal of
Population/Revue Europeenne de Demographie, Vol. 11, No. 1, 1995.
85-101 pp. Amsterdam, Netherlands. In Fre. with sum. in Eng.
"Lotka's model of population consists of a dynamic process of
population renewal which connects fertility, survival and age-structure
with each other. It requires the assumption of stability of
demographic parameters. We suggest here a static approach, which
relates different cohorts to each other by chains (links, bonds) of
descent and ascent, and which does not require any assumptions about
demographic stability."
Correspondence: C. Dionne, Bureau
de la Statistique du Quebec, 200 Chemin Sainte-Foy, Saint-Andre,
Quebec, Quebec G1R 5T4, Canada. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
61:30766 Hill, Allan
G.; Brass, William. The analysis of maternity
histories. ISBN 2-87040-045-4. [1992]. 498 pp. Editions
Derouaux-Ordina: Liege, Belgium; International Union for the Scientific
Study of Population [IUSSP]: Liege, Belgium. In Eng.
This is a
collection of studies on the analysis of maternity histories. The works
were originally presented at a meeting organized by the IUSSP Committee
on the Comparative Analysis of Fertility in the early 1980s. "The
volume in Part I starts by covering some quite general methodological
issues. Then in Part II, several authors present different aspects of
the analysis of the reliability of the data on the maternity histories.
Part III focuses more on the interpretation of the analyses. Parts IV
and V include some case studies from high and low fertility countries
including comparisons of data from birth histories with accurate vital
registration data."
Correspondence: Editions
Derouaux-Ordina, 10 place Saint Jacques, 4000 Liege, Belgium.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30767 Krishnan,
Parameswara. Modeling demographic catastrophes. In:
American Statistical Association, 1993 Proceedings of the Social
Statistics Section. [1993]. 32-4 pp. American Statistical Association:
Alexandria, Virginia. In Eng.
"Stochastic process approximations of
the occurrence of demographic catastrophes are presented. Data on
Indian famines and Canadian fertility are employed to illustrate the
models."
Correspondence: P. Krishnan, University of
Alberta, Department of Sociology, Edmonton, Alberta T6G 2H4, Canada.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30768 Scrivener,
Glen; Lloyd, David C. E. F. Allocating census data to
general practice populations: implications for study of prescribing
variation at practice level. British Medical Journal, Vol. 311,
No. 6998, Jul 15, 1995. 163-6 pp. London, England. In Eng.
"The
aims of our study were...to make use of the new directory [which links
postcodes and enumeration districts for the United Kingdom] to place
patients of general practices in their enumeration district of
residence and...to test the accuracy to which the population structure
for practices can be predicted from census data using proportional
allocation techniques at different geographical levels." The authors
"assign census data to general practice populations and...test accuracy
of different procedures for estimating the proportion of patients aged
over 64. [They find that] although predicted values correlated with
actual values, the failure of the allocation procedures to correctly
predict values, especially at the extremes, casts doubt on the validity
of similar techniques for allocating census variables to general
practice populations." Data are from the 1991 census of the United
Kingdom.
Correspondence: G. Scrivener, University of Leeds,
Academic Unit of General Practice, Prescribing Research Unit, Leeds LS2
9NZ, England. Location: Princeton University Library (SZ).
61:30769 Termote,
Marc; Bonaguidi, Alberto. Stable multiregional population
as a tool for economic analysis. An application to Italy,
1977-1986. [La population multiregionale stable comme instrument
d'analyse conjoncturelle. Une application a l'Italie, 1977-1986.]
Cahiers Quebecois de Demographie, Vol. 22, No. 2, Fall 1993. 313-38 pp.
Montreal, Canada. In Fre. with sum. in Eng; Spa.
"The intensity of
short-term fluctuations in a population's demographic behaviour is
often overshadowed by a force of inertia resulting from the structures
inherited from past behaviour. Stable population theory produces an
effective way to eliminate this 'weight of the past'. This article
presents the results of an application of this approach in analyzing
changes in the fertility, migration and mortality regime of the Italian
population during the 1977-1986 period."
Correspondence: M.
Termote, Universite du Quebec, Institut National de la Recherche
Scientifique-Urbanisation, 3465 rue Durocher, Montreal, Quebec H2X 2C6,
Canada. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30770 Toulemon,
Laurent. Logistic regression and hazard analysis: two
course papers. [Regression logistique et regression sur les
risques: deux supports de cours.] INED Dossiers et Recherches, No. 46,
Mar 1995. 34, 15 pp. Institut National d'Etudes Demographiques [INED]:
Paris, France. In Fre.
This publication includes two separate
papers developed as supporting documentation for methodological
courses. The first one concerns logistic regression and the second
deals with hazard analysis. Both texts focus on how regression works
and on the necessary conditions for the application of such
methods.
Correspondence: Institut National d'Etudes
Demographiques, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris Cedex 14, France.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30771 Wood, S.
N. Obtaining birth and mortality patterns from structured
population trajectories. Ecological Monographs, Vol. 64, No. 1,
Feb 1994. 23-44 pp. Tempe, Arizona. In Eng.
"A method is presented
for unravelling the demographic equation for structured populations. A
solution to the McKendrick-von Foerster equation is constructed using
spline functions and this is fitted to stage-structured population data
in such a way that the solution is smooth, positive, and does not imply
negative death rates. The smoothness of the surface, and hence the
complexity of the population model, is determined in a statistically
optimum manner using cross validation. Time- and age-dependent death
rates can be obtained as well as time-dependent birth rates.
Confidence intervals are obtained for population size and death rates
that give a 95% probability that the true population dynamics are
within the intervals. Practical application of the method is
demonstrated, and comparison made with three alternative
methods."
Correspondence: S. N. Wood, Imperial College at
Silwood Park, NERC Centre for Population Biology, Ascot, Berkshire SL5
7PY, England. Location: Princeton University Library (SZ).
61:30772 Xie,
Zhenming; Lou, Binbin. Collection and application of
qualitative data: the method of focus group discussion. Chinese
Journal of Population Science, Vol. 7, No. 1, 1995. 39-44 pp. New York,
New York. In Eng.
The authors outline the use of focus group
discussions in population research in China, with a focus on advantages
and disadvantages when compared with quantitative research
methods.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30773 Yashin,
Anatoli I.; Vaupel, James W.; Iachine, Ivan A. Correlated
individual frailty: an advantageous approach to survival analysis of
bivariate data. Mathematical Population Studies, Vol. 5, No. 2,
1995. 145-59, 183 pp. Langhorne, Pennsylvania/Basel, Switzerland. In
Eng. with sum. in Fre.
"We develop a new model of bivariate
survival based on the notion of correlated individual frailty. We
analyze the properties of this model and suggest a new approach to the
analysis of bivariate data that does not require a parametric
specification--but permits estimation--of the form of the hazard
function for individuals. We empirically demonstrate the advantages of
the model in the statistical analysis of bivariate
data."
Correspondence: A. I. Yashin, Odense University
Medical School, Winslowparken 17, 1, 5000 Odense C, Denmark.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
