60:30068 Andreev,
Evgeny M.; Darsky, Leonid E.; Kharkova, Tatiana L.
Population dynamics: consequences of regular and irregular
changes. In: Demographic trends and patterns in the Soviet Union
before 1991, edited by Wolfgang Lutz, Sergei Scherbov, and Andrei
Volkov. 1994. 423-40 pp. Routledge: New York, New York/London, England;
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [IIASA]:
Laxenburg, Austria. In Eng.
"This chapter critically evaluates the
results of the 1926, 1937, and 1939 population censuses [in the former
Soviet Union] and makes necessary corrections. We use modern methods
to provide a picture of possible population trends in each cohort
during these years." Some of the political factors affecting data
collection and publication in these censuses are discussed. The
demographic impact of various crises are estimated, including the
effects of World War I and the civil revolution of 1917 on male
mortality, the famine of the early 1930s on birth rates, and World War
II on mortality and fertility levels.
Correspondence: E. M.
Andreev, State Committee of the Russian Federation on Statistics,
Institute of Statistics and Economic Research, Moscow, Russia.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:30069 Bernat i
Marti, Joan S.; Badenes Martin, Miquel A. Growth of the
population of Valencia: analysis and presentation of demographic
censuses (1609-1857). [Crecimiento de la poblacion valenciana:
analisis y presentacion de los censos demograficos (1609-1857).] Arxius
I Documents, No. 11, ISBN 84-7822-098-4. 1994. 360 pp. Edicions Alfons
el Magnanim, Institucio Valenciana d'Estudis i Investigacio [IVEI]:
Valencia, Spain; Generalitat Valenciana, Diputacio Provincial de
Valencia: Valencia, Spain. In Spa.
The authors review trends in
population growth in Valencia, Spain, using censal data for the period
from 1609, when the Moors were expelled, to 1857, when the demographic
transition began. An extensive appendix contains regional population
statistics for selected years in tabular
format.
Correspondence: Edicions Alfons el Magnanim,
Institucio Valenciana d'Estudis i Investigacio, Placa Alfons el
Magnanim, 1-46003 Valencia, Spain. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
60:30070 Doumani,
Beshara B. The political economy of population counts in
Ottoman Palestine: Nablus, circa 1850. International Journal of
Middle East Studies, Vol. 26, No. 1, Feb 1994. 1-17 pp. New York, New
York/Cambridge, England. In Eng.
"New evidence, culled from the
Nablus advisory council...records and based on an actual Ottoman
population count taken in December 1849, indicates that the city's
population at that time numbered at least 20,000 people, more than
twice the frequently cited figure of 8,000-9,000. This revision raises
serious doubts about the veracity of hitherto commonly accepted
population figures, most of them based on contemporary estimates by
Western observers, for the various regions of Palestine during the
first three-quarters of the 19th century. Moreover, when compared to
available data for Nablus from the 16th and the late 19th centuries, it
seems that the pattern of Nablus's demographic development differs from
what the proponents of Ottoman decline and modernization theses have
argued."
Correspondence: B. B. Doumani, University of
Pennsylvania, Department of History, 207 College Hall, Philadelphia, PA
19104. Location: Princeton University Library (SY).
60:30071 Oomens, C.
A. Population movements in the Netherlands in the
nineteenth century. Population Statistics Reprint, No. 5, 1993.
40-52 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Eng.
The author reports on "a
recently concluded study in which Dutch population statistics for the
period 1796-1899 and statistics on Dutch immigrants in other countries
were used to obtain an overall picture of population movements in the
period mentioned. This article briefly describes the methods and
results of that study....Basically, the method used was to bring
together independent estimates...for periods between
censuses...."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:30072 Gu,
Baochang. The world population at the turn of the century.
Conclusions from the 1990 round censuses. In: International
Population Conference/Congres International de la Population: Montreal
1993, Volume 3. 1993. 123-6 pp. International Union for the Scientific
Study of Population [IUSSP]: Liege, Belgium. In Eng.
This is a
brief overview of papers concerning global population trends as
evidenced by 1990 census returns. The papers were presented at the
1993 International Population Conference sponsored by the International
Union for the Scientific Study of
Population.
Correspondence: B. Gu, China Population
Information and Research Center, P.O. Box 2444, Beijing 100081, China.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:30073 Hammes,
Winfried; Fleischer, Henning. Population trends 1992.
[Bevolkerungsentwicklung 1992.] Wirtschaft und Statistik, No. 12, Dec
1993. 893-8 pp. Wiesbaden, Germany. In Ger.
Information is
presented on population trends in Germany in 1992, together with some
comparative data for earlier years. The emphasis is on international
migration and migration between the former East and West Germany. Live
births, deaths, and population size and growth are also briefly
considered.
Location: Princeton University Library (PF).
60:30074 Long, John
F. Methods for postcensal population estimation: flow
methods vs. stock methods. In: International Population
Conference/Congres International de la Population: Montreal 1993,
Volume 3. 1993. 211-21 pp. International Union for the Scientific Study
of Population [IUSSP]: Liege, Belgium. In Eng.
"This paper tries to
explain the population estimates system of the United States in a
systematic way that both illustrates the use of nontraditional data
sets and invites comparisons with similar methods applicable to other
nations with quite different data sets."
Correspondence: J.
F. Long, U.S. Bureau of the Census, Population Division, Washington,
D.C. 20233. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:30075 Monnier,
Alain; de Guibert-Lantoine, Catherine. The demographic
situation of Europe and the developed countries overseas: an annual
report. Population. English Selection, Vol. 5, 1993. 249-71 pp.
Paris, France. In Eng.
The authors present data on population
dynamics in the European Community for 1991 and 1992, with some
comparisons made with previous years. Tables provide information on
population size, births, deaths, infant mortality, fertility, first
marriage rates, divorce, legal abortion, and mean length of
life.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:30076 Slater,
Courtenay M.; Hall, George E. 1994 county and city extra.
Annual metro, city and county data book. 3rd ed. ISBN
0-89059-021-4. LC 92-657333. 1994. xxxvii, 1,043, [131] pp. Bernan
Press: Lanham, Maryland. In Eng.
This "is an annual publication
providing the most up-to-date statistical information available for
every state, county, metropolitan area, and congressional district, and
for all cities with a 1990 population of 25,000 or more in the United
States." In addition to a selection of 1990 census data, the volume
also includes "the latest available data on personal income, employment
and unemployment, health resources, crime, the distribution of federal
funds, city government finances, and many other
topics."
Correspondence: Bernan Press, 4611-F Assembly
Drive, Lanham, MD 20706-4391. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
60:30077 Birg,
Herwig. Model calculations of population trends in Lower
Saxony with special reference to migration. [Modellrechnungen zur
Bevolkerungsentwicklung in Niedersachsen unter besonderer
Berucksichtigung von Wanderungen.] IBS-Materialien, No. 34, ISBN
3-923340-28-1. 1993. iv, 141 pp. Universitat Bielefeld, Institut fur
Bevolkerungsforschung und Sozialpolitik [IBS]: Bielefeld, Germany. In
Ger.
Population projections by age and sex are presented for the
state of Lower Saxony, Germany, for the period 1990-2050. Emphasis is
on the impact of varying assumptions concerning international
migration. The methodology used is also
described.
Correspondence: Universitat Bielefeld, Institut
fur Bevolkerungsforschung und Sozialpolitik, Universitatsstrasse,
Postfach 8640, 4800 Bielefeld 1, Germany. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
60:30078 Bouvier,
Leon F. Fifty million Californians? ISBN
1-881290-24-7. LC 91-76410. 1991. x, 93 pp. Center for Immigration
Studies: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
Current and future population
trends in California are analyzed, using data from the 1990 census.
The author examines probable changes in the ethnic composition of the
population, and the future situation with regard to education, the
economy, cultural change, and the environment. The impacts of these
trends on the state's social institutions, its resources, and
infrastructure are discussed.
Correspondence: Center for
Immigration Studies, 1815 H Street NW, Suite 1010, Washington, D.C.
20006-3604. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:30079 Campbell,
Paul R. Population projections for states, by age, sex,
race, and Hispanic origin: 1993 to 2020. Current Population
Reports, Series P-25, No. 1111, Mar 1994. xxxiii, 40, [7] pp. U.S.
Bureau of the Census: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This is the first
State population projections by the U.S. Bureau of the Census to
present data for four race groups (White; Black; American Indian,
Eskimo, and Aleut; and Asian and Pacific Islander), and the Hispanic
origin population. The four race groups sum to the State totals.
Projections for Hispanic origin are treated separately and are not
additive. Many trends described here are substantially different from
those shown in the previous projections. These differences are
primarily due to change over to the 1990 census base and to changes in
the national population projections used as controls for these
projections...."
Correspondence: U.S. Government Printing
Office, Superintendent of Documents, Mail Stop SSOP, Washington, D.C.
20402-9328. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:30080 de Beer,
J. National population and household forecasts: methods,
assumptions and main outcomes. Population Statistics Reprint, No.
5, 1993. 148-72 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Eng.
"This article
sets out in broad lines how forecasts are made. It describes the
methods used for making the assumptions underlying the forecasts,
discusses the assumptions and describes the main outcomes of recent
forecasts [for the Netherlands]."
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
60:30081 Lutz,
Wolfgang. The future of world population. Population
Bulletin, Vol. 49, No. 1, Jun 1994. 47 pp. Population Reference Bureau:
Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"The world population will continue to
grow; developing countries will account for an increasing share of the
world total; and the average age of the population will rise in all
geographic regions. Beyond these certainties, there is a wide range of
possibilities for the future of world population. The author draws
upon the work of demographers and other population specialists to
assess past demographic trends in major world regions in order to
develop assumptions about future levels of fertility, mortality, and
migration." He also presents a framework of addressing human rights,
socioeconomic development, and global interdependence concerns in the
development of population policy.
Correspondence:
Population Reference Bureau, 1875 Connecticut Avenue NW, Suite 520,
Washington, D.C. 20009-5728. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
60:30082 Panama.
Direccion de Estadistica y Censo (Panama City, Panama).
The demographic situation. Projections of the population of the
whole country by sex according to age group: 1990-2025. Special
bulletin. [Situacion demografica. Proyeccion de la poblacion
total del pais por sexo, segun grupos de edad: anos 1990-2025.
Boletin especial.] Estadistica Panamena, Seccion 221: Movimiento de la
Poblacion, Apr 1993. 24 pp. Panama City, Panama. In Spa.
Population
projections are presented for Panama by age and sex up to the year
2025, using data from the 1990 census. Data are also presented on
estimates and trends for the period
1950-1990.
Correspondence: Direccion de Estadistica y
Censo, Contraloria General de la Republica, Apartado 5213, Panama City
5, Panama. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:30083 Swanson,
David A.; Beck, Donald M. A new short-term county
population projection method. Journal of Economic and Social
Measurement, Vol. 20, No. 1, 1994. 25-50 pp. Amsterdam, Netherlands. In
Eng.
"This paper proposes a new method for short-term county
population projections. It is based on a modification of the
ratio-correlation method of population estimation. The modified
ratio-correlation method can produce projections with a high potential
for accuracy without requiring substantial data and intensive
intellectual labor inputs. Tests of accuracy are examined for the
modified ratio-correlation method and two currently available
alternatives using data from Washington state. The tests suggest that
the new method performs well."
Correspondence: D. A.
Swanson, University of Arkansas, Arkansas Institute for Economic
Advancement, 2801 South University, Little Rock, AR 72204-1099.
Location: Princeton University Library (SF).
60:30084 Vallin,
Jacques. Reflections on the future of world
population. [Reflexions sur l'avenir de la population mondiale.]
Les Dossiers du CEPED, No. 26, ISBN 2-87762-064-6. May 1994. 24 pp.
Centre Francais sur la Population et le Developpement [CEPED]: Paris,
France. In Fre. with sum. in Eng.
"The author first discusses the
reliability of the United Nations world population projections, with a
particular attention to the possible effects on the expected changes in
mortality and fertility levels....He then mentions new findings on the
relationships between population growth and economic
development...."
Correspondence: Centre Francais sur la
Population et le Developpement, 15 rue de l'Ecole de Medecine, 75270
Paris Cedex 06, France. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
60:30085 van Imhoff,
Evert; van Wissen, Leo; Spiess, Katharina. Regional
population projections in the countries of the European Economic
Area. NIDI/CBGS Publication, No. 31, ISBN 90-265-1396-8. 1994. 145
pp. Swets and Zeitlinger: Berwyn, Pennsylvania/Amsterdam, Netherlands.
In Eng.
"As a first step towards achieving a consistent set of
European regional population projections, this book investigates and
evaluates the current state of the art with respect to regional
population projections in the EC and EFTA countries. An introductory
chapter presents a concise yet comprehensive overview of general issues
in regional demographic forecasting. The core of the book consists of a
systematic comparison of the countries involved, on a large number of
relevant aspects of regional population projections. Also, an
evaluation is made of the quality of these countries' regional
projection models, the consistency between regional and national
forecasts, the quality of the input data, and the type of assumptions
on future trends in demographic behaviour."
Correspondence:
Swets and Zeitlinger, Heereweg 347B, 2161 CA Lisse, Netherlands.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:30086 van Imhoff,
Evert; Schoorl, Jeannette; van der Erf, Rob; van der Gaag,
Nicole. Regional population projections of those of
Turkish, Moroccan, Surinamese, or Caribbean origin, 1992-2000.
[Regionale prognose bevolking van Turkse, Marokkaanse, Surinaamse of
Antilliaanse afkomst, 1992-2000.] NIDI Rapport, No. 33, ISBN
90-70990-41-5. 1994. 207 pp. Nederlands Interdisciplinair Demografisch
Instituut [NIDI]: The Hague, Netherlands. In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
"This report presents forecasts of the population in the
Netherlands of Turkish, Moroccan, Surinamese or Antillian origin, by 28
labour market regions. 'Origin' is operationalized as nationality,
country of birth, mother's country of birth, or father's country of
birth, and thus includes the so-called second generation. The forecast
covers the period 1992-2000. The forecasts have been produced with a
simultaneous cohort-component model, where internal migration is
handled using a migration-pool approach."
Correspondence:
Nederlands Interdisciplinair Demografisch Instituut, Postbus 11650,
Lange Houtstraat 19, 2511 CV The Hague, Netherlands. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:30087 Vyatkin, A.
R. Developing countries of the East: a demographic
forecast. [Razvivayushchiesya strany Vostoka: demograficheskii
prognoz.] ISBN 5-02-016497-6. LC 91-111484. 1990. 160 pp. Nauka,
Glavnaya Redaktsiya Vostochnoi Literatury: Moscow, USSR. In Rus. with
sum. in Eng.
The author first examines methodological aspects of
making population projections for developing countries. Changes in
fertility that occurring as a result of the demographic transition and
how they affect those projections are considered. The study concludes
with a review of the role that demographic forecasting can play in
developing countries both today and in the future. The geographical
focus is on Asia, with special attention paid to
India.
Correspondence: Nauka, Glavnaya Redaktsiya
Vostochnoi Literatury, Tsvetnoi Bul'var 21, 103051 Moscow K-51, Russia.
Location: U.S. Library of Congress, Washington, D.C.
60:30088 Fan, C.
Cindy. The temporal and spatial dynamics of income and
population growth in Ohio, 1950-1990. Regional Studies, Vol. 28,
No. 3, 1994. 241-58 pp. Abingdon, England. In Eng. with sum. in Fre;
Ger.
"This paper focuses on spatial variation of growth within a
state. Using Ohio as a case study, two hypotheses are extracted from
the literature. First, the theories of polarization and polarization
reversal suggest that in the old industrial core the leading sector
role of manufacturing has diminished in old manufacturing poles, and
that income growth trends differ substantially between these old poles
and new centres of development. Second, the theories of
suburbanization and migration reversals suggest that population growth
is contingent upon level of urbanization, and that the relationship has
changed drastically between the pre-1970s, 1970s, and post-1970s
periods."
Correspondence: C. C. Fan, University of
California, Department of Geography, 405 Hilgard Avenue, Los Angeles,
CA 90024. Location: Princeton University Library (UES).
60:30089 Levy,
Michel L. Population trends in France, 1990-1993. [La
population de la France de 1990 a 1993.] Population et Societes, No.
288, Mar 1994. 4 pp. Institut National d'Etudes Demographiques [INED]:
Paris, France. In Fre.
Recent demographic trends in France are
summarized using data from published official studies. A significant
decline in fertility over the period 1990-1993 is
noted.
Correspondence: M. L. Levy, Institut National
d'Etudes Demographiques, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris Cedex 14,
France. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
