60:20060 Borrie, W.
D. The European peopling of Australasia: a demographic
history, 1788-1988. ISBN 0-7315-1860-8. 1994. xviii, 403 pp.
Australian National University, Research School of Social Sciences,
Demography Program: Canberra, Australia. In Eng.
"This study is an
account of the colonization by European settlers of the two last major
land masses to be added to the British Empire and of their growth
through successive waves of immigrant settlers and through their own
natural increase. It is not a social history; it is not an economic
history; it is a demographic history, so that its primary concern is
with the factors and nature of population growth, mortality, fertility
and migration. The time-scale of the study is limited to the last two
hundred years in the case of Australia and the last one hundred and
fifty years in the case of New Zealand."
Correspondence:
Australian National University, Research School of Social Sciences,
Division of Demography and Sociology, Demography Program, Canberra, ACT
0200, Australia. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:20061 Galloway,
Patrick R. Secular changes in the short-term preventive,
positive, and temperature checks to population growth in Europe, 1460
to 1909. Climatic Change, Vol. 26, 1994. 3-63 pp. Boston,
Massachusetts/Dordrecht, Netherlands. In Eng.
"Annual variations in
births, marriages, deaths, grain prices, and quarterly temperature
series in England, France, Prussia, and Sweden [for the period
1460-1909] are analyzed using a distributed lag model. The results
provide support for the existence of the short-term preventive,
positive and temperature checks to population growth. Decreases in
fertility and nuptiality are generally associated with increases in
grain prices. Increases in mortality appear to be associated with high
grain prices, cold winters and hot summers. Changes in these responses
over time are examined within the context of economic
development."
For a related paper by the same author, published in
1988, see 54:30546.
Correspondence: P. R. Galloway,
University of California, Department of Demography, 2232 Piedmont
Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
60:20062 Iacono,
Carlo; Manzi, Carlo. Demographic trends in Sicily,
1962-1989. [L'evoluzione demografica in Sicilia nel periodo
1962-1989.] Economia e Credito, No. 31, Mar-Jun 1992. 321-60 pp.
Palermo, Italy. In Ita.
A general analysis of population trends in
the island of Sicily, Italy, is presented for the period 1962-1989,
with particular emphasis on the period from 1982 to 1989. Data is
presented on demographic changes occurring in each of the island's 390
communes in order to identify regional differences in such
trends.
Correspondence: C. Iacono, Ufficio
Studi-Scicilcassa, Sicily, Italy. Location: American Graduate
School of International Management, Barton Kyle Yount Library,
Glendale, AZ.
60:20063 Nusteling,
Hubert P. H. The population of England, 1539-1873: an
issue of demographic homeostasis. Histoire et Mesure, Vol. 8, No.
1-2, 1993. 59-92 pp. Paris, France. In Eng.
The author constructs a
population series for England for the period 1539-1873 using the
demographic homeostasis method. The method is evaluated and compared
with the use of back projection.
Correspondence: H. P. H.
Nusteling, Katholieke Universiteit Nijmegen, Comeniuslaan 4, P.O.B.
9102, 6500 HC Nijmegen, Netherlands. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
60:20064 Sanchez de
la Calle, Jose A. Population growth in Plasencia in the
nineteenth century. [El crecimiento de la poblacion placentina en
el siglo XIX.] Boletin de la Asociacion de Demografia Historica, Vol.
11, No. 2, 1993. 75-116 pp. Madrid, Spain. In Spa. with sum. in Eng;
Fre.
"Using sources such as parish registers, civil registers,
records of the town hall, inquiries, [censuses] and list of
inhabitants, we have been able to confirm the existence of four
different stages in the demographic development of Plasencia [Spain].
The first one, between 1800 and 1815, is characterized by a scarce
growing....The second one, between 1816 and 1839, shows a certain
increase which is restrained at the end of the 30s because of some
epidemic illness (cholera and various fevers). The period between 1840
and 1871 is a stage of slow growing due to many subsistence crises. The
fourth stage, 1872-1899, continues the same outline with a great rising
of mortality, which does not prevent the rising of population in
Plasencia caused by a high rate of
inmigration."
Correspondence: J. A. Sanchez de la Calle,
Los Yebenes 159, 3o D, 28047 Madrid, Spain. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:20065 Shevyakov,
A. A. The all-Union census of population of 1939 need not
have happened... [Vsesoyuznaya perepis' naseleniya 1939 g. mogla i
ne sostoyat'sya...] Sotsiologicheskie Issledovaniya, No. 5, 1993. 3-13
pp. Moscow, Russia. In Rus.
The author examines some social and
demographic aspects of the 1939 Soviet census, and points out that this
census was taken only because Stalin rejected the results of the 1937
census. Some results of the 1939 census are discussed concerning
population growth, spatial distribution, literacy, educational status,
age distribution, fertility, marriage, and divorce in the whole of the
USSR, in selected republics, and in rural and urban
areas.
Correspondence: A. A. Shevyakov, Institute of
Russian History, Moscow, Russia. Location: Princeton
University Library (PR).
60:20066 Byerly,
Edwin R.; Schmidley, Dianne. Population estimates for
counties and metropolitan areas: July 1, 1991. Current Population
Reports, Series P-25: Population Estimates and Projections, No. 1108,
Feb 1994. viii, 60 pp. U.S. Bureau of the Census: Washington, D.C. In
Eng.
"This report presents July 1, 1991 estimates for counties and
metropolitan areas (MA's) in the United States, together with their
April 1, 1990 census counts. These estimates are consistent with the
population as enumerated in the 1990 census, and have not been adjusted
for census coverage errors. The report also includes for counties, the
components of population change--births, deaths, and residual
change--between April 1, 1990 and July 1,
1991."
Correspondence: U.S. Government Printing Office,
Superintendent of Documents, Washington, D.C. 20402.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:20067 Macau.
Direccao de Servicos de Estatistica e Censos (Macau).
Estimates of the resident population, by sex and five-year age
groups, 1951-1991: projections of the resident population,
1990-2000. Dec 1993. 140 pp. Macau. In Eng.
Population
estimates are presented in the first part of this report for Macau by
sex and age, based on preliminary results from the 1991 census and on
other official sources. The second part gives population projections
up to the year 2000, also by age and sex.
Correspondence:
Direccao de Servicos de Estatistica e Censos, Documentation and
Information Centre, Rua Inacio Baptista 4D-6, 3o andar, Macau.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:20068 Miettinen,
Anneli. Population data on Finland, 1900-1992.
Yearbook of Population Research in Finland, Vol. 31, 1993. 133-42 pp.
Helsinki, Finland. In Eng.
Tabular data for Finland for the period
1900-1992 are provided on population size, age and sex distribution,
fertility, maternal age, marriage age, abortions, marriage, divorce,
family characteristics, mortality, life expectancy, international and
internal migration, and the labor force.
Correspondence: A.
Miettinen, Vaestoliitto, Population Research Institute, Kalevankatu 16,
00100 Helsinki, Finland. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
60:20069 United
Kingdom. Office of Population Censuses and Surveys [OPCS]. Population
Statistics Division (London, England). Rebasing the annual
population estimates. Population Trends, No. 73, Autumn 1993.
27-31 pp. London, England. In Eng.
"The revised final, rebased,
mid-1991 population estimates for England and Wales were recently
published. This article describes what was involved in preparing these
estimates and what further work is in
progress."
Correspondence: Office of Population Censuses
and Surveys, Population Statistics Division, St. Catherine's House, 10
Kingsway, London WC2B 6JP, England. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
60:20070 Verma, Ravi
B. P. Regression-based estimates of total population for
local areas: then and now. In: Readings in population research:
policy, methods and perspectives, edited by P. Krishnan, Chi-Hsien
Tuan, and Kuttan Mahadevan. 1992. 165-78 pp. B. R. Publishing: Delhi,
India. In Eng.
"This paper provides an overview of the
methodological developments in the regression method for estimating
local area population....The estimation procedure [is] applied to
census divisions in Canada...."
Correspondence: R. B. P.
Verma, 1270 Plante Drive, Ottawa, Ontario K1V 9G2, Canada.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:20071 Wegman,
Myron E. Annual summary of vital statistics--1991.
Pediatrics, Vol. 90, No. 6, Dec 1992. 835-45 pp. Elk Grove Village,
Illinois. In Eng.
Vital statistics for selected countries are
presented and summarized. Among the findings, the author notes that
for the United States, "between 1990 and 1991, provisional data show
that the infant mortality rate decreased again, from 9.1 to 8.9, a
decline of 2% in contrast to the 7% decline from 1989 to 1990. Birth,
death, and marriage rates were also lower, but the divorce rate stayed
at about the same level as in 1990. Natural increase in population,
excess of births over deaths, was less than 2 million, 4% less than the
increase in 1990....Some 12.5 million births, less that 9% of the world
total, took place in countries with under-5 mortality rates of less
than 20 per 1,000. At the other end of the scale, 42% of the world's
births occurred in countries with under-5 mortality rates of more than
140 per 1,000. The median under-5 mortality rate for those countries in
1990 was 189 per 1,000, meaning that almost 20% of the infants born
alive in these countries died before their fifth birthday."
For a
previous review for 1990, see 58:40078.
Correspondence: M.
E. Wegman, University of Michigan, School of Public Health, Ann Arbor,
MI 48109-2029. Location: U.S. National Library of Medicine,
Bethesda, MD.
60:20072
Chakrabarty, D.; Baruah, H. K. A numerical method
of population projection. Journal of the Assam Science Society,
Vol. 35, No. 3, Sep 1993. 170-9 pp. Gauhati, India. In Eng.
"In
this paper a numerical method has been developed to project the total
population of a geographical region. The method has been applied to
the Indian situation. It is found that the total population of India
was expected to lie between [836 million and 850 million in 1991 and
between 986 million and 1,042 million] in
2001."
Correspondence: D. Chakrabarty, Handique Girls
College, Gauhati 781 001, Assam, India. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
60:20073 Day,
Jennifer C. Population projections of the United States,
by age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin: 1993 to 2050. Current
Population Reports, Series P-25, No. 1104, Nov 1993. xli, 62, [28] pp.
U.S. Bureau of the Census: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This report
includes population projections of the United States by age, sex, race,
and Hispanic origin for the years 1993 to 2050. These numbers are
based on an estimated July 1, 1992 resident population consistent with
the 1990 census as enumerated, and are projected forward using the
cohort-component method with alternative assumptions for future
fertility, life expectancy, and net immigration
levels."
Correspondence: U.S. Government Printing Office,
Superintendent of Documents, Washington, D.C. 20402.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:20074 Edmonston,
Barry; Passel, Jeffrey S. Immigration and ethnicity in
national population projections. In: International Population
Conference/Congres International de la Population: Montreal 1993,
Volume 2. 1993. 277-99 pp. International Union for the Scientific Study
of Population [IUSSP]: Liege, Belgium. In Eng.
"This paper proposes
a new demographic model for population projections that incorporates
immigration. This model projects an initial population under
conditions of fertility, mortality, and international migration (like
standard cohort component models), but considers the population arrayed
by generation....As an example, we examine the next century of
population growth for the Asian, Black, Hispanic, and White
non-Hispanic populations in the United States, comparing their growth
rates and their composition within the total U.S.
population."
Correspondence: B. Edmonston, National Academy
of Sciences, Committee on National Statistics, 2101 Constitution Avenue
NW, Washington, D.C. 20418. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
60:20075 Grinblat,
Joseph A. Population in the 22nd century, from the United
Nations long range projections. In: International Population
Conference/Congres International de la Population: Montreal 1993,
Volume 2. 1993. 249-58 pp. International Union for the Scientific Study
of Population [IUSSP]: Liege, Belgium. In Eng.
"This document
provides information based on the United Nations long-range projections
of the population of the world and nine major areas to the year
2150....The long-range population projections are carried out using a
cohort-component approach with five-year projection intervals....The
seven extensions differ according to the assumed future trend of
fertility. All assume the same trend in mortality, and no net
international migration after 2025 for the world's major
areas."
Correspondence: J. A. Grinblat, UN Population
Division, United Nations, New York, NY 10017. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:20076 Hablicsek,
Laszlo. Population projections for Hungary,
1993-2020. [Magyarorszag nepessegenek eloreszamitasa, 1993-2020.]
Demografiai Tajekoztato Fuzetek, No. 14, 1993. 55 pp. Kozponti
Statisztikai Hivatal, Nepessegtudomanyi Kutato Intezet, Kutatasi
Jelentesei: Budapest, Hungary. In Hun.
Population projections for
Hungary for the period 1993-2020 are presented. Sections cover updated
and previous projections by age, sex, and region. Data are also
presented for internal migration, fertility and live births, and
mortality.
Correspondence: Kozponti Statistikai Hivatal,
Nepessegtudomanyi Kutato Intezet, Kutatasi Jelentesei, Keleti Karoly
Utca 5-7, 1525 Budapest II, Hungary. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
60:20077 Hirosima,
Kiyosi; Oe, Moriyuki; Yamamoto, Chizuko; Kojima, Katsuhisa.
Household projections for Japan: 1990-2010. Jinko Mondai
Kenkyu/Journal of Population Problems, Vol. 49, No. 3, Oct 1993. 72-86
pp. Tokyo, Japan. In Jpn.
Household projections are made for Japan
for the period 1990-2010 by age. The methodology used to make the
projections and the assumptions on which they are based are
explained.
Correspondence: K. Hirosima, Institute of
Population Problems, Ministry of Health and Welfare, 1-2-2
Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-45, Japan. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:20078 Mali.
Direction Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Informatique. Bureau
Central de Recensement (Bamako, Mali). Mali general census
of population and housing. Analysis. Part 6: perspectives of the
resident population of Mali from 1987 to 2022. [Recensement
general de la population et de l'habitat au Mali. Analyse. Tome 6:
perspectives de la population residente du Mali de 1987 a 2022.] Jun
1992. 286 pp. Bamako, Mali. In Fre.
This publication presents
population estimates and projections up to the year 2022 for Mali,
based on results from the 1987 census. The projections are provided
separately by age and sex, for the rural and urban population, and by
region.
Correspondence: Direction Nationale de la
Statistique et de l'Informatique, Bureau Central de Recensement,
Ministere du Plan, Bamako, Mali. Location: Northwestern
University Library, Evanston, IL. Source: Northwestern
University Library Acquisitions, 1994.
60:20079 Ordorica
Mellado, Manuel. The population of Mexico in the dawn of
the twenty-first century: prediction or projection? [La poblacion
de Mexico en los albores del siglo XXI: prediccion o proyeccion?]
Comercio Exterior, Vol. 43, No. 7, Jul 1993. 634-41 pp. Mexico City,
Mexico. In Spa.
The author reviews and compares various projections
of Mexico's population growth, beginning with the UN projection
published in 1954 and concluding with a 1993 study conducted by CONAPO
(the Consejo Nacional de Poblacion). He then examines the impact of
such growth on the country's social and economic
structure.
Correspondence: M. Ordorica Mellado, El Colegio
de Mexico, Centro de Estudios Demograficos y de Desarrollo Urbano,
Camino al Ajusco 20, 10740 Mexico City, DF, Mexico. Location:
Princeton University Library (PF).
60:20080 Shaw,
Chris. 1991-based national population projections for the
United Kingdom and constituent countries. Population Trends, No.
72, Summer 1993. 45-50 pp. London, England. In Eng.
"The 1991-based
national population projections, carried out by the Government Actuary
in consultation with the Registrars General, show the population of the
United Kingdom rising from 57.6 million in mid-1991 to over 62 million
in around forty years' time before starting to decline. The annual
rate of increase is projected to be 0.4 per cent in the early years of
the projection, and then to fall steadily. There will be a gradual
shift to an older age distribution with, in particular, the number of
persons aged 75 and over projected to double by the middle of the next
century. Compared with the previous (1989-based) projections,
important changes have been made to the underlying assumptions
regarding future fertility, mortality, and migration, and these combine
to produce some significant changes in the results of the
projections."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:20081 Tabah,
Leon. World population prospects. [L'avenir de la
population mondiale.] In: International Population Conference/Congres
International de la Population: Montreal 1993, Volume 2. 1993. 235-47
pp. International Union for the Scientific Study of Population [IUSSP]:
Liege, Belgium. In Fre.
The author summarizes both what is known
and what is still only conjectural about future trends in world
population growth in this introduction to a conference session on the
topic.
Correspondence: L. Tabah, 9 avenue Franco-Russe,
75007 Paris, France. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
60:20082 United
Kingdom. Government Actuary's Department (London, England).
National population projections: a new methodology for determining
migration assumptions. OPCS Occasional Paper, No. 42, ISBN
1-85774-181-1. 1993. iii, 26 pp. London, England. In Eng.
This
study outlines changes in assumptions concerning trends in both
international and internal migration in the United Kingdom, used for
the purpose of making population projections. These changes affect
projections for the United Kingdom as a whole and for the four
constituent countries. The effects on estimates of the age and sex
distribution of the population are also
discussed.
Correspondence: Office of Population Censuses
and Surveys, St. Catherine's House, 10 Kingsway, London WC2B 6JP,
England. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:20083 United
Nations. Economic Commission for Africa [ECA]. Population Division
(Addis Ababa, Ethiopia). Consistency of United Nations'
projections with those produced by selected ECA member states. No.
POP/TP/93/3[2(b)1X], Jun 1993. 26 pp. Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. In Eng.
"The present study on consistency between population projections
prepared by the United Nations and selected [African ECA] member States
found that differences, which were substantial for some countries,
exist between the two sets of projections. The basic reasons for the
differences [are] related to alternative assessments of: (a) the
bench-mark data on population sizes and (b) the bench-mark estimates
and projections on fertility, mortality and
migration."
Correspondence: UN Economic Commission for
Africa, Population Division, P.O. Box 3001, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:20084 van Hoorn,
W. D. The future population development of the Dutch
provinces. [De toekomstige bevolkingsontwikkeling van de
provincies.] Maandstatistiek van de Bevolking, Vol. 42, No. 1, Jan
1994. 14-6 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
Population size and growth rates for provinces in the Netherlands
are analyzed using data from official sources. The emphasis is on
provincial differences in probable growth rates up to the year
2015.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:20085
Wirakartakusumah, M. Djuhari. Demographic
transitions in Indonesia and its implications in the 21st century.
In: International Population Conference/Congres International de la
Population: Montreal 1993, Volume 2. 1993. 259-76 pp. International
Union for the Scientific Study of Population [IUSSP]: Liege, Belgium.
In Eng.
The author reviews findings from the 1990 Indonesian census
and from population projections made by the University of Indonesia's
Demographic Institute, with a focus on recent demographic changes and
implications for the next century. Aspects considered include
fertility and mortality changes, the size of the elderly population,
demands for urban employment, improvements in education, illness at
older ages, and women in the labor force.
Correspondence:
M. D. Wirakartakusumah, Universitas Indonesia, Fakultas Ekonomi,
Lembaga Demografi, P.O.B. 295, J1. Salemba Raya 4, Jakarta, Indonesia.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:20086 Zeng, Yi;
Wang, Zhenglian; Ma, Zhongdong; Chen, Chunju. A simple
method for modelling and projecting demographic rates. Institute
of Population Research Working Paper, No. 16, [1993?]. 21 pp. Peking
University, Institute of Population Research: Beijing, China. In Eng.
A method for modeling and projecting age- and duration-specific
demographic rates is proposed. The method "links analytically the
parameters [alpha] and [beta] in the Brass Relational Gompertz model
with median and interquartile range." It is tested using a selection
of data concerning China and other countries around the
world.
Correspondence: Peking University, Institute of
Population Research, Beijing 100871, China. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
60:20087 Nejasmic,
Ivica. Depopulation in Croatia: roots, current situation,
and trends. [Depopulacija u Hrvatskoj: korijeni, stanje,
izgledi.] ISBN 86-343-0663-0. 1991. 344 pp. Globus Nakladni Zavod:
Zagreb, Croatia; Sveuciliste u Zagrebu, Institut za Migracije i
Narodnosti: Zagreb, Croatia. In Scr. with sum. in Eng.
"The study
analyses the causes, traits and implications of demographic regression
in Croatia in the period from the middle of the 19th century to 1981."
Three distinct phases of depopulation are identified, the period up to
1910, 1910-1948, and the period from 1948 to 1981. The author examines
the demographic impact of epidemics and wars as well as emigration. The
demographic consequences of population decline for the regions of
origin are analyzed.
Correspondence: Globus Nakladni Zavod,
Ilica 12, 41000 Zagreb, Croatia. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
60:20088 Zlotnik,
Hania. Latin America and Mexico in the global population
panorama. [America Latina y Mexico ante el panorama de la
poblacion mundial.] Comercio Exterior, Vol. 43, No. 7, Jul 1993. 625-33
pp. Mexico City, Mexico. In Spa.
The author presents global
population growth and infant mortality statistics and projections for
the period 1960-2025. The focus is on the demographics of Latin
America, and especially of Mexico, in comparison with other developing
countries. She finds that Mexico's demographic transition has
progressed rapidly despite its relatively late
start.
Correspondence: H. Zlotnik, UN Population Division,
United Nations, New York, NY 10017. Location: Princeton
University Library (PF).
