61:30086 Tsubouchi,
Yoshihiro. Population of Southeast Asia in the
mid-nineteenth century: population counts appearing in the Journal of
the Indian Archipelago and Eastern Asia. Southeast Asian Studies,
Vol. 32, No. 3, Dec 1994. 255-305 pp. Kyoto, Japan. In Jpn. with sum.
in Eng.
"This paper aims to compile and evaluate the information on
the population of Southeast Asia in the Mid-nineteenth century
appearing in the Journal of the Indian Archipelago and Eastern Asia,
which was published from 1847 to 1860 in Singapore. The journal
contains considerable numbers of population figures for the pre-census
period,...[concerning] Sumatra, the Malay Peninsula, the Straits
Settlements, Java, Bali, Lombok, Sulawesi, Borneo, and other parts of
insular Southeast Asia. The general tendency of the population counts
of insular Southeast Asia in this period by the Europeans is toward
underestimation. This is especially true for the inland areas of the
larger islands, which were remote from the European sphere of
influence. Populations of the small islands located on commercial
routes are reported relatively accurately or even overestimated.
Populations of the European settlements are sometimes overestimated and
their growth rates tend to be exaggerated."
Correspondence:
Y. Tsubouchi, Kyoto University, Center for Southeast Asian Studies,
Shimoadachicho 46, Yoshida, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto 606, Japan.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30087 Wilmoth,
John R. Population issues. Perspectives: past and
present. American Enterprise, Vol. 5, No. 5, Sep-Oct 1994. 30-5
pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
The author examines print coverage of
population issues over the last five decades and describes how
perspectives have changed over time. He notes that "since World War II
the majority view of population within the American media has been that
rapid population growth threatens the welfare of humans and other
species."
Correspondence: J. R. Wilmoth, University of
California, Department of Demography, 2232 Piedmont Avenue, Berkeley,
CA 94720. Location: World Bank, Joint Bank-Fund Library,
Washington, D.C.
61:30088 Batutis,
Michael J. Evaluation of 1990 population estimates and the
future of the Census Bureau subnational estimates program. In:
American Statistical Association, 1993 Proceedings of the Social
Statistics Section. [1993]. 123-30 pp. American Statistical
Association: Alexandria, Virginia. In Eng.
"The purpose of this
paper is twofold. First, the paper establishes a historical context
for the 1990 evaluation program. In so doing, the paper attempts to
show how the philosophy toward population estimates, as explicated in
official publications, has shaped the current evaluation program.
Second, the paper attempts to show, in broad outline, the changes in
philosophy that are required to move the population estimates program
toward the year 2000 and beyond."
Correspondence: M. J.
Batutis, U.S. Bureau of the Census, Washington, D.C. 20233-0001.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30089 Belgium.
Institut National de Statistique (Brussels, Belgium).
Total population of Belgium as at January 1, 1994. [Population
totale et Belge au 1.1.1994.] Statistiques Demographiques, No. 3A,
1994. 231 pp. Brussels, Belgium. In Fre.
Population estimates based
on data from the Belgian National Population Register are presented for
January 1, 1994. Data are included on population characteristics,
including sex, age, and marital status down to the communal
level.
Correspondence: Institut National de Statistique, 44
rue de Louvain, Centre Albert, 8e etage, 1000 Brussels, Belgium.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30090 Cornelsen,
Carsten. First results of the microcensus, April
1994. [Erste Ergebnisse des Mikrozensus April 1994.] Wirtschaft
und Statistik, No. 4, Apr 1995. 279-86 pp. Wiesbaden, Germany. In Ger.
Results from the April 1994 microcensus of Germany are presented,
together with some comparative data for earlier years. Information is
included on population growth, labor force participation by age and
sex, unemployment, and source of livelihood. Comparisons are made
between the former East and West Germany.
Location:
Princeton University Library (PF).
61:30091 Davis, Sam
T. Evaluation of postcensal county estimates for the
1980s. In: American Statistical Association, 1993 Proceedings of
the Social Statistics Section. [1993]. 131-6 pp. American Statistical
Association: Alexandria, Virginia. In Eng.
This paper examines
various issues concerning the evaluation of the official population
estimates prepared for U.S. counties. "The first is their overall
performance for the whole nation. We are also interested in
identifying which types of counties had better estimates, and in that
vein we examined the county estimates grouped by population size and
estimated growth between 1980 and 1990."
Correspondence: S.
T. Davis, U.S. Bureau of the Census, Population Division, Washington,
D.C. 20233. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30092 Japan.
Statistics Bureau (Tokyo, Japan). Population estimates as
of October 1, 1994. Population Estimates Series, No. 67, May 1995.
82 pp. Tokyo, Japan. In Jpn. with sum. in Eng.
This volume contains
population estimates by age and sex for Japan as a whole and for
individual prefectures for 1994. Much of the data is presented
separately for Japanese and foreigners.
Correspondence:
Statistics Bureau, Management and Coordination Agency, 19-1
Wakamatsu-cho, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
61:30093 Leib,
Jurgen; Mertins, Gunter. Pocket atlas of the 1987
population census. [Taschenatlas Volkszahlung 1987.] ISBN
3-89057-012-7. LC 93-216687. 1992. 160 pp. Holler und Zwick: Brunswick,
Germany. In Ger.
A selection of maps and tables from the 1987
population census of West Germany is presented and discussed.
Comparisons are made with data from the 1970
census.
Correspondence: Holler und Zwick, Homburgstrasse
11, 38116 Brunswick, Germany. Location: U.S. Library of
Congress, Washington, D.C.
61:30094 Monnier,
Alain; de Guibert-Lantoine, Catherine. The demographic
situation of Europe and the developed countries overseas: an annual
report. Population: English Selection, Vol. 6, 1994. 203-22 pp.
Paris, France. In Eng.
The authors report on population trends in
Europe since 1985. Aspects considered include population change,
natality and fertility, nuptiality and divorce, abortion, and
mortality.
For a previous report in this series, see 60:30075.
Correspondence: A. Monnier, Institut National d'Etudes
Demographiques, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris Cedex 14, France.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30095 Steenkamp,
H. A. Population estimates for the RSA by magisterial
district and province, 1995. Research Report/Navorsingsverslag,
No. 219, ISBN 0-947459-62-6. 1995. ix, 76 pp. University of South
Africa, Bureau of Market Research: Pretoria, South Africa. In Eng.
Population estimates for South Africa and its regions and districts
are presented for 1995 using data from the 1991 census as well as other
official sources. The estimates are presented separately for the four
major population groups.
Correspondence: University of
South Africa, Bureau of Market Research, P.O. Box 392, Pretoria 0001,
South Africa. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30096 United
States. National Center for Health Statistics [NCHS] (Hyattsville,
Maryland). Vital and health statistics: Russian
Federation and United States, selected years 1980-93. Vital and
Health Statistics, Series 5: International Vital and Health Statistics
Report, No. 9, Pub. Order No. DHHS (PHS) 95-1485. Jun 1995. viii, 28
pp. Hyattsville, Maryland. In Eng.
"This report contains 18 tables
covering population size, natural increase in population, birth rates,
life expectancy, infant mortality, death rates, incidence of notifiable
diseases, AIDS, levels of health personnel, hospital utilization, and
ambulatory care in the Russian Federation and the United States. Also
included are a glossary of terms used in this report where differences
in definitions between the two countries are noted and a special
appendix with selected data from the Russian Federation by urban-rural
status."
Correspondence: U.S. National Center for Health
Statistics, 6525 Belcrest Road, Hyattsville, MD 20782.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30097 Zakee,
R. Population growth in Western Europe in 1994 continues
to decrease. [Bevolkingsgroei in West-Europa in 1994 verder
afgenomen.] Maandstatistiek van de Bevolking, Vol. 43, No. 4, Apr 1995.
19-22 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
"Fertility in most western [European] countries in 1994 decreased
less than it did in 1993....Monthly patterns show few births in most
European countries in the second quarter of 1993 and in the third
quarter of 1994." Information is also provided on mortality and life
expectancy, natural increase, and migration.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30098 Bourcier de
Carbon, Philippe. The population of France: the timetable
of a scheduled contraction. [Population de la France: Chronique
d'une implosion annoncee.] Population et Avenir, No. 621, Jan-Feb 1995.
6-11 pp. Paris, France. In Fre.
The author reviews recent official
population projections for France up to 2050. He notes that, whatever
assumptions are made concerning future trends in fertility, there will
be a dramatic increase in demographic aging. The implications of the
increased financial burden that the population of working age will have
to shoulder are discussed.
Correspondence: P. Bourcier de
Carbon, Alliance Nationale Population et Avenir, 35 rue Marbeuf, 75008
Paris, France. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30099 Bouvier,
Leon F.; Poston, Dudley L. Thirty million Texans?
ISBN 1-881290-20-4. LC 92-75793. 1993. [x, 107] pp. Center for
Immigration Studies: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"In this book, we
examine how the population of Texas will grow and what this will mean
to the state's institutions and its people." Chapters are included on
the population situation in 1990, projections to 2020, education, the
labor force, the changing nature of Texas culture, the quality of life
in the twenty-first century, and beyond
2020.
Correspondence: Center for Immigration Studies, 1815
H Street NW, Suite 1010, Washington, D.C. 20006-3604.
Location: U.S. Library of Congress, Washington, D.C.
61:30100 Japan.
Institute of Population Problems (Tokyo, Japan). Household
projections for Japan by prefecture: 1990-2010. Institute of
Population Problems Research Series, No. 283, Mar 31, 1995. 227 pp.
Tokyo, Japan. In Jpn.
Household projections are presented by
prefecture for Japan up to the year 2010.
Correspondence:
Institute of Population Problems, Ministry of Health and Welfare, 1-2-2
Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-45, Japan. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30101 Rees,
Philip. Key issues in subnational projection models.
School of Geography Working Paper, No. 94/8, Jun 1994. iv, 25 pp.
University of Leeds, School of Geography: Leeds, England. In Eng.
"The paper presents the issues that must be addressed by the
designers of population projection models at subnational scales....No
ideal choice set is offered for the many design decisions that must be
made, but careful consideration of each issue should lead to the
development of an effective and usable projection model." The
geographical focus is on Great Britain and European Community member
countries.
Correspondence: University of Leeds, School of
Geography, Leeds LS2 9JT, England. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
61:30102 Schulz,
Erika. Population trends in Germany up to the year 2010,
with prospects to 2040. [Bevolkerungsentwicklung in Deutschland
bis zum Jahr 2010 mit Ausblick auf 2040.] Deutsches Institut fur
Wirtschaftsforschung, Wochenbericht, Vol. 60, Jul 22, 1993. 393-404 pp.
Berlin, Germany. In Ger.
Population projections for Germany are
presented up to the year 2010, and the outlook up the year 2040 is
briefly discussed. Two different migration scenarios are used, and
comparisons are made between the former East and West
Germany.
Location: University of Southern California
Library, Los Angeles CA.
61:30103 Secomski,
Kazimierz. Present and forecasted demographic problems in
Poland to the year 2010. Polish Population Review, No. 5, 1994.
232-53 pp. Warsaw, Poland. In Eng.
The author describes potential
future demographic trends in Poland, with attention to economic
conditions, the labor force, demographic aging, family allowances,
excess mortality, population size, and age
distribution.
Correspondence: K. Secomski, Government
Population Commission, Plac Trzech Krzyzy 5, 00507 Warsaw, Poland.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30104 Shorter,
Frederic C.; Sendek, Robert; Bayoumy, Yvette.
Computational methods for population projections: with particular
reference to development planning. 2nd ed. ISBN 0-87834-021-1. LC
94-40153. 1995. viii, 125 pp. Population Council: New York, New York.
In Eng.
This manual explains the logical foundations of population
projections and the kinds of inputs required to make them, particularly
in developing countries, using the FIVFIV software distributed and
supported by the Population Council. "FIVFIV comes in four languages,
English, French, Spanish, and Turkish....It runs on a personal computer
(PC) under DOS 2.0 or higher if the PC has at least 256 Kb of
memory--more is better, of course. It runs on either floppy-disk or
hard-disk systems. Anyone who has used earlier releases of FIVFIV can
use their old control files. Release 11.0 includes all the original
options and maintains full upward compatibility." New features in
release 11.0 include "a page of indicators concerning fertility,
mortality, migration, and population growth year by year for the first
15 years (ask for REGROUP to get it), which can be extended by chaining
projections. Migration assumptions can be made in four different ways.
These assumptions give the user control over whether they refer to
actual migration during the period or to survivors of those individuals
who migrated during the period." An IBM/PC version of FIVFIV is
included on a diskette.
For the first edition, published in 1974,
see 41:1774.
Correspondence: Population Council, One Dag
Hammarskjold Plaza, New York, NY 10017. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
61:30105 Stillwell,
John. The adjustment of population and household
projections for strategic planning purposes. School of Geography
Working Paper, No. 94/19, Oct 1994. 27 pp. University of Leeds, School
of Geography: Leeds, England. In Eng.
"This paper reports on an
applied research project...to investigate the validity of the existing
OPCS/DoE [Department of the Environment] 1989-based population and
household projections for local authority areas in the light of data
from the 1991 [U.K.] Census and other sources. This paper contains a
description of historical and projected population and household
change, a comparison of the 1989-based projections for mid-1991 with
the revised final mid-1991 rebased population estimates, a time series
analysis of migration trends, a comparison of the assumptions about
marital status used in the official projections with those recorded by
the 1991 Census, and a comparison of the headship rate assumptions used
in the projections with those identified in the 1991
Census."
Correspondence: University of Leeds, School of
Geography, Leeds LS2 9JT, England. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
61:30106 United
Kingdom. Office of Population Censuses and Surveys [OPCS]. Social
Survey Division (London, England). National population
projections, 1992-based. Series PP2, No. 19, ISBN 0-11-691617-6.
1995. vii, 51 pp. London, England. In Eng.
Population projections
are presented for the United Kingdom and its constituent countries up
to the year 2032, based on 1992 population estimates. Following the
introductory text describing the methodology used and an appendix
detailing sex and age structure of the projected population by country,
the detailed projections are provided on
microfiche.
Correspondence: Office of Population Censuses
and Surveys, Social Survey Division, St. Catherine's House, 10
Kingsway, London WC2B 6JP, England. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
61:30107 United
Nations. Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia [CELADE] (Santiago,
Chile). Latin America: population by calendar years and
single ages. Period 1990-2000. [America Latina: poblacion por
anos calendario y edades simples. Periodo 1990-2000.] Boletin
Demografico/Demographic Bulletin, Vol. 28, No. 55, Jan 1995. 282 pp.
Santiago, Chile. In Eng; Spa.
Data are presented for Latin America
as a whole and for the 20 individual countries on population by sex and
single years of age for calendar years from 1990 to
2000.
Correspondence: UN Centro Latinoamericano de
Demografia, Edificio Naciones Unidas, Avenida Dag Hammarskjold, Casilla
91, Santiago, Chile. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
61:30108 Chauvel,
Louis. Rural depopulation: 1954-1990. [La
desertification du territoire: 1954-1990.] Observations et Diagnostics
Economiques, No. 51, Oct 1994. 89-121, 184-5 pp. Paris, France. In Fre.
with sum. in Eng.
"The purpose of this paper is to present evidence
for a long term link between employment and population [in rural
France]. A model is built in order to describe the interaction between
employment, migration and natural population increase over 1962-1990.
This shows how declining departments are bound within a vicious
mechanism: while the decline of local employment leads to population
outflow, the population decline contributes to a further employment
fall."
Correspondence: L. Chauvel, Observatoire Francais
des Conjonctures Economiques, Cellule de Sociologie, 69 quai d'Orsay,
75007 Paris, France. Location: World Bank, Joint Bank-Fund
Library, Washington, D.C.
61:30109 Horiuchi,
Shiro. The cohort approach to population growth: a
retrospective decomposition of growth rates for Sweden. Population
Studies, Vol. 49, No. 1, Mar 1995. 147-63 pp. London, England. In Eng.
"Demographic changes affect population growth not only during the
same period, but also in later years. A method for measuring those
later effects is developed in this paper, by adopting a cohort
perspective of population growth and decomposing the current growth
rate into contributions of past demographic changes. Its application
to 210 years of Swedish demographic history indicates that events
several decades ago could exert substantial impacts on current
population growth. The decomposition results reflect some typical
patterns of demographic and epidemiological transitions as well as such
historically unique events as the baby boom of the mid-1940s and the
emigration boom to the United States. In addition, the results provide
a quantitative explanation for the puzzling combination of the positive
actual and negative intrinsic growth rates in recent
Sweden."
Correspondence: S. Horiuchi, Rockefeller
University, 1230 York Avenue, New York, NY 10021. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30110 Jordaan,
Johannes; Mfono, Zanele; Tshabalala, Mandla. Population
growth--our time bomb: the solution to South Africa's population
problem. ISBN 0-627-01789-4. LC 92-183206. 1991. 154 pp. J. L. van
Schaik: Pretoria, South Africa. In Eng.
The authors make the case
that South Africa is suffering from overpopulation, and that the
country's economic and social problems are not only exacerbated by
rapid population growth, but cannot be resolved unless the leaders of
the country's major ethnic and cultural groups can agree on policies
and measures to bring the rate of population growth quickly downward.
Particular attention is given to the attitudes of black South Africans
toward population issues. The various programs in both public and
private sectors that exist and could be further developed in the area
of family planning are described.
Correspondence: J. L. van
Schaik, 1064 Arcadia Street, Hatfield, Pretoria, South Africa.
Location: U.S. Library of Congress, Washington, D.C.
61:30111 Penev,
Goran. The demographic situation in border area
settlements of Serbia, 1981-1991. [Demografska situacija u
pogranicnim naseljima Srbije u periodu 1981-1991.] Stanovnistvo, Vol.
32, No. 3-4, Jul-Dec 1994. 121-38 pp. Belgrade, Yugoslavia. In Scr.
with sum. in Eng.
"This paper analyses population dynamics in 180
settlements located in border areas of Serbia with Albania, Bulgaria,
Hungary and Romania....The author argues that the border area
settlements of Serbia constitute the emigration zone....The author
differentiates between two types of border area settlements with regard
to natural movement: (1) high fertility versus low mortality
settlements...and (2) settlements...displaying negative rates of
natural increase....The author points to a very heterogenous national
composition of the population in border areas of
Serbia."
Correspondence: G. Penev, Institut Drustvenih
Nauka, Centar za Demografska Istrazivanja, Belgrade, Yugoslavia.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
61:30112
Radovanovic, Svetlana; Stankovic, Vladimir.
Depopulation in Serbia by type of settlement in the period
1981-1991. [Depopulaciona kretanja na prostorima Srbije prema tipu
naselja u periodu 1981-1991.] Stanovnistvo, Vol. 32, No. 3-4, Jul-Dec
1994. 103-20 pp. Belgrade, Yugoslavia. In Scr. with sum. in Eng.
"Population in the Republic of Serbia has for quite some time been
recording significant differences in its development patterns:
demographic explosion in Kosovo and Metohia and demographic implosion
in Central Serbia and in Vojvodina. The consequences of such
developments are reflected in a very dynamic downward tendency of a
positive natural growth in Central Serbia and Vojvodina, as well as in
an intensified depopulation in Kosovo and Metohia conglomerations
inhabited by the Serbs."
Correspondence: S. Radovanovic,
Institut Drustvenih Nauka, Centar za Demografska Istrazivanja,
Belgrade, Yugoslavia. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
61:30113 Vojkovic,
Gordana; Devedzic, Mirjana. Population development in the
Republic of South Africa from 1950 to 1990. [Razvoj stanovnistva
Juznoafricke Republike u periodu 1950-1990.] Stanovnistvo, Vol. 32, No.
3-4, Jul-Dec 1994. 139-52 pp. Belgrade, Yugoslavia. In Scr. with sum.
in Eng.
"The specific character of demographic development in South
Africa reflects all the controversies of the country's historical,
social and economic development....All of the South African population
groups are in different demographic transition phases....[The]
population is characterized by a progressive age structure with a
marked predominance of young. The resulting increase of fertile and
working-age population points to future demographic problems and the
need to contain the population growth. If the current upward trend
continues, the size of the South African population will double by
2025."
Correspondence: G. Vojkovic, Srpske Akademije Nauka
i Umetnosti, Geografski Institut Jovan Cvijic, Belgrade, Yugoslavia.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
