55:30719 Bilsborrow,
Richard E. The demographics of macroeconomic-demographic
models. Carolina Population Center Paper, No. 88-21, Jul 1988. 58,
5, 9 pp. University of North Carolina, Carolina Population Center:
Chapel Hill, North Carolina. In Eng.
"The purpose of this paper is
to assess the state of the art regarding economic-demographic models of
the interrelationships between population and socioeconomic development
in low-income countries. The assessment focuses on demographic
functions and on methodological rather than substantive issues, to help
identify where different or modified functions and approaches would
appear both methodologically superior and feasible. Recommendations
will also be made with a view towards improving the utility of the
models for government planners...." Two families of models, the Bachue
and ESCAP models, are applied to data from the 1970s and 1980s for five
developing countries.
Correspondence: Carolina Population
Center, University of North Carolina, West Franklin Street, Chapel
Hill, NC 27516-3997. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
55:30720 Caldwell,
John C.; Reddy, P. H.; Caldwell, Pat. Investigating the
nature of population change in South India: experimenting with a
micro-approach. In: Micro-approaches to demographic research,
edited by John C. Caldwell, Allan G. Hill, and Valerie J. Hull. 1988.
25-38 pp. Kegan Paul International: New York, New York/London, England.
In Eng.
The authors investigate the nature of population change in
South India for the years 1979-1983 using a micro-approach methodology.
Initially the study's focus was on fertility; however, the qualitative
approach established that many types of changes affecting fertility are
interrelated. The focus was therefore broadened to include
socioeconomic change and demographic variables such as family
structure, marriage patterns, morbidity, and mortality. The theories
of both the macro- and the micro-approach to such research are
analyzed.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:30721 Caldwell,
John C.; Hill, Allan G.; Hull, Valerie J. Micro-approaches
to demographic research. ISBN 0-7103-0297-5. 1988. xvi, 500 pp.
Kegan Paul International: New York, New York/London, England. In Eng.
This volume is a compilation of papers presented at an IUSSP
seminar in Canberra, Australia, in September 1984. The focus of the
seminar was on supplementing traditional demographic census and survey
techniques with field studies, drawing upon both anthropological and
small-scale survey methodologies. Chapters are included on
micro-perspectives on Asian fertility; the family and fertility in
Africa; institutions and intergenerational transfers; studying
mortality and morbidity; marriage, household formation, and fertility;
migration and urbanization; and indigenous perceptions and theories of
reproduction. The geographical focus is on Asia and
Africa.
Selected items will be cited in this or subsequent issues of
Population Index.
Correspondence: Kegan Paul International,
11 New Fetter Lane, London EC4P 4EE, England. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:30722 Caldwell,
John C. Micro-approaches: similarities and differences,
strengths and weaknesses. In: Micro-approaches to demographic
research, edited by John C. Caldwell, Allan G. Hill, and Valerie J.
Hull. 1988. 458-70 pp. Kegan Paul International: New York, New
York/London, England. In Eng.
The author examines the field
methodology utilized by researchers who presented papers at an IUSSP
conference on micro-approaches to demographic research, held in
September 1984 in Canberra, Australia. He analyzes various aspects of
research, including differences and similarities in research design,
quantitative and qualitative methodology, data collection and research
techniques, interview methods, and reliability. The geographical focus
is on developing countries.
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
55:30723 Caldwell,
John C.; Hill, Allan G. Recent developments using
micro-approaches to demographic research. In: Micro-approaches to
demographic research, edited by John C. Caldwell, Allan G. Hill, and
Valerie J. Hull. 1988. 1-9 pp. Kegan Paul International: New York, New
York/London, England. In Eng.
The authors present a brief review of
developments using micro-approaches in the demographic study of the
determinants of fertility, mortality, and migration. This serves as an
introduction to the research approach featured in the papers presented
at an IUSSP seminar in Canberra, Australia, in September
1984.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:30724 Caswell,
Hal. Matrix population models: construction, analysis,
and interpretation. ISBN 0-87893-094-9. LC 89-31516. 1989. xiv,
328 pp. Sinauer Associates: Sunderland, Massachusetts. In Eng.
This
book is concerned with matrix population models and their application
to the study of the dynamics of populations when individuals are
classified by age, size, or developmental stage. It is a textbook
intended for the practicing population biologist and emphasizes the
construction of models, either from actual data or as an expression of
hypotheses about the life cycle, mathematical analysis of the models,
and the biological interpretation of the results. No previous
experience with matrix models is assumed, and methods and examples of
their application have been given a higher priority than has
mathematical elegance.
Correspondence: Sinauer Associates,
Sunderland, MA 01375. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
55:30725 Cieslak,
Maria. The development of demographic-economic
modeling. [Rozwoj modelowania demograficzno-ekonomicznego.]
Ekonomista, No. 1, 1987. 227-46 pp. Warsaw, Poland. In Pol. with sum.
in Eng; Rus.
The author proposes a definition of a
demographic-economic model and examines the demographic and economic
components of 17 models. She postulates that new kinds of econometric
models should be developed that take into account economic conditions,
quality of life, and demographic phenomena and that demographic models
should be constructed so as to be consistent with economic
models.
Location: Princeton University Library (FST).
55:30726
Constantinides, Marietta A. Optimum population,
overlapping generations and social security in a model maximizing u(c1,
c2, X). Journal of Economics/Zeitschrift fur Nationalokonomie,
Vol. 47, No. 1, 1987. 69-75 pp. New York, New York/Berlin, Germany,
Federal Republic of. In Eng.
The author expands on a previous
publication in which she "considered the social welfare function u(c,
L) which incorporates the size of population as an argument, in
addition to per capita consumption, and investigated its implications
for optimal population policy within a conventional growth
setting....In overlapping generations models, as in dynamic growth
models, lifetime utility has been maximized using the per capita
approach...and more recently using the total utility approach....Our
model, incorporating population externalities, represents an
intermediate approach, both in the way it is formulated and in its
results. It should be noted that our utility function contains as
special cases the model with summing over individual utilities or
various models with weighted summation, and models with X absent from
the utility function."
Correspondence: M. A.
Constantinides, Muhlenberg College, Allentown, PA 18104-5586.
Location: U.S. Library of Congress, Washington, D.C.
55:30727 Courgeau,
Daniel; Lelievre, Eva. The demographic analysis of
biographies. [Analyse demographique des biographies.] Editions de
l'INED, ISBN 2-7332-2010-1. 1989. viii, 268 pp. Institut National
d'Etudes Demographiques [INED]: Paris, France. In Fre.
This work is
an introduction to the use of event history analysis to examine
interactions among demographic phenomena. The authors use data on the
biography of individuals to develop methods for longitudinal analysis
of the relationships among demographic, social, and economic factors,
taking into account the heterogeneity of the population considered.
These methods are illustrated with some practical
examples.
Correspondence: INED, 27 rue du Commandeur, 75675
Paris Cedex 14, France. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
55:30728 D'Souza,
Stan. Measures of preventable deaths in developing
countries: some methodological issues and approaches. In:
Differential mortality: methodological issues and biosocial factors,
edited by Lado Ruzicka, Guillaume Wunsch, and Penny Kane. 1989. 79-101
pp. Oxford University Press: New York, New York/Oxford, England;
Clarendon Press: Oxford, England. In Eng.
"This chapter will
briefly raise some methodological issues and problems related to the
development of...[a Preventable Death Index (PDI)]. An application of
the index to the situation in selected less developed countries will be
made. The index will also be used to describe the epidemiological
transition in China." A major focus of the chapter is "the
standardization of a mortality index that would indicate changes in
mortality levels in a manner which would consider the difficulty
involved in mortality control. Once appropriate assumptions have been
made regarding local and country settings with regard to what is
considered preventable, the formulation of a PDI follows from the
standardized mortality index."
Correspondence: S. D'Souza,
UNDP, Cotonou, Benin. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
55:30729 Duchene,
Josianne; Wunsch, Guillaume. Conceptual frameworks and
causal modelling. In: Differential mortality: methodological
issues and biosocial factors, edited by Lado Ruzicka, Guillaume Wunsch,
and Penny Kane. 1989. 21-35 pp. Oxford University Press: New York, New
York/Oxford, England; Clarendon Press: Oxford, England. In Eng.
"The purpose of this chapter is to discuss some aspects of [a]
three-level model of theory-building. In the first section, we will
define the various relationships which can link concepts together, in a
general theory. The second section will discuss the passage from
concept to indicator, in a conceptual framework approach. The third
section considers a causal model specifically designed to take into
account both concepts and indicators, that is, covariance structure
analysis. We will use throughout Caldwell's theory...on the role of
education as a factor in mortality decline as an
example."
Correspondence: J. Duchene, Department of
Demography, University of Louvain, Naamestraat 22, 3000 Louvain,
Belgium. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:30730 Hamerska,
Hedvika. Problems of the mutual relationship between basic
settlement units and settlements. [K problematice vzajemneho
vztahu zakladnich sidelnich jednotek a sidel.] Demografie, Vol. 31, No.
1, 1989. 17-24 pp. Prague, Czechoslovakia. In Cze. with sum. in Eng;
Rus.
Some problems concerning the changing definitions of
settlements in the Czech part of Czechoslovakia over time are
considered. The problems such changes pose for longitudinal
demographic analysis are noted.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
55:30731 Hammel, E.
A.; Mason, Carl; Wachter, Kenneth; Wang, Feng; Yang, Haiou.
Microsimulation as a tool in exploring social and demographic
interrelationships with an example from China, 1750-2250 or how
tradition is achieved by modernity. Program in Population Research
Working Paper, No. 27, Apr 8, 1989. 70 pp. University of California,
Institute of International Studies, Program in Population Research:
Berkeley, California. In Eng.
This study is concerned with how
"demographic regimes conspire to shape the availability pool of
'relatives' (kin and affines) from which may be drawn those social
actors who have mutual expectations of support under culture-specific
conditions." Specifically, it is concerned with how demographic
conditions might influence social action by providing more or less
genealogical kin. This process is analyzed using microsimulation and
the SOCSIM programs of social simulation. The SOCSIM programs are
first described and then applied in an exploration of the consequences
of irregular population change, particularly in the areas of fertility
and mortality, for the structure of kinship networks in China from 1750
to 2150.
Correspondence: Graduate Group in Demography,
University of California, 2232 Piedmont Avenue, Berkeley, CA 94720.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:30732 Hansen,
Poul E. Leslie matrix models. Mathematical Population
Studies, Vol. 2, No. 1, 1989. 37-67, 89 pp. New York, New York/London,
England. In Eng. with sum. in Fre.
"A review of the Leslie matrix
model theory and its literature 1941-1987 is presented. The point of
view is that of a mathematician who focuses on the parts of the theory
which are relevant to demography. Works of a decidedly applied nature
are not dealt with."
Correspondence: P. E. Hansen,
Department of Mathematics, Royal Veterinary and Agricultural
University, Thorvaldsensvej 40, DK-1871 Frederiksberg C, Denmark.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:30733 Hao,
Hongsheng. An introduction to the application of the
analytic method of mathematical statistics to population studies.
Renkou Yanjiu, No. 2, 1987. 51-4 pp. Beijing, China. In Chi.
Methods of analyzing mathematical statistics and their application
in China to population data are examined based on a review of recently
published studies in China. Problems identified include a
misunderstanding of the relationship between cause and effect, errors
in explaining the coefficient in multivariate regression analysis, and
errors in dealing with multilinearity problems in multivariate
regression analysis.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
55:30734 Hoem,
Britta. A simulation study of the distribution of the
likelihood ratio for an intensity model in small samples. [En
simuleringsstudie av fordelningen till likelihoodkvottestet for en
intensitetsmodell med fa observationer.] Stockholm Research Reports in
Demography, No. 50, ISBN 91-7820-037-7. [1989?]. 21, 7 pp. University
of Stockholm, Section of Demography: Stockholm, Sweden. In Swe.
The
author attempts to determine the accuracy of approximations in
situations where data is relatively unavailable. Results are presented
from five simulation experiments using information from the 1981
Swedish Fertility Survey. Simultations are made for separations among
married, childless women and for separations among cohabiting,
childless women.
Correspondence: Section of Demography,
University of Stockholm, S-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:30735 Hoem, Jan
M. Limitations of a heterogeneity technique: selectivity
issues in conjugal union disruption at parity zero in contemporary
Sweden. Stockholm Research Reports in Demography, No. 56, ISBN
91-7820-043-1. Jun 1989. 40 pp. University of Stockholm, Section of
Demography: Stockholm, Sweden. In Eng.
The value of using
heterogeneity techniques in event history analysis in order to allow
for omitted variables is examined. The author reports on a failed
attempt to incorporate persistent unobserved heterogeneity into a model
for a behavior where it is manifestly present and easily detected by
simple procedures. The example involves marital dissolution patterns
in contemporary Sweden using data from the Swedish Fertility Survey of
1981.
Correspondence: Demography Unit, Stockholm
University, S-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
55:30736 Hull, T.
H.; Hull, V. J.; Singarimbun, M. Combining research
techniques in the study of fertility and family planning in Java:
theory and practice. In: Micro-approaches to demographic research,
edited by John C. Caldwell, Allan G. Hill, and Valerie J. Hull. 1988.
56-73 pp. Kegan Paul International: New York, New York/London, England.
In Eng.
The authors combine qualitative and quantitative research
techniques to determine the social and cultural context of fertility
and family planning in two communities in Java. "A combination of
techniques meant that surveys could gather data on demographic and
economic parameters while intensive interviews and observations would
help to understand the workings of institutions and the processes of
the society." Analysis and evaluation of the combined research
approach are included.
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
55:30737 Maslova, O.
M. The use of the method of inquiries in the study of
demographic processes. [Primenenie metoda oprosa v izuchenii
demograficheskikh protsessov.] In: Metody issledovaniya, edited by A.
G. Vishnevskii. 1986. 22-33, 181 pp. Mysl': Moscow, USSR. In Rus. with
sum. in Eng.
The author discusses the use of a method of
demographic analysis defined as the method of inquiries. The method is
described, and various pilot studies are used to test its
effectiveness.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
55:30738 Oppong,
Christine; Abu, Katharine. The seven roles framework:
focused biographies and family size in Ghana. In: Micro-approaches
to demographic research, edited by John C. Caldwell, Allan G. Hill, and
Valerie J. Hull. 1988. 146-66 pp. Kegan Paul International: New York,
New York/London, England. In Eng.
"This chapter addresses a common
conceptual and methodological problem encountered in demographic
studies: how changes in the roles of women may be indexed, documented,
and linked to lower desired family size and contraceptive innovation.
A framework for data collection and analysis is outlined and one
micro-technique, the focused biography [is] described. The remainder
of the chapter examines some of the empirical evidence from a [1986]
Ghanian study using this framework and technique to demonstrate how
changes or differences in aspects of women's roles are related to new
family size desires and associated practices. Given that the focus of
interest is procreation, the discussion centres upon childbirth and
child care and the ways in which shifts away from traditional values
and practices are linked to changing maternal norms, values and
beliefs, as well as changes in other roles."
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:30739 Popkov, Yu.
S. A new class of dynamic macrosystem models with
self-reproduction. Environment and Planning A, Vol. 21, No. 6, Jun
1989. 739-51 pp. London, England. In Eng.
"The author considers a
class of macrosystems where the relaxation time of the distribution
process of elements is significantly less than the relaxation time of
the self-reproduction process. The proposed model of such macrosystems
defines the system of differential equations with nonlinearity
generated by the solution of a mathematical programming problem with an
entropy objective function. Methods for the structural analysis of
this model are considered, and applications to demographic modelling,
biological dynamics and chemical kinetics are
given."
Correspondence: Yu. S. Popkov, All-Union Institute
for Systems Studies, 9 Prospekt 60-Let Oktyabria, 117312 Moscow B-312,
USSR. Location: Princeton University Library (UES).
55:30740 Soroko, E.
L. On mathematical models in demography. [O
matematicheskom modelirovanii v demografii.] In: Metody issledovaniya,
edited by A. G. Vishnevskii. 1986. 119-32, 182 pp. Mysl': Moscow, USSR.
In Rus. with sum. in Eng.
The author discusses the use of
mathematical models for describing social and demographic changes in a
population. Natural increase and migration are used as
examples.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:30741 Srinivas,
M. N. The use of the method of participant observation in
the study of demographic phenomena. In: Micro-approaches to
demographic research, edited by John C. Caldwell, Allan G. Hill, and
Valerie J. Hull. 1988. 451-7 pp. Kegan Paul International: New York,
New York/London, England. In Eng.
The author assesses the method of
participant observation in the study of demographic processes, with
emphasis on the importance of "knowledge of the community's culture,
its internal structure and its relations with other groups or
communities...." The increased use of micro-approach studies to
supplement macro-approach research is recommended. The geographical
focus is on developing countries.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
55:30742 Swart, J.
H. Stable controls in age-dependent population
dynamics. Mathematical Biosciences, Vol. 95, No. 1, Jul 1989.
53-63 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"The classical age-dependent
population model is considered, in which mortality depends on total
population and fertility is age-dependent. It is shown that in general
such systems are not completely controllable with respect to a control
variable in the mortality function, but that in certain circumstances a
suitable control can be found to hold the population at a specified
level."
Correspondence: J. H. Swart, University of Natal,
Durban, South Africa. Location: Princeton University Library
(SM).
55:30743
Venkatacharya, K. Robust estimates of birth rate
and expectation of life with applications to some African
countries. RIPS Working Paper, No. RIPS/WPS/4/88, 1988. 39 pp.
University of Ghana, Regional Institute for Population Studies [RIPS]:
Legon, Ghana. In Eng.
"An examination of the Preston integrated
method of estimating simultaneously birth rate and adult mortality [in]
some African countries with two censuses is made. For some African
countries with defective age-sex data this approach tended to overstate
birth rates. Alternative methods are suggested. In these methods
first birth rate is estimated using...Coale's approach....With the
knowledge on birth rate the adult mortality is estimated using
Preston-Coale generalized stable equation. The usefulness of this
approach in evaluation of the data is
illustrated."
Correspondence: RIPS, University of Ghana,
P.O. Box 96, Legon, Ghaha. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
55:30744
Vishnevskii, A. G. Methods of investigation.
[Metody issledovaniya.] Demografiya: Problemy i Perspektivy, 1986. 184
pp. Mysl': Moscow, USSR. In Rus.
This is a collection of articles
by different authors concerning methods of demographic investigation
and analysis. The geographical scope is worldwide, but a few articles
focus on the USSR.
Correspondence: Mysl', Leninskii Pr. 15,
117071 Moscow, USSR. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
55:30745 Weinstock,
Evelyn; Rorres, Chris. Conditions determining the local
stability of populations. Mathematical Population Studies, Vol. 2,
No. 1, 1989. 69-87, 89 pp. New York, New York/London, England. In Eng.
with sum. in Fre.
"The conditions that determine the local
stability classification of an equilibrium population configuration are
analyzed. The population investigated is age-structured and
density-dependent, where density is determined by an age-weighted
population size. Two demographic parameters are introduced: the
marginal birth rate and marginal death rate, which describe the
marginal density-dependence of the birth and death rates of the
equilibrium population. Certain necessary and/or sufficient conditions
determining stability are developed, most of them involving the net
reproduction rate of the population, and examples illustrating these
conditions are presented."
Correspondence: E. Weinstock,
Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, Glassboro State
College, Glassboro, NJ 08028. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
55:30746 Wilmoth,
John R. On the statistical analysis of large arrays of
demographic rates. Pub. Order No. DA8901032. 1988. 158 pp.
University Microfilms International: Ann Arbor, Michigan. In Eng.
The author proposes a mathematical model for analyzing large arrays
of demographic rates from a descriptive point of view. The model is
applied to post-World War II mortality data for males and females in
France and Japan. "Various patterns of mortality change over age and
time for the four populations are brought out clearly by the additive
and multiplicative terms, while in all cases the diagonal portion of
the model succeeds in identifying cohorts with a peculiar mortality
experience."
This work was prepared as a doctoral dissertation at
Princeton University.
Correspondence: University Microfilms
International, 300 North Zeeb Road, Ann Arbor, MI 48106.
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, A: Humanities
and Social Sciences 49(11).
