58:20709 Aliaga,
Alfredo; Le, Thanh. Methodology for small-area estimation
with DHS samples. In: Demographic and Health Surveys World
Conference, August 5-7, 1991, Washington, D.C.: proceedings. Volume
1. 1991. 497-512 pp. Institute for Resource Development/Macro
International, Demographic and Health Surveys [DHS]: Columbia,
Maryland. In Eng.
Given the need expressed by several countries
participating in the DHS program for survey estimates covering
relatively small areas, the authors examine synthetic estimation
techniques as a way to provide such estimates. These methods are
applied to DHS data on contraceptive use in the Dominican Republic and
Egypt during the late 1980s.
Correspondence: A. Aliaga,
Institute for Resource Development/Macro International, Demographic and
Health Surveys, 8850 Stanford Boulevard, Suite 4000, Columbia, MD
21045. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
58:20710 Arminger,
Gerhard; Galler, Heinz. Demographically relevant models
and simulation and analysis procedures based on empirical studies.
[Demographisch relevante Modellrechnungen, Simulations- und
Analyseverfahren auf der Basis empirischer Erhebungen.] Materialien zur
Bevolkerungswissenschaft, No. 72, 1991. 98, [4] pp. Bundesinstitut fur
Bevolkerungsforschung: Wiesbaden, Germany. In Ger.
The aim of this
study is to present a systematic overview and evaluation of various
approaches for modelling and projecting household and family
structures. Consideration is given to simple and elaborate simulation
models at the macro level and to microanalytic simulation
models.
Correspondence: Bundesinstitut fur
Bevolkerungsforschung, Gustav-Stresemann-Ring 6, Postfach 5528, D-6200
Wiesbaden, Germany. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
58:20711 Blayo,
Chantal. The choice of cohorts and sub-cohorts: general
rules and their application to abortion. [Choix des cohortes et
des sous-cohortes: regles generales et application a l'avortement.]
Population, Vol. 46, No. 6, Nov-Dec 1991. 1,379-403 pp. Paris, France.
In Fre. with sum. in Eng; Spa.
The author discusses cohort analysis
and its use in studying demographic events. She finds that "the events
must be classified with respect to the nature of their associated
characteristics, and in this paper it is shown how such a
classification can be used to determine both the choice of cohort and
of the indicators used. It is also important to distinguish between
data collected by continuous observation and those which have been
obtained retrospectively. These principles are illustrated by applying
them to a study of legitimate second-order birth rates [in France], and
by a suggested analysis for the study of induced
abortions."
Correspondence: C. Blayo, Institut National
d'Etudes Demographiques, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris Cedex 14,
France. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
58:20712 Bonin,
Serge. Graphical representation of population
structures. [Representation graphique des structures de
population.] Espace, Populations, Societes, No. 3, 1991. 539-47 pp.
Villeneuve d'Ascq, France. In Fre. with sum. in Eng.
Some different
methods of graphically representing population data are discussed,
including age pyramids and spatial distribution maps. The advantages of
each are briefly described and illustrated using data from a variety of
countries.
Correspondence: S. Bonin, Ecole des Hautes
Etudes en Sciences Sociales, Laboratoire de Graphique, 131 boulevard
St. Michel, 75005 Paris, France. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
58:20713 Cauvin,
Colette; Enaux, Christophe. From data plotting to map
transformation: some proposals for the mapping of population
data. [De la cartographie de report a la cartographie
transformationnelle: propositions pour la representation de donnees de
population.] Espace, Populations, Societes, No. 3, 1991. 487-503 pp.
Villeneuve d'Ascq, France. In Fre. with sum. in Eng.
The authors
propose and evaluate some new methods for the spatial representation of
population data. Data from France are mapped as
illustrations.
Correspondence: C. Cauvin, Universite Louis
Pasteur, U.F.R. de Geographie, 12 rue Goethe, 67000 Strasbourg, France.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
58:20714 Desire,
J. The status of population mapping in China, India,
Mexico, Hungary, and Slovenia. [Etat de la cartographie des
populations en Chine, en Inde, au Mexique, en Hongrie et en Slovenie.]
Espace, Populations, Societes, No. 3, 1991. 517-38 pp. Villeneuve
d'Ascq, France. In Eng; Fre.
This section contains brief reviews of
current population mapping work in progress in China, Hungary, India,
Mexico, and Yugoslavia. The summaries, by various authors, are in
either French or English.
Correspondence: J. Desire,
Universite de Picardie Jules Verne, Centre d'Etudes Geographiques,
Atelier de Cartographie, Campus-Rue Solomon Mahlangu, 80025 Amiens
Cedex, France. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
58:20715 Engen,
Steinar. Sexual mixing models: a comparison of analogue
deterministic and stochastic models. Mathematical Biosciences,
Vol. 108, No. 2, Mar 1992. 279-97 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"In the present paper problems related to variable sexual activity
and nonrandom partner choice are analyzed from a purely theoretical
point of view without reference to particular diseases. However, the
problems dealt with are of a general character and may be useful to
research workers dealing with specific sexually transmitted
diseases."
Correspondence: S. Engen, University of
Trondheim, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, N-7055 Dragvoll,
Norway. Location: Princeton University Library (SM).
58:20716 France.
Institut National d'Etudes Demographiques [INED] (Paris,
France). A tribute to Roland Pressat. Methods and
applications of demographic analysis. [Hommage a Roland Pressat.
Methodes et applications de l'analyse demographique.] Population, Vol.
46, No. 6, Nov-Dec 1991. 1,363-758 pp. Paris, France. In Fre. with sum.
in Eng; Spa.
This special issue presents papers that explore the
issues and theories central to the work of demographer Roland Pressat.
After an introduction outlining Pressat's contributions to demographic
analysis, separate sections contain 15 papers by various authors that
consider the principles of analysis and the practice of demography.
The geographical scope is worldwide, with some focus on developed
countries. A bibliography of Pressat's works is included.
Selected
items will be cited in this or subsequent issues of Population
Index.
Correspondence: Institut National d'Etudes
Demographiques, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris Cedex 14, France.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
58:20717 Golata,
Elzbieta. Problem of weights in the analysis of
demographic phenomena in territorial arrangement. Polish
Population Review, No. 1, 1991. 105-22 pp. Warsaw, Poland. In Eng.
The author attempts to eliminate the influence of the size of a
territorial unit on the results of demographic analysis, using data for
Poland as an illustration. She concludes that "the inclusion of
weights in statistical analysis allows us to eliminate the impact of
the sizes of studied units on the values of counted parameters as well
as on the measures of correlation and regression. The existence of a
close connection between the results obtained and the sizes of the
studied groups within the same population should be always taken into
account."
Correspondence: E. Golata, University of
Economics, u1. Niepodleglosci 10, 60-967 Poznan, Poland.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
58:20718 Henry,
Louis. Some reflections on conjunctural demography.
[Reflexions sur la conjoncture.] Population, Vol. 46, No. 6, Nov-Dec
1991. 1,577-88 pp. Paris, France. In Fre. with sum. in Eng; Spa.
The author reviews changes in the study of demography in Europe
that led to what is described here as conjunctural demography, or the
study of short-term demographic situations. He then discusses the
usefulness of conjunctural measures, synthetic measures that summarize
such demographic situations.
Correspondence: L. Henry,
Institut National d'Etudes Demographiques, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675
Paris Cedex 14, France. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
58:20719 Partida
Bush, Virgilio. A method for projecting the population
according to size of locality. (Application to the case of Mexico's
urban population in 1990). [Un metodo para proyectar la poblacion
segun tamano de la localidad. (Aplicacion al caso de la poblacion
urbana de Mexico en 1990).] Estudios Demograficos y Urbanos, Vol. 5,
No. 3, Sep-Dec 1990. 387-411, 819-20 pp. Mexico City, Mexico. In Spa.
with sum. in Eng.
"In this article, a restricted components method
is presented (because sex and age are not taken into account) to
project the population classified according to the size of the
locality....The application is presented for urban centers (15,000 or
more inhabitants) of Mexico in 1990, utilizing the trend in demographic
growth for the 1960-1980 period." Data are from Mexican censuses
conducted in 1960, 1970, and 1980.
Correspondence: V.
Partida Bush, Secretaria de Programacion y Presupuesto, Mexico City,
DF, Mexico. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
58:20720 Pullum,
Thomas W. Statistical methods to adjust for date and age
misreporting to improve estimates of vital rates in Pakistan.
Statistics in Medicine, Vol. 10, No. 2, Feb 1991. 191-200 pp.
Chichester, England. In Eng.
"Misreporting of dates and ages poses
serious difficulties for the estimation of the age distribution and
birth and death rates in many developing countries. The pervasiveness
of these problems is illustrated with data from a well-designed
on-going survey in Pakistan, the Pakistan Demographic Survey. Methods
for reconciling discrepancies, based on the assumptions of constant
misreporting and survivorship patterns, are presented. The reasoning
behind these methods could be applied much more generally. Research
into the cultural interpretations of age and dates, and the nature of
possible biases, is called for."
Correspondence: T. W.
Pullum, University of Texas, Population Research Center, Austin, TX
78712. Location: U.S. National Library of Medicine, Bethesda,
MD.
58:20721 Rajulton,
Fernando. Life history analysis in demography:
implications for teaching and research. Canadian Studies in
Population, Vol. 19, No. 1, 1992. 1-16 pp. Edmonton, Canada. In Eng.
with sum. in Fre.
The author reviews some types of analyses that
are possible using life history information that includes data on the
timing, sequence, and number of occurrences of specific life events.
"This paper aims...at bringing out relevant points regarding two
fundamental assumptions in life history analyses: (a) that a specific
stochastic process generates events, which can be appropriately
analyzed; and, (b) that certain characteristics of individuals, as well
as of contexts, affect change processes." The application of Markov,
semi-Markov, non-Markov, and hazards models to life history analysis is
discussed.
Correspondence: F. Rajulton, University of
Western Ontario, Department of Sociology, London, Ontario N6A 3K7,
Canada. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
58:20722 Rose, Brian
H. Mortality, economic growth and population growth.
Pub. Order No. DA9205284. 1991. 159 pp. University Microfilms
International: Ann Arbor, Michigan. In Eng.
This study involves the
development of a theoretical model of the demographic transition and
was prepared as a doctoral dissertation at the State University of New
York at Stony Brook. The geographical scope is
worldwide.
Correspondence: University Microfilms
International, 300 North Zeeb Road, Ann Arbor, MI 48106-1346.
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, A: Humanities
and Social Sciences 52(9).
58:20723 Sakai,
Hiromichi. Frequency distribution of first digit among
population. Jinko Mondai Kenkyu/Journal of Population Problems,
Vol. 47, No. 3, Oct 1991. 74-8 pp. Tokyo, Japan. In Jpn.
A method
of checking the accuracy of population distributions by region or age
in developing countries is presented. It involves the frequency of the
decrease of the first digit in the population number. This law is
explained from a simple mathematical model in which a population
increases at a fixed rate. The model shows that the time during which
the first digit of a population remains the same number decreases as
the first digit varies from one to nine.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
58:20724 Salo, Matt
T.; Campanelli, Pamela C. Ethnographic methods in the
development of census procedures for enumerating the homeless.
Urban Anthropology, Vol. 20, No. 2, Summer 1991. 127-40 pp. Brockport,
New York. In Eng.
The use of ethnographic methods to estimate the
number of homeless persons in the United States is explored. The
authors describe how "ethnographic methods were integrated with survey
procedures in a 1989 Census Bureau pilot test of an experimental
daytime count of homeless persons in Baltimore, MD. We demonstrated
that ethnographic techniques do not have to be merely supplemental to
survey research, but can play an integral part in shaping the entire
procedure. Ethnographic data proved valuable for choosing sites,
designing questionnaires and developing new interview approaches, and
have since proven equally useful in interpreting the test
results."
Correspondence: M. T. Salo, U.S. Bureau of the
Census, Center for Survey Methods Research, Washington, D.C. 20233.
Location: Princeton University Library (PR).
58:20725 Schoen,
Robert; Kim, Young J. Covariances, roots, and the dynamics
of age-specific growth. Population Index, Vol. 58, No. 1, Spring
1992. 4-17 pp. Princeton, New Jersey. In Eng.
"Regularities in
age-specific growth rates are explored over age and time, with regard
to age-aggregated summary measures and with respect to the spectral
decomposition of a population. Using a new approach to the
differentiation of population functions, changes in many crude rates
are shown to reflect the covariance between age patterns of demographic
behavior and age-specific growth. For example, the marginal change in
the crude birth rate is simply the covariance between the age-specific
schedules of fertility and growth, indicating that the birth rate
increases to the extent that ages with higher fertility experience
greater growth. Age-specific growth is an important demographic
variable because of its ability to relate observed changes to
mathematical models of population
dynamics."
Correspondence: R. Schoen, Johns Hopkins
University, Department of Population Dynamics, Baltimore, MD 21205.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
58:20726 Tsai, Shan
P.; Hardy, Robert J.; Wen, C. P. The standardized
mortality ratio and life expectancy. American Journal of
Epidemiology, Vol. 135, No. 7, Apr 1, 1992. 824-31 pp. Baltimore,
Maryland. In Eng.
This paper describes a theoretical relation
between the standardized mortality ratio (SMR), which is commonly used
to ascertain the magnitude of risks experienced by a working
population, and life expectancy. The authors also attempt "to establish
a statistical model for an easy method to convert the SMR of a study
population to the corresponding life expectancy for that population."
Data are from official sources for 1980 and concern the white
population of the United States.
Correspondence: S. P.
Tsai, Shell Oil Company, Corporate Medical Department, P.O. Box 2463,
Houston, TX 77252-2463. Location: Princeton University
Library (SZ).
58:20727 Valkovics,
Emil. Different uses for an indirect method of modeling in
demography. [Differentes utilisations d'une methode indirecte de
modelisation en demographie.] Population, Vol. 46, No. 6, Nov-Dec 1991.
1,531-50 pp. Paris, France. In Fre. with sum. in Eng; Spa.
"In this
study we propose a new indirect model for the representation of
increasing or decreasing values of certain demographic
variables...[including] the survival function in the life table;
cumulative age-specific fertility rates; legitimate age-specific
fertility rates; [and] the distribution of married women in a cohort by
the number of children they have borne, and the consequent estimation
of parity progression ratios, and the distribution of their progeny by
birth order....The accuracy of the results yielded by the model
suggests its value for forecasting." Data are for France for 1820,
Hungary for 1983, and Norway for 1888-1890.
Correspondence:
E. Valkovics, Maros-u. 27 v. 2, 1122 Budapest, Hungary.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
