56:10057 Biraben,
Jean-Noel; Blum, Alain. Population trends in France, 1500
to 1800: comparison with other countries in the Western world.
In: Referate zum deutsch-franzosischen Arbeitstreffen auf dem Gebiet
der Demographie vom 21. bis 24. September 1987 in Rouen. Materialien
zur Bevolkerungswissenschaft, No. 62, 1989. 181-208 pp. Bundesinstitut
fur Bevolkerungsforschung: Wiesbaden, Germany, Federal Republic of. In
Eng. with sum. in Fre.
Preliminary results from a historical
population survey conducted in 1980 in France in 200 villages and 49
towns are presented and compared with similar data for Norway, England,
and Spain. The authors identify two major fertility periods in France:
the first was from 1500 to 1580, when births increased from 700,000 to
one million per year; the second was from 1580 to 1800, during which
time the number of births remained stable at between 900,000 and one
million per year.
Correspondence: J.-N. Biraben, Institut
National d'Etudes Demographiques, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675 Paris
Cedex 14, France. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
56:10058 Deb Roy,
Rama. Glimpses on the history of Calcutta 1600-1800.
Annales de Demographie Historique, 1988. 243-57 pp. Paris, France. In
Eng. with sum. in Fre.
The growth of the Indian city of Calcutta
from its founding up to the year 1800 is described using data from a
variety of sources. The author notes that the city's population
increased from about 30,000 in 1704 to around 500,000 in
1800.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10059 Dobson,
Mary J. The last hiccup of the old demographic regime:
population stagnation and decline in late seventeenth and early
eighteenth-century south-east England. Continuity and Change, Vol.
4, No. 3, Dec 1989. 395-428 pp. Cambridge, England. In Eng. with sum.
in Fre; Ger.
"The period between the mid-seventeenth and
mid-eighteenth century stands out as an era of demographic decline and
stagnation: a puzzling divide between two periods of substantial and
rapid growth in the history of English population....This study aims to
introduce a regional perspective to this demographic divide in our
population history....It employs an approach which highlights
geographical variations in the history of population as a way of
unravelling some of the perplexities of this period of national decline
and stagnation. This geographical approach intends to bridge an
important gap between local studies about life and death in individual
parishes and the more general demographic findings describing
population trends at a national level." Sections are included on the
geography of population change in the region, population movements,
patterns of demographic stagnation and decline, and epidemics and
disease.
Correspondence: M. J. Dobson, University of
Oxford, School of Geography, University Offices, Wellington Square,
Oxford OX1 2JD, England. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
56:10060 Dupaquier,
Jacques. French population trends from 1789 to 1806.
[La population francaise de 1789 a 1806.] Genealogie Magazine, No. 72,
May 1989. 16-22 pp. Paris, France. In Fre.
The author reviews the
demographic consequences of the Revolutionary period in France from
1789 to 1806. Separate consideration is given to mortality,
nuptiality, fertility, emigration, urbanization, and changes in the
geographical distribution of the
population.
Correspondence: J. Dupaquier, Ecole des Hautes
Etudes en Sciences Sociales, 54 boulevard Raspail, 75006 Paris, France.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10061 Dyson,
Tim. The population history of Berar since 1881 and its
potential wider significance. Indian Economic and Social History
Review, Vol. 26, No. 2, Apr-Jun 1989. 167-201 pp. New Delhi, India. In
Eng.
The population dynamics of the former British India province
of Berar, which now forms part of Maharashtra, from 1881 to 1981 are
analyzed. "The paper is divided into four main parts. In the first
section we introduce census and registration-based statistics relevant
to a consideration of the province's demographic history since 1881.
The second section then uses these statistics as a framework within
which to introduce additional data sets and to consider key substantive
aspects of long-run demographic change. The paper's third section
concentrates on some of the possible wider implications of the results.
In our view many of the more general aspects of Berar's past
demography probably applied throughout much of India. We also maintain
that the material considered here may shed light on how some of the
country's current demographic characteristics have been achieved. The
final section of the paper summarises our main
conclusions."
Correspondence: T. Dyson, University of
London, London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton
Street, Aldwych, London WC2A 2AE, England. Location: Princeton
University Library (PF).
56:10062 Kadyrov,
Sh. Kh. The population of Turkmenistan: history and
actuality (questions and results of studies). [Narodonaselenie
Turkmenistana: istoriya i sovremennost' (voprosy i rezul'taty
izucheniya).] 1986. 119 pp. Ylym: Ashkhabad, USSR. In Rus. with sum. in
Eng.
The author analyzes distinctive features of population
dynamics in Turkmenistan, USSR, during the period 1880-1980, with a
focus on the connections between population factors and various
historical events. Aspects considered include problems in family
formation, the quality of living conditions, trends in reproductive
behavior, and urbanization and the birth rate. Recommendations are
provided for improving the regional effects of population
policies.
Correspondence: Izdatel'stvo Ylym, Akademiya Nauk
Turkmenskoi SSR, Ul. Engel'sa 6, 744000 Ashkhabad, USSR.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10063 Lazaro
Ruiz, Mercedes; Gurria Garcia, Pedro A.; Brumont, Francis.
The population of Rioja in the sixteenth century. [La
population de la Rioja au XVIe siecle.] Annales de Demographie
Historique, 1988. 221-41 pp. Paris, France. In Fre. with sum. in Eng.
"The present study of the population of Rioja (Old Castile) [Spain]
is based on several different sources, essentially population counts
(seven in all for [the sixteenth] century, but of varying quality) and
parish registers, which are fairly numerous after 1550. The high
population density is shown, then trends are examined: both the
population counts and the baptism data indicate an upward trend which
stopped around 1560-1570, followed by a population decline which
accelerated in the last decade. The lack of migration data and the
relatively slight impact of the 1564-1567 and 1599-1600 epidemics do
not enable the real causes of the growth pattern to be
determined."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10064 Perez
Brignoli, Hector. The demographic growth of Latin America
in the nineteenth and twentieth centuries: problems, methods, and
perspectives. [El crecimiento demografico de America Latina en los
siglos XIX y XX: problemas, metodos y perspectivas.] Avances de
Investigacion, No. 48, 1989. 15, [3], v pp. Universidad de Costa Rica,
Centro de Investigaciones Historicas: San Jose, Costa Rica. In Spa.
The author examines population growth trends in Latin America in
the last two centuries. He briefly characterizes the demographic
transition in the region and compares it with the European transition.
The inverse projection method is applied to demographic series for
Argentina, Chile, Costa Rica, Cuba, and Mexico for the period
1750-1980.
Correspondence: Universidad de Costa Rica,
Centro de Investigaciones Historicas, Facultad de Ciencias Sociales,
San Jose 2050, Costa Rica. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
56:10065 Ales,
Milan. Population development in Czechoslovakia in
1988. [Populacni vyvoj v CSSR v roce 1988.] Demografie, Vol. 31,
No. 4, 1989. 289-98 pp. Prague, Czechoslovakia. In Cze. with sum. in
Eng; Rus.
The author examines population trends in Czechoslovakia
in 1988 and finds that for the second year in a row, the rate of
population growth has increased slightly. This is attributed to the
increase in fertility among women of reproductive age and a decline in
mortality in the general population. The author also considers trends
in induced abortion and the prospects for future population growth in
Czechoslovakia.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
56:10066 Charoy,
Xavier; Denis, Didier; Lembege, Catherine. Reflections of
the population of New Caledonia: the main results of the 1989
census. [Images de la population de la Nouvelle-Caledonie:
principaux resultats du recensement 1989.] INSEE Resultats:
Demographie-Societe, No. 2, ISBN 2-11-065316-7. Dec 1989. 72 pp.
Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques [INSEE]:
Paris, France; Institut Territorial de la Statistique et des Etudes
Economiques: Noumea, New Caledonia. In Fre.
The main results of the
1989 census of New Caledonia are presented. In the first part, results
are analyzed, with consideration given to spatial distribution and
population trends, natural increase, age and sex distribution, ethnic
groups, families, place of birth, nationality, migration, educational
status, and knowledge of the French language. The second part contains
the statistical tables.
Correspondence: INSEE, 18 boulevard
Adolphe Pinard, 75675 Paris Cedex 14, France. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10067 Finland.
Tilastokeskus (Helsinki, Finland). Population estimates
1986: the whole country, provinces, regions, and small administrative
areas. [Vaestollisia tunnuslukuja 1986: Koko maa, laanit,
seutukaava--alueet ja kunnat.] Tilastotiedotus/Statistisk Rapport, No.
VA 1988:3, 1988. 52 pp. Helsinki, Finland. In Fin.
Population
estimates by sex are presented for Finland for 1988. Data are included
on vital rates, including births, deaths, natural increase, and
migration.
Correspondence: Tilastokeskus, PL504, 00101
Helsinki, Finland. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
56:10068 Mezza
Rosso, Victor. Bolivia: estimates and projections of the
population and the labor force, 1970-2000. [Bolivia: estimaciones
y proyecciones de la poblacion y la fuerza de trabajo, periodo
1970-2000.] 1986. 206 pp. Ministerio de Trabajo y Desarrollo Laboral:
La Paz, Bolivia; Instituto Nacional de Estadistica: La Paz, Bolivia. In
Spa.
Population estimates and projections for Bolivia are presented
for the period 1970-2000 by department, age and sex, and rural or urban
residence. Projections of the labor force are also included for the
country as a whole and departments by sex, age, and rural or urban
residence. (If soliciting document from DOCPAL, request DOCPAL
13296.00.).
Correspondence: Instituto Nacional de
Estadistica, Casilla No. 6129, La Paz, Bolivia. Location: U.N.
Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia, Santiago, Chile.
56:10069 Proebsting,
Helmut. Marriages, births, and deaths, 1988.
[Eheschliessungen, Geburten und Sterbefalle 1988.] Wirtschaft und
Statistik, No. 9, Sep 1989. 590-3 pp. Wiesbaden, Germany, Federal
Republic of. In Ger.
Information is presented on marriages, births,
and deaths in West Germany in 1988. Comparisons are made with data
from earlier years, and the future consequences of the present age
structure are discussed.
Location: Princeton University
Library (PF).
56:10070 United
Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs (New
York, New York). Global estimates and projections of
population by sex and age: the 1988 revision. No. ST/ESA/SER.R/93,
1989. ix, 383 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"This report presents
the estimated and projected sex and age distributions according to the
medium, high and low variants for 1950-2025 for countries and areas
generally with a population of 300,000 and over in 1985." The data are
from the eleventh round of the revision of population estimates and
projections undertaken by the U.N. Secretariat. A magnetic tape and
set of diskettes containing the major results are available upon
request for a nominal fee.
For a related study, also published in
1989, see 55:30086.
Correspondence: U.N. Department of
International Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, New York, NY
10017. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10071 Verma, Ravi
B. P. Population estimates for small areas in Canada.
Applied Demography, Vol. 5, No. 1, Winter 1990. 3-5 pp. Alexandria,
Virginia. In Eng.
The author outlines population estimation
techniques used by Statistics Canada. "The objectives of this paper
are to (i) describe the methodology and data sources for estimating the
population for census divisions (CDs) and census metropolitan areas
(CMAs), and (ii) present the results of the evaluations of 1986
population estimates."
Correspondence: R. B. P. Verma,
Statistics Canada, Demography Division, Ottawa, Ontario K1A OT6,
Canada. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10072 Zha,
Ruichuan. Present situation and prospects of China's
population. Population Research, Vol. 6, No. 2, Jun 1989. 33-40
pp. Beijing, China. In Eng.
The author reviews China's population
dynamics and presents population projections. Implications of these
projections and policy considerations are
discussed.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10073 Alpar,
Reha. Estimation of the population structure of the
Etimesgut Health District in the year 2025. [Etimesgut saglik
bolgesinin 2025 yilindaki nufus yapisinin tahmin edilmesi.] Nufusbilim
Dergisi/Turkish Journal of Population Studies, Vol. 11, 1989. 53-60 pp.
Ankara, Turkey. In Tur. with sum. in Eng.
The author forecasts the
population of the Etimesgut Health District in Turkey for the year 2025
under certain assumptions. "According to these basic assumptions [the]
crude birth rate will decrease to 14 per thousand and [the] crude death
rate will increase to 9.47 per thousand within 35 years....According to
these results, the population pyramids of the Etimesgut Health District
were drawn for different years. As it will be seen, the population
structure will not be like today's developed countries' population
structure until the year 2070."
Correspondence: R. Alpar,
Hacettepe University, Tip Fakultesi Biyoistatistik Bilim Dali Ogretim
Gorevlisi, Ankara, Turkey. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
56:10074 Corner, I.
E. Developing centralised household projections for
national and sub-national areas. In: Advances in regional
demography: information, forecasts, models, edited by P. Congdon and
P. Batey. 1989. 91-106 pp. Belhaven Press: London, England. In Eng.
The author outlines the headship-rate method of household
projection used by the Department of the Environment in England and
Wales. Aspects of the method's development, its performance and some
possibilities for further developments are described. "Forecast
accuracy is assessed by a comparison of actual households in 1981 with
a projection based on extrapolation of headship rates in 1971.
Accuracy is shown to be high except in the South-East region of
Britain, where the large fall in households which occurred in London
during the 1970s was underpredicted...."
Correspondence: I.
E. Corner, Building Research Establishment, Garston, Watford,
Hertfordshire WD2 7JR, England. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
56:10075 Cruijsen,
Harri; Keilman, Nico. National population forecasts in
industrialized countries: main findings of an international
workshop. Maandstatistiek van de Bevolking, Vol. 37, No. 11, Nov
1989. 19-23 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Eng.
The main findings
are presented from a workshop on national population projections in
developed countries, held in Voorburg, Netherlands, October 25-28,
1988. "The programme concentrated on four themes: general aspects of
national population projections, fertility, mortality and international
migration. Under the first theme, an international comparison of the
forecasting process was presented, and items like accuracy, variants
and monitoring were discussed. The other sessions contained
cross-country overviews of actual trends, most recent assumptions and
currently applied extrapolation methods. Furthermore, special
attention was given to the use of time series methods and explanatory
models for the extrapolation of fertility."
Correspondence:
H. Cruijsen, Centraal Bureau voor de Statistiek, 428 Prinses
Beatrixlaan, P.O. Box 959, 2270 AZ Voorburg, Netherlands.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10076 Foster,
Gregory D. Global demographic trends to the year 2010:
implications for U.S. security. Washington Quarterly, Vol. 12, No.
2, Spring 1989. 5-24 pp. Cambridge, Massachusetts. In Eng.
This
article is condensed from a report prepared for the Commission on
Integrated Long-Term Strategy. It examines how important demographic
trends up to the year 2010 will be to the security interests of the
United States. Separate attention is paid to trends in the United
States, the Soviet Union, Eastern Europe, China, the Western Pacific,
South Asia, Latin America, the Middle East and North Africa, and
Sub-Saharan Africa.
Location: New York Public Library.
56:10077 Hablicsek,
Laszlo; Monigl, Istvan. Expected population development in
Hungary after the year 2000. [Die voraussichtliche
Bevolkerungsentwicklung in Ungarn nach dem Jahre 2000.] Zeitschrift fur
Bevolkerungswissenschaft, Vol. 15, No. 2, 1989. 133-62 pp. Wiesbaden,
Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger. with sum. in Eng; Fre.
The
author analyzes the population dynamics of Hungary during the last 100
years and projects population size to the year 2021. The need to
develop a population policy that will lead to stabilization of
population and improvement of population structure is emphasized, with
primary importance given to halting the population
decline.
Correspondence: L. Hablicsek, Demographic Research
Institute, Central Statistical Office (CSO), Posta fio'k 78, H-1364
Budapest, Hungary. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
56:10078 Kocianova,
H. Socioeconomic problems of worldwide population growth
after the year 2000. [K nekterym socialneekonomickym problemum
populacniho vyvoje ve svete po roce 2000.] Casopis Lekaru Ceskych, Vol.
128, No. 12, Mar 17, 1989. 353-9 pp. Prague, Czechoslovakia. In Cze.
with sum. in Eng; Rus.
The socioeconomic implications of forcasted
world population trends after the year 2000 are considered. The author
notes that demographic aging is likely to cause problems first in the
developed world, particularly in Europe, and after 2025 in the
developing world. It is suggested that the key to resolving these
problems lies in increasing productivity among a declining labor
force.
Correspondence: H. Kocianova, 7 tr. Polit Veznu, 111
73 Prague 1, Czechoslovakia. Location: New York Academy of
Medicine.
56:10079 Meade,
Nigel. Forecasting with growth curves: the effect of
error structure. Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 7, No. 4, Oct-Dec
1988. 235-44 pp. New York, New York/Chichester, England. In Eng.
"The main theme of this paper is an investigation into the
importance of error structure as a determinant of the forecasting
accuracy of the logistic model. The relationship between the variance
of the disturbance term and forecasting accuracy is examined
empirically. A general local logistic model is developed as a vehicle
to be used in this investigation. Some brief comments are made on the
assumptions about error structure, implicit or explicit, in the
literature." The results suggest that "the variance of the disturbance
term, when using the logistic to forecast human populations, is
proportional to at least the square of population
size."
Correspondence: N. Meade, Imperial College,
Management School, Exhibition Road, London SW7 2BX, England.
Location: World Bank, Joint Bank-Fund Library, Washington,
D.C.
56:10080 Mukerji,
S. Projection of total and sub-regional population: a new
technique. Demography India, Vol. 17, No. 1, Jan-Jun 1988. 124-38
pp. Delhi, India. In Eng.
The author develops a mathematical model
for population projection for both total and subregional populations of
developing countries. An example is presented using data from
India.
Correspondence: S. Mukerji, International Institute
of Population Sciences, Deonar, Bombay 400 088, India.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10081 Rees,
Philip; Willekens, Frans. Population projection: Dutch
and English multiregional methods. In: Contemporary research in
population geography: a comparison of the United Kingdom and the
Netherlands, edited by John Stillwell and Henk J. Scholten. 1989. 19-37
pp. Kluwer Academic: Boston, Massachusetts/Dordrecht, Netherlands. In
Eng.
"In both the Netherlands and the United Kingdom government
departments responsible for the production of population projections
for both the nation and subnational units have recently sought to
improve those projections through the development and implementation of
new multiregional models. These are models which project the
population of many regions simultaneously and which include the
migration flows between them in the analysis. Researchers and
consultants outside of central government were asked to prepare these
models....These efforts are described and compared in order to assess
what has been achieved to date and what improvements could be effected.
The earlier sections of the [paper] contain an assessment of the needs
of users of subnational population projections and a review of the
conceptual bases of multiregional models."
Correspondence:
P. Rees, University of Leeds, School of Geography, Leeds LS2 9JT,
England. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10082 Sauberer,
Michael; Spitalsky, Alfred. Austrian Spatial Planning
Conference population projections, 1981-2011: estimates of the
Austrian Institute for Spatial Planning (OIR).
[OROK-Bevolkerungsprognose, 1981-2011: Gutachten des Osterreichischen
Instituts fur Raumplanung (OIR).] Osterreichische Raumordnungskonferenz
[OROK] Schriftenreihe, No. 58, 1987. 189 pp. Osterreichische
Raumordnungskonferenz [OROK]: Vienna, Austria. In Ger.
Regional
population and labor force projections for Austria are presented for
the period 1981-2011. The projections, which are based on a
multiregional demographic model and 1981 census data, are given for the
country as a whole, states, administrative districts, and types of
districts. Four different variants are
provided.
Correspondence: Osterreichischer Bundesverlag-
Schulbuchzentrum, NO-Sud, Strasse 1, Object 34, A-2351 Wiener Neudorf,
Austria. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10083 Smith,
Stanley K.; Sincich, Terry. Stability over time in the
distribution of population forecast errors. In: Advances in
regional demography: information, forecasts, models, edited by P.
Congdon and P. Batey. 1989. 73-90 pp. Belhaven Press: London, England.
In Eng.
"In the present study we analyse the distribution of
population forecast errors for U.S. states for a number of different
time periods during the twentieth century. Our objectives are twofold:
to determine the extent to which these distributions have remained
stable over time and to evaluate the validity of using data on the
distribution of past forecast errors to predict the distribution of
future forecast errors." The authors conclude that "while we may never
be able to forecast future populations with a high degree of accuracy,
we may be able to develop relatively accurate forecasts of the
distribution of errors surrounding our point forecasts. Indicating the
potential range of errors surrounding population forecasts may be the
most useful service the producers of population projections can provide
to their users."
Correspondence: S. K. Smith, University of
Florida, College of Business Administration, Gainesville, FL 32611.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10084 Wetrogan,
Signe I. Projections of the population of states, by age,
sex, and race: 1989 to 2010. Current Population Reports, Series
P-25: Population Estimates and Projections, No. 1053, Jan 1990. iv, 41
pp. U.S. Bureau of the Census: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This
report presents four alternative series of projections of the
population of the 50 [U.S.] States and the District of Columbia by race
for 1989 through 2010." In contrast to previous state projections in
this series, the present report has four alternative projections for
each state based on different assumptions concerning future internal
migration. "The present report includes a detailed discussion on the
methodology, alternative assumptions and differences among the
alternative series." The projections are made using the
cohort-component method.
Correspondence: U.S.
Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office,
Washington, D.C. 20402. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
56:10085 Willmann,
Heidi; Hoyt, Scott. The slowdown in population growth:
causes and consequences. U.S. Long-Term Review, Spring 1989. 31-8
pp. Lexington, Massachusetts. In Eng.
U.S. population trends are
projected using data from the Bureau of the Census. The focus is on
the economic consequences of these trends. The authors conclude that
the economic impact will be relatively slight up to the year 2000.
"After 2000, the changes to the economic outlook will be more
significant. The aging of the population will accelerate and the pace
of economic growth is likely to slow even further. More resources will
be devoted to caring for the elderly, while public and private pension
systems will need to draw down savings to provide for the retirement of
the baby-boom generation."
Location: World Bank, Joint
Bank-Fund Library, Washington, D.C.
56:10086 Coward,
John. The components of natural change: the United
Kingdom. In: Contemporary research in population geography: a
comparison of the United Kingdom and the Netherlands, edited by John
Stillwell and Henk J. Scholten. 1989. 40-52 pp. Kluwer Academic:
Boston, Massachusetts/Dordrecht, Netherlands. In Eng.
Trends in the
rates of natural increase in the United Kingdom are examined, with a
focus on regional variations. "Within the United Kingdom geographical
variations in natural change are still quite pronounced, particularly
at the district level. Moreover, due to the importance of varying
population age structures on crude rates...little association [is seen]
between crude and age standardized patterns. Age structure is clearly
responsible for explaining much of the spatial variation in the crude
rates....The other major feature to note is that within the United
Kingdom there are still quite important spatial differences in age
standardized fertility and mortality, particularly at the district
level, and the considerable degree of regional convergence over the
last half century has by no means eliminated such differences....Such
differences may reflect variations in family formation patterns and
social class structure as well as the nature of regional variations in
the [labor force] participation rates of married
women."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10087 Kapoen,
Loek; Keilman, Nico. The components of natural change:
the Netherlands. In: Contemporary research in population
geography: a comparison of the United Kingdom and the Netherlands,
edited by John Stillwell and Henk J. Scholten. 1989. 52-62 pp. Kluwer
Academic: Boston, Massachusetts/Dordrecht, Netherlands. In Eng.
Natural increase in the Netherlands since 1970 is analyzed and
projections to 2035 are made. "There has been a significant decline in
natural growth in the Netherlands since 1970, due to a sharp fall in
live births. Shortly after the year 2000, the number of deaths will be
higher than the number of births....This is a result of the decreasing
number of women in the fertile age range. Despite the expected
decrease in mortality rates in nearly all age groups until 1995, the
number of deaths will increase steadily because of the steady growth in
the number of elderly people. The number of marriages influences the
number of births and has also declined substantially since 1970."
Regional variations in spatial distribution are also
forecast.
Correspondence: L. Kapoen, Verkeersacademie,
Stappegoorweg 201, 5022 DD Tilburg, Netherlands. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10088 Long, John
F. Two hundred years of demographic change:
1790-1990. Statistical Bulletin, Vol. 71, No. 1, Jan-Mar 1990.
2-11 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
The changes in the U.S.
population from 1790 to 1990 as recorded in the U.S. census are
reviewed. Separate consideration is given to changes in race and
ethnicity, age distribution, regional distribution, and
urbanization.
Correspondence: J. F. Long, U.S. Bureau of
the Census, Population Projections Branch, Washington, D.C. 20233.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10089 Rowland,
Richard H. National and regional population trends in the
USSR, 1979-89: preliminary results from the 1989 census. Soviet
Geography, Vol. 30, No. 9, Nov 1989. 635-69 pp. Silver Spring,
Maryland. In Eng.
"This article investigates national,
macroregional, and economic regional population trends in the USSR
during the 1979-89 intercensal period based on preliminary results from
the 1989 census. The national total population growth rate during
1979-89 was roughly similar to that of 1970-79. However, the urban
growth and urbanization processes slowed, while the rate of rural
population change increased due chiefly to reduced rural-urban
migration. Regional variations in rates of total, urban, and rural
population change generally resembled those of 1970-79. Central Asia
continued to exhibit the most rapid overall growth, although Siberia
experienced a resurgence."
Correspondence: R. H. Rowland,
California State University, Department of Geography, 5500 University
Parkway, San Bernardino, CA 92407. Location: Princeton
University Library (PR).
56:10090 Sallnow,
John. The Soviet Far East: a report on urban and rural
settlement and population change, 1966-1989. Soviet Geography,
Vol. 30, No. 9, Nov 1989. 670-83 pp. Silver Spring, Maryland. In Eng.
"This article provides a general overview of trends in urban-rural
population change and evolution of the settlement system in the Soviet
Far East since 1966, incorporating data published in the recent
national statistical yearbooks and the preliminary 1989 census
report....Total population in the Soviet Far East increased from
5,435,000 in 1966 to 7,941,000 by January 12, 1989, with the share of
the urban population now comprising over three-quarters of the total.
Migration patterns into and out of the region are discussed and cities
planned for expansion are identified."
Correspondence: J.
Sallnow, Polytechnic South West, Plymouth, England. Location:
Princeton University Library (PR).
56:10091 Wang, You;
Chen, Lihua. On the temporary surplus population in the
elementary stage of socialism in China. Renkou Yanjiu, No. 4, Jul
1988. 11-4 pp. Beijing, China. In Chi.
The causes and patterns of
China's surplus population are analyzed for the period 1951-1980. The
authors view the surplus population as a temporary phenomenon that is
advantageous to social development.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
56:10092 Yu,
Yeun-chung. The prospects of population growth in
China. In: International Population Conference/Congres
International de la Population, New Delhi, September/septembre 20-27,
1989. Vol. 1, 1989. 43-56 pp. International Union for the Scientific
Study of Population [IUSSP]: Liege, Belgium. In Eng.
"This paper
examines population growth in China in the 1980s and beyond, using
information available from the major surveys. It discusses the large
fluctuation of fertility in the 1980s and the possible fertility
changes in the 1990s in relation to the current programme of family
planning. It further discusses the prospect of population growth from
now until 2025 if alternative family planning programmes are
introduced."
Correspondence: Y. Yu, United Nations,
Population Division, New York, NY 10017. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
