57:30060 Tsubouchi,
Yoshihiro. A re-examination of Raffles's statistics on the
population of Java in the early nineteenth century: some problems of
early censuses. Southeast Asian Studies, Vol. 28, No. 4, Mar 1991.
481-93 pp. Kyoto, Japan. In Eng.
The author evaluates the
reliability of the population statistics for early nineteenth-century
Java, Indonesia, which were published in 1817 by T. S. Raffles. Data
on household size, sex ratio, age structure, and Chinese and other
nationalities are analyzed. It is noted that a main problem with the
data is underestimation of household sizes.
This is a translation of
the Japanese article published in 1990 and cited in 57:10075.
Correspondence: Y. Tsubouchi, Kyoto University, Center for
Southeast Asian Studies, Shimoadachi-cho 46, Yoshida, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto
606, Japan. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30061 Cuba.
Comite Estatal de Estadisticas. Instituto de Investigaciones
Estadisticas (Havana, Cuba). Population by province,
municipality, and zone, by sex and age group, on December 31, 1988.
Median population by province and zone. Provincial and municipal
population estimates by major age group. [Poblacion por
provincias, municipios y zonas, segun sexos y grupos de edades, al 31
de diciembre de 1988. Poblacion media por provincias y zonas.
Estimaciones provinciales y municipales de la poblacion por grandes
grupos de edades.] Estudios y Datos sobre la Poblacion Cubana
Publicacion, No. 18, May 1989. xix, 230 pp. Havana, Cuba. In Spa.
This annual publication contains information on the resident
population of Cuba on December 31, 1988, at the national, provincial,
and municipal levels. Data are included on population by age group,
sex, and urban or rural area. In addition, the publication provides
municipal and provincial estimates of the working-age population by
sex, urban or rural area, and age group, as well as estimates for Cuba
and its provinces of the mean population by age group, sex, and urban
or rural area.
For the 1986 edition, published in 1987, see
54:20086.
Correspondence: Comite Estatal de Estadisticas,
Instituto de Investigaciones Estadisticas, Gaveta Postal 6016, Havana,
Cuba. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30062 Ernst,
Friedhelm. Population trends among Palestinians between
1952 and 1987: a critical study of available demographic material.
[Die Bevolkerungsentwicklung der Palastinenser zwischen 1952 und 1987:
eine kritische Untersuchung vorliegenden demographischen Materials.]
Ethnizitat und Gesellschaft Occasional Paper, No. 19, ISBN
3-923446-66-7. 1990. 63 pp. Das Arabische Buch: Berlin, Germany,
Federal Republic of. In Ger. with sum. in Eng.
Various estimates of
the size and growth of the Palestinian population between 1952 and 1987
are critically reviewed. Sources of data include individual authors,
the PLO, and the United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA).
Breakdowns for Israel, the West Bank, the Gaza Strip, Arab countries,
and non-Arab countries are provided. The findings indicate that the
total Palestinian Arab population throughout the world is over 5
million and that rapid population growth is continuing. Political
implications are also discussed.
Correspondence: Das
Arabische Buch, Horstweg 2, D-1000 Berlin 19, Germany.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30063 Laos.
Government (Vientiane, Laos). Population of Lao PDR
(01-03-1985). 1986. Vientiane, Laos. In Eng.
This report
includes population estimates for Laos in 1985. Data are included on
families and households, age and sex distribution, population by
district or province, and educational status.
Location:
East-West Population Institute, Honolulu, HI.
57:30064 Peru.
Instituto Nacional de Estadistica e Informatica. Direccion Tecnica de
Demografia (Lima, Peru). Peru: projections of the
population aged less than five by single years, by district, 1990.
[Peru: proyecciones de poblacion de menores de cinco anos por edades
simples, segun distritos, 1990.] Boletin Especial, No. 13, Dec 1990.
110 pp. Lima, Peru. In Spa.
Population estimates for children aged
under five are presented for Peru for 1990. The estimates are provided
by region, department, province, and district for individual years of
age from under one year of age to age four. These estimates are based
on the revised projections for Peru for the period
1980-2025.
Correspondence: Instituto Nacional de
Estadistica e Informatica, Direccion Tecnica de Demografia, Avenida 28
de Julio No. 1056, Lima 1, Peru. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
57:30065 Sommer,
Bettina. Marriages, births, and deaths, 1989.
[Eheschliessungen, Gerbuten und Sterbefalle, 1989.] Wirtschaft und
Statistik, No. 1, Jan 1991. 28-32 pp. Wiesbaden, Germany. In Ger.
Information is presented on marriages, births, and deaths in 1989
in both West and East Germany. Comparative data for earlier years
since 1970 are also provided. Topics discussed include marriages by
previous marital status, age at marriage, illegitimate births,
age-specific birth rates, and life expectancy.
Location:
Princeton University Library (PR).
57:30066 Sommer,
Bettina; Fleischer, Henning. Population trends, 1989.
[Bevolkerungsentwicklung 1989.] Wirtschaft und Statistik, No. 2, Feb
1991. 81-8 pp. Wiesbaden, Germany. In Ger.
Information is presented
on population trends in West Germany in 1989, with a focus on
international migration. Topics covered include live births, deaths,
total migration, immigration and emigration of Germans and foreigners,
and population size. Sections are also included on population trends
in East Germany and preliminary findings for
1990.
Location: Princeton University Library (PF).
57:30067 United
Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs (New
York, New York). World urbanization prospects 1990:
estimates and projections of urban and rural populations and of urban
agglomerations. No. ST/ESA/SER.A/121, Pub. Order No. E.91.XIII.11.
ISBN 92-1-151232-8. 1991. viii, 223 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"This publication presents the 1990 revision of the United Nations
estimates and projections of urban and rural populations and of urban
agglomerations for countries, regions and major areas of the world."
The data are presented for each five-year interval from 1950 to 2025
for regions and major areas and from 1950 to 2000 for
countries.
Correspondence: U.N. Department of International
Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, New York, NY 10017.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30068 Uruguay.
Direccion General de Estadistica y Censos (Montevideo,
Uruguay). Uruguay: population estimates and projections
by age and sex. The whole country, 1950-2025. [Uruguay:
estimaciones y proyecciones de poblacion por edad y sexo. Total del
pais, 1950-2025.] No. LC/DEM/DGF/R.9, 1989. 86 pp. Direccion General de
Estadistica y Censos: Montevideo, Uruguay; U.N. Centro Latinoamericano
de Demografia [CELADE]: Santiago, Chile. In Spa.
Population
estimates and projections are presented for Uruguay from 1950 to 2025.
They are based on census data, including the census of 1985, and on
data from the vital statistics system. The initial text describes
current population trends, and includes sections on fertility,
mortality, and international migration.
If requesting this study
from CELADE, ask for Document No. DOCPAL
13951.00.
Correspondence: Direccion General de Estadistica
y Censos, Cuareim 2052, Montevideo, Uruguay. Location: U.N.
Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia, Santiago, Chile.
57:30069 Wolter,
Kirk M.; Causey, Beverley D. Evaluation of procedures for
improving population estimates for small areas. JASA: Journal of
the American Statistical Association, Vol. 86, No. 414, Jun 1991.
278-84 pp. Alexandria, Virginia. In Eng.
"We provide and illustrate
methods for evaluating across-the-board ratio estimation and synthetic
estimation, two techniques that might be used for improving population
estimates for small areas. The methods emphasize determination of a
break-even accuracy of knowledge concerning externally obtained
population totals, which marks the point at which improvement occurs."
The techniques are illustrated using 1980 U.S. census
data.
Correspondence: K. M. Wolter, A. C. Nielsen Company,
Northbrook, IL 60062. Location: Princeton University Library
(SM).
57:30070 Dinh, Quang
Chi. Population aging will be greater than expected.
[Le vieillissement de la population sera plus important que prevu.]
Economie et Statistique, No. 243, May 1991. 53-60, 111, 113 pp. Paris,
France. In Fre. with sum. in Eng; Spa.
Population forecasts for
France are reassessed in the light of data from the 1990 census. The
author notes that although the total fertility rate is close to the
anticipated 1.8, mortality is lower than expected. In consequence, the
increase in the number of the elderly will be faster and larger than
was originally projected.
Correspondence: Q. C. Dinh,
Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, 18
Boulevard Adolphe Pinard, 75675 Paris Cedex 14, France.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30071 Greenwood,
M. J.; Hunt, G. L. Forecasting state and local population
growth with limited data: the use of employment-migration relationships
and trends in vital rates. Environment and Planning A, Vol. 23,
No. 7, Jul 1991. 987-1,005 pp. London, England. In Eng.
In this
study, the rate of growth of state and local populations in the United
States is related to the growth rate of national employment, and to
demographic and economic features of the regions concerned, in order to
make more realistic long-term population projections. Both natural
increase and migration are taken into account in the model developed.
"The model is estimated for two regions, the El Paso, TX, standard
metropolitan statistical area (SMSA) and the State of New Mexico.
Several statistical problems arise because of the limited number of
available time-series observations. Fully dynamic historical
simulations track the population quite closely, in one case never
differing from the actual value by more than 1.17% and in the other
never differing by more than 1.36%."
Correspondence: M. J.
Greenwood, University of Colorado, Department of Economics, Boulder, CO
80309. Location: Princeton University Library (UES).
57:30072 Hungary.
Kozponti Statisztikai Hivatal (Budapest, Hungary). The
population of Hungary, 1986-2006. Regional population
projections. [Magyarorszag nepessege, 1986-2006. Teruleti
nepessegeloreszamitas.] Apr 1987. 443 pp. Budapest, Hungary. In Hun.
with sum. in Eng; Rus.
Population projections by age and sex for
Hungary are presented by region up to the year 2006. They are based on
data from the 1980 census and the vital statistics system. Four
alternative projections are given for each region, primarily with
regard to alternative assumptions concerning fertility
trends.
Correspondence: Kozponti Statisztikai Hivatal,
Keleti Karoly U.5-7, 1525 Budapest II, Hungary. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30073 Kotowska,
Irena. Application of the LIPRO model to project Poland's
population to 2050. [Zastosowanie modelu LIPRO do prognozowania
ludnosci Polski do roku 2050.] Monografie i Opracowania, No. 311, 1991.
196 pp. Szkola Glowna Planowania i Statystyki, Instytut Statystyki i
Demografii: Warsaw, Poland. In Pol. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
Demographic projections for Poland to 2050, which were developed
using a multidimensional projection model called LIPRO, are presented.
The initial three chapters discuss the LIPRO model, some basic
information on the computer program, and the use of the model for
projecting Poland's population. The next chapter provides selected
projection results, including population size and composition by age,
sex, residence, and marital status.
Correspondence: Szkola
Glowna Planowania i Statystyki, Instytut Statystyki i Demografii, Al.
Niepodlegosci 162, 02-544 Warsaw, Poland. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
57:30074
Kupiszewski, Marek. Application of two types of
migration data to multiregional demographic projections.
Geographia Polonica, No. 54, 1988. 43-61 pp. Warsaw, Poland. In Eng.
The author presents a comparative analysis of the use of multistate
models developed by Andrei Rogers with two types of migration data. A
Rogers-type model is used to forecast population changes by urban and
rural region, sex, and age for the period 1978-1983 using official
Polish data. The results show the importance of selecting the data to
be used in making population forecasts, and demonstrate the usefulness
of a model of this type for making population
forecasts.
Correspondence: M. Kupiszewski, Polish Academy
of Sciences, Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization, 00-927
Warsaw, Poland. Location: Princeton University Library (FST).
57:30075 Lagerne
Redie, Maria; Kovacs, Tibor. On regional population
projections in the mid-1980s. [Teruleti nepessegeloreszamitasokrol
a 80-as evek kozepen.] Demografia, Vol. 31, No. 1, 1988. 11-25 pp.
Budapest, Hungary. In Hun. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
The authors
assess the reliability and usefulness of regional population
projections for Hungary covering the period 1986-2006. They point out
the improvements and the shortcomings of the projections and then
analyze the major trends indicated.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
57:30076 Larrivee,
D. Projections of households and families for Canada,
provinces and territories, 1989-2011. [Projections des menages et
des familles pour le Canada, les provinces et les territoires,
1989-2011.] Pub. Order No. 91-522. ISBN 0-660-54224-2. Mar 1990. xii,
75 pp. Statistics Canada, Demography Division, Population Projections
Section: Ottawa, Canada. In Eng; Fre.
These are official population
projections for Canada. "They include three alternative series,
encompassing a high, a medium and a low-growth scenario, along with
such breakdowns as family and non-family households, lone-parent
families, as well as the sex and age distribution of household
maintainers. For the first time, projections of households and
families by size are included."
Correspondence: Statistics
Canada, Ottawa K1A 0T6, Canada. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
57:30077 Lindgren,
Jarl. End of Finnish population growth. Yearbook of
Population Research in Finland, Vol. 29, 1991. 99-113 pp. Helsinki,
Finland. In Eng.
"The author deals with population trends in
Finland during the coming decades. He states that...population growth
will come to an end at the turn of the century. The most typical
features of the coming population decrease are examined. These include
the changing of the age distribution towards a growing proportion of
older adults in working life and of the aged, resulting in 25 percent
of the population being older than 65 in 2030....[Changes in] the sex
ratio...and the proportion of widows and widowers...are dealt with.
Finally, the impact of the projected changes on the labor force is
focused on, and the means for compensating for the diminishing supply
of labor force are discussed."
Correspondence: J. Lindgren,
Population Research Institute, Kalevankatu 16, SF-00100 Helsinki,
Finland. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30078 Lutz,
Wolfgang. A demographic forecasting model with reference
to population groups that intermarry, using the example of the
Evangelical Church in Austria. [Ein demographisches Prognosmodell
mit Berucksichtigung von Bevolkerungsgruppen, die sich durch Heirat
mischen, am Beispiel der evangelischen Kirche in Osterreich.]
Osterreichische Zeitschrift fur Statistik und Informatik, Vol. 20, No.
1-2, 1990. 41-52 pp. Vienna, Austria. In Ger. with sum. in Eng.
"This research note develops a multi-state population projection
model in which inter-marriage between the states and the following
uncertainty about the state of the children plays a major role. Since
only 5% of the Austrian population belong to the Evangelical Church,
but more than 80% of their members marry partners not belonging to the
church, the question of the percentage of children from mixed marriages
that become church members turns out to be vital for the future size
and age composition of the church." Five different scenarios to the
year 2030 are examined.
Correspondence: W. Lutz,
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2361 Laxenburg,
Austria. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30079 Pasquini,
Lucia. On the borderline of the national demographic
scene: the case of Bologna. [Una situazione limite nel panorama
demografico nazionale: il caso di Bologna.] Statistica, Vol. 50, No.
3, Jul-Sep 1990. 347-62 pp. Bologna, Italy. In Ita. with sum. in Eng.
The author describes population decline in Bologna, Italy. "Since
the first half of the seventies the population of Bologna has undergone
a continuous decrease caused by the natural and migratory balance
deficit. This has deeply changed the age composition of the population:
a drastic decrease in the number of [those aged less than] fourteen
years and an increase in the number of [those] older. Assuming that,
in the [next] ten years, [fertility] and mortality keep constant and
the migratory balance becomes negative, a further reduction of the
resident population of Bologna may be foreseen together with [more
changes] in the demographic pattern." The consequences will include a
large increase in the demand for health services, as well as increased
employment opportunities.
Correspondence: L. Pasquini,
Paolo Fortunati, Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche, Bologna, Italy.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30080 Portugal.
Instituto Nacional de Estatistica [INE]. Centro de Estudos Demograficos
(Lisbon, Portugal); Portugal. Comissao de Coordenacao da Regiao do
Alentejo (Lisbon, Portugal). Population projections,
1980-2000. [Projeccoes demograficas, 1980-2000.] 1988. 142 pp.
Instituto Nacional de Estatistica [INE], Centro de Estudos
Demograficos: Lisbon, Portugal. In Por.
Population projections for
Portugal are presented for the period 1980-2000 by age and sex.
Various alternative estimates are made using different assumptions
concerning migration.
Correspondence: Instituto Nacional de
Estatistica, Centro de Estudos Demograficos, Avenida Antonio Jose de
Almeida 5, 1078 Lisbon Codex, Portugal. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
57:30081 Portugal.
Instituto Nacional de Estatistica [INE]. Gabinete de Estudos
Demograficos (Lisbon, Portugal). Projections of the
resident population: Portugal, 1990-2020. [Projeccoes da
populacao residente: Portugal, 1990-2020.] Jan 1991. 77 pp. Lisbon,
Portugal. In Por.
Population projections are presented for Portugal
up to the year 2020. The data on which they are based are those
published before the results of the 1990 census were available. Three
alternative scenarios concerning fertility are considered, as well as
four scenarios concerning migration, resulting in 12 alternative
projections.
Correspondence: Instituto Nacional de
Estatistica, Gabinete de Estudos Demograficos, Rua Soeiro Pereira
Gomes, Edificio America, lote A/B, sala 10, 1600 Lisbon, Portugal.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30082 Povlosky,
Ronald M.; Green, James; Hay, Lee; Steahr, Thomas; Tirinzonie, John;
Strictland, Rae; Saxe, Jeff. The shape of things to come:
demographic forces reshaping America's future. LC 89-175070. Nov
1988. ix, 190 pp. Ron Povlosky: East Hartford, Connecticut. In Eng.
The author examines probable economic and demographic changes in
the United States to the year 2000, stressing the effects of such
changes on the size, composition, age, and other characteristics of the
work force. He points to a decline in the growth rates of both the
population and the work force; notes the changes in the proportion of
jobs held by women, minorities, and immigrants; and considers how the
aging of the labor force will affect employers. He then addresses the
impact of these changes on society, the economy, the job market, and
education.
Correspondence: Ron Povlosky, 48 Stanley Street,
East Hartford, CT 06108. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
57:30083 Rele, Jay
R.; Bauer, John; Xenos, Peter. Analysis of population
trends and projections in Asia, 1980-2010. May 1990. East-West
Center, Population Institute: Honolulu, Hawaii. In Eng.
This report
on population projections in Asia is in two parts. The first part
consists of an executive summary and the second part is comprised of
three background papers concerning trends in urbanization, the labor
force, and the youth population.
Correspondence: East-West
Center, Population Institute, 1777 East-West Road, Honolulu, HI 96848.
Location: East-West Population Institute, Honolulu, HI.
57:30084 Rogers,
Andrei; Woodward, Jennifer A. Assessing state population
projections with transparent multiregional demographic models.
Population Research and Policy Review, Vol. 10, No. 1, 1991. 1-26 pp.
Dordrecht, Netherlands. In Eng.
"Population projection models that
are conceptually simple enough to be called transparent may be used to
check the validity of projections generated by 'black box' models whose
behavior may be somewhat shrouded in mystery. This paper adopts a
multiregional demographic model to illustrate how such a validation
procedure might be carried out on state population projections produced
by the U.S. Bureau of the Census in 1988."
Correspondence:
A. Rogers, University of Colorado, Department of Geography, Campus Box
484, Boulder, CO 80309-0484. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
57:30085 Steenkamp,
H. A. Demographic segmentation of the population of the
RSA and TBVC countries, 1970-2000. Research
Report/Navorsingsverslag, No. 160, ISBN 0-947459-03-0. LC 90-100437.
1989. ix, 152 pp. University of South Africa, Bureau of Market
Research: Pretoria, South Africa. In Eng.
"This report examines
changes in selected parameters of the population of the RSA [Republic
of South Africa] and TBVC countries [Transkei, Bophuthatswana, Venda,
and Ciskei] over a thirty-year period from 1970 to 2000. Historical
demographic data from three population censuses are used in the
comparisons of the first fifteen years (1970 to 1985) and combined
with...[projections] of demographic movements of the total South
African population...to arrive at forecasts for the next fifteen years
(1986 to 2000)." Data are included on age and sex distribution and
projection, educational levels, and marital status by ethnic groups.
The author concludes "that the white population is aging and is
increasing at a very slow rate. The coloured and Asian populations are
also declining but at a slower rate than the whites. Projections of the
black population do not suggest any real deceleration in the present
rapid rate of growth. Coupled with soaring black education levels,
this will have a profound effect on the future development of the RSA,
especially in the spheres of job creation, employment and
politics."
Correspondence: University of South Africa,
Bureau of Market Research, Box 392, Pretoria 0001, South Africa.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30086 United
Kingdom. Office of Population Censuses and Surveys [OPCS]. Demographic
Analysis and Vital Statistics Division (London, England).
World population: trends and projection. Population Trends,
No. 63, Spring 1991. 36-9 pp. London, England. In Eng.
"World
population is projected to increase from just over 5 billion in 1986 to
8.5 billion in 2025--although this latter total could, quite plausibly,
range from 7 billion to over 9 billion. This article...looks at
differences between major geographical subdivisions of the world in
terms of overall growth, fertility, mortality, and age
structures."
For the United Nations publication on which this
article is based, see 55:30086.
Correspondence: Office of
Population Censuses and Surveys, Demographic Analysis and Vital
Statistics Division, St. Catherines House, 10 Kingsway, London WC2B
6JP, England. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30087 United
Nations. Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia [CELADE] (Santiago,
Chile). Latin America: percentage urban, 1990.
[America Latina: porcentajes urbanos, 1990.] Boletin
Demografico/Demographic Bulletin, Vol. 24, No. 47, Pub. Order No.
LC/DEM/G.97. Jan 1991. 153 pp. Santiago, Chile. In Eng; Spa.
Population estimates and projections are presented for rural and
urban areas for Latin America and its 20 constituent countries by sex
and five-year age groups for five-year intervals from 1970 to
2000.
Correspondence: U.N. Centro Latinoamericano de
Demografia, Avenida Dag Hammarskjold, Casilla 91, Santiago, Chile.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30088 Fassmann,
Heinz; Kytir, Josef; Munz, Rainer. World population today
and tomorrow. [Weltbevolkerung heute und morgen.] Demographische
Informationen 1990/91, [1991]. 5-16, 153 pp. Vienna, Austria. In Ger.
with sum. in Eng.
"In 1989/90 the world's population was
approximately 5.2 billions. According to U.N.-projections (medium
variant) every 10 to 11 years this figure will grow by one billion,
corresponding to an increase of 100 [million] people per year....This
article discusses the causes for the population growth and the impact
on the settlement system, the food-situation, the ecological system,
and the development process in the Third
World."
Correspondence: H. Fassmann, Instituts fur
Demographie, Hintere Zollamtsstrasse 2b, 1033 Vienna, Austria.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30089 Glyn-Jones,
Anne. The repopulation of the countryside in Devon and
Cornwall. Local Population Studies, No. 46, Spring 1991. 20-31 pp.
Matlock, England. In Eng.
The author traces the population decline
in the counties of Cornwall and Devon, England, from 1841 to 1961 and
the subsequent increases in population up to 1981. She first examines
the causes of the decline and then evaluates various hypotheses to
explain the turnaround, including retirement migration, improvements in
rural infrastructure, and tourism. "It appears, then, that the
century-long history of rural depopulation or stagnation has
substantially ended, although we shall have to wait for the findings of
the 1991 census to clarify this."
Correspondence: A.
Glyn-Jones, University of Exeter, Western European Studies Centre,
Exeter, Devon EX4 6DT, England. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
57:30090 Hablicsek,
Laszlo. Demographic transition in Finland and in Hungary:
a comparative study. Yearbook of Population Research in Finland,
Vol. 29, 1991. 36-60 pp. Helsinki, Finland. In Eng.
"The purpose of
this study is to compare the demographic transition in Finland and
Hungary during the period 1881-1986. The article deals with the
transition of mortality and fertility, changes in reproduction,
population growth and age structure. The analysis centers on the
classical two-factor model: the development of fertility and
mortality, changes in the size and in the age structure of the
population by calendar periods and by birth cohorts. The basis of the
study [is] population figures by sex and by five-year age groups....As
a supplement to the study...six population scenarios have been prepared
by the cohort component method, by five-year age groups and by
five-year steps from 1991 to 2041."
Correspondence: L.
Hablicsek, Central Statistical Office, Demographic Research Institute,
Keleti Karoly U.5-7, 1525 Budapest II, Hungary. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30091 Martin
Ruiz, Juan F. Regional imbalances in the population growth
of the Canary Islands. [Los desequilibrios territoriales en el
crecimiento demografico de la poblacion de Canarias.] Estudios
Geograficos, Vol. 50, No. 195, Apr-Jun 1989. 215-33 pp. Madrid, Spain.
In Spa.
The author discusses changes in the population size and
growth of the Canary Islands from 1950 to 1986. Due to a high birth
rate, a decrease in mortality, and increasing migration to the area,
the population of the Canary Islands has doubled during this period.
The spatial distribution of the population and the factors influencing
it are considered.
Correspondence: J. F. Martin Ruiz,
Universidad de la Laguna, Departamento de Geografia, La Laguna,
Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain. Location: U.S. Library of
Congress, Washington, D.C.
57:30092 Miettinen,
Anneli. Population data on Finland, 1900-1990.
Yearbook of Population Research in Finland, Vol. 29, 1991. 142-51 pp.
Helsinki, Finland. In Eng.
Tabular data are presented for Finland,
including age structure, population size, fertility rate, live births,
maternal age, marriage, abortion, divorce, consensual union, family
size, and labor force participation. The data are for the period
1900-1990.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30093 Muller,
Herta. The population explosion in Algeria: the causes,
the effects, and the solutions. [Bevolkerungsexplosion in
Algerien: Ursachen, Folgen, Losungswege.] Asien, Afrika,
Lateinamerika, Vol. 18, No. 4, 1990. 654-63 pp. Berlin, German
Democratic Republic. In Ger. with sum. in Eng.
"For decades Algeria
has had one of the highest population growth rates in the world,
arising directly from a steady gap between deathrates and birthrates.
The reasons are of a complex social, economic and cultural kind, such
as high infant mortality, traditionally early marriage, family models
largely determined by religion, the common practice of child labour and
other factors. As a consequence of the mismatch between economic and
demographic growth the society is confronted by growing mass
unemployment, underemployment, food supply problems, housing shortages
and ecological crises. The critical economic situation in the eighties
reduced the prospects for constraining the population explosion by
quickly conquering socioeconomic underdevelopment. Nowadays Algeria is
deliberately following a programme for family planning, which is also
supported to a certain extent by the Islamic
clergy."
Location: Princeton University Library (FST).
57:30094 Nanjo,
Zenji; Kobayashi, Kazumasa. Measuring the demographic
discontinuity. NUPRI Research Paper Series, No. 57, Mar 1991. vi,
25 pp. Nihon University, Population Research Institute: Tokyo, Japan.
In Eng.
"The concept of 'demographic discontinuity' and a technique
concerning how to measure it were first introduced by Keyfitz
(1987...). In the present paper we developed his method for somewhat
more detailed measuring of the bend in the curve of age distribution
and tested our techniques by applying them to the population data for
the world total and several Asian countries....We used the world
population estimates and projections as assessed in 1984 by the United
Nations...[for China, Indonesia, Japan, the Philippines, and Thailand]
as our base material. Using the age-time distribution of the world
total population from 1950 to 1980, we calculated not only the first
but also the second differences. Both were calculated with respect to
time as well as with respect to age....[The focus was] on the bend
occurring in cohort-to-cohort growth of
population."
Correspondence: Nihon University, Population
Research Institute, 3-2 Misaki-cho 1-chome, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 101,
Japan. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
Source: For the paper by Nathan Keyfitz referred to, see
55:30107.
57:30095 Ritamies,
Marketta. Population development in Finland in the
1980s. Yearbook of Population Research in Finland, Vol. 29, 1991.
114-26 pp. Helsinki, Finland. In Eng.
"This article describes
population development in Finland in the 1980s....The emphasis in this
article is on the development of fertility, mortality and
migration....[The author finds that] the 1980s signified a period of
stable development. The downward trend in fertility and mortality
ceased and migration stabilized. The continuing low level of fertility
and mortality was reflected in the aging of the population structure.
The aging of Finland's markedly large working-age population will
strongly increase the proportion of the elderly in the
future."
Correspondence: M. Ritamies, Population Research
Institute, Kalevankatu 16, SF-00100 Helsinki, Finland.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30096 Sari,
Djilali. The necessity of controlling population growth in
Algeria. [L'indispensable maitrise de la croissance demographique
en Algerie.] Maghreb-Machrek, No. 129, 1990. 23-46 pp. Paris, France.
In Fre.
The case is made for controlling Algeria's rapid rate of
population growth. The author notes that at the present rate of growth
the population is doubling every 20 years. The decline in the labor
market and increases in unemployment and underemployment are also
examined. The need for strong population policies and programs is
stressed.
Correspondence: D. Sari, Universite d'Alger, 2
rue Didouche Mourad, Algiers, Algeria. Location: Princeton
University Library (SY).
57:30097 United
States. Bureau of the Census (Washington, D.C.).
Population trends and congressional apportionment. 1990 Census
Profile, No. 1, Mar 1991. 4 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This is
the first in a series of profiles on results of the 1990 Census of
Population and Housing." This profile focuses on population growth in
the United States from 1980 to 1990 and changes in state congressional
apportionment due to gains or losses in population size. Current
population distribution by geographical region and changes in
population size and rank for each state are presented for 1900, 1950,
1980, and 1990.
Correspondence: Superintendent of
Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30098 Wu,
Cangping. Population, environment and sustainable
development. Population Research, Vol. 7, No. 4, Dec 1990. 1-8 pp.
Beijing, China. In Eng.
Trends in world population growth are
examined using U.N. data and estimates for the period 1750-1990 for
both developed and developing countries. The author then focuses on
population growth in China, the impact of population size on the
environment, and the effect of family planning programs on
fertility.
Correspondence: C. Wu, People's University of
China, Institute of Population Research, Beijing, China.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
57:30099 Wu,
Jianhua. Population growth in the Jiangnan area in the
Qing dynasty: an analysis. Chinese Journal of Population Science,
Vol. 1, No. 2, 1989. 235-49 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"It is
the purpose of the present paper to conduct, by using genealogical
data, a preliminary study on population growth in Jiangnan [China], an
area which had the greatest population density according to official
Qing census data." Data are for the period
1619-1870.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
