59:20788 Courgeau,
Daniel; Lelievre, Eva. Event history analysis in
demography. ISBN 0-19-828738-0. LC 92-2511. 1992. ix, 226 pp.
Clarendon Press: Oxford, England. In Eng.
This study, translated
from the original French, concerns the application of event history
analysis to the study of demography. "The point is to see how an event
of a family, economic or other nature experienced by the individual
will change the probability of other events happening to him over his
lifetime. We shall, for instance, try to discover how his marriage can
influence his professional career, his spatial mobility and other
occurrences, such as the birth of a child or a break with his original
family ties." The authors first examine methods for collecting event
histories and problems involved in studying incomplete histories
collected from a sample of individuals. The methods of analysis are
then formalized, starting with the study of an event, proceeding to the
study of the interactions between two events, and then extending such
non-parametric models to cover more complex situations. The authors
then examine parametric models that permit the study of the effect of
many characteristics on duration of stay in a given state. Finally,
semi-parametric models that combine both approaches are considered and
illustrated. Some computer programs for carrying out event history
analyses are provided in the appendix.
Correspondence:
Oxford University Press, Walton Street, Oxford OX2 6DP, England.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:20789 Haag, G.;
Mueller, U.; Troitzsch, K. G. Economic evolution and
demographic change: formal models in social sciences. Lecture
Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, Vol. 395, ISBN
0-387-56172-2. 1992. xvi, 409 pp. Springer-Verlag: New York, New
York/Berlin, Germany. In Eng.
The papers in this volume were
originally presented either at the Interdisciplinary Colloquium on
Forecasting for Systems with Chaotic Evolution, held in April 1991 at
the University of Stuttgart, Germany, or at a seminar entitled Formal
Models in Demography, held in December 1991 in Mannheim, Germany. "Of
the many papers presented at these two meetings, a selection with a
common orientation towards evolution and adjustment processes in
economy, demography, and geography is published in this volume....The
main purpose of this book is to make a contribution to the
interdisciplinary work needed to integrate the efforts between these
three research fields and to serve as a research source in
demonstrating the current state of art in dynamic
modelling."
Selected items will be cited in this or subsequent
issues of Population Index.
Correspondence:
Springer-Verlag, 536 Broadway, New York, NY 10012. Location:
Princeton University Library (FST).
59:20790 Hoddinott,
John. Migration, accumulation and old age security in
western Kenya. Pub. Order No. BRD-97788. 1989. 278 pp. University
Microfilms International: Ann Arbor, Michigan. In Eng.
This study
applies the concept of bargaining models to the analysis of household
accumulation using data from Kenya. The study was developed as a
doctoral dissertation at Oxford University,
England.
Correspondence: University Microfilms
International, 300 North Zeeb Road, Ann Arbor, MI 48106-1346.
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, A: Humanities
and Social Sciences 53(9).
59:20791 Hoem, Jan
M. The usefulness of moving-average graduation in the
analysis of demographic time series. Stockholm Research Reports in
Demography, No. 70, ISBN 91-7820-058-X. Sep 1992. 24 pp. Stockholm
University, Demography Unit: Stockholm, Sweden. In Eng.
"In this
paper, some of our recent experiences with the optimal moving-average
graduation of demographic time series is presented. The method is
illustrated by an application to a recent series of the monthly total
fertility rate for Sweden as well as to historical time series that
reflect the (first) demographic transition in Denmark and
Sweden."
Correspondence: Stockholm University, Demography
Unit, S-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
59:20792 Kim, Young
J.; Schoen, Robert. Crossovers that link populations with
the same vital rates. Mathematical Population Studies, Vol. 4, No.
1, 1993. 1-19 pp. Reading, England. In Eng.
"In this paper, we
consider crossovers of demographic density distributions
from...populations that have the same fertility and mortality rates.
We focus on observed populations and their associated stationary and
stable models, and on proportional distributions of persons, births,
deaths and reproductive values....Three different populations were
selected to represent a range of demographic behavior. Those
populations are Japan 1963, a low mortality, low fertility population;
Togo 1961, a high mortality, high fertility population; and the United
States 1919-1921, a population whose fertility and mortality are
intermediate."
Correspondence: Y. J. Kim, Johns Hopkins
University, Department of Population Dynamics, 615 North Wolfe Street,
Baltimore, MD 21205. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
59:20793 Lancaster,
Tony. The econometric analysis of transition data.
Econometric Society Monograph, No. 17, ISBN 0-521-26596-7. LC 89-17386.
1990. xii, 352 pp. Cambridge University Press: New York, New
York/Cambridge, England. In Eng.
Methods for analyzing transition
data are investigated. "In the first part of the book...we shall
describe ways of building models for fitting to transition data....The
emphasis in these chapters is on the simplest type of transition data,
that in which we observe an individual's duration of stay in a single
state....The second part of the book deals with inference--the use of
models to interpret data....[The focus is on] problems of
identification that have arisen in the econometrics literature...,
models involving...fully and semi-parametric inference, [and] questions
of model misspecification...."
Correspondence: Cambridge
University Press, Pitt Building, Trumpington Street, Cambridge CB2 1RP,
England. Location: State University of New York Library, Stony
Brook, New York.
59:20794 Li,
Hang. Grey system theory for population geographers.
In: The geographical approach to fertility, edited by Jurgen Bahr and
Paul Gans. 1991. 29-39 pp. Universitat Kiel, Geographisches Institut:
Kiel, Germany. In Eng.
The author describes the Grey System Theory
(GST), developed in China to enable analysis to be done with a limited
amount of data. "The idea of GST is to pick out clear (white)
information from the inside of a system." Its applications to analysis,
model-building, forecasting, decision making, and controlling the
developmet of an objective are described. Urbanization data for China
for the periods 1952-1978 and 1978-1984 are compared to illustrate the
theory.
Location: Princeton University Library (FST).
59:20795 Mroz,
Thomas A.; Guilkey, David K. Discrete factor approximation
for use in simultaneous equation models with both continuous and
discrete endogenous variables. Carolina Population Center Paper,
No. 92-03, Jul 1992. 44, [9] pp. University of North Carolina, Carolina
Population Center: Chapel Hill, North Carolina. In Eng.
"This paper
explores the performance of discrete factor estimation procedures for
use in estimating mixed continuous-discrete models with endogenous
explanatory variables."
Correspondence: University of North
Carolina, Carolina Population Center, University Square, 143 West
Franklin Street, Chapel Hill, NC 27516-3997. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:20796 Nath, Dilip
C.; Datta, Jishnu. An alternative to multiregional two-sex
model. Genus, Vol. 48, No. 1-2, Jan-Jun 1992. 123-31 pp. Rome,
Italy. In Eng. with sum. in Fre; Ita.
"In this paper, we shall
present an alternative approach to obtain for a multiregional
population female birth models that become stable, considering age
difference of parents and making use of sex
ratio(s)."
Correspondence: D. C. Nath, Gauhati University,
Department of Statistics, Gauhati 781 014, India. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:20797 Schenker,
Nathaniel; Treiman, Donald J.; Weidman, Lynn. Analyses of
public use decennial census data with multiply imputed industry and
occupation codes. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series
C: Applied Statistics, Vol. 42, No. 3, 1993. 545-56 pp. London,
England. In Eng.
"This paper gives a brief introduction to multiple
imputation for handling non-response in surveys. We then describe a
recently completed project in which multiple imputation was used to
recalibrate industry and occupation codes in 1970 U.S. census public
use samples to the 1980 standard. Using analyses of data from the
project, we examine the utility of analysing a large data set having
imputed values compared with analysing a small data set having true
values, and we provide examples of the amount by which variability is
underestimated by using just one imputation rather than multiple
imputations."
Correspondence: N. Schenker, University of
California, School of Public Health, Department of Biostatistics, Los
Angeles, CA 90024-1772. Location: Princeton University
Library (PF).
59:20798
Schmidbauer, Harald. Some aspects of competing
risks in demography. In: Economic evolution and demographic
change: formal models in social sciences, edited by G. Haag, U.
Mueller, and K. G. Troitzsch. 1992. 294-305 pp. Springer-Verlag: New
York, New York/Berlin, Germany. In Eng.
"In the present paper, we
reviewed some ways of handling the nonidentification problem in the
latent failure approach to the competing risk analysis." The author
discusses "the problem of nonidentifiability of the joint distribution
of the latent failure times [and]...suggestions which have been made in
order to deal with this problem....An elementary discrete-time method
of risk elimination [is reviewed and]...the relations of the two
methods of risk elimination--one in continuous time and one in discrete
time--are studied. Finally, a numerical example of risk elimination is
given...which is based on a [West] German life
table."
Correspondence: H. Schmidbauer, Universitat
Munchen, Seminar fur Angewandte Stochastik, 8000 Munich 22, Germany.
Location: Princeton University Library (FST).
59:20799 Winkelmann,
Rainer; Zimmermann, Klaus F. Recursive probability
estimators for count data. In: Economic evolution and demographic
change: formal models in social sciences, edited by G. Haag, U.
Mueller, and K. G. Troitzsch. 1992. 321-9 pp. Springer-Verlag: New
York, New York/Berlin, Germany. In Eng.
"This paper discusses
statistical models for count data in a unifying framework." The
additive-log-differenced probability (ALDP) and the Katz 3 models are
discussed and compared to a Poisson model, using fertility data for 720
married West German women aged 40-65 in 1985. "Both the Katz and the
A.L.D.P. model offer a substantial generalization with respect to the
Poisson model....In both regressions, the variable age at marriage is
highly significant."
Correspondence: R. Winkelmann,
University of Munich, Geschwister-Scholl-Platz 7, 8000 Munich 22,
Germany. Location: Princeton University Library (FST).
59:20800 Wood, James
W.; Holman, Darryl J.; Weiss, Kenneth M.; Buchanan, Anne V.; LeFor,
Belinda. Hazards models for human population biology.
Population Research Institute Working Paper, No. 1992-16, Jul 1992. 55,
[14] pp. Pennsylvania State University, Population Research Institute:
University Park, Pennsylvania. In Eng.
"This paper is a review of
statistical techniques drawn from the field of hazards analysis that
appear to be particularly appropriate for the study of biodemographic
events and processes."
Correspondence: Pennsylvania State
University, Population Research Institute, 22 Burrowes Building,
University Park, PA 16802-6202. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
