55:20097 Bruk, S.
I.; Kabuzan, V. M. The dynamics and ethnic composition of
the population of Russia in the era of imperialism (from the end of the
19th century to 1917). Soviet Geography, Vol. 30, No. 2, Feb 1989.
130-54 pp. Silver Spring, Maryland. In Eng.
"The authors critically
survey tsarist censuses before the October Revolution and Soviet works
on historical demography, and they re-estimate population numbers,
natural and mechanical increase, and internal and external migration
between 1897 and 1917, as well as changes in ethnic
composition."
This is a translation of the Russian article in
Istoriya SSSR (Moscow, USSR), No. 3, 1980, pp. 74-93 (see Population
Index, 47:2067).
Location: Princeton University Library
(PR).
55:20098 Burnley,
Ian. The population geography of Australia: trends and
prospects. Geoforum, Vol. 19, No. 3, 1988. 263-76 pp. Elmsford,
New York/Oxford, England. In Eng.
Past and present population
trends in Australia since the beginning of European settlement in 1788
are reviewed. Separate consideration is given to urbanization,
immigration, internal migration, mortality, and demographic
aging.
Correspondence: I. Burnley, School of Geography,
University of New South Wales, P.O. Box 1, Kensington NSW 2033,
Australia. Location: U.S. Library of Congress, Washington,
D.C.
55:20099 de Jong, A.
H.; Prins, C. J. M. Demographic review of the Netherlands
in the nineteenth century. [Demografie van Nederland in de
negentiende eeuw.] Maandstatistiek van de Bevolking, Vol. 37, No. 4,
Apr 1989. 16-26 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
Population trends in the Netherlands in the nineteenth century are
reviewed. The authors note that the population grew from 2.1 to 5.1
million between 1795 and 1899, primarily due to natural increase. The
regional differences in rates of growth observed are related to
changing socioeconomic conditions. A growth in emigration over the
course of the century is also noted.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
55:20100 Patterson,
K. David. Epidemics, famines, and population in the Cape
Verde Islands, 1580-1900. International Journal of African
Historical Studies, Vol. 21, No. 2, 1988. 291-313 pp. Boston,
Massachusetts. In Eng.
Population dynamics of the Cape Verde
Islands from the sixteenth century to 1900 are analyzed. The major
famines and epidemics that occurred over this period are identified and
described, and their demographic impact assessed. An attempt is also
made to evaluate the efforts of the responsible colonial power,
Portugal, to cope with the results of these periodic crises. Data are
from published sources.
Correspondence: K. D. Patterson,
University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC 28223. Location:
Princeton University Library (PR).
55:20101 Ales,
Milan. Population development of Czechoslovakia in
1987. [Populacni vyvoj v CSSR v roce 1987.] Demografie, Vol. 30,
No. 4, 1988. 289-98 pp. Prague, Czechoslovakia. In Cze. with sum. in
Eng; Rus.
Demographic trends in Czechoslovakia in 1987 are
reviewed. Data are provided separately for the two constituent
republics on natural increase, marriage and divorce, induced abortion,
mortality, morbidity, life expectancy, and infant and neonatal
mortality. The demographic impact of the new law on induced abortion
adopted on January 1, 1987 is considered.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:20102 de Beer,
J. Demographic estimates for 1988. [Demografische
ramingen voor 1988.] Maandstatistiek van de Bevolking, Vol. 37, No. 1,
Jan 1989. 14-20 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
Demographic statistics for the Netherlands are presented for the
year 1988. Data are included on population size and growth, fertility
and mortality rates, migration, and life expectancy by sex. A decrease
in population growth is attributed mainly to a decrease in migration to
the Netherlands.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
55:20103 Japan.
Statistics Bureau (Tokyo, Japan). Population estimates as
of October 1, 1987. Population Estimates Series, No. 60, [1988].
86 pp. Tokyo, Japan. In Jpn. with sum. in Eng.
Official population
estimates are presented for Japan for 1987 by age and sex, by
prefecture and sex, and by five-year age group and sex for
prefectures.
For a previous report in this series, presenting
estimates for 1986, see 54:20091.
Correspondence:
Statistics Bureau, Management and Coordination Agency, 19-1
Wakamatsu-cho, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
55:20104 Jozwiak,
Janina. Problems concerning the accuracy of population
projections. [Problem oceny dokladnosci projekcji
demograficznych.] Studia Demograficzne, No. 2/92, 1988. 59-74 pp.
Warsaw, Poland. In Pol. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
Issues concerning
the accuracy of population estimates are explored. The author proposes
a method of using past errors in projections to improve the accuracy of
current estimates of population size and age composition. The method
is illustrated using 1985 data for the female population of
Poland.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:20105 Kovacevic,
Miladin; Gacesa, Ljubica. Principal results from a model
of the actual, stationary, and stable population in 1985. [Osnovni
podaci o realnom, stacionarnom i stabilnom modelu stanovnistva u 1985.
godini.] Studije, Analize i Prikazi, No. 122, 1988. 23 pp. Savezni
Zavod za Statistiku: Belgrade, Yugoslavia. In Scr. with sum. in Eng.
A model of the population of Yugoslavia in 1985 is developed using
official data. The data are presented separately for Yugoslavia as a
whole, its constituent republics and autonomous provinces, and by
age-group and sex. The data are also provided for the hypothetical
stationary and stable population in 1985.
Correspondence:
Savezni Zavod za Statistiku, Kneza Milosa 20, P.O. Box 203, Belgrade,
Yugoslavia. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:20106 Sadie, J.
L. A reconstruction and projection of demographic
movements in the RSA and TBVC countries. Research
Report/Navorsingsverslag, No. 148, ISBN 0-908408-91-9. 1988. ix, 100
pp. University of South Africa, Bureau of Market Research: Pretoria,
South Africa. In Eng.
An attempt is made to develop population
estimates and projections for the four major population groups in South
Africa from 1936 to 2005 using official data. The data concern the
Republic of South Africa and the independent black homelands of
Transkei, Bophuthatswana, Venda, and Ciskei. The estimates and
projections are presented for whites, blacks, Asians, and Coloureds by
age-group and sex by five-year intervals. Data are also included on
abbreviated life tables and are presented separately for the South
African-born and foreign-born black
populations.
Correspondence: University of South Africa,
Bureau of Market Research, Box 392, Pretoria 0001, South Africa.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:20107 United
States. Bureau of the Census (Washington, D.C.). County
population estimates: July 1, 1987, and 1986. Current Population
Reports, Series P-26: Local Population Estimates, No. 87-A, Sep 1988.
27 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This report presents estimates of
the total population as of July 1, 1987, and revised estimates for July
1, 1986, for 3,138 counties and equivalent areas in the United
States...." 1980 census data for county populations are also
included.
Correspondence: Superintendent of Documents, U.S.
Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:20108 Wurzberger,
Paul; Wedel, Edgar. First results of the population
census, 1987. [Erste Ergebnisse der Volkszahlung 1987.] Wirtschaft
und Statistik, No. 12, Dec 1988. 829-36 pp. Wiesbaden, Germany, Federal
Republic of. In Ger.
Preliminary results are presented from the
1987 population census of the Federal Republic of Germany. Information
is included on changes in population size by state since 1970, the
aging of the population, increases in the number of foreigners, changes
in religious affiliation, labor force participation, and
housing.
Location: Princeton University Library (PF).
55:20109 Grebille,
Luc. The population of Reunion in the year 2000: the
young, today...the adults of tomorrow. [Population reunionnaise en
l'an 2000: les jeunes, d'aujourd'hui...les adultes de demain.]
Economie de la Reunion, No. 34, Mar-Apr 1988. 2-7 pp. Sainte Clothilde,
Reunion. In Fre.
Population projections for Reunion are presented
up to the year 2000. Consideration is given to projected changes in
the age distribution.
Location: Joint Bank-Fund Library,
Washington, D.C.
55:20110 Kuijsten,
A. C. The future population of the Netherlands.
[Demografische toekomstbeelden van Nederland.] Bevolking en Gezin, No.
2, Dec 1988. 97-130 pp. Brussels, Belgium. In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
"In this article a recently developed method of probabilistic
population forecasting is applied to the Netherlands. The method is
used in order to generate 10,000 simulated population developments over
the period 1985-2050, based upon combined fertility and mortality
assumptions according to subjectively based pre-defined probability
distributions. The resulting output-distributions of total population
size, five-year rate of natural growth and percentage aged population
are presented and discussed. In conclusion, two out of these 10,000
simulated population developments are elaborated within a possible
socioeconomic context."
Correspondence: A. C. Kuijsten,
Jodenbreestraat 23, 1011 NH Amsterdam, Netherlands. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:20111 Larrivee,
Daniel. A model for projecting a firm's manpower.
[Presentation d'un modele de projection de main-d'oeuvre pour
l'entreprise.] Cahiers Quebecois de Demographie, Vol. 17, No. 2, Autumn
1988. 233-46 pp. Montreal, Canada. In Fre. with sum. in Eng; Spa.
"Manpower projection models, adapted to an organizational context,
may help in forecasting the consequences of a firm's manpower planning
in terms of mobility of personnel, and, in this way, may help in
determining the future size and structure of manpower. Various
applications may be derived from this projection exercise, including,
for instance, determination of the impact of varying the size and
structure of a personnel pool on total labour
costs."
Correspondence: D. Larrivee, Division de la
Demographie, Statistics Canada, Ottawa, Ontario K1A 0T6, Canada.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:20112 Luxembourg.
Service Central de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques [STATEC]
(Luxembourg). Projections of the Luxembourg population,
1987-2030. [Projections de la population Luxembourgeoise
1987-2030.] Bulletin du STATEC, Vol. 34, No. 7, 1988. 259-78 pp.
Luxembourg. In Fre.
Population projections are presented for
Luxembourg up to the year 2030. The projections are presented
separately for Luxembourgers and foreigners, and for six alternative
assumptions concerning trends in the relevant demographic
variables.
Correspondence: STATEC, BP 304, 2013 Luxembourg.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:20113 Milovidov,
A. On the experience of projecting the family composition
of the population of the USSR. [Opyt razrabotki prognoza semeinoi
struktury naseleniya SSSR.] Vestnik Statistiki, No. 11, 1988. 39-44 pp.
Moscow, USSR. In Rus.
The joint efforts in the USSR by the Central
Planning Commission and the State Statistical Commission to develop
projections of family characteristics of the Soviet population are
described. The projections, based on official data for the rural and
urban populations in 1987, are for the years 1991, 1996, 2001, and
2006.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:20114 Myers,
James T.; Puchala, Donald J. Some demographic constraints
on mainland Chinese economic modernization. Issues and Studies,
Vol. 24, No. 10, Oct 1988. 116-45 pp. Taipei, Taiwan. In Eng.
Probable demographic trends in China following the year 2000 are
considered, and their consequences are assessed. The relationship
between current demographic trends and the country's efforts to
modernize its economy are reviewed, with consideration given to land
and food supply, health care, and housing. The authors also examine
the efficient use of human resources in the modernization process.
They conclude that China's population will be much larger than expected
by either the government or most outside observers and that as a
consequence, the Chinese government will have severe problems to
solve.
Correspondence: J. T. Myers, Department of
Government and International Studies, University of South Carolina,
Columbia, SC 29208. Location: Joint Bank-Fund Library,
Washington, D.C.
55:20115 Salazar,
Julia; Setas, Fernando. Population projections of the
country by province for the period 1970-1995. [Projeccao da
populacao do pais por provincias para o periodo 1970/95.] Boletim
Demografico, No. 4, Nov 1987. 21 pp. Instituto Nacional de Estatistica,
Unidade de Analise Demografica: Luanda, Angola. In Por.
Population
estimates and projections are presented for Angola from 1970 to 1995
for provinces and for the urban population of provinces. Data are from
various sources, including the census carried out in some provinces in
1983 and 1984.
Correspondence: Instituto Nacional de
Estatistica, Unidade de Analise Demografica, Caixa Postal 1215, Luanda,
Angola. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
55:20116 Srb,
V. Projection of the population in Czechoslovakia to the
year 2010 and the economic consequences. [Projekce obyvatelstva
CSSR do roku 2010 a ekonomicke dusledky.] Ceskoslovenska Pediatrie,
Vol. 43, No. 4, Apr 1988. 239-42 pp. Prague, Czechoslovakia. In Cze.
A projection of the population of Czechoslovakia up to the year
2010 is presented, with emphasis on changes in the age distribution and
in the available labor force.
Correspondence: V. Srb, U
Krizku 8, 140 00 Prague 4-Nusle, Czechoslovakia. Location: New
York Academy of Medicine.
55:20117 Yashin,
Anatoli I.; Manton, Kenneth G.; Stallard, Eric. The
propagation of uncertainty in human mortality processes operating in
stochastic environments. Theoretical Population Biology, Vol. 35,
No. 2, Apr 1989. 119-41 pp. Duluth, Minnesota. In Eng.
"This paper
presents a model describing how the uncertainty due to influential
exogenous processes combines with stochasticity intrinsic to
physiological aging processes and propagates through time to generate
uncertainty about the future physiological state of the
population....The model implies that a major component of uncertainty
in forecasts of the physiological characteristics of a closed cohort is
due to differential rates of survival associated with different
realizations of the external process. This suggests that the limits to
forecasting may be different in physiological systems subject to
systematic mortality than in physical systems such as weather where the
concepts of closed cohorts and of mortality selection have no simple
analog."
Correspondence: K. G. Manton, 2117 Campus Drive,
Durham, NC 27706. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
55:20118 Holzer,
Jerzy Z.; Roszkiewicz, Malgorzata; Okolski, Marek; Witkowski,
Janusz. Studies on the determinants of population
reproduction. [Studia nad determinantami reprodukcji ludnosci.]
Monografie i Opracowania, No. 275, 1988. 90 pp. Szkola Glowna
Planowania i Statystyki, Instytut Statystyki i Demografii: Warsaw,
Poland. In Pol. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
This monograph contains four
separate papers by different authors on current population reproduction
trends in Poland. The papers were presented at a conference held in
Serock, near Warsaw, November 23-25, 1988. The first paper, by
Roszkiewicz, reviews some modern theories concerning the determinants
of fertility. The second, by Okolski, examines mortality theories.
The third, by Witkowski, analyzes the impact of migration on population
dynamics, particularly on fertility. The fourth, by Holzer, discusses
the effect of changes in the age structure on population reproduction.
An unannotated bibliography of 160 works published during the period
1976-1988 in Poland on these topics is also
included.
Correspondence: Szkola Glowna Planowania i
Statystyki, Instytut Statystyki i Demografii, Al. Niepodlegosci 162,
02-554 Warsaw, Poland. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
55:20119 Peters,
Gary. Growth in California's nonmetropolitan counties
since 1980. Sociology and Social Research, Vol. 73, No. 3, Apr
1989. 144-8 pp. Los Angeles, California. In Eng.
"This study
focuses on population growth in nonmetropolitan counties in California
since 1980 in an attempt to ascertain what recent demographic trends
there are and to what other factors they may be related." Data are from
official state sources.
Correspondence: G. Peters,
California State University, 1250 Bellflower Boulevard, Long Beach, CA
90840. Location: Princeton University Library (PR).
