59:10079 Beach, D.
N. Zimbabwean demography: early colonial data.
Zambezia, Vol. 17, No. 1, 1990. 31-83 pp. Harare, Zimbabwe. In Eng.
The author presents available demographic data for the 32 districts
that make up modern Zimbabwe for the period 1900-1922. The data
consist of population figures supplied by the Southern Rhodesian Native
Commissioners for the rural population. The quality of these data is
then discussed.
Correspondence: D. N. Beach, University of
Zimbabwe, Department of History, P.O. Box MP 167, Mount Pleasant,
Harare, Zimbabwe. Location: Princeton University Library (PR).
59:10080 Boomgaard,
P.; Gooszen, A. J. Changing economy in Indonesia: a
selection of statistical source material from the early 19th century up
to 1940. Volume 11: population trends 1795-1942. ISBN
90-6832-652-X. 1991. 256 pp. Royal Tropical Institute: Amsterdam,
Netherlands. In Eng.
This is one in a series of publications
presenting historical data on Indonesia from Dutch sources. "The
purpose of this publication is to provide the user with the most
reliable figures available on the population of Indonesia (Netherlands
Indies) between the years 1795 and 1942. The introductory
text...provides general background information on the statistics, while
the commentary on the tables is of a more technical nature (e.g.,
explanation of statistical adjustments, estimates, interpolations and
extrapolations)." A brief introduction to the history of population
growth in Indonesia is also included.
Correspondence: Royal
Tropical Institute, 63 Mauritskade, 1092 AD Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:10081 Kapolnai,
Ivan. Population of Mezokovesd and its surroundings,
1746-1990. [Mezokovesd varos es kornyeke nepessege, 1746-1990.]
Statisztikai Szemle, Vol. 70, No. 12, Dec 1992. 1,053-67 pp. Budapest,
Hungary. In Hun. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
The author describes
demographic changes in the town of Mezokovesd, Hungary, during the
period 1746-1990. Consideration is given to changes in population
size, births and deaths, and religious affiliations of
residents.
Correspondence: I. Kapolnai, Kozponti
Statisztikai Hivatal, Keleti Karoly utca 5-7, Budapest II, Hungary.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:10082 Rallu,
Jean-L. From decline to recovery: the Marquesan
population 1886-1945. Health Transition Review, Vol. 2, No. 2, Oct
1992. 177-94 pp. Canberra, Australia. In Eng.
"Population decline
in the South Pacific is poorly documented. Civil-registration data from
the Marquesas (French Polynesia) from 1882 to 1945 are here used to
calculate most of the usual demographic indices. Deterioration of
natural equilibria following the arrival of Europeans in the islands
and introduction of new diseases in a non-immune population caused a
steady decline in the population. Beside catastrophic epidemics such
as smallpox, mortality was high mainly because of introduced
respiratory diseases. The very high mortality, ranging from 45 per
1,000 to 70 per 1,000 at the end of the nineteenth century and the
beginning of the twentieth century, combined with low fertility due to
the high proportion of sterile women (infected by venereal diseases),
caused an annual decline of two to three per cent up to
1924."
Correspondence: J. L. Rallu, University of the South
Pacific, School of Social and Economic Development, P.O. Box 1168,
Suva, Fiji. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:10083 Ales,
Milan. Population developments in Czechoslovakia in
1991. [Populacni vyvoj v CSFR v roce 1991.] Demografie, Vol. 34,
No. 4, 1992. 273-83 pp. Prague, Czechoslovakia. In Cze. with sum. in
Eng; Rus.
The author reviews political and economic trends in
Czechoslovakia since late 1989 and their effects on population
characteristics, with a focus on the effect of changes in migration
policy. A sharp decline in fertility, continued high levels of legal
induced abortion due to unmet contraceptive need, and one of the
shortest life expectancies in Europe are all noted. Some comparisons
are made between the Czech Republic and
Slovakia.
Correspondence: M. Ales, Federalni Statisticky
Urad, Sokolovska 142, 18613 Prague 8, Czech Republic.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:10084 Belgium.
Institut National de Statistique (Brussels, Belgium).
Population on January 1, 1992. [Population au 1 janvier 1992.]
Statistiques Demographiques, No. 3, 1992. 99-213 pp. Brussels, Belgium.
In Fre.
Population estimates are presented for Belgium for 1992.
The estimates are provided separately by region, province, and
arrondissement; by age, sex, and marital status; and for Belgians and
foreigners.
For a previous citation concerning 1991, see 58:20080.
Correspondence: Institut National de Statistique, Rue de
Louvain 44, Centre Albert, 8e etage, Brussels, Belgium.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:10085 Canada.
Statistics Canada (Ottawa, Canada). Postcensal estimates
of families, Canada, provinces and territories, June 1, 1992.
[Estimations postcensitaires des familles, Canada, provinces et
territoires, 1er juin 1992.] Pub. Order No. 91-204. Dec 1992. 31 pp.
Ottawa, Canada. In Eng; Fre.
Estimates of various family
characteristics are presented for Canada, using 1986 census data for
the whole country and for its provinces and
territories.
Correspondence: Statistics Canada, Ottawa,
Ontario K1A 0T6, Canada. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
59:10086 Canada.
Statistics Canada. Demography Division. Population Estimates Section
(Ottawa, Canada). Postcensal annual estimates of
population by marital status, age, sex and components of growth for
Canada, provinces and territories, June 1, 1992. [Estimations
annuelles postcensitaires de la population suivant l'etat matrimonial,
l'age, le sexe et composantes de l'accroissement, Canada, provinces et
territoires au 1er juin 1992.] Vol. 10, Pub. Order No. 91-210. Nov
1992. 100 pp. Ottawa, Canada. In Eng; Fre.
Population estimates for
Canada and its provinces and territories as of June 1, 1992, are
presented by sex, age, and marital status. Selected data are included
for the periods 1955-1992 and 1981-1986. Data are primarily from the
1986 census.
For the report concerning 1988, see 55:10095.
Correspondence: Statistics Canada, Demography Division,
Population Estimates Section, Ottawa, Ontario K1A 0T6, Canada.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:10087 de
Guibert-Lantoine, Catherine; Monnier, Alain. The current
demographic situation: Europe and developed countries overseas.
[La conjoncture demographique: l'Europe et les pays developpes
d'outre-mer.] Population, Vol. 47, No. 4, Jul-Aug 1992. 1,017-36 pp.
Paris, France. In Fre.
Population characteristics of Europe and
other developed countries that conducted censuses in 1990 or 1991 are
enumerated. Data are given in tabular format and concern population
totals, fertility, mortality, infant mortality, marriage and divorce,
induced abortion, and life expectancy by sex. Some retrospective data
are also included for comparative purposes.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:10088 Deshpande,
Sudha. Census of India 1991: Maharashtra. Journal of
Family Welfare, Vol. 37, No. 3, Sep 1991. 74-8 pp. Bombay, India. In
Eng.
"Paper I from the Directorate of Census Operations,
Maharashtra [India], provides [1991] data on the size, growth, density,
sex ratio and literacy of the population of Maharashtra state, at the
district level. The present paper is restricted to an analysis of these
characteristics from the above-mentioned document which clearly reveal
that Maharashtra, though ahead of the Hindi-speaking belt, trails miles
behind Kerala in its demographic
performance."
Correspondence: S. Deshpande, University of
Bombay, Department of Economics, Bombay 400 098, India.
Location: Population Council Library, New York, NY.
59:10089 Heer, David
M.; Herman, Pini. Estimating the population of Los Angeles
County census tracts by ethnicity. In: American Statistical
Association, 1990 proceedings of the Social Statistics Section. [1990].
83-8 pp. American Statistical Association: Alexandria, Virginia. In
Eng.
The authors derive "postcensal estimates of the population of
Los Angeles County [California] by census tract and within each census
tract by detailed ethnicity." A variation of the censal ratio method
is used, which "consists in using as symptomatic indicators the
expected values from a linear regression equation relating the number
of births (or deaths) in each year from 1980 through 1986 to time as
the independent variable." Results are compared with U.S. Bureau of
the Census figures.
Correspondence: D. M. Heer, University
of Southern California, Population Research Laboratory, 3716 South Hope
Street, Los Angeles, CA 90007-4377. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
59:10090 Hin,
Monika. First results of the microcensus of April
1991. [Erste Ergebnisse des Mikrozensus April 1991.] Wirtschaft
und Statistik, No. 9, Sep 1992. 627-35 pp. Wiesbaden, Germany. In Ger.
Selected results from the April 1991 microcensus of Germany are
presented. This was the first microcensus to include East Germany.
The emphasis of the present article is on labor force participation,
employment, unemployment, and economic status. Comparisons are made
between eastern and western areas of the country.
Location:
Princeton University Library (PF).
59:10091 King,
Russell. Italy reaches zero population growth.
Geography, Vol. 78, Pt. 1, No. 338, Jan 1993. 63-9 pp. Sheffield,
England. In Eng.
Some preliminary results from the 1991 Italian
census are presented and discussed. They show that "Italy has arrived
at zero population growth, its birth rate is the lowest in the world,
it has a rapidly ageing population, and the regional demographic
divisions between North and South are disappearing. Moreover it is no
longer a country of emigration but one of mass immigration. In terms
of internal migration, Italians are rejecting life in the big cities in
favour of small- and medium-sized towns."
Correspondence:
R. King, Trinity College, Dublin 2, Ireland. Location:
Princeton University Library (PR).
59:10092 Luxembourg.
Service Central de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques [STATEC]
(Luxembourg). Population statistics. [Statistiques de
population.] Bulletin du STATEC, Vol. 39, No. 5, 1992. 150-63 pp.
Luxembourg. In Fre.
Population trends in Luxembourg in 1991 are
first reviewed, with separate consideration given to nuptiality and
divorce, fertility, mortality, and migration. Next, revised estimates
of international migration and of the resident population are presented
for the period 1987-1991. Finally, three alternative estimates of the
population for 1991 are provided.
Correspondence: Service
Central de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, Boite Postale 304,
19-21 Boulevard Royal, L-2013 Luxembourg. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
59:10093
Parasuraman, Sulabha; Roy, T. K. Some observations
on the 1991 census population of India. Journal of Family Welfare,
Vol. 37, No. 3, Sep 1991. 62-8 pp. Bombay, India. In Eng.
"An
attempt has been made in this paper to appraise the preliminary results
of the 1991 census [of India] in the perspective of the 1981 census and
the estimates of vital rates from the Sample Registration System. Five
alternate sets of population projections for India for the period
1981-91 have been attempted...."
Correspondence: S.
Parasuraman, International Institute for Population Sciences,
Department of Population Policies and Programmes, Deonar, Bombay 400
088, India. Location: Population Council Library, New York,
NY.
59:10094 Atoh,
Makoto; Kaneko, Takeharu; Takahashi, Shigesato; Kaneko, Ryuichi; Ohba,
Tamotsu; Mita, Fusami. Population projections for Japan:
1991-2025. Jinko Mondai Kenkyu/Journal of Population Problems,
Vol. 48, No. 3, Oct 1992. 16-45 pp. Tokyo, Japan. In Jpn.
Population projections for Japan to 2025 are presented and
discussed. Consideration is given to life expectancy by age and sex,
and to mortality rates. Some discussion of the methodology used in the
analysis is offered.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
59:10095 Colliez,
Jean-Paul. At current rates of growth, 100,000 more people
in Reunion in only nine years. [Au rythme de croissance actuel
100,000 Reunionnais de plus dans neuf ans.] Economie de la Reunion, No.
57, Jan-Feb 1992. 2-9 pp. Ste.-Clothilde, Reunion. In Fre.
Results
from the 1990 census are used to project probable rates of population
growth in Reunion to the year 2000.
Location: World Bank,
Joint Bank-Fund Library, Washington, D.C.
59:10096 de Beer,
J. Population forecasts, 1992. [Bevolkingsprognose
1992.] Maandstatistiek van de Bevolking, Vol. 40, No. 12, Dec 1992.
18-27 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
The
author summarizes the 1992 update of the official population projection
to the year 2030 for the Netherlands and compares it with the forecast
made in 1991. A rise in life expectancy is anticipated. "The odds are
two to one that population size in 2030 will be between 16.4 million
and 18.2 million."
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
59:10097 de Beer,
J.; Meyer, P. The effects of uncertainty about future
fertility, mortality, and migration on the development of the
population. [Effect van onzekerheid over toekomstige geboorte,
sterfte en migratie op bevolkingsontwikkeling.] Maandstatistiek van de
Bevolking, Vol. 40, No. 10, Oct 1992. 21-7 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands.
In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
The authors compare the effects of
uncertainty about future fertility, mortality, and migration trends on
the accuracy of predictions about the size and age structure of a
population. Data for the Netherlands are used to
illustrate.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:10098 de Jong, A.
H. On the average females are living alone five years
longer than males. Results of a life-table approach to household
forecasts. [Vrouwen zijn gemiddeld vijf jaar langer alleenstaand
dan mannen. Uitkomsten van een overlevingstafelbenadering van de
huishoudensprognose.] Maandstatistiek van de Bevolking, Vol. 40, No.
10, Oct 1992. 12-20 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Dut. with sum. in
Eng.
Using National Household Forecasts data, the author projects
the population of the Netherlands by age, sex, position in the
household, and marital status for the period 1992-2009. The focus is
on time spent living alone by sex.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
59:10099
Drzewieniecka, Krystyna; Dzienio, Kazimierz.
Predicted changes, in the years 1990-2010, in the state and
structure of productive age population in Poland and in selected
European countries and their consequences for external migrations.
Polish Population Review, No. 2, 1992. 148-63 pp. Warsaw, Poland. In
Eng.
Trends in the number and structure of working-age populations
in Europe and Poland are projected for the period 1990-2010. Among
their predictions, the authors anticipate that "in Western Europe...the
working age population will be reduced by...2%. In both Southern and
Northern Europe the working age population will grow...by 1.3% and 3.6%
[respectively]. On the other hand, in Eastern Europe the population
concerned will grow substantially in those years: this growth is
estimated [at]...9.1%." A 14.7 percent increase is predicted for
Poland.
Correspondence: K. Drzewieniecka, Government
Population Commission, Plac Trzech Krzyzy 5, 00-507 Warsaw, Poland.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:10100 Grunewald,
Werner. Methods for projecting private households.
[Projektionsverfahren privater Haushalte nach Haushaltsgruppen.]
Allgemeines Statistisches Archiv, Vol. 76, No. 3, 1992. 208-25 pp.
Gottingen, Germany. In Ger. with sum. in Eng.
"Although there
exists a reasonable number of methods for projecting the number of
private households, only a few of them are used in practice. The
reason for this discrepancy is...analysed. All important methods which
had been developed until now will be presented, focusing on their
assumptions and the data needed."
Correspondence: W.
Grunewald, Universitat Bamberg, Lehrstuhl fur Statistik,
Feldkirchenstrassee 21, 8600 Bamberg, Germany. Location:
Princeton University Library (PF).
59:10101 Japan.
Institute of Population Problems (Tokyo, Japan).
Population projections for Japan: 1991-2090. Institute of
Population Problems Research Series, No. 274, Sep 30, 1992. ii, 140 pp.
Tokyo, Japan. In Jpn.
Population projections are presented for
Japan for five-year intervals from 1990 to 2025. Data are given by age
and sex.
Correspondence: Institute of Population Problems,
Ministry of Health and Welfare, 1-2-2 Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo
100, Japan. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:10102 McNicoll,
Geoffrey. The United Nations' long-range population
projections. Population and Development Review, Vol. 18, No. 2,
Jun 1992. 333-40, 394, 396 pp. New York, New York. In Eng. with sum. in
Fre; Spa.
"Population projections to 2150 have been prepared by the
Population Division of the United Nations, based on the Division's 1990
assessment of world population. These projections are described and
compared to earlier UN series and analogous projections published by
the World Bank. In the medium variant, widely used as a 'best guess' of
the demographic future, world population reaches 10 billion by 2050 but
adds only another 1.5 billion over the 100 years following. Low and
high variant totals, defined by long-run fertility levels of 1.7 and
2.5 lifetime births per woman, are 8 and 12.5 billion in 2050 and 4 and
28 billion in 2150."
Correspondence: G. McNicoll,
Australian National University, Research School of Social Sciences,
Demography Program, GPO Box 4, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:10103 Otero, Jose
M.; Martin, Guillermina; Trujillo, Francisco; Fernandez,
Antonio. Population, labour force and unemployment in
Andalusia: prospects for 1993. International Journal of
Forecasting, Vol. 7, No. 4, Mar 1992. 483-92 pp. Amsterdam,
Netherlands. In Eng.
"This paper is concerned with forecasting
population, employment, labour force and unemployment in Andalusia
[Spain] to 1993. For this purpose, a block-recursive demoeconomic
model is presented. The demographic submodel is based on the
component-cohort method of forecasting population by age and sex. The
economic submodel uses econometric and time series analysis to forecast
employment both in the medium and short-term. In the labour market
part, the labour force is forecasted taking into account the
encouraged-discouraged worker effects of changes in the demand for
labour."
Correspondence: J. M. Otero, Universidad de
Malaga, Facultad de Ciencias Economicas, El Ejido s/n, 29013 Malaga,
Spain. Location: World Bank, Joint Bank-Fund Library,
Washington, D.C.
59:10104 Perreault,
J.; Declos, M.; Costa, R.; Larrivee, D.; Loh, S.
Population projections for Canada, provinces and territories,
1989-2011. [Projections demographiques pour le Canada, les
provinces et les territoires, 1989-2011.] Pub. Order No. 91-520. ISBN
0-660-54850-X. Mar 1990. xii, 192 pp. Statistics Canada, Demography
Division, Population Projections Section: Ottawa, Canada. In Eng; Fre.
Population projections for Canada, its provinces, and its
territories are presented up to the year 2011. The projections are
provided for each year by age and sex. The estimates are based on data
from the 1986 census.
Correspondence: Statistics Canada,
Publication Sales, Ottawa, Ontario K1A 0T6, Canada. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:10105 Pollard,
Kelvin. Faster growth, more diversity in U.S.
projections. Population Today, Vol. 21, No. 2, Feb 1993. 3, 10 pp.
Washington, D.C. In Eng.
The author reviews the U.S. Bureau of the
Census report entitled "Population Projections of the United States by
Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin: 1992 to 2050". "This report...is
the first to present separate projections for Asian Americans and
Native Americans--as well as for whites and blacks. It is also the
first to incorporate the impact of AIDS in the middle series. And...it
is the first to separate all racial groups into their Hispanic and
non-Hispanic components, so that racial/ethnic breakdowns add to 100
percent."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:10106 Saitsu,
Yoshiaki. Long-range world population projections: two
centuries of population growth, 1950-2150, prepared by the United
Nations in 1992. Jinko Mondai Kenkyu/Journal of Population
Problems, Vol. 48, No. 2, Jul 1992. 40-53 pp. Tokyo, Japan. In Jpn.
Long-range global population projections are presented in tabular
and graph formats for the period 1950-2150. Data are from official
U.N. publications.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
59:10107 Zeng, Yi;
Vaupel, J. Some problems of future demographic processes
in China. Social Sciences in China, Vol. 13, No. 1, Jan 1992.
43-53 pp. Beijing, China. In Eng.
"In this paper, which is based on
a projection model of rural-urban population dynamics established by
the authors, we make use of the investigative data of the one percent
national population sample of 1987 and analog calculations on almost
200 demographic parameters to clarify the problematic relations between
some key issues in China's future demographic processes. We advance a
number of suggestions for the reference of policy-makers and
planners."
Location: Princeton University Library (Gest).
59:10108 Natarajan,
K. S. The provisional results of 1991 census:
implications of the population growth for future size of
population. Demography India, Vol. 20, No. 1, Jan-Jun 1991. 29-33
pp. Delhi, India. In Eng.
Selected results from the 1991 census of
India are discussed, with a focus on changes in population growth rates
for states and regions. It is noted that "the population of India
during the decade 1981-91 has increased by 23.50 per cent....The
average annual growth rate (exponential) works out to be 2.11 per cent
during the decade 1981-91 as against 2.20 per cent and 2.22 per cent
respectively during 1961-71 and 1971-81. This is the first decade in
this century when the growth rate has
declined...."
Correspondence: K. S. Natarajan, Office of
the Registrar General (Demography), Sewa Bhawan, R. K. Puram, New Delhi
110 066, India. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
59:10109 Pathak, K.
B.; Ram, F. Dynamics of population change in India:
lessons from the 1991 census. Journal of Family Welfare, Vol. 37,
No. 3, Sep 1991. 52-61 pp. Bombay, India. In Eng.
The authors
review results from the 1991 census of India and compare them to
results from the previous decade. Consideration is given to geographic
variation in population growth, natural increase, sex ratio, survival
rates by sex, and migration.
Correspondence: K. B. Pathak,
International Institute for Population Sciences, Department of
Fertility Studies, Deonar, Bombay 400 088, India. Location:
Population Council Library, New York, NY.
59:10110 Pathak, K.
B.; Ram, F. Pattern of population growth and
redistribution in India. Demography India, Vol. 20, No. 1, Jan-Jun
1991. 7-14 pp. Delhi, India. In Eng.
"This paper examines the
pattern of population growth and its redistribution in India with
greater emphasis on Kerala and 'BIMARU' [Bihar, Madhya Pradesh,
Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh] states. It is felt that transition in
the growth rate at the national level may be determined in future by
the BIMARU states. While Kerala took nearly three decades to come out
of the 'Two Per Cent Growth Rate Syndrome' in spite of [a] very
favourable social environment,...it may be very difficult for the
BIMARU states and, hence, for India to come out of the above two per
cent growth rate in less than three decades....It seems that the BIMARU
states may continue to grow above two per cent for another two or three
decades unless family planning [programs], along with supporting
educational...and health [programs] become more responsive to local
needs and become more acceptable to the people." Data concern the
period 1951-1991, with a focus on the past 20
years.
Correspondence: K. B. Pathak, International
Institute for Population Sciences, Deonar, Bombay 400 088, India.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
