Volume 58 - Number 1 - Spring 1992

D. Trends in Population Growth and Size

Studies on changes over time in population size and the bases of their estimation. Studies that are concerned primarily with the methodology of trends, estimations, and projections are classified under this heading and cross-referenced to N. Methods of Research and Analysis Including Models . Studies dealing with two or more of the topics listed in this division are coded under D.2. Current Rates and Estimates and cross-referenced where appropriate.

D.1. Past Trends

Studies of observed data on population growth in the past and its components. Includes studies that are primarily concerned with population trends up to and including World War II.

58:10067 Cuenya Mateos, Miguel A. Mexico's population (1821-1880). Sources for its study. [La poblacion en Mexico (1821-1880). Elementos para su estudio.] Temas de Poblacion, Vol. 1, No. 3, Sep 1991. 10-4 pp. Puebla, Mexico. In Spa.
The author presents a historical overview of population trends in Mexico during the nineteenth century. His aim is to summarize the diverse body of work published on the topic, since official government statistics are largely unavailable due to the country's war of independence and various other internal conflicts that impeded census-taking. The three main available sources studied are censuses taken by individuals, the few state censuses available, and civil and church registers.
Correspondence: M. A. Cuenya Mateos, Universidad Autonoma de Puebla, 4 Sur No 104, 72000 Puebla, Mexico. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

D.2. Current Rates and Estimates

Studies of censal and other estimates based on current data, together with the relevant methodological studies. Includes studies from World War II up to the present day.

58:10068 Berkner, Andreas. Results from the fourth census in the People's Republic of China. [Ergebnisse der 4. Volkszahlung in der Volksrepublik China.] Petermanns Geographische Mitteilungen, Vol. 135, No. 3, 1991. 195-200 pp. Gotha, Germany. In Ger.
The results of the fourth census of China, conducted in 1990, are summarized. Data on the overall population are presented by age and sex. Also enumerated are statistics on the birth rate, death rate, rate of natural increase, household size and composition, nationality, age structure, and geographical distribution.
Correspondence: A. Berkner, Martin Luther Universitat Halle-Wittenberg, Fachbereich Geowissenschaften, Institut fur Geographie, Domstrasse 5, 0-4010 Halle (Saale), Germany. Location: Princeton University Library (SG).

58:10069 Costa Rica. Direccion General de Estadistica y Censos (San Jose, Costa Rica). Costa Rica: population estimates by province, canton, and district as at January 1, 1991. [Costa Rica: calculo de poblacion por provincia, canton y distrito al 1 de enero de 1991.] LC 90-661479. Jan 1991. 17 pp. San Jose, Costa Rica. In Spa.
Population estimates are presented for Costa Rica by province, canton, and district for 1991. The estimates are based on data from the corrected results of the 1984 census. The data are presented separately by sex.
Correspondence: Direccion General de Estadistica y Censos, Apartado 10216, San Jose, Costa Rica. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10070 Eberstadt, Nicholas; Banister, Judith. Military buildup in the DPRK: some new indications from North Korean data. Asian Survey, Vol. 31, No. 11, Nov 1991. 1,095-115 pp. Berkeley, California. In Eng.
The authors attempt to estimate the size of the armed forces of North Korea using data from recently released official population statistics, which permit estimations to be made of the country's noncivilian male population. They conclude that this approach supports those who believe that there has been a major buildup in the country's military population from the mid-1970s to the late 1980s and that as a result North Korea is the most militarized society in the world.
Correspondence: N. Eberstadt, Harvard University, Center for Population and Development Studies, 9 Bow Street, Cambridge, MA 02138. Location: Princeton University Library (SPIA).

58:10071 Monnier, Alain; de Guibert-Lantoine, Catherine. Demographic factors: Europe and the developed countries overseas. [La conjoncture demographique: l'Europe et les pays developpes d'Outre-Mer.] Population, Vol. 46, No. 4, Jul-Aug 1991. 941-61 pp. Paris, France. In Fre.
Tabular data on fertility, mortality, infant mortality, nuptiality, population growth, divorce, abortion, and age distribution are presented and analyzed for selected developed countries and Europe. Data are from official and other published sources and concern five-year periods since 1965.
Correspondence: A. Monnier, Institut National d'Etudes Demographiques, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris Cedex 14, France. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10072 Nanda, Amulya R. Census of India 1991. Series-1, India. Paper 1 of 1991. Provisional population totals. Mar 1991. iv, 103 pp. Office of the Registrar General: New Delhi, India. In Eng.
Provisional results from the 1991 census of India are presented, together with an accompanying analysis. Separate consideration is given to population size, distribution, and growth; population projections; population density; sex distribution; and literacy. Selected data are provided in both tables and maps. The publication includes a description of census organization, a list of tables to be generated from the census, and schedules for the census.
Correspondence: Office of the Registrar General, Ministry of Home Affairs, 2/A Mansingh Road, New Delhi 110 011, India. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10073 Nath, V. 1991 population census: some facts and policy issues--II. Economic and Political Weekly, Vol. 26, No. 51, Dec 21, 1991. 2,937-42 pp. Bombay, India. In Eng.
The author discusses the second paper published by India's Registrar General presenting provisional population totals, including rural and urban distributions, from the 1991 census of India. The main focus is on the growth of the urban population and its policy implications.
For the first part of this article, also published in 1991, see 57:40079.
Location: Princeton University Library (PF).

58:10074 Staiger, Brunhild. First results of the fourth population census of the People's Republic of China, July 1, 1990. [Erste Ergebnisse der vierten Volkszahlung der VR China vom 1. Juli 1990.] China Aktuell, No. 19, Nov 1990. 837-43 pp. Hamburg, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger.
Preliminary results from the 1990 census of China are presented for the country as a whole and for provinces. Information is included on population size and growth, migration, households, sex distribution, nationality, educational level, birth and death rates, proportion of the population living in urban areas, population density, and natural increase. Policy implications are briefly discussed.
Location: Princeton University Library (Gest).

D.3. Projections and Predictions

Studies of both long-term and short-term future trends and studies on the appropriate methodology.

58:10075 Capron, Daniel. 1989-based subnational population projections for England. Population Trends, No. 66, Winter 1991. 48-52 pp. London, England. In Eng.
The 1989-based population projections for local and health authority areas in England are presented.
Correspondence: D. Capron, Office of Population Censuses and Surveys, Population and Hospital Statistics Division, St. Catherine's House, 10 Kingsway, London WC2B 6JP, England. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10076 de Beer, J. Population forecasts 1991: method, assumptions, and results. [Bevolkingsprognose 1991: methode, veronderstellingen en uitkomsten.] Maandstatistiek van de Bevolking, Vol. 39, No. 12, Dec 1991. 29-40 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
A population projection to the year 2000 for the Netherlands is presented. Consideration is given to expected levels of migration, life span, fertility, female labor force participation, mortality, consensual union, marriage, divorce, and mortality. Data are from various official and other published sources, to which a variety of estimation techniques were applied.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10077 Fullerton, Howard N. Labor force projections: the baby boom moves on. Monthly Labor Review, Vol. 114, No. 11, Nov 1991. 31-44 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
The most recent labor force projections for the United States, prepared by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, are presented for the period 1990-2005. They show that "with the aging of the baby-boom generation, the growth of the labor force will slow, but its diversity will increase."
Correspondence: H. N. Fullerton, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Office of Employment Projections, Washington, D.C. 20212. Location: Princeton University Library (Docs).

58:10078 Garayalde, Inigo; Murphy, Michael J.; Arregui, Begona; Olalde, Arantza; Ipina, Alejandro. Demographic scenarios: horizon 2016. [Escenarios demograficos: horizonte 2016.] Serie Documentos de Economia, No. 7, ISBN 84-7542-856-8. Sep 1990. [xi], 175 pp. Gobierno Vasco, Departamento de Economia y Planificacion: Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain. In Spa.
Population projections for the Basque region of Spain are provided up to 2016. The first chapter reviews the recent demographic trends on which the predictions are based, the second summarizes methods used and results, and the third looks at the social and economic implications of the projected changes.
Correspondence: Gobierno Vasco, Servicio Central de Publicaciones, Duque de Wellington 2, 01011 Vitoria, Spain. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10079 Guatemala. Consejo Nacional de Planificacion Economica (Guatemala City, Guatemala). Projections of the urban and rural population by region and department, 1980-2000. [Proyecciones de poblacion urbana y rural por region y departamento, 1980-2000.] Documento de Trabajo, No. 2, Nov 1988. 301 pp. Guatemala City, Guatemala. In Spa.
Population projections are presented for Guatemala up to the year 2000, using data from official sources, including the 1981 census. They are provided for five-year intervals and by calendar year, for rural and urban areas, and by age, sex, department, and region.
If requesting this document from CELADE, specify DOCPAL No. 14692.00.
Correspondence: Consejo Nacional de Planificacion Economica, Guatemala City, Guatemala. Location: U.N. Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia, Santiago, Chile. Source: Docpal Resumenes sobre Poblacion en America Latina 14(1).

58:10080 Guyot, Jean-Luc. Micro-populations and perspectives: a presentation of the methodology developed during the study of the student population of the Catholic University of Louvain. [Micro-populations et perspectives: presentation de la methodologie developpee dans l'etude de la population etudiante de l'Universite Catholique de Louvain.] Institut de Demographie Working Paper, No. 158, ISBN 2-87209-154-8. 1991. 46 pp. Universite Catholique de Louvain, Institut de Demographie: Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium. In Fre.
The author describes the methodology used to predict future developments in the number and type of students who may enroll in the Catholic University of Louvain over the next few years, given that the total population of French-speaking Belgians aged 18-20 has been declining since 1979.
Correspondence: Universite Catholique de Louvain, Institut de Demographie, Place Montesquieu 1, Boite 17, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10081 Hablicsek, Laszlo. Population structure in Eastern Europe. [Nepessegi tartalekok Kelet-Europaban.] Demografia, Vol. 33, No. 3-4, 1990. 235-56 pp. Budapest, Hungary. In Hun.
A method for projecting population size and growth is demonstrated using data for the countries of Eastern Europe.
Correspondence: L. Hablicsek, Demografia, Veres Palne u.10, H-1364 Budapest V, Hungary. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10082 Hof, Bernd. German prospects for the development of population and labor force supply, 1990 to 2010. [Gesamtdeutsche Perspektiven zur Entwicklung von Bevolkerung und Arbeitskrafteangebot 1990 bis 2010.] ISBN 3-602-14284-1. 1990. 133 pp. Deutscher Instituts-Verlag: Cologne, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger.
Population and labor force projections for post-unification Germany and for East and West Germany are presented for the period 1990-2010. Assumptions concerning migration, fertility, and mortality are discussed, and the results of several variant projections are examined. Projections of female labor force participation are included.
Correspondence: Deutscher Instituts-Verlag, Gustav-Heinemann-Ufer 84-88, Postfach 51 06 70, 5000 Cologne 51, Germany. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10083 Lalu, N. M. Population projection by single years of age on a personal computer. Population Research Laboratory Discussion Paper, No. 85, Nov 1991. 20 pp. University of Alberta, Department of Sociology, Population Research Laboratory: Edmonton, Canada. In Eng.
The author describes a computer program named PROJS, designed to run on any IBM-compatible PC, that starts with a population distribution by single years of age and projects that population at one-year intervals. Examples are given using data for Alberta, Canada.
Correspondence: University of Alberta, Department of Sociology, Population Research Laboratory, Edmonton, Alberta T6G 2H4, Canada. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10084 Lee, Ronald D. Long-run global population forecasts: a critical appraisal. In: Resources, environment, and population: present knowledge, future options, edited by Kingsley Davis and Mikhail S. Bernstam. 1991. 44-78 pp. Oxford University Press: New York, New York/Oxford, England; Population Council: New York, New York. In Eng.
"This article considers standard demographic forecasts in the broader intellectual context of theoretical and empirical studies of population dynamics. The article has four parts. First, I consider the insights to be gained from demographic analysis, with an emphasis on the declining influence of mortality change on growth rates. Second, I consider at some length the different approaches to forecasting: those that hypothesize levels and changes in the vital rates without reference to the implied changes in population size, and those that reason in terms of the Earth's carrying capacity and the responsiveness of population growth rates to feedback. Third, I consider the degree of uncertainty in population forecasts. Fourth, I review some recent long-run forecasts of global population." Comments are included by Griffith Feeney (pp. 72-5) and Kenneth W. Wachter (pp. 76-8).
Correspondence: R. D. Lee, University of California, Graduate Group in Demography, 2232 Piedmont Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10085 Legare, Jacques; Marcil-Gratton, Nicole. Individual programming of life events: a challenge for demographers in the twenty-first century. Collection de Tires a Part, No. 281, [1990]. [8] pp. Universite de Montreal, Departement de Demographie: Montreal, Canada. In Eng.
The authors examine why demographers have such difficulty forecasting demographic trends, even though the available analytic methods and data have improved. They conclude that the main reason is the growing control by individuals over primary demographic indicators such as fertility and mortality, and the consequent need to include in the analysis a wide array of factors that govern individual choice in such matters.
This article was originally published in the Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences (New York), Vol. 610, Oct 1990, pp. 99-105.
Correspondence: Universite de Montreal, Departement de Demographie, CP 6128, Succursale A, Montreal, Quebec H3C 3J7, Canada. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10086 Lutz, Wolfgang; Prinz, Christopher. Scenarios for the world population in the next century: excessive growth or extreme aging. IIASA Working Paper, No. WP-91-22, Aug 1991. vii, 22 pp. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [IIASA]: Laxenburg, Austria. In Eng.
Ten alternative projections are presented for the world's population up to either the year 2050 or 2100. The assumptions on which the projections are made involve future trends in fertility and mortality that do not necessarily reflect current mainstream thinking. The authors conclude that either rapid population growth will continue or, if population growth stabilizes, substantial demographic aging is inevitable, as are its social and economic challenges.
Correspondence: International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2361 Laxenburg, Austria. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10087 Martinez Gomez, Ciro; Escobar Morant, Gladys. Colombia. Population projections, 1950-2025. National totals by age and sex groups. [Colombia. Proyecciones de poblacion, 1950-2025. Total nacional por grupos de edad y sexo.] Jun 1989. 103 pp. Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadistica [DANE]: Bogota, Colombia; Departamento Nacional de Planeacion: Bogota, Colombia. In Spa.
Population projections are presented for Colombia up to the year 2025, based on data from official sources, including the 1985 census. The projections are provided separately by rural and urban area, region, department, and municipality, as well as by age and sex. Life tables are also included.
If requesting this document from CELADE, specify DOCPAL No. 14609.00.
Correspondence: Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadistica, Apartado Nacional 8798, Bogota DE, Colombia. Location: U.N. Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia, Santiago, Chile. Source: DOCPAL Resumenes sobre Poblacion en America Latina 14(1).

58:10088 Mexico. Consejo Nacional de Poblacion [CONAPO] (Mexico City, Mexico). Population projections for Mexico, 1970-2020: preliminary version. [Proyecciones de la poblacion de Mexico, 1970-2020: version preliminar.] Oct 1989. 46 pp. Mexico City, Mexico. In Spa.
Population projections are presented for Mexico up to the year 2020 by age and sex. The data are from official sources, including the 1987 National Survey on Fertility and Health.
If requesting this document from CELADE, specify DOCPAL No. 14688-00.
Correspondence: Consejo Nacional de Poblacion, Avenida Angel Urraza 1137, Col. Del Valle, C.P. 03100 Mexico DF, Mexico. Location: U.N. Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia, Santiago, Chile. Source: DOCPAL Resumenes sobre Poblacion en America Latina 14(1).

58:10089 Nusselder, Wilma J.; Schoorl, Jeannette J.; Berkien, Jeroen F. M. Population projections for the foreign population of the Netherlands by nationality, 1989-1999: Turks, Moroccans, and those with non-Dutch nationality. [Bevolkingsvooruitberekening allochtonen in Nederland naar nationaliteit, 1989-1999: bevolkingsgroepen met de Turkse, Marokkaanse, een eg of overige niet-Nederlandse nationaliteit.] NIDI Rapport, No. 16, ISBN 90-70990-24-5. 1990. xi, 178 pp. Nederlands Interdisciplinair Demografisch Instituut [NIDI]: The Hague, Netherlands. In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
Projections by age and sex are presented for the resident foreign population of the Netherlands for the period 1989-1999. Four non-Dutch subpopulations are identified and projected separately: Turks, Moroccans, those with European Community nationality, and others. Data are from official Dutch sources and mainly date from 1980.
Correspondence: Nederlands Interdisciplinair Demografisch Instituut, Postbus 11650, 2502 AR The Hague, Netherlands. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10090 Sadik, Nafis. Healthy people--in numbers the world can support. World Health Forum, Vol. 12, No. 3, 1991. 347-55 pp. Geneva, Switzerland. In Eng.
Global population projections are presented, and the effect of population growth on health, carrying capacities, and social welfare programs is discussed. The need for governments to direct their development policies toward raising the status of women is emphasized.
Correspondence: N. Sadik, United Nations Population Fund, 220 East 42nd Street, New York, NY 10017. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10091 Schulz, Erika. Scenarios of population trends in the Federal Republic of Germany. [Szenarien der Bevolkerungsentwicklung in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland.] Deutsches Institut fur Wirtschaftsforschung: Wochenbericht, Vol. 57, No. 8, Feb 22, 1990. 93-102 pp. Berlin, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger.
Three different population projections for West Germany up to the year 2040 are presented. The focus is on whether population decrease can be halted by the increase in immigration from East Germany and other countries. Projections of age structure are also included.
Location: Pennsylvania State University Library, University Park, PA.

58:10092 Schulz, Erika; Vortmann, Heinz. Scenarios of population trends in the German Democratic Republic. [Szenarien der Bevolkerungsentwicklung in der DDR.] Deutsches Institut fur Wirtschaftsforschung: Wochenbericht, Vol. 57, No. 23-24, Jun 14, 1990. 315-21 pp. Berlin, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger.
Three different population projections for East Germany up to the year 2040 are presented. The role of emigration as the key factor leading to a projected population decrease is emphasized. Projections of age structure are also included.
Location: Pennsylvania State University Library, University Park, PA.

58:10093 Shen, J. Analysis of urban-rural population dynamics for China. Environment and Planning A, Vol. 23, No. 12, Dec 1991. 1,797-810 pp. London, England. In Eng.
"The multiregional demography approach is used in an analysis of the urban-rural population dynamics of China. Multiregional population-accounts and methods of estimation of demographic rates are developed on the basis of the multiregional population-accounts concept. An accounts-based urban-rural population projection model is established and used to project the population of China from 1988 to 2087."
Correspondence: J. Shen, London School of Economics, Department of Geography, Houghton Street, Aldwych, London WC2A 2AE, England. Location: Princeton University Library (UES).

58:10094 Skinner, J. L.; Catalano, P.; Gillam, M. E.; Symes, L. The population of Western Australia: 1976-2021. ISBN 0-7309-2447-5. Dec 1988. x, 89, [4] pp. State Planning Commission, Forecasting Branch: Perth, Australia. In Eng.
This is the first in a planned series of reports that will review demographic trends in Western Australia. The authors examine current trends in fertility, mortality, and migration and present four alternative population projections by age and sex to the year 2021.
Correspondence: State Planning Commission, Forecasting Branch, 22 Saint Georges Terrace, Perth, Western Australia 6000, Australia. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10095 United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs (New York, New York). Long-range world population projections: two centuries of population growth, 1950-2150. No. ST/ESA/SER.A/125, Pub. Order No. E.92.XIII.3. ISBN 92-1-151241-9. 1992. ix, 35 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
This report presents revised long-range projections of the global population up to the year 2150 for the whole world and for nine major regions. The seven projections represent alternative assumptions concerning trends in fertility.
Correspondence: U.N. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, New York, NY 10017. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

D.4. Population Size and Growth

Studies on changes in population between two specific points in time. Includes studies on negative growth, natural increase, zero population growth, and population reproduction.

58:10096 Demeny, Paul. Tradeoffs between human numbers and material standards of living. In: Resources, environment, and population: present knowledge, future options, edited by Kingsley Davis and Mikhail S. Bernstam. 1991. 408-21 pp. Oxford University Press: New York, New York/Oxford, England; Population Council: New York, New York. In Eng.
"This brief essay discusses some of the considerations concerning the human environment and bearing on policy decisions related to demographic growth. Do they provide arguments that would justify attempts to influence aggregate change in population numbers through deliberate collective action? The scope of the discussion is narrowed somewhat by a focus on situations characterized by rapid population growth--growth at the historically unprecedented rates of change that still prevail in most contemporary developing countries."
Correspondence: P. Demeny, Population Council, One Dag Hammarskjold Plaza, New York, NY 10017. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10097 Dinkel, Reiner H.; Meinl, Erich. The components of population development in the Federal Republic of Germany and the German Democratic Republic between 1950 and 1987. [Die Komponenten de Bevolkerungsentwicklung in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland und der DDR zwischen 1950 und 1987.] Zeitschrift fur Bevolkerungswissenschaft, Vol. 17, No. 2, 1991. 115-34 pp. Wiesbaden, Germany. In Ger. with sum. in Eng; Fre.
Factors affecting changes in population size from 1950 to 1987 in the German Democratic Republic and the Federal Republic of Germany are analyzed and compared. The authors use a decomposition model that considers the effects of fertility, mortality, and migration. They find that migration is the major demographic factor affecting population size in both countries, with migration to the Federal Republic of Germany accounting for 75 percent of its population growth and migration out of the German Democratic Republic responsible for 80 percent of its population decrease for the period.
Correspondence: R. H. Dinkel, Universitat Bamberg, Bevolkerungswissenschaft, insb. Quantitative Verfahren, Feldkirchenstrasse 21, 8600 Bamberg, Germany. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10098 Kraus, Jaroslav. Population development in Czechoslovakia in 1990. [Populacni vyvoj v Ceskoslovensku v roce 1990.] Demografie, Vol. 33, No. 4, 1991. 289-99 pp. Prague, Czechoslovakia. In Cze. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
Population dynamics in Czechoslovakia during 1990 are outlined using data from official census sources. Increases in both nuptiality and divorce are noted. Abortion rates remained static, while the number of live births increased. Mortality levels remained unimproved, hence, so did the average life span. Both immigration from elsewhere in Eastern Europe and emigration to the West have increased.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10099 Sarma, P. Sankara. A study of population momentum under changing vital rates. Pub. Order No. DA9132726. 1991. 141 pp. University Microfilms International: Ann Arbor, Michigan. In Eng.
This work was prepared as a doctoral dissertation at Johns Hopkins University. It uses vital statistics data for Japan in 1966 and Togo in 1961.
Correspondence: University Microfilms International, 300 North Zeeb Road, Ann Arbor, MI 48106-1346. Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, A: Humanities and Social Sciences 52(6).

58:10100 Tabah, Leon. World demographic trends and their consequences for Europe. Council of Europe Population Studies, No. 20, ISBN 92-871-1778-0. 1990. 48 pp. Council of Europe: Strasbourg, France. In Eng.
This is a report to the European Population Committee on world population growth and its demographic, economic, and policy consequences for Europe. The author notes that "the increase in world population--particularly in the 'third world'...and the steady decrease in fertility and population in nearly all European countries could lead to growing pressure of emigrants from overpopulated countries into Europe. At the same time, other aspects, political as well as legal, deserve consideration in the face of [the] growing imbalance between ageing Europe and over-populated, increasingly young, developing countries."
Correspondence: Council of Europe, Directorate of Social and Economic Affairs, BP 431 R6, 67006 Strasbourg Cedex, France. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

58:10101 United Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs (New York, New York). Concise report on the world population situation in 1991: with a special emphasis on age structure. No. ST/ESA/SER.A/124, Pub. Order No. E.91.XIII.17. ISBN 92-1-151238-7. 1991. vi, 33 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"The present report is the eighth in a series of periodic concise reviews of world and regional developments in the field of population....It covers past trends and future prospects of the population, including its age structure, and provides a factual basis for investigating their economic and social implications. In discussing age structure, the focus of the report is not limited to growth of the elderly population but considers age distribution in its entirety in a broad framework of global and historical changes in age structure. In the rest of the report, the most recent levels and trends of demographic variables are discussed and compared...."
For a previous report in this series, also published in 1991, see 57:20107.
Correspondence: U.N. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, New York, NY 10017. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).


Copyright © 1992-1996, Office of Population Research, Princeton University.