56:10031 Congdon,
P.; Batey, P. Advances in regional demography:
information, forecasts, models. ISBN 1-85293-046-2. LC 89-197.
1989. xi, 285 pp. Belhaven Press: London, England. In Eng.
This is
a collection of 15 papers by various authors on recent issues in
spatial demography. The papers provide an overview of the methods and
practice of regional demography, with particular emphasis given to
potential future development. The papers are grouped under four
subject headings: demographic information for spatial planning,
demographic forecasts and projections at the subnational level, models
for settlement and redistribution, and models for migration in the
labor market.
Selected items will be cited in this or subsequent
issues of Population Index.
Correspondence: Belhaven Press,
25 Floral Street, London WC2E 9DS, England. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10032 Di Comite,
Luigi; Cardamone, Antonio F. The Messina Straits area:
problems of population redistribution. Journal of Regional Policy,
Vol. 8, No. 2, Apr-Jun 1988. 177-98 pp. Naples, Italy. In Eng.
Trends in the spatial redistribution of the population of the
Messina Straits region of southern Italy are analyzed using data from
official sources, including the 1961 and 1981 censuses. The main trend
identified over this period was a movement of the population toward the
more highly populated municipalities and to those located on the
coast.
Correspondence: L. Di Comite, Universita degli Studi
di Bari, Department for Mediterranean Society Studies, Palazzo Ateneo,
70121 Bari, Italy. Location: World Bank, Joint Bank-Fund
Library, Washington, D.C.
56:10033 Rees,
Philip; Stillwell, John; Boden, Peter. Migration trends
and population projections for the elderly. In: Advances in
regional demography: information, forecasts, models, edited by P.
Congdon and P. Batey. 1989. 205-26 pp. Belhaven Press: London, England.
In Eng.
The contribution of elderly migration to population
redistribution in the United Kingdom is assessed, and changes in
nonmetropolitan preferences of the elderly are considered. A
multiregional components framework adapted from shift-share techniques
is developed and used to project the relative importance of demographic
aging as compared to elderly migration for various
regions.
Correspondence: P. Rees, University of Leeds,
Department of Geography, Leeds LS2 9JT, England. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10034 Stillwell,
John; Scholten, Henk J. Contemporary research in
population geography: a comparison of the United Kingdom and the
Netherlands. GeoJournal Library, Vol. 14, ISBN 0-7923-0431-4. LC
89-36643. 1989. xxiv, 232 pp. Kluwer Academic: Boston,
Massachusetts/Dordrecht, Netherlands. In Eng.
This is a collection
of papers originally presented at a conference held in 1986 in Oxford,
England, on current research trends in population geography in the
United Kingdom and the Netherlands. "The contents of this book have
been organized to reflect three important themes in population research
in both countries. The first theme involves historical analysis of the
main components of aggregate population change: births, deaths and
internal migration and the way in which data on these components is
assembled and utilized in the context of multi-regional population
projection. The second theme is focused entirely on migration and
comprises separate analyses of three distinctive subgroups of migrants:
labour force migrants, immigrants and elderly migrants. The final
theme is concerned with relationships between demographic evolution,
household formation, residential mobility and housing
supply."
Selected items will be cited in this or subsequent issues
of Population Index.
Correspondence: Kluwer Academic
Publishers, P.O. Box 17, 3300 AA Dordrecht, Netherlands.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10035 Brennan,
Ellen M.; Richardson, Harry W. Asian megacity
characteristics, problems, and policies. International Regional
Science Review, Vol. 12, No. 2, 1989. 117-29 pp. Morgantown, West
Virginia. In Eng.
"Using ten Asian megacities as examples, this
article discusses a range of megacity characteristics and problems,
including population growth, economic structure, spatial strategies,
land policy, urban service provision, institutional development, and
managerial problems. In spite of major progress in urban service
delivery, ineffective land policies and inadequate cost-recovery
systems remain serious obstacles. Megacities need and are promoting
policentric spatial structures, but implementation lags in many cases.
Institutional reforms are needed to cope with the metropolitan region
character of megacity growth."
Correspondence: E. M.
Brennan, United Nations, Population Division, New York, NY 10017.
Location: Princeton University Library (UES).
56:10036 Brown,
Lawrence A.; Lawson, Victoria A. Polarization reversal,
migration related shifts in human resource profiles, and spatial growth
policies: a Venezuelan study. International Regional Science
Review, Vol. 12, No. 2, 1989. 165-88 pp. Morgantown, West Virginia. In
Eng.
"This article examines polarization reversal in terms of
changing human resource profiles related to migration and to national
policies affecting the spatial pattern of economic growth. It first
demonstrates the relationship between these elements through a review
that integrates three distinct themes in earlier research. Attention
then turns to an empirical study of human resource variation among
eight urban districts and the rest of Venezuela treated as a single
unit. This comparison utilizes age, gender, educational attainment,
and occupational status variables provided by individual records of
Venezuela's 1971 Population Census. A concluding section relates
empirical findings to policy alternatives."
Correspondence:
L. A. Brown, Ohio State University, Department of Geography, Columbus,
OH 43210. Location: Princeton University Library (UES).
56:10037 Dackam
Ngatchou, R.; Hovy, B.; Ngwe, E. An introduction to the
demographic analysis of medium-sized towns in Cameroon.
[Introduction a l'analyse demographique des villes moyennes du
Cameroun.] Serie Villes Moyennes, Vol. 1, No. 1, Jul 1989. 59 pp.
Institut de Formation et de Recherche Demographiques [IFORD]: Yaounde,
Cameroon. In Fre.
This is the first in a planned series that is
designed to use demographic data collected by students at IFORD during
the course of their studies. The data concern the medium-sized
Cameroon towns of Bafia, Ebolowa, and Sangmelima. This report
describes the methodology used in the analysis of the
data.
Correspondence: IFORD, Service des Publications, B.P.
1556, Yaounde, Cameroon.
56:10038 de Jong, A.
H. Population trends of Amsterdam and the other three big
municipalities, 1840-1988. [Bevolkingsontwikkelingen van Amsterdam
en de andere drie grote gemeenten, 1840-1988.] Maandstatistiek van de
Bevolking, Vol. 38, No. 1, Jan 1990. 13-9 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In
Dut. with sum. in Eng.
Population trends from 1840 to 1988 in the
four principal cities of the Netherlands are analyzed. The author
notes that all four principal cities experienced growth up to 1960,
followed by a decline that lasted to the 1980s, when further growth
occurred. The contributions of natural increase or migration to
population growth (or decline) are considered.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10039 Fox,
Roddy. West African urbanization: a reassessment.
Urban Geography, Vol. 10, No. 5, Sep-Oct 1989. 495-502 pp. Silver
Spring, Maryland. In Eng.
The author comments on an article by
Barbara J. Kilbourne and Brian J. L. Berry concerning urbanization in
West Africa. The focus is on the extent to which African urbanization
has been affected by market forces. A reply by Kilbourne and Berry is
included (pp. 501-2).
For the article by Kilbourne and Berry, also
published in 1989, see 55:30068.
Correspondence: R. Fox,
Rhodes University, Department of Geography, Grahamstown, 6140, South
Africa. Location: Princeton University Library (UES).
56:10040 Fung, K.
I. Urbanization and urban development. Chinese
Geography and Environment, Vol. 2, No. 2, Summer 1989. 101 pp. M. E.
Sharpe: Armonk, New York. In Eng.
This is a selection of six papers
by various authors on aspects of urbanization and urban development in
China since 1947. The papers are translated from the original Chinese
and reflect the debate in China concerning the appropriate policies for
future urbanization and urban development.
Correspondence:
M. E. Sharpe, 80 Business Pk. Dr., Armonk, NY 10504.
Location: U.S. Library of Congress, Washington, D.C.
56:10041 Gatzweiler,
Hans-Peter; Strubelt, Wendelin. Demographic change and the
development of West German cities. [Demographische Veranderungen
und Wandel der Stadte.] Kolner Zeitschrift fur Soziologie und
Sozialpsychologie, Supplement, No. 29, 1988. 193-222, 437 pp.
Wiesbaden, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger. with sum. in Eng.
"The article deals with the impact of demographic change on the
development of West-German cities, especially in the period between
1960 and now. [The] focus of this discussion [is] not individual
cities, but three different types of agglomerated regions within the
Federal Republic of Germany, namely: the heavily agglomerated,
monocentric regions, the agglomeration areas with old-industrial
structure and finally the regions with agglomeration tendencies.
Within these three different types the article differentiates between
the inner-city core and the surrounding suburbia. The analysis
includes also a forecast of the future development of these types of
agglomerated regions. Implications on future urban development are
discussed as well as problems of the use of demographic data for the
analysis of this development."
Location: Princeton
University Library (FST).
56:10042 Hamnett,
Chris; Maas, Menno; van Weesep, Jan. The housing market as
a source of urban demographic and social change: the impact of flat
break-ups in London and condominium conversion in the Netherlands.
In: Contemporary research in population geography: a comparison of the
United Kingdom and the Netherlands, edited by John Stillwell and Henk
J. Scholten. 1989. 197-210 pp. Kluwer Academic: Boston,
Massachusetts/Dordrecht, Netherlands. In Eng.
Changes in the supply
of housing and the effect on the demographic and socioeconomic
characteristics of the urban population are analyzed and compared for
the Netherlands and England. The authors find that "because access to
the housing market is unevenly structured according to the tenure and
the price of the stock, and the occupation and income characteristics
of households, changes in the tenure and price structure of the housing
market can and do result in changes in the social and demographic
composition of different areas. This is true both where there are
major geographical variations in the supply of new housing, and...where
the existing housing stock is subject to modification. As a
consequence of the flat break-ups in central London and the conversion
to condominiums in the three largest cities in the Netherlands,
considerable changes in both the size and the social characteristics of
the population do occur....Both the quality of the standing stock and
the composition and quality of the various neighbourhood facilities and
services can also be affected...."
Correspondence: C.
Hamnett, Open University, Faculty of Social Studies, Walton Hall,
Milton Keynes MK7 6AA, England. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
56:10043 Harris,
Nigel. Urbanisation: an economic overview of some of the
issues. Habitat International, Vol. 12, No. 3, 1988. 103-20 pp.
Oxford, England. In Eng.
"The paper presents a discussion of the
economic justification for taking cities seriously, a section outlining
the scale of urbanisation and some of the issues raised, a section that
discusses the policy approaches, one that looks at the local agencies
for the formulation and execution of policy, and a short final part on
some of the implications for aid policy." The focus is on the
importance of the urban sector for economic development in developing
countries.
Correspondence: N. Harris, Development Planning
Unit, 9 Endsleigh Gardens, London WC1H 0ED, England. Location:
World Bank, Joint Bank-Fund Library, Washington, D.C.
56:10044 Kennedy,
Michael D.; Smith, David A. East central European
urbanization: a political economy of the world-system
perspective. International Journal of Urban and Regional Research,
Vol. 13, No. 4, Dec 1989. 597-624 pp. London, England. In Eng. with
sum. in Fre; Ger; Spa.
This is a historical survey of urbanization
in east-central Europe (what is now Poland, Hungary, and
Czechoslovakia). The authors relate the current patterns of
underurbanization, modest regional inequalities, and low urban primacy
to the region's history. They suggest that the policies of managed
urbanization following World War II have reinforced the semiperipheral
legacy of decentralized, relatively even urban
growth.
Correspondence: M. D. Kennedy, University of
Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109. Location: World Bank, Joint
Bank-Fund Library, Washington, D.C.
56:10045 Lee,
Hee-Yeon. Growth determinants in the core-periphery of
Korea. International Regional Science Review, Vol. 12, No. 2,
1989. 147-63 pp. Morgantown, West Virginia. In Eng.
"This article
describes the emergent spatial dispersion pattern of the urban system
of the Republic of Korea, where the government has instituted a strong
decentralization policy. Intraregional decentralization is underway
within the core area, while intraregional polarization towards larger
regional centers is evident in periphery areas. Through the use of
step-wise regression analysis, determinants of the differential growth
rates of urban centers in the core and periphery are identified. The
different spatial development processes operating in the core and
periphery have implications for growth pole theory and regional
development planning."
Correspondence: H.-Y. Lee, Konkuk
University, Department of Geograpny, Seoul 133, Republic of Korea.
Location: Princeton University Library (UES).
56:10046 Ma,
Xia. Industrial population, gross national product and
growth of cities and towns. Social Sciences in China, No. 9, Dec
1988. 78-89 pp. Beijing, China. In Eng.
This article, which is
translated from the original Chinese, examines whether China's current
rate of urbanization is compatible with its economic development
objectives. Changes in the level of urbanization from 1949 to 1984 are
first reviewed. The author then outlines the growth of the urban labor
force and the relationship between urbanization and gross national
product. It is concluded that it is in the country's interest to
continue to control the rate of urban growth up to the end of this
century, in order to ensure that the urban population does not exceed
40 percent of the total population by the year
2000.
Location: State University of New York at Buffalo,
NY.
56:10047 McDonald,
John F. Econometric studies of urban population density:
a survey. Journal of Urban Economics, Vol. 26, No. 3, Nov 1989.
361-85 pp. San Diego, California. In Eng.
This is a review of
empirical research conducted since 1975 on urban population densities,
with a focus on studies in which econometric methods were used. "The
paper begins...with a personal overview of research in the field.
Section 3 discusses econometric issues that arise in the estimation of
population density functions in which density is a function only of a
distance to the central business district (CBD) of the urban area.
Section 4 summarizes the studies of a single urban area that went
beyond the estimation of simple distance-density functions, and Section
5 discusses studies that sought to explain the variations across urban
areas in population density patterns. A final section contains a brief
conclusion."
Correspondence: J. F. McDonald, University of
Illinois, Department of Economics, Box 4348, Chicago, IL 60680.
Location: Princeton University Library (PF).
56:10048 Mellor,
Rosemary. Transitions in urbanization: twentieth-century
Britain. International Journal of Urban and Regional Research,
Vol. 13, No. 4, Dec 1989. 573-96 pp. London, England. In Eng. with sum.
in Fre; Ger; Spa.
"This paper presents an assessment of the trends
in U.K. urbanization evident in the 1980s. It is argued that there are
transitions in the history of urbanization, periods in which there is
an accumulation of social and political pressures for change in which
core institutions are forced to accommodate to the new social order.
Comparison is made between the transition from the 'rentier' city to
the 'family welfare' city in the period 1890-1920, and the transition,
termed here 'liberal authoritarian' which U.K. society is currently
experiencing. The breakdown of the welfare consensus is related to the
restructuring of the U.K. economy and its cities: final emphasis is on
the role of the police as moral entrepreneurs instilling changed
conventions of urban life and conduct."
Correspondence: R.
Mellor, University of Manchester, Department of Sociology, Manchester
M13 9PL, England. Location: New York Public Library.
56:10049 Mitra,
Arup. Spread of slums: the rural spill-over?
Demography India, Vol. 17, No. 1, Jan-Jun 1988. 29-42 pp. Delhi, India.
In Eng.
"The present paper attempts to quantify the contribution of
[the] migration factor in explaining the spread of slums [in India] and
examines the validity of the characterisation of urban poverty in terms
of spill-over effect of rural poverty. The data for the paper have
been drawn mainly from the following two sources: National Sample
Survey Organisation...and population
censuses."
Correspondence: A. Mitra, Institute of Economic
Growth, University Enclave, Delhi 110 007, India. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10050 Oo,
Naing. Urbanization and economic development in
Burma. Sojourn, Vol. 4, No. 2, Aug 1989. 233-60 pp. Singapore. In
Eng.
"Since British colonial rule in Burma [Myanmar], urban centres
have emerged and grown. This has continued with independence in 1948.
Urbanization has proceeded apace, first primarily because of
rural-urban migration and then mainly because of natural growth in
cities and towns, leading to a host of urban problems exacerbated by an
ailing economy which has not permitted adequate levels of investment
in, and development of, urban infrastructure. This article examines
these issues in urbanization and economic development and concludes
that long-term solutions to these problems can only be arrived at if
population growth and urbanization are given sufficient attention in
economic policies which must, necessarily, seek to restructure the
economy. The urban future of Burma, otherwise, remains
bleak."
Correspondence: N. Oo, Bielefeld University,
Sociology of Development Centre, 25 Universitatsstrasse, Bielefeld
4800, Federal Republic of Germany. Location: World Bank, Joint
Bank-Fund Library, Washington, D.C.
56:10051 Sawadogo,
Jean M. Population and the urban environment: a descent
toward the abyss. [Population et environnement urbain: une
descente vers l'abime.] Carrefour Africain, No. 1105, Nov 17, 1989.
19-27 pp. Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso. In Fre.
The negative effects
of rapid urbanization in Burkina Faso are analyzed, with a focus on the
problem of environmental degradation.
Location: World Bank,
Joint Bank-Fund Library, Washington, D.C.
56:10052 Tien,
Xue-Yuan. A study of standards for the differentiation of
the urban population in China. Population Research, Vol. 6, No. 2,
Jun 1989. 41-9 pp. Beijing, China. In Eng.
This is a discussion of
the standards used for differentiating urban and rural populations in
China. The author proposes standards for defining urban populations
based on the degree of concentration, or population density. Included
are definitions of villages, towns, and cities and a discussion of the
impact of economic development on the process of
urbanization.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10053 United
Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs (New
York, New York). Prospects of world urbanization,
1988. Population Studies, No. 112; ST/ESA/SER.A/112, Pub. Order
No. E.89.XIII.8. ISBN 92-1-151182-8. 1989. x, 204 pp. New York, New
York. In Eng.
"The present publication includes estimates and
projections of the urban and rural populations for all countries and
areas of the world, of urban agglomerations of population size of 2
million or more around 1985, and of capital cities of those countries
having a total population of 2 million or more in 1985. For urban and
rural populations, the estimates and projections cover a 75-year span
from 1950 to 2025; for urban agglomerations, the coverage is a 50-year
span from 1950 to 2000." The major results of these estimates and
projections are available on magnetic tape or personal computer
diskette for a nominal charge.
Correspondence: U.N.
Department of International Economic and Social Affairs, United
Nations, New York, NY 10017. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
56:10054 Yin,
Wenyao. On the size and structure of urban population and
the socioeconomic development of China. Renkou Yanjiu, No. 4, Jul
1988. 15-9 pp. Beijing, China. In Chi.
Characteristics of the urban
population in China are explored using data from the 1982 census. The
author considers the relationships among urban population size and
structure and socioeconomic development and discusses urban spatial
distribution and development strategies.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10055 Zeng, Yi;
Vaupel, James W. The impact of urbanization and delayed
childbearing on population growth and aging in China. Population
and Development Review, Vol. 15, No. 3, Sep 1989. 425-45, 603, 605 pp.
New York, New York. In Eng. with sum. in Fre; Spa.
The authors
project the impact of urbanization and delayed childbearing on
population growth and demographic aging in China. "Urbanization and
delayed childbearing in China are likely to reduce further national
birth rates and significantly slow population growth for two reasons.
First, urban residents are apt to continue to have substantially lower
fertility rates than rural residents. In addition, urbanites tend to
give birth at older ages and may be more receptive to government
efforts to further delay childbearing. These relationships are
examined using a multi-regional population projection model that
incorporates three scenarios regarding rural-to-urban migration and
cohort mean age of childbearing." Results indicate that rapid
urbanization combined with a rise in age at childbearing will affect
total population size and may increase the proportion of the population
that is elderly, particularly in rural
areas.
Correspondence: Y. Zeng, Peking University,
Institute of Population Research, Hai Dian, Beijing, China.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
56:10056 Chapuis,
Robert; Brossard, Thierry. The demographic evolution of
rural France (1968-1982). Journal of Rural Studies, Vol. 5, No. 4,
1989. 357-65 pp. Elmsford, New York/Oxford, England. In Eng.
"After
more than a century of decline, noticeable increases in the rural
population of France became apparent in the 1982 census. The spatial
patterns of these changes are interpreted by comparing a set of
demographic variables in the 1968-1975 and 1975-1982 intercensal
periods. Migration to rural areas near many of the major cities
(rurbanization) and to the southern part of France is the main
demographic explanation. Using factor analysis and a hierarchical
classification system the underlying demographic associations are
established and the nation is differentiated into seven types. A
method for estimating the probabilities of any one type occurring is
also demonstrated. The timing of the demographic changes and the
fundamental societal forces which have influenced them suggest that
government policy has played a minor part in the
evolution."
Correspondence: R. Chapuis, Universite de
Dijon, Faculte des Sciences Humaines, Campus de Montmuzard, BP 138,
21004 Dijon Cedex, France. Location: Princeton University
Library (PR).
