59:30685 Brunborg,
Helge; Keilman, Nico. MOSART-H: a combined micro-macro
model for simulation of households. Working Papers from Department
for Statistics on Individuals and Households: Population and Living
Conditions, Vol. 4, 1992. 57-87 pp. Oslo-Kongsvinger, Norway. In Eng.
"This paper describes work in progress concerning the construction
of MOSART-H, a model which is intended to simulate the dynamics in
future household structures in Norway. The model consists of two
parts: one for macrosimulation, and one for microsimulation....[The
authors also] describe in the paper some of the difficulties...in
estimating the input parameters and in the compilation of the initial
population."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:30686 Courgeau,
Daniel; Lelievre, Eva. The event history approach in
demography. Population. English Selection, Vol. 3, 1991. 63-79
pp. Paris, France. In Eng.
"In the present paper, we shall
examine...changes in the field of demography, by following the
progression from period analysis to cohort analysis. We shall discuss
the hypotheses underlying each of these approaches and show how their
distance from actual human behaviour could lead to mistaken or
incomplete conclusions. We shall then show how event history analysis
can solve these problems and we shall define the hypotheses implied by
this new approach. Finally, we shall come back to the complimentarity
of the different social sciences."
This is a translation of the
article published in 1990 in French and cited in 56:10693.
Correspondence: D. Courgeau, Institut National d' Etudes,
27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris Cedex 14, France. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:30687
Grummer-Strawn, Laurence M. Regression analysis of
current-status data: an application to breast-feeding. JASA:
Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 88, No. 423, Sep
1993. 758-65 pp. Alexandria, Virginia. In Eng.
"Although techniques
for calculating mean survival time from current-status data are well
known, their use in multiple regression models is somewhat troublesome.
Using data on current breast-feeding behavior, this article considers
a number of techniques that have been suggested in the literature,
including parametric, nonparametric, and semiparametric models as well
as the application of standard schedules. Models are tested in both
proportional-odds and proportional-hazards frameworks....I fit [the]
models to current status data on breast-feeding from the Demographic
and Health Survey (DHS) in six countries: two African (Mali and Ondo
State, Nigeria), two Asian (Indonesia and Sri Lanka), and two Latin
American (Colombia and Peru)."
Correspondence: L. M.
Grummer-Strawn, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Division of
Reproductive Health, Atlanta, GA 30341. Location: Princeton
University Library (SM).
59:30688 Keilman,
Nico. Translation formulas for non-repeatable events.
Working Papers from Department for Statistics on Individuals and
Households: Population and Living Conditions, Vol. 4, 1992. 109-40 pp.
Oslo-Kongsvinger, Norway. In Eng.
"Existing translation formulas,
originally derived by Ryder, express the relation between changes in
cohort quantum and tempo, and changes in period quantum and tempo.
These formulas have been developed for repeatable events, such as
age-specific births irrespective of parity....This paper derives
translation formulas for non-repeatable events. Expressions are
investigated for the cohort quantum indicator as a function of period
quantum and period tempo, and changes therein....One of the results of
this paper is that cohort quantum is a constant function of time when
period quantum is constant, and period tempo, as measured by the age
pattern of the occurrence-exposure rates, changes linearly with
time....Furthermore it was found that when tempo is constant, and
period quantum falls with time according to a straight line, period
tempo underestimates cohort quantum for high period quantum levels, and
overestimates it for low period quantum levels." Some data for Norway
are used as illustrations.
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
59:30689 Mahadevan,
Kuttan; Krishnan, Parameswara. Methodology for population
studies and development. ISBN 0-8039-9431-1. LC 92-15028. 1993.
469 pp. Sage Publications: New Delhi, India. In Eng.
This is a
selection of 20 papers by various authors on aspects of research
methodology used in the study of population and development. The
papers are divided into five sections covering general theory and
research design, interdisciplinary methods, models for data analysis
and development, projections and estimations, and action research. Most
of the papers included in the volume were presented at a seminar held
in honor of N. Krishnan Namboodiri at Sri Venkateswara University in
Tirupati, India.
Correspondence: Sage Publications India
Pvt, M-32 Greater Kailash Market 1, New Delhi 110 048, India.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:30690 Miljanic,
Maja. Introduction to life event history analysis.
[Uvod u analizu istorija dogadaja.] Stanovnistvo, Vol. 24, No. 3-4,
Jul-Dec 1991. 71-87 pp. Belgrade, Yugoslavia. In Scr. with sum. in Eng.
"The paper presents basic features of...life event history
analysis....Discrete time method, continuous time data methods and the
proportional risk models are presented. An attempt is made at
distinguishing the censoring-related problems from those of the
time-varying explanatory variables. The method proposed is that
of...maximum likelihood. The final chapter deals with the PC software
applicable for such analysis...."
Correspondence: M.
Miljanic, Univerziteta u Beogradu, Instituta Drustvenih Nauka, Centar
za Demografska Istrazivanja, Belgrade, Yugoslavia. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:30691 Pinheiro,
Jose C. da R. C.; de Lima, Jose M. A measure to evaluate
estimates from the population census. [Avaliacao dos efeitos de
reducao da fracao de amostragem no censo demografico.] Revista
Brasileira de Estatistica, Vol. 51, No. 195, Jan-Jun 1990. 53-84 pp.
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. In Por. with sum. in Eng.
"A measure of
efficiency loss for the precision of estimates implied by sampling
fractions reduction is described here....A study of the sampling
fractions needed to guarantee a given precision level to estimate
characteristics...is also performed. An application of the methodology
suggested is included. The example is based on household
characteristics investigated in [Brazil's]...Census of 1980, with
estimates published at a county level and for the set of alternative
sampling fractions for the 1990...Census."
Correspondence:
J. C. da R. C. Pinheiro, Fundacao Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia y
Estatistica, Avenida Franklin Roosevelt 166, 20021 Rio de Janeiro, RJ,
Brazil. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:30692 Sanderson,
Warren C. Simulation models of economic, demographic, and
environmental interactions: are they on a sustainable development
path? IIASA Working Paper, No. WP-92-87, Dec 1992. x, 44 pp.
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [IIASA]:
Laxenburg, Austria. In Eng.
"The main purpose of this paper is to
put the IIASA Mauritius model into perspective by (1) comparing it with
other simulation models that include environmental considerations, and
(2) showing how these models contribute to the debate about economic,
environmental, and demographic interactions." The model is a
simulation of the relationships among development, population, and
environment in Mauritius.
Correspondence: International
Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:30693 Shi, Xilai;
Geng, Zhi; Hu, Dekun. Statistical analysis of in-depth
fertility surveys by collapsing contingency tables. In: Fertility
in China. Proceedings of the International Seminar on China's In-Depth
Fertility Survey, Beijing, February 13-17, 1990. 1991. 73-101 pp.
International Statistical Institute [ISI]: Voorburg, Netherlands. In
Eng.
The authors examine theoretical and practical aspects of
analyzing qualitative variables using data from China's In-Depth
Fertility Survey of 1985 and 1987. "The statistical analysis methods
in this paper are as follows: (1) to sift explanatory variables using
AIC (Akaike's Information Criterion) principle. (2) to analyze
contingency tables with a response variable of interest and sifted
explanatory variables. (3) to select models and to analyze relational
structure using log-linear models."
Correspondence: X. Shi,
People's University of China, Department of Sociology, 39 Haidian Road,
Haidian District, Beijing, China. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
59:30694 Valkovics,
Emil. Different possibilities for using an indirect
procedure of demographic modeling. [Nehany gondolat egy indirekt
modellezesi eljaras alkalmazasi lehetosegeirol a demografiaban.]
Demografia, Vol. 36, No. 1, 1993. 69-98 pp. Budapest, Hungary. In Hun.
with sum. in Eng.
"The paper presents a new procedure of indirect
modelling for the representation of increasing or decreasing values of
certain demographic variables....We report in detail on a modelling of
the survivorship function in the life table; the cumulated values of
general age-specific fertility rates; the age-specific rates of marital
fertility; [and] the distribution of women in a marriage cohort by the
number of children they have borne, and the consequent estimation of
parity progression ratios, and the distribution of their progeny by
birth order. The method is not universally applicable....However, the
accuracy of the results yielded by the model suggests its value for
forecasting." Data from Hungary, Norway, and France are used to
illustrate the procedure.
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
