56:20489 Balaci, M.;
Ghenciu, G.; Arcan, V. M.; Popescu, C. The dynamics of the
central tendency in the age-related distribution of the Romanian
population. Romanian Journal of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Vol.
10, No. 3, 1989. 245-56 pp. Bucharest, Romania. In Eng. with sum. in
Fre; Rum.
Changes in the age distribution of the population of
Romania are analyzed. "To this end, the mean, median and quartile age
were analysed in terms of the dynamics of these usual average values
under the effect of the changes in the age-distribution of the Romanian
population over the last decades, marked by an accelerated process of
demographic aging. The official demographic data available for the
years 1930, 1956, 1966, 1977, 1988 and the projections by the year 2000
were used. As shown, the indices of the central tendency of the
age-distribution of the Romanian population acquire increasing values,
their ascending dynamics being in accordance with the phenomenon of the
demographic aging on the whole, by sex and social
milieu."
Correspondence: M. Balaci, National Institute of
Gerontology and Geriatrics, Bucharest, Romania. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20490 Buhr,
Petra; Engelbert, Angelika. Childhood in the Federal
Republic of Germany: trends and facts. IBS-Materialien, No. 29,
1989. 99 pp. Universitat Bielefeld, Institut fur Bevolkerungsforschung
und Sozialpolitik: Bielefeld, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Eng.
The authors examine trends and characteristics of childhood in the
Federal Republic of Germany. Aspects of social development and social
structure are outlined, and policies, rules, and arrangements that
affect childhood either directly or indirectly are considered. A
description of the child population is presented, including health
status, mortality rates, education, family and household
characteristics, social behavior, and leisure activities; a section of
tables contains data on these features. The study concludes with a
discussion of childhood in light of the authors' theories concerning
the protection and exclusion of children from adult
activities.
Correspondence: Universitat Bielefeld, Institut
fur Bevolkerungsforschung und Sozialpolitik, Universitatsstrasse,
Postfach 8640, D-4800 Bielefeld 1, Federal Republic of Germany.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20491 Consiglio
Nazionale delle Ricerche. Istituto di Ricerche sulla Popolazione (Rome,
Italy). Demographic aging in Italy and other Western
societies: proceedings of the first study day, Rome, December 10,
1986. [L'invecchiamento della popolazione in Italia e nelle
societa occidentali: atti della I giornata di studio, Roma, 10
dicembre 1986.] Atti, Convegni e Seminari, No. 2, LC 89-167815. Dec
1987. 381 pp. Rome, Italy. In Eng; Ita.
These are the proceedings
of a one-day conference on demographic aging, held in Rome on December
10, 1986. The eight papers, seven of which are in Italian, examine
demographic aging in Italy and its impact on the family, the single
person, society, health, and social policy. The paper in English
considers the social and economic consequences of demographic aging for
Europe as a whole.
Correspondence: Consiglio Nazionale
delle Ricerche, Istituto di Ricerche sulla Popolazione, Viale Beethoven
56, 00144 Rome, Italy. Location: U.S. Library of Congress,
Washington, D.C.
56:20492 Florez, C.
Elisa; Hogan, Dennis P. Demographic transition and life
course change in Colombia. Population Issues Research Center
Working Paper, No. 1989-01, Apr 1989. 28, [11] pp. Pennsylvania State
University, Institute for Policy Research and Evaluation, Population
Issues Research Center: University Park, Pennsylvania. In Eng.
"Between the late nineteenth and early twentieth century the early
life course of Americans became increasingly age-graded with less
overlap among events. This process has been alternatively attributed
to demographic and social modernization, the institutionalization of
the life course, or intercohort increases in personal affluence.
However, research on Norway and Japan suggests considerable
variablility in the occurence of these processes across populations,
and evidence on recent American cohorts suggest that the transition to
adulthood may have become more complex in the U.S. during the 1970s and
1980s. This study attempts to inform these issues by documenting
changes and differentials in the organization of the early life course
of Colombian women. Life course events of interest include school
enrollment, labor force attachment, cohabitation..., and parenthood.
Using a variety of measures of the timing and synchronization of
events, the early life course is described for Colombian women
classified according to their birth cohort..., urban and rural
residence..., and economic class...."
This paper was originally
presented at the 1989 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of
America (see Population Index, Vol. 55, No. 3, Fall 1989, p.
419).
Correspondence: Pennsylvania State University,
Institute for Policy Research and Evaluation, Population Issues
Research Center, 22 Burrowes Building, University Park, PA 16802.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20493 Fundacao
Sistema Estadual de Analise de Dados [SEADE] (Sao Paulo,
Brazil). The aged in greater Sao Paulo. [O idoso na
grande Sao Paulo.] Sep 1989. 12 pp. Sao Paulo, Brazil. In Por.
Data
on the aged in the greater Sao Paulo area, Brazil, are presented,
including place of residence, marital status, nationality, literacy,
economic activity, income, pensions, health, and mortality. Some data
are also included on the aged of Brazil as a
whole.
Correspondence: SEADE, Av. Casper Libero 464--5o
andar, Caixa Postal 8223, 01033 Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20494 Jani-Le
Bris, H. The aged in France. [Der alte Mensch in
Frankreich.] Zeitschrift fur Alternsforschung, Vol. 44, No. 3, May-Jun
1989. 155-68 pp. Berlin, German Democratic Republic. In Ger. with sum.
in Eng.
The situation of the elderly population in France is
described. A section is included on demographic
aspects.
Correspondence: H. Jani-Le Bris, CLEIRPPA, 15 rue
Chateaubriand, 75008 Paris, France. Location: New York Academy
of Medicine.
56:20495 Kabir, M.
Humayun. Aged people in Bangladesh: facts and
prospects. Rural Demography, Vol. 14, No. 1-2, 1987. 53-9 pp.
Dhaka, Bangladesh. In Eng.
The author reviews censuses up to 1981
to determine if there has been an increase in the size of the aged
population in Bangladesh. Tables are included on both current and
projected numbers of the aged by sex up to the year
2025.
Correspondence: M. H. Kabir, University of Dhaka,
Institute of Statistical Research and Training, Ramna, Dhaka,
Bangladesh. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20496 Kinsella,
Kevin G. Living arrangements of the elderly and social
policy: a cross-national perspective. CIR Staff Paper, No. 52,
Feb 1990. xi, 52 pp. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Center for
International Research: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This paper seeks
to draw together existing statistics on living arrangements of the
elderly in different societies, to consider some of the basic
demographic characteristics associated with residential patterns, and
to explore changes in living arrangements over time. Data on housing
and amenities also are examined, as are various national policies with
regard to living arrangements of older
citizens."
Correspondence: U.S. Bureau of the Cenus, Center
for International Research, Washington, D.C. 20233. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20497 Milovidov,
A. Economic-demographic results of the life of one cohort
(based on the cohort born in 1950). [Ekonomiko-demograficheskie
itogi zhizni odnogo pokoleniya (na primere pokoleniya 1950 g.
rozhdeniya).] Vestnik Statistiki, No. 12, 1989. 7-14 pp. Moscow, USSR.
In Rus.
Data from a five percent sample of the Soviet population,
collected in 1985, are used to analyze the demographic and economic
characteristics of the cohort born in 1950. Factors considered include
mortality, marriage and divorce, income, consumption, and wealth.
Differences in these factors by age and region are
explored.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20498 Pan
American Health Organization [PAHO] (Washington, D.C.). A
profile of the elderly in Argentina. PAHO Technical Paper, No. 26,
ISBN 92-75-13026-4. 1989. v, 102 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
This
is one in a series of PAHO studies designed to understand the elderly
and their needs in the countries of Latin America and the Caribbean.
The emphasis is on providing data to develop policies and programs for
the elderly. This report concerns Argentina, and includes information
on demographic characteristics, socioeconomic factors, satisfaction
with life, health status, physical functioning, informal care,
financial situation, social relationships, and self-expressed problems
and needs. Similar reports are also available concerning Guyana and
Trinidad.
Correspondence: PAHO, 525 23rd Street NW,
Washington, D.C. 20037. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
56:20499 United
Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs (New
York, New York). Stable population age distributions.
No. ST/ESA/SER.R/98, 1990. xiii, 420 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
This is the second edition of the stable population age
distributions published by the United Nations. "This volume presents a
set of model stable age distributions and associated parameters based
on the set of model life tables developed at the United Nations...and a
series of intrinsic growth rates ranging from 0 per cent per annum (the
stationary population) to 4 per cent per annum. Along with the stable
age distributions, the associated parameters included are the intrinsic
birth and death rates, percentage of population in the 15-49 and 15-59
age groups, and the child, elderly and total dependency rates."
For
the first edition, published in 1982, see 48:40010.
Correspondence: U.N. Department of International Economic
and Social Affairs, United Nations Secretariat, New York, NY 10017.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20500
Bocquet-Appel, Jean-Pierre; Jakobi, Lucienne.
Familial transmission of longevity. Annals of Human Biology,
Vol. 17, No. 2, Mar-Apr 1990. 81-95 pp. London, England. In Eng. with
sum. in Fre; Ger.
The authors "analyze familial correlations of
longevity using the genealogies of the village of Arthez
d'Asson...[France], reconstructed from the 18th century onwards, using
a path model to distinguish a transmissible (genetic and cultural)
component and a non-transmissible (particular environmental) component.
This analysis has been carried out on two types of intact families:
nuclear families consisting of parents and children, and extended
families consisting of grandparents, parents, and children." Findings
indicate the transmissibility of longevity is very weak for this
population. Comparisons are made to similar data for families in
Quebec, Canada; Geneva, Switzerland; and
Mauritius.
Correspondence: J.-P. Bocquet-Appel, Centre
National de la Recherche Scientifique, Laboratoire d'Informatique pour
les Sciences de l'Homme, 54 boulevard Raspail, F-75006 Paris, France.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20501 Fossett,
Mark A.; Kiecolt, K. Jill. A methodological review of the
sex ratio: alternatives for comparative research. Texas
Population Research Center Papers, Series 11: 1989, No. 11.08, 1989.
36, [20] pp. University of Texas, Texas Population Research Center:
Austin, Texas. In Eng.
"In this paper we examine conceptual,
methodological, and practical issues associated with measuring the sex
ratio in comparative research. We give particular attention to
measuring sex ratios for the black population. Census data are used to
develop empirical measures for U.S. metropolitan areas and
nonmetropolitan areas of Louisiana...." The impact of the sex ratio on
community-level variation in marriage patterns and family formation for
the black population is addressed.
Correspondence:
University of Texas, Texas Population Research Center, Main 1800,
Austin, TX 78712. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
56:20502 Kozlov, V.
I. Longevity in Azerbaijan: a collection of papers.
[Dolgozhitel'stvo v Azerbaidzhane: sbornik nauchnykh trudov.] 1989.
184 pp. Nauka: Moscow, USSR. In Rus.
This is a selection of 14
papers by various authors on aspects of longevity in Azerbaijan, USSR.
The impact on longevity of factors such as the natural conditions
existing in the region, traditional marriage and family structure, and
nutrition is considered. Medical and biological factors affecting
longevity are also examined.
Correspondence: Nauka, 90 ul.
Profsojuznaja, 117495 Moscow, USSR. Location: Princeton
University Library (FST).
56:20503 Sharma,
Krishan. Age at menarche in Northwest Indian females and a
review of Indian data. Annals of Human Biology, Vol. 17, No. 2,
Mar-Apr 1990. 159-62 pp. London, England. In Eng. with sum. in Fre;
Ger.
"The present study reports data on age at menarche in a
Punjabi population and analyses the overall Indian trend in menarcheal
age on the basis of data available from the studies conducted so far."
Data are from studies conducted during the period
1975-1987.
Correspondence: K. Sharma, Panjab University,
Department of Anthropology, Chandigarh 160 014, India.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20504 Weiss,
Kenneth M. The biodemography of variation in human
frailty. Demography, Vol. 27, No. 2, May 1990. 185-206 pp.
Washington, D.C. In Eng.
Genetic variation in susceptibility to
disease and death is analyzed, and its applications to demography are
explored. "To understand the potential applications to demography, it
is necessary first to understand the nature of variation at the basic
genetic level. The first part of the following review will provide
this. The second part will suggest how one can relate variation in
underlying genetic susceptibility to variation in frailty relative to
the individual hazard function....Finally, the third part will show
that not only the variation in but also the shape of the hazard
function is constrained biologically. This may be important in
determining what kinds of hazard function to use as well as how
measured environmental and social variables may affect it."
This is
a revised version of a paper originally presented at the 1989 Annual
Meeting of the Population Association of America (see Population Index,
Vol. 55, No. 3, Fall 1989, p. 403).
Correspondence: K. M.
Weiss, Pennsylvania State University, Department of Anthropology,
University Park, PA 16802. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
56:20505 Wellens,
Rita; Malina, Robert M.; Beunen, Gaston; Lefevre, Johan.
Age at menarche in Flemish girls: current status and secular
change in the 20th century. Annals of Human Biology, Vol. 17, No.
2, Mar-Apr 1990. 145-52 pp. London, England. In Eng. with sum. in Fre;
Ger.
"This paper has two objectives: first, it provides an
estimate of the age at menarche in a national sample of Flemish girls
in Belgium, and second, it considers secular change in the age at
menarche in Flemish girls during the 20th century." Data are from a
1979-1980 survey of 4,894 Flemish girls aged 6-18 and official sources
for the period 1930-1981.
Correspondence: R. Wellens,
Catholic University of Leuven, Institute of Physical Education,
Tervuursevest 101, B-3030 Leuven (Heverlee), Belgium.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20506 Whelan,
Elizabeth; Sandler, Dale P.; McConnaughey, D. Robert; Weinberg, Clarice
R. Menstrual and reproductive characteristics and age at
natural menopause. American Journal of Epidemiology, Vol. 131, No.
4, Apr 1990. 625-32 pp. Baltimore, Maryland. In Eng.
"Data from
women who enrolled between 1935 and 1939 in a long-term prospective
study [in Minnesota] of menstrual and reproductive health, in which
menstrual cycles and other events were recorded as they occurred, were
analyzed to examine factors associated with age at natural menopause.
Analysis was restricted to 561 women who enrolled before age 25 years
and recorded data through at least age 44 years." Factors considered
include menstrual cycle length, pregnancy history, parity, and age at
menarche.
Correspondence: E. A. Whelan, National Institute
of Environmental Health Sciences, Epidemiology Branch, Mail Drop A3-05,
P.O. Box 12233, Research Triangle Park, NC 27709. Location:
Princeton University Library (SZ).
56:20507 Abel,
Andrew B. Birth, death and taxes. Journal of Public
Economics, Vol. 39, No. 1, Jun 1989. 1-15 pp. Amsterdam, Netherlands.
In Eng.
"This paper analyzes the effects of lump-sum tax policy in
an overlapping generations model in which consumers have uncertain
longevity. It extends previous analyses by considering the case in
which private insurance arrangements are actuarially unfair. In
addition, it considers the polar case of actuarially fair insurance and
the polar case of no insurance. A general condition for debt neutrality
is derived. This condition depends explicitly on the degree of
actuarial unfairness in insurance and on the extent to which parents
care about the utility of their children."
Correspondence:
A. B. Abel, University of Pennsylvania, Wharton School, Philadelphia,
PA 19104-6367. Location: Princeton University Library (PF).
56:20508 Berger,
Mark C.; Allen, Jacqueline F. Black-white earnings ratios:
the role of cohort size effects. Economics Letters, Vol. 26, No.
3, 1988. 285-90 pp. Amsterdam, Netherlands. In Eng.
"While
black-white earning ratios have been rising over time across cohorts
[in the United States] there is some evidence that they have been
dropping over time within cohorts of recent entrants to the labor
market. This has coincided with the entry of the large baby boom
cohorts into the labor market. This paper examines the role of race
differences in cohort size effects on black-white earnings ratios for
male high school graduates using Current Population Survey data. In
larger cohorts, the black-white earnings ratio is lower at entry and
falls as the cohort progresses through the career, consistent with
recent evidence."
Correspondence: M. C. Berger, University
of Chicago, NORC, 1155 East 60th Street, Chicago, IL 60637-2799.
Location: Princeton University Library (FST).
56:20509
Bourguignon, Francois. Family size and social
utility: income distribution dominance criteria. Journal of
Econometrics, Vol. 42, No. 1, Sep 1989. 67-80 pp. Lausanne,
Switzerland. In Eng.
"This paper generalizes previous results on
income distribution dominance in the case where the population of
income recipients is broken down into groups with distinct utility
functions. The example taken here is that of income redistribution
across families of different sizes. The paper first investigates the
simplest assumptions that can be made about family utility functions.
A simple dominance criterion is then derived under the only assumptions
that family functions are increasing and concave with income and the
marginal utility of income increases with family
size."
Correspondence: F. Bourguignon, Ecole des Hautes
Etudes en Sciences Sociales, DELTA, 75014 Paris, France.
Location: Princeton University Library (PF).
56:20510 Cain,
Mead. The material consequences of reproductive failure in
rural South Asia. In: A home divided: women and income in the
third world, edited by Daisy Dwyer and Judith Bruce. 1988. 20-38 pp.
Stanford University Press: Stanford, California. In Eng.
The
factors affecting economic mobility among the elderly in rural South
Asia are examined using data collected between 1976 and 1983 in
Bangladesh and India. "Of particular interest are the material
consequences of reproductive failure, defined as failure to produce a
son who survives and is able and willing to assume responsibility for
parents who are no longer able to care for themselves. Emphasis is
given to the fate of elderly women...." The results indicate the
persistence of the joint family system, with elderly people continuing
to depend on their sons for support.
Correspondence: M.
Cain, Population Council, Center for Policy Studies, One Dag
Hammarskjold Plaza, New York, NY 10017. Location: Princeton
University Library (FST).
56:20511 Chin, Peggy
T. C. The relationship between poverty and fertility in
Peninsular Malaysia: a district analysis. Tijdschrift voor
Economische en Sociale Geografie/Journal of Economic and Social
Geography, Vol. 80, No. 5, 1989. 284-301 pp. Amsterdam, Netherlands. In
Eng.
"A historical examination of Malaysia's economic and social
development shows a spatial bias in favour of the west coast where the
Chinese are concentrated....Factor analysis is used to investigate
poverty....[and] shows firstly, that poverty is bipolar in nature with
urban-Chinese poverty being simple differences in the provision of
electricity, sanitation and piped water, but rural-Malay poverty is
more severe being poorer in material possessions and higher in
low-paying jobs, in addition to a greater need for government help in
meeting basic needs; secondly, there continues to be a spatial bias in
wealth towards the west....Regression shows that fertility tends to
increase with rural-Malay poverty. In view of current research
indicating that socioeconomic development often brings about a decline
in fertility, efforts to reduce poverty and improve the Malay situation
become even more significant."
Correspondence: P. T. C.
Chin, National University of Singapore, Department of Geography, 10
Kent Ridge Crescent, Singapore 0511. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
56:20512 Clark, Don
P.; Thompson, Henry. Factor migration and income
distribution in some developing countries. Bulletin of Economic
Research, Vol. 42, No. 2, Apr 1990. 131-40 pp. Oxford, England. In Eng.
"A three factor, two sector general equilibrium model is used to
determine long run income distributional impacts of factor supply
changes associated with international migration in developing and newly
industrializing countries. Factor intensity rankings among three
factors (capital, skilled and unskilled labor) between two industries
(agriculture and manufacturing-services) play a critical role in
determining which factors are natural friends with respect to
migration. A result common to all countries is observed friendship
between capital and unskilled labor: reducing (increasing) the supply
of one will lower (raise) payments to the
other."
Correspondence: D. P. Clark, University of
Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996-0550. Location: Princeton
University Library (PF).
56:20513 Corcoran,
Mary; Gordon, Roger; Laren, Deborah; Solon, Gary. Effects
of family and community background on economic status. American
Economic Review, Vol. 80, No. 2, May 1990. 362-6 pp. Nashville,
Tennessee. In Eng.
"Policy-oriented discussions of poverty in the
United States repeatedly have stressed the large influence of family
and community background on income status....In this paper, we use a
simple statistical model to explain how problems of measurement error
and unrepresentative samples have caused previous statistical studies
to underestimate the magnitude of background effects. We then
summarize a series of our own studies, in which we have corrected for
the biases in earlier studies and estimated substantially larger
background effects." The empirical analysis is based on data from the
Panel Study of Income Dynamics.
Correspondence: M.
Corcoran, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109.
Location: Princeton University Library (PF).
56:20514 Fritzell,
Johan. The dynamics of income distribution: economic
mobility in Sweden in comparison with the United States. Social
Science Research, Vol. 19, No. 1, Mar 1990. 17-46 pp. Duluth,
Minnesota. In Eng.
"This paper examines economic mobility in Sweden
in comparison with earlier American findings. A primary focus of
attention is to explore whether the great impact of 'family composition
changes,' as a major cause of economic change in the United States, is
also present in Sweden. The findings show the importance of changes in
family composition in both countries, but this impact varies strongly
both between different subgroups of each population and when comparing
the subgroups cross-nationally. Whereas family composition changes are
tied to changes in economic well-being for women in both countries,
this connection does not hold for American men and Swedish
children."
Correspondence: J. Fritzell, University of
Stockholm, Swedish Institute for Social Research, S-106 91 Stockholm,
Sweden. Location: Princeton University Library (PR).
56:20515 Henson,
Mary F. Trends in income, by selected characteristics:
1947 to 1988. Current Population Reports, Series P-60: Consumer
Income, No. 167, Apr 1990. vi, 90 pp. U.S. Bureau of the Census:
Washington, D.C. In Eng.
This report examines the median incomes of
households, families, and individuals over the period 1947-1988 by a
variety of characteristics, including race, region, age of householder,
household size, and educational status of
householder.
Correspondence: U.S. Government Printing
Office, Superintendent of Documents, Washington, D.C. 20402.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20516 House,
William J. Demography, employment and poverty at the
household level in urban Juba, Southern Sudan. Population and
Labour Policies Programme Working Paper, No. 168, ISBN 92-2-106896-9.
Dec 1989. v, 116 pp. International Labour Office [ILO]: Geneva,
Switzerland. In Eng.
The author examines the nature and
determinants of income distribution and poverty at both the individual
and household level in an urban setting in Sudan. He "explores some of
the complex interrelationships between various indicators of income
status and poverty, and numerous demographic indices. The former
include income as well as household asset holdings, water sources,
nutritional status, subjective feelings of deprivation and aspects of
well-being which are themselves demographic in nature, such as infant
mortality. The latter include achieved and desired fertility,
mortality, knowledge and use of family planning, and child survival.
The paper concludes that economic status is largely determined by
access to labour market opportunities which are improved with
education, ethnic association, certain work statuses and capital
resources. Life cycle, and dependency factors are also important."
Data are from a five percent sample of a 1982-1986 survey of urban
Juba, Sudan.
Correspondence: ILO Publications,
International Labour Office, 4 route des Morillons, CH-1211 Geneva 22,
Switzerland. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20517 Jalil, M.
A. A multivariate analysis of measurements of
socio-economic status in rural Bangladesh. Rural Demography, Vol.
14, No. 1-2, 1987. 31-40 pp. Dhaka, Bangladesh. In Eng.
Multivariate analysis is used to estimate the socioeconomic status
of the rural population of Bangladesh. The author contends that the
available data are insufficient for the
analysis.
Correspondence: M. A. Jalil, International Centre
for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, MCH-FP Extension Project, P.O. Box
128, Dhaka 2, Bangladesh. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
56:20518 Jamison,
Ellen. Updated statistics on scientists and engineers in
industrialized countries. CIR Staff Paper, No. 51, Nov 1989. xv,
63 pp. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Center for International Research:
Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This report presents the latest
information [on the number and characteristics of scientists and
engineers (S/E)] for France, West Germany, and Japan, and makes some
comparisons with the United States. It represents the most recent
update of statistics in the S/E data base maintained for the National
Science Foundation (NSF) by the Center for International Research of
the U.S. Bureau of the Census....Sources of information are presented
in the individual country sections, where previous reports are also
cited. Some sources are repeated so each country section can stand
alone." Data are for the period 1982-1987 and include gender
differentials.
Correspondence: U.S. Bureau of the Census,
Center for International Research, Washington, D.C. 20233.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20519 Jones, John
P.; Kodras, Janet E. Restructured regions and families:
the feminization of poverty in the U.S. Annals of the Association
of American Geographers, Vol. 80, No. 2, Jun 1990. 163-83 pp.
Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"We examine the geographic dimensions of
the feminization of poverty in the U.S. from 1970-80. County-level
maps of growth in female-headed family poverty show strongest
concentration in the Northeast and North Central regions. Three
explanations for these variations are presented: the breakdown of the
traditional nuclear family, changes in welfare programs, and the status
of women's work. The last is integrated into a broader thesis focusing
on sectoral and spatial economic restructuring. We estimate dynamic
regression models of growth in poverty among black and white
female-headed families, using county-level data, for the entire U.S.
and stratified by census region. The results confirm the importance of
female-headed family formation across all region and race
subfiles....The conclusion argues for state intervention to support
female-headed families and to improve the status of women's
work."
Correspondence: J. P. Jones, University of Kentucky,
Department of Geography, Lexington, KY 40506. Location:
Princeton University Library (PR).
56:20520 Joshi,
Heather. The cash opportunity costs of childbearing: an
approach to estimation using British data. Population Studies,
Vol. 44, No. 1, Mar 1990. 41-60 pp. London, England. In Eng.
"The
opportunity costs of rearing British children in terms of cash earnings
foregone by their mother are estimated for a typical family. Data [are]
from the Women and Employment Survey (1980)....Earnings foregone as a
result of bearing and rearing two children are roughly equally composed
of three effects, on participation, hours and pay. They exceed direct
costs, and do not rise proportionally with family size. They are
sensitive to the spacing of births but not, undiscounted, to the timing
of the first one. The method and results contrast markedly with those
of a similarly motivated study of U.S. women, by Calhoun and
Espenshade. It is argued that the non-linearity of the earnings
function and state dependence in British labour force transitions would
violate the assumptions which permitted the U.S. exercise to be based
on a multi-state labour force life-table."
Correspondence:
H. Joshi, Birkbeck College, Department of Economics, 7-15 Gresse
Street, London W1P 1PA, England. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
56:20521 Latten, J.
J.; De Mas, P. Moroccans, Turks, and Dutch: an image of
bipartitions. An exploration based on correspondence analysis.
[Marokkanen, Turken en Nederlanders: tweedelingen in beeld. Een
exploratie op basis van correspondentie-analyse.] Bevolking en Gezin,
No. 3, Dec 1989. 31-52 pp. Brussels, Belgium. In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
The authors utilize correspondence analysis "to explore differences
in the quality of life between Dutch, Moroccans and Turks in the
Netherlands. Based on a large-scale representative sample of male
heads of households and following a stepwise approach the
correspondence analysis demonstrates...marked differences in quality of
life between the Dutch on the one hand and Moroccans and Turks on the
other hand. Furthermore it reveals the existence of some difference in
quality of life between the better educated of each group and the
members with a lower level of education."
Correspondence:
J. J. Latten, Postbus 955, 2270 AZ Voorburg, Netherlands.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20522 Reed, W.
Robert; Harford, Kathleen. The marriage premium and
compensating wage differentials. Journal of Population Economics,
Vol. 2, No. 4, Dec 1989. 237-65 pp. New York, New York/Berlin, Germany,
Federal Republic of. In Eng.
"This paper proposes and tests an
alternative explanation of the marriage premium that relies upon
differences in workers' tastes and compensating wage differentials. A
key assumption is that marital status proxies for the consumption of
family goods--such as children; and that these are costly. Workers
whose greater demands for family goods are taste-generated are shown to
choose jobs that offer greater wage, and lesser nonpecuniary
compensation. This creates an observed wage premium that has nothing
to do with differences in workers' productivities. Supporting
empirical evidence for this hypothesis is presented, including a
reevaluation of previous studies." The geographical focus is on the
United States.
Correspondence: W. R. Reed, Texas A and M
University, Department of Economics, College Station, TX 77843.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20523 Sakamoto,
Arthur; Chen, Meichu D. Stratification, inequality, and
the issue of selection into the dual labor market among prime-age
men. Texas Population Research Center Papers, Series 11: 1989,
No. 11.04, 1989. 23, [10] pp. University of Texas, Texas Population
Research Center: Austin, Texas. In Eng.
"This study uses the 1979
[U.S.] Current Population Survey data to investigate earnings
determination in the dual labor market among prime-age male
employees....Results from multivariate analyses of both dollar and log
earnings indicate smaller effects of schooling and labor market
experience in the secondary sector....In our models and data...the
evidence for selectivity is mixed, and does not compromise the basic
finding of a substantial sector differential in the effects of
schooling and experience."
Correspondence: University of
Texas, Texas Population Research Center, Main 1800, Austin, TX 78712.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20524 Schubert,
Renate. On the importance of nonparametric approaches for
a comparison of income inequality in different countries. [Zur
Bedeutung nichtparametrischer Ansatze fur den Vergleich von
Einkommensdisparitaten verschiedener Lander.] Allgemeines Statistisches
Archiv, Vol. 73, No. 4, 1989. 367-74 pp. Gottingen, Germany, Federal
Republic of. In Ger. with sum. in Eng.
"A comparison of income
inequality in different countries can be made on the basis of
parametric or nonparametric approaches. Using nonparametric instead of
parametric approaches may raise the validity of such comparisons in
some respects. However, new sources of validity reduction may be
linked with nonparametric approaches. An important source of validity
reduction is the influence of the type of data grouping on inequality
measures. Therefore, nonparametric approaches are not strictly
preferable to parametric approaches when comparing income inequality in
different countries."
Correspondence: R. Schubert,
Fachbereich Rechts- und Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Technische
Hochschule Darmstadt, Residenzschloss, 6100 Darmstadt, Federal Republic
of Germany. Location: Princeton University Library (PF).
56:20525 von
Weizsacker, Robert K. Demographic change and income
distribution. European Economic Review, Vol. 33, No. 2-3, Mar
1989. 377-88 pp. Amsterdam, Netherlands. In Eng.
Income
distribution in industrialized countries is examined in the light of
current demographic trends. "Starting from a simple, descriptive
life-cycle model of individual income, the present paper establishes an
explicit link between the age composition of a population and the
personal distribution of incomes....Demographic effects on income
inequality are derived. Next, two income maintenance programs are
introduced: a redistributive tax-transfer scheme and a pay-as-you-go
financed state pension system. The resulting government budget
constraints entail interrelations between fiscal and demographic
variables, causing an additional, indirect demographic impact on the
distribution. This is shown not only to change, but in some cases even
to reverse the distributional incidence of demographic
trends...."
Correspondence: R. K. von Weizsacker,
Universitat Bonn, Institut fur Gesellschafts- und
Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Finanzwissenschaftliche Abeitlung,
Adenauerallee 24-42, 5300, Bonn 1, Federal Republic of Germany.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20526 von
Weizsacker, Robert K. Demographic change and state income
support: an incidence analysis. [Demographischer Wandel und
staatliche Einkommenssicherung: eine Inzidenzanalyse.] Jahrbucher fur
Nationalokonomie und Statistik, Vol. 206, No. 3, 1989. 181-207 pp.
Stuttgart, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger. with sum. in Eng.
"Starting from a simple, descriptive life-cycle model of individual
income, an explicit link between the age composition of a population
and the personal distribution of incomes is established. Demographic
effects on income inequality are derived. Next, two income maintenance
programs are introduced: a redistributive tax-transfer scheme and a
pay-as-you-go financed state pension system. The resulting government
budget constraints entail interrelations between fiscal and demographic
variables, causing an additional, indirect demographic impact on the
distribution. This is shown not only to change, but in some cases even
to reverse the distributional incidence of demographic trends. Several
policy conflicts arise."
Correspondence: R. K. von
Weizsacker, Universitat Bonn, Institut fur Gesellschafts- und
Wirtschaftswissenschaften, Finanzwissenschaftliche Abteilung,
Adenauerallee 24-42, 5300 Bonn 1, Federal Republic of Germany.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20527 Applebaum,
Richard P. Counting the homeless. In: Homelessness in
the United States. Volume II: data and issues, edited by Jamshid A.
Momeni. 1990. 1-16 pp. Greenwood Press: Westport, Connecticut/London,
England. In Eng.
The problems inherent in measuring the extent of
homelessness in the United States are described. Three major attempts
to provide estimates of this kind are reviewed. The author concludes
that the problems involved in counting the homeless are intractable and
are likely to produce an undercount of the population
concerned.
Correspondence: R. P. Applebaum, University of
California, Department of Sociology, Santa Barbara, CA 93106.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20528 Burt,
Martha R.; Cohen, Barbara E. A sociodemographic profile of
the service-using homeless: findings from a national survey. In:
Homelessness in the United States. Volume II: data and issues, edited
by Jamshid A. Momeni. 1990. 17-38 pp. Greenwood Press: Westport,
Connecticut/London, England. In Eng.
The authors present a
sociodemographic profile of the population using services provided for
the homeless in the United States. Data are from a 1987 nationally
representative sample of 1,704 homeless
individuals.
Correspondence: M. R. Burt, Urban Institute,
2100 M Street NW, Washington, D.C. 20037. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
56:20529 Griffith,
Jeanne E.; Frase, Mary J.; Ralph, John H. American
education: the challenge of change. Population Bulletin, Vol. 44,
No. 4, Dec 1989. 40 pp. Population Reference Bureau: Washington, D.C.
In Eng.
"This report examines the challenges to the American
elementary and secondary education system brought about by the
demographic changes over the past few decades, and looks at prospects
for improvements from current reform movements. An overriding concern
is the lagging performance of disadvantaged students, who comprise a
growing share of school enrollments and the future labor
force."
Correspondence: Population Reference Bureau, 777
14th Street NW, Washington, D.C. 20005. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
56:20530 Kingkade,
W. Ward. Estimates and projections of educational
attainment in the USSR to the year 2000. CIR Staff Paper, No. 54,
Mar 1990. x, 74 pp. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Center for International
Research: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This study examines postwar
trends in educational attainment in the USSR, and projects the
distribution of educational attainment to the year 2000. The analysis
makes use of an education model to estimate age detail not provided by
available Soviet data, as well as to project future trends in
educational attainment. The principal finding is that educational
attainment in the USSR has increased significantly since 1959....By the
year 2000, the projections indicate that the share of the population
completing secondary education will be 61.7 percent and the share
completing higher education will be 10.0 percent, while less than 2
percent of the population will have less than an elementary education."
Comparative data are presented for the United
States.
Correspondence: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Center
for International Research, Washington, D.C. 20233. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20531 Knodel,
John; Wongsith, Malinee. Monitoring the education gap in
Thailand: trends and differentials in lower and upper secondary
schooling. Asian and Pacific Population Forum, Vol. 3, No. 4,
Winter 1989. 1-10, 25-35 pp. Honolulu, Hawaii. In Eng.
"Using 1980
census and 1987 survey data on birth cohorts to examine recent primary
and secondary school enrollment trends [in Thailand], this study
reports that primary enrollment is nearly universal but secondary
enrollment is much less prevalent. The study assesses several factors
thought to influence enrollment and finds that urban residence,
parents' completion of primary school, the mother's positive attitude
toward education, and the family's being comfortable economically to be
associated with children's enrollment in secondary school. It also
indicates that, for moderately well-off families, proximity to schools
has a major influence on secondary school attendance. For the
wealthiest families, however, distance is not a hindrance to
attendance, and for the poorest families, having a school nearby is not
sufficient to ensure attendance."
Correspondence: J.
Knodel, University of Michigan, Population Studies Center, 1225 South
University Avenue, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1070. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20532 Kominski,
Robert. Estimating the national high school dropout
rate. Demography, Vol. 27, No. 2, May 1990. 303-11 pp. Washington,
D.C. In Eng.
"This article reviews some of the current measures and
presents a new measure of the [U.S.] high school dropout rate--the
proportion of high school students who drop out in a defined period of
time (1 year). The estimates show that the national yearly high school
dropout rate was about the same in 1985 as it was in 1968. Improvement
has occurred, however, since 1968 for specific racial groups as well as
for some grade levels."
Correspondence: R. Kominski, U.S.
Bureau of the Census, Population Division, Washington, D.C. 20233.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20533 Momeni,
Jamshid A. Homelessness in the United States. Volume II:
data and issues. Contributions in Sociology, No. 87, ISBN
0-313-26792-8. LC 88-10964. 1990. xix, 197 pp. Greenwood Press:
Westport, Connecticut/London, England. In Eng.
This is a collection
of 11 studies by various authors on aspects of homelessness in the
United States. It forms part of a two-volume work on the subject, the
first volume of which "concentrates on the statewide distribution,
variations, trends, and characteristics of the homeless population.
The present volume...deals with the problem of data collection and
specific causes and issues that relate to homelessness."
Selected
items will be cited in this or subsequent issues of Population
Index.
Correspondence: Greenwood Press, 88 Post Road West,
Box 5007, Westport, CT 06881. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
56:20534 Universite
des Sciences et Techniques de Lille-Flandres-Artois (Villeneuve d'Ascq,
France). School attendance and schooling. [Scolarite
et scolarisation.] Espace, Populations, Societes, No. 1, 1990. 173 pp.
Villeneuve d'Ascq, France. In Eng; Fre. with sum. in Fre; Eng.
This
special issue is devoted to problems of education and schooling. The
papers, which are in French or English with summaries in both
languages, examine problems of education in France, England, Poland,
and Belgium. The emphasis is on inequalities in educational
opportunities and their causes.
Correspondence: Universite
des Sciences et Techniques de Lille-Flandres-Artois, U.F.R. de
Geographie, 59655 Villeneuve d'Ascq Cedex, France. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20535 Anderson,
Barbara A.; Silver, Brian D. Demographic sources of the
changing ethnic composition of the Soviet Union. Population and
Development Review, Vol. 15, No. 4, Dec 1989. 609-56, 791, 793 pp. New
York, New York. In Eng. with sum. in Fre; Spa.
"This article
discusses the changing ethnic composition of the Soviet population as a
whole and by region. It examines the proximate demographic sources of
change for different regions of the country, with special emphasis on
fertility and migration. It shows that differences in population
growth rates during the last 30 years have led to marked changes in the
ethnic composition of the USSR and that such changes will continue in
the future. The analysis focuses on the population of the USSR as a
whole as well as of the 15 union republics that comprise the federal
state structure." Data are from 1959, 1970, 1979, and 1989 Soviet
censuses.
Correspondence: B. A. Anderson, University of
Michigan, Department of Sociology, Population Studies Center, Ann
Arbor, MI 48109-1070. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
56:20536 Bourbeau,
Robert. 1986 census of Canada. Canada--a linguistic
profile. [Recensement Canada 1986. Le Canada--un profil
linguistique.] Focus on Canada, No. 31, Pub. Order No. 98-131. ISBN
0-660-54023-1. Dec 1989. 37, 37 pp. Statistics Canada: Ottawa, Canada.
In Eng; Fre.
This is one in a series of analyses of data from the
1986 census of Canada. It concerns language trends in Canada and
includes chapters on the diversity of languages in the country, the
appeal of English, and the growth of
bilingualism.
Correspondence: Statistics Canada, Ottawa,
Ontario K1A 0T6, Canada. Location: University of Texas at
Austin, Population Research Center Library. Source: APLIC
Census Network List, No. 105, Mar 1990.
56:20537 Dumond, Don
E. Fertility, mortality, and the mean age at death: a
model of a population under stress. American Anthropologist, Vol.
92, No. 1, Mar 1990. 179-87 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This
report presents the model of a population that is stable but under
long-term stress from some of the diseases that afflicted many native
populations of the world following their first contacts with expanding
Western civilization....[The model] is based on the reconstructed
demography of an Eskimo-speaking population of southwestern Alaska in
the years around 1880...." It is found that the age distribution of
mortality does not conform to the pattern of stable populations modeled
by Coale and Demeney; although the highest age-specific death rates
under age 50 occur at ages 0-4, and particularly in the first 12 months
of life, death rates are lowest between ages 5 and 14 and rise steadily
thereafter.
Correspondence: D. E. Dumond, University of
Oregon, Department of Anthropology, Eugene, OR 97403.
Location: Princeton University Library (PR).
56:20538 Henripin,
Jacques. The 1986 census. Certain long-term trends
subside. [Le recensement de 1986. Certaines tendances seculaires
s'attenuent.] Collection de Tires a Part, No. 251, [1988]. 4 pp.
Universite de Montreal, Departement de Demographie: Montreal, Canada.
In Fre.
Recent trends in languages spoken in Canada are analyzed
using data from the 1986 census. The author notes a continuation of
trends toward the use of French in Quebec and its decline elsewhere in
Canada, coupled with an increase in bilingualism.
This paper is
reprinted from Langue et Societe (Ottawa, Canada), No. 24, Autumn 1988,
pp. 6-9.
Correspondence: Universite de Montreal,
Departement de Demographie, Case Postale 6128, Succursale A, Montreal,
Quebec H3C 3J7, Canada. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
56:20539 Hirschman,
Charles; Kraly, Ellen P. Racial and ethnic inequality in
the United States, 1940 and 1950: the impact of geographic location
and human capital. International Migration Review, Vol. 24, No. 1,
Spring 1990. 4-33 pp. Staten Island, New York. In Eng.
"This
article examines the trend in ethnic stratification from 1940 to 1950,
a decade that has been viewed as a critical turning point in race and
ethnic relations in the United States....It begins with a brief
overview of ethnic diversity in the United States and a descriptive
account of ethnic differentiation and inequality. Then it tests--in a
preliminary fashion--several hypotheses about the role of socioeconomic
and geographical forces in shaping ethnic occupational inequality
across this significant interval of American history. Based upon an
analysis of the newly released Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) files
of the 1940 and 1950 Population Censuses, the study concludes that
racial minorities and Hispanics experienced a qualitatively different
occupational attainment process than did men in the white majority and
white ethnic populations."
This is a revised version of a paper
originally presented at the 1986 Annual Meeting of the Population
Association of America (see Population Index, Vol. 52, No. 3, Fall
1986, p. 445).
Correspondence: C. Hirschman, University of
Washington, Seattle, WA 98195. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
56:20540 Johnson,
Robert A. Measurement of Hispanic ethnicity in the U.S.
census: an evaluation based on latent-class analysis. JASA:
Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 85, No. 409, Mar
1990. 58-65 pp. Alexandria, Virginia. In Eng.
"Two models, the U.S.
census model and the latent-class model, are compared in their
application to evaluating measurements of ethnicity. Although the
census approach assumes that the response categories of a questionnaire
item correspond to groups in the population, the latent-class approach
seeks to assess whether any set of response categories can represent
observed ethnic heterogeneity. Data collected using the 1990 census
Hispanic-origin question and other instruments for measuring ethnicity
suggest that the latent-class approach is superior whenever the
response categories are not known to be valid. In particular, using
the latent-class model, this article rejects the census model's
assumption of a single dimension of meaning underlying responses to the
Hispanic-origin question."
Correspondence: R. A. Johnson,
U.S. General Accounting Office, General Government Division,
Washington, D.C. 20548. Location: Princeton University
Library (SM).
56:20541 Khan,
Muhammad M. A. Demographic changes in the Muslim
population of Soviet Russia: facts and fiction. Journal of the
Institute of Muslim Minority Affairs, Vol. 9, No. 1, Jan 1988. 134-58
pp. Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. In Eng.
The author analyzes demographic
trends among the Muslim populations of the USSR. The analysis is
presented separately by republic. Consideration is given to both
historical and current trends and to problems concerning available
sources of data. The author reviews probable future developments in
the Muslim population up to the year 2000.
Location:
University of Pennsylvania Library, Philadelphia, PA.
56:20542 Kingkade,
Ward. USSR ethnic composition: preliminary 1989 census
results. Population Today, Vol. 18, No. 3, Mar 1990. 6-7 pp.
Washington, D.C. In Eng.
Some preliminary results concerning ethnic
distribution and language spoken from the 1989 census of the USSR that
have been published in the Soviet media are summarized. Comparative
data for 1979 are also provided.
Correspondence: W.
Kingkade, U.S. Bureau of the Census, Center for International Research,
Washington, D.C. 20233. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
56:20543 Park,
Insook Han; Fawcett, James T.; Arnold, Fred; Gardner, Robert
W. Korean immigrants and U.S. immigration policy: a
predeparture perspective. Papers of the East-West Population
Institute, No. 114, ISBN 0-86638-123-6. LC 89-71490. Mar 1990. xi, 119
pp. East-West Center, Population Institute: Honolulu, Hawaii. In Eng.
"This study provides a detailed portrait of a large, representative
group of recent Korean immigrants to the United States--their
backgrounds before immigration, their demographic and socioeconomic
characteristics, their family networks, and their plans, perceptions,
and hopes regarding life in the United States." Data are from two
surveys undertaken in 1986, the Korean Immigrant Pre-Departure
Assessment Survey involving 1,834 new immigrants interviewed in Seoul,
and the Status Adjusters Survey of 549 adult Koreans already in the
United States who changed their visa status to
immigrant.
Correspondence: East-West Center, East-West
Population Institute, 1777 East-West Road, Honolulu, HI 96848.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:20544 Tienda,
Marta. Looking to 1990: immigration, inequality and the
Mexican origin people in the United States. Economics Research
Center Discussion Paper Series, No. 88-4, Mar 1988. 25 pp. University
of Chicago, National Opinion Research Center [NORC], Economics Research
Center: Chicago, Illinois. In Eng.
"My purpose in this essay is to
discuss themes that illustrate the social content of Mexican origin in
the U.S. stratification regime. My concern...with immigration and
integration processes emphasizes the persistence and perpetuation of
structured inequities between people of Mexican origin and native
whites. From a sociological standpoint, the strong correspondence
between socioeconomic disadvantage and Mexican origin raises
challenging questions about the relative weight of continued
immigration from Mexico versus institutionalized discrimination in
maintaining the minority status of the Chicano/Mexican-American
population."
Correspondence: NORC Librarian, 1155 East 60th
Street, Chicago, IL 60637. Location: University of
Pennsylvania, Demography Library, Philadelphia, PA.
56:20545 Tienda,
Marta. Puerto Ricans and the underclass debate: evidence
for structural explanations of labor market performance. Economics
Research Center Discussion Paper Series, No. 88-9, Jun 1988. 20, [3]
pp. University of Chicago, National Opinion Research Center [NORC],
Economics Research Center: Chicago, Illinois. In Eng.
"This paper
uses data from the [U.S.] Current Population Surveys (CPS) of 1975,
1980 and 1985 and the 1980 Census of Population to investigate why the
economic status of Puerto Ricans has declined more than that of
Mexicans and Cubans....Results based on the CPS show that Puerto Ricans
are distinct from Mexicans and Cubans in that their labor market
instability and complete withdrawal began earlier (mid- compared to
late-1970s) and was more extreme. Furthermore, the analysis of Census
data showed that the constraints on Puerto Ricans resulting from ethnic
labor market divisions and high unemployment rates were stronger than
those for Mexicans or Cubans, lending support to structural
interpretations of Puerto Ricans' economic
distress."
Correspondence: NORC Librarian, 1155 East 60th
Street, Chicago, IL 60637. Location: University of
Pennsylvania, Demography Library, Philadelphia, PA.
56:20546 Veltman,
Calvin. The status of the Spanish language in the United
States at the beginning of the 21st century. International
Migration Review, Vol. 24, No. 1, Spring 1990. 108-23 pp. Staten
Island, New York. In Eng.
"This study presents population
projections for different linguistic components of the Spanish language
group, that is, for English dominant bilinguals, Spanish dominant
bilinguals and Spanish monolinguals [in the United States]. The
population model combines parameters obtained from the U.S. Bureau of
the Census for nonlinguistic characteristics with linguistic parameters
estimated from the 1976 Survey of Income and Education. The number of
persons speaking Spanish on a regular basis will climb to an estimated
16.6 million persons at the turn of the century. Further analysis
reveals, however, that an additional 4.5 million persons will have left
the group by ceasing to speak Spanish. In fact, in the absence of
continued immigration, this language minority cannot maintain its
current size and will undergo progressively more rapid decline over the
course of time."
Correspondence: C. Veltman, University of
Quebec at Montreal, CP 8888, Succursale A, Montreal, Quebec H3C 3P8,
Canada. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).