54:10101 Bellettini,
Athos. The Italian population: a historical profile.
[La popolazione italiana: un profilo storico.] ISBN 88-06-58651-3.
1987. xvi, 249 pp. Piccola Biblioteca Einaudi: Turin, Italy. In Ita.
A history of population developments in Italy is presented from the
time of the Roman Empire to the present day. Separate chapters are
included on the demographic crises of the seventeenth century,
demographic trends in the eighteenth century, the demographic
transition that occurred after reunification in 1860, and data sources
for the modern era.
Location: New York Public Library.
54:10102 Lungu,
Gheorghe. The evolution of Romania's population and its
numerical components in the last century. [Evolutia populatiei
Romaniei si a componentelor cresterii ei numerice in ultimul secol.]
Revista de Statistica, Vol. 36, No. 7, Jul 1987. 34-42 pp. Bucharest,
Romania. In Rum.
Population trends in Romania from 1886 to 1986 are
reviewed. The available data on total population, birth and death
rates, and natural increase are recalculated for the territory included
in contemporary Romania. Data are also provided on life expectancy and
on fertility and marriage rates for the period 1966-1985. Reasons for
the observed increase in population are
discussed.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10103 Ales,
Milan. Population development of Czechoslovakia in
1986. [Populacni vyvoj v Ceskoslovensku v roce 1986.] Demografie,
Vol. 29, No. 4, 1987. 289-98 pp. Prague, Czechoslovakia. In Cze. with
sum. in Eng; Rus.
Population trends in Czechoslovakia in 1986 are
reviewed. In general, previously recorded trends continued, with
fertility and infant and neonatal mortality declining and induced
abortion increasing. The population grew by 33,000 during the year,
with the main growth occurring in Slovakia.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10104 Chen,
Yuejin. A simplification of the iteration method of
estimating China's midyear population for 1981. Renkou Yanjiu, No.
2, Mar 29, 1986. 46-50 pp. Beijing, China. In Chi.
An iteration
method is used to estimate China's 1981 midyear population, given
census data on births and deaths in 1981 and midyear population for
1982. The author mathematically proves the convergence of the
iteration method and outlines a simplified method, which is shown to be
as accurate as the conventional iteration method.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10105 Gisser,
Richard. Trends in the development of towns and their
environs derived from the 1981 large-scale census. [Stadt und
Umland--Entwicklungstendenzen aufgrund der Grosszahlung 1981.] Berichte
zur Raumforschung und Raumplanung, Vol. 30, No. 1-3, 1986. 74-82 pp.
Vienna, Austria. In Ger.
The author examines results from the 1961,
1971, and 1981 censuses of Austria and includes information on
population, fertility, migration, households, residences, and places of
work. The six large Austrian cities and their environs and the
Rheintal agglomeration are examined. Results for the remaining 31 city
regions and rural areas are summarized. Demographic trends and
differences in development among the geographic areas are
discussed.
Location: Cornell University Library, Ithaca,
NY.
54:10106 Hanika,
Alexander. Regional variations in age and family
structure. [Regionale Unterschiede der Alters- und
Familienstruktur.] Berichte zur Raumforschung und Raumplanung, Vol. 30,
No. 1-3, 1986. 15-20 pp. Vienna, Austria. In Ger.
Age and family
structure in Austria are reviewed. Tables based on the 1981 census
provide data for the whole country, provinces, and districts on sex
distribution by age, age distribution by broad age group, dependency
ratio, women aged 15-45 years, and average age. Family structure
tables include data on the number of childless families; family types,
including married couples, consensual unions, single-father families
and single-mother families; and number of children by family type.
Urban-rural differences in family size are noted, and differences in
the demographic composition of the prosperous eastern regions and the
less prosperous western regions are outlined.
Location:
Cornell University Library, Ithaca, NY.
54:10107 Hobbs,
Frank B. Afghanistan: a demographic profile. CIR
Staff Paper, No. 34, Jan 1988. ix, 68 pp. U.S. Bureau of the Census,
Center for International Research, Asia, Europe, North America, and
Oceania Branch: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This report details the
projected demographic picture of the population of Afghanistan,
specifically covering the components of population change; namely,
fertility, mortality, and migration. In addition, a brief view of
selected social and economic conditions is presented." The author
notes that the population has declined since 1980, primarily because of
the large number of refugees leaving the country. Approximately
one-quarter of the population of Afghanistan is currently living in
Pakistan and Iran.
Correspondence: Arjun Adlakha, Chief,
Asia, Europe, North America, and Oceania Branch, CIR, Bureau of the
Census, Washington, D.C. 20233. Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
54:10108 Hohn,
Charlotte; Schulz, Reiner. Report on the demographic
situation in the Federal Republic of Germany. [Bericht zur
demographischen Lage in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland.] Zeitschrift
fur Bevolkerungswissenschaft, Vol. 13, No. 2, 1987. 137-213 pp.
Wiesbaden, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger. with sum. in Eng; Fre.
The authors report on the current population situation in the
Federal Republic of Germany, using the most recent data available,
generally for 1985-1987. Figures for earlier years are given for
purposes of comparison, and data from other European Community and
selected other countries are presented. The section on demography
provides tables, diagrams, and analyses pertaining to marriages and
divorces; fertility; abortion; mortality; migration, including asylum
seekers; population size and structure; population projections; and
households and families. The section on employment includes statistics
and diagrams pertaining to the labor force, type of employment,
employment by sector of the economy, income, and employment of females
by number of children. Economic models and employment data sources are
discussed. "The most remarkable 1986 event in terms of demography is
the increase in births by 6.8 per cent to 626,000 live
births....Nevertheless, the Federal Republic of Germany remains the
country with the lowest fertility level of the world." Data are taken
primarily from official sources in the Federal Republic and the
European Community.
Correspondence: C. Hohn, Bundesinstitut
fur Bevolkerungsforschung, Postfach 55 28, 6200 Wiesbaden 1, Federal
Republic of Germany. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
54:10109 Kedelski,
Mieczyslaw. The potential for Poland's population growth
in light of demo-econometric analysis and projection. [Potencjal
wzrostu ludnosci Polski w swietle analizy i projekcji demometrycznej.]
Studia Demograficzne, No. 2/88, 1987. 97-114 pp. Warsaw, Poland. In
Pol. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
The author attempts to estimate the
"potential of Poland's population growth, connected with progressive
age structure. The divergence between intrinsic...and real rates of
natural increase was defined in subpopulations of women and men
separately. The divergence between rates in the two subpopulations was
estimated. Analysis of dynamics and oscillation of intrinsic and real
rates concerned [the] period 1960-1985, however the projection approach
to the potential of population growth relates to the period
1975-2075....By reduction of [the] intrinsic rate of natural increase
to the zero level after [the year] 2000, the potential, stationary size
of Poland's population is obtained, at the level of 47.1
million."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10110 Proebsting,
Helmut; Fleischer, Henning. Population growth, 1986.
[Bevolkerungsentwicklung, 1986.] Wirtschaft und Statistik, No. 8, Aug
1987. 610-7 pp. Wiesbaden, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger.
The authors examine recent population growth in the Federal
Republic of Germany and present population statistics, the most recent
of which are for 1986. A section on natural increase includes
information on marriages and marriage age; births, including data on
national origin; mothers' age structure; deaths, including stillbirths
and infant deaths; births among resident foreigners; and public opinion
concerning population size and growth. A section on growth due to
migration examines internal migration and the international migration
of German citizens and foreigners. Data and estimates are based on a
variety of official and nonofficial sources.
Location:
Princeton University Library (PF).
54:10111 United
States. Bureau of the Census (Washington, D.C.); United States.
Department of Agriculture. Economic Research Service (Washington,
D.C.). Farm population of the United States, 1986.
Current Population Reports, Series P-27: Farm Population, No. 60, Nov
1987. iv, 34 pp. U.S. Bureau of the Census: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
Estimates of the farm population of the United States for 1986 are
provided. Topics considered include residence characteristics, ethnic
groups, fertility, employment status, occupations, and
poverty.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10112 United
States. Bureau of the Census (Washington, D.C.). State
population and household estimates, with age, sex, and components of
change: 1981-86. Current Population Reports, Series P-25:
Population Estimates and Projections, No. 1010, Sep 1987. iv, 89 pp.
Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This report contains provisional
estimates for States of the resident and civilian [U.S.] populations
and of households for July 1, 1986, revised annual population and
household estimates for July 1, 1981, through 1985, and components of
population change for the 1980-86 period."
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10113 United
States. Hawaii. Department of Business and Economic Development.
Research and Economic Analysis Division (Honolulu, Hawaii).
The population of Hawaii, 1980-1986. Hawaii Statistical
Report, No. 201, Sep 21, 1987. 20 pp. Honolulu, Hawaii. In Eng.
A
review of population trends in Hawaii from 1980 to 1986 is presented.
Data are included on population dynamics, 1831-1986; military
population; residency status; population by county, 1970-1986;
population density; age and sex distribution; and
households.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10114 Findl,
Peter. Population forecast for the Austrian provinces from
1984 until 2015. [Bevolkerungsprognose fur die osterreichischen
Bundeslander 1984 bis 2015.] Berichte zur Raumforschung und
Raumplanung, Vol. 30, No. 1-3, 1986. 7-14 pp. Vienna, Austria. In Ger.
Population projections for Austria and its provinces up to the year
2015 are presented, based on age and sex data for January 1, 1984.
Tables and text provide information on total fertility, life expectancy
at birth, migration, mortality, changes in age and sex structure, the
retired population, the working population, youth, and sex ratio.
Vienna and selected provinces are discussed separately. Some data for
earlier years are also given, and general demographic trends are
outlined.
Location: Cornell University Library, Ithaca, NY.
54:10115 Ghetau,
Vasile. A world of five billion: evolution and
perspectives. [O lume de cinci miliarde: evolutii si
perspective.] Revista de Statistica, Vol. 36, No. 7, Jul 1987. 51-61
pp. Bucharest, Romania. In Rum.
Global population trends and
prospects from 1950 to 2050 are analyzed, based on data from published
U.N. sources. The focus is on differences between developed and
developing countries.
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
54:10116 Hablicsek,
Laszlo; Monigl, Istvan. Population trends in Hungary after
the year 2000, Parts 1 and 2. [A magyarorszagi nepessegfejlodes
2000 utan (I and II).] Statisztikai Szemle, Vol. 65, No. 8-9, 1987.
737-49; 837-58 pp. Budapest, Hungary. In Hun. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
Some long-term population trends concerning Hungary are explored in
this two-part article. Population projections up to the year 2021 are
first presented. The authors consider how a population decline can be
avoided and conclude that both an increase in life expectancy and in
the number of children families have are required. The need for the
development of an effective population policy by the end of the present
century is stressed. The authors also consider the concept of the
demographic transition in the light of Hungarian experience and suggest
some theoretical modifications to it.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
54:10117 Haub,
Carl. Understanding population projections.
Population Bulletin, Vol. 42, No. 4, Dec 1987. 44 pp. Population
Reference Bureau: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
Population projections,
as distinct from forecasts, are defined in detail, with emphasis on the
need to examine the assumptions underlying a given projection. "The
reliability of the projections stems from the assumptions selected.
Rules of thumb for reliability: 1) the shorter the projection period,
the more reliable the projection is likely to prove; 2) the larger the
geographic area being projected, the more reliable the projection is
likely to be; 3) the lower the current fertility and the higher the
current life expectancy, the greater will be the reduction in the
projection's likely margin of error. Major sources of data and
projections on world, regional, national, subnational, and local areas
are discussed, as are the difficulties with data for developing
countries."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10118 Israel.
Central Bureau of Statistics (Jerusalem, Israel).
Population projection in Israel up to 2010. Monthly Bulletin
of Statistics, Vol. 38, No. 4, Suppl., Apr 1987. 1-20 pp. Jerusalem,
Israel. In Eng; Heb.
Projections of the population of Israel up to
the year 2010 are provided. The projections are presented separately
for Jews and non-Jews, and with three alternative assumptions
concerning fertility and migration.
Location: Princeton
University Library (PR).
54:10119 Kayani,
Ashraf K. Evaluation of international population
projections: lessons and experiences. Population Bulletin of
ESCWA, No. 29, Dec 1986. 67-75 pp. Baghdad, Iraq. In Eng.
Global
and regional population projections produced by the United Nations are
evaluated and compared with actual population estimates. While general
observations pertaining to the global level are made, the focus is on
Latin America for selected years from 1950 to 1980. It is found that
"the quality of population projections improved since 1950. In
addition, short-term projections are found to be relatively more
accurate than those for the long-term....In the medium- or long-term
projections, at least in the Latin American case, the assumptions
regarding mortality were far from the real situation. The important
factors in the projections are found to be in the order of base
population, fertility and mortality."
Correspondence: A. K.
Kayani, College of Allied Medical Sciences, King Saud University,
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
54:10120 Keilman,
Nico; van Dam, Jan. A dynamic household projection model.
An application of multidimensional demography to lifestyles in the
Netherlands. Working Papers of the NIDI, No. 72, Jun 1987. vii, 33
pp. Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute [NIDI]: The
Hague, Netherlands. In Eng.
"In this paper we present a projection
model for the simulation of household events. The model focuses on
household dynamics, rather than on comparative statics as in the
headship rate approach. It applies insights from multidimensional
(multistate) demography to household and lifestyle modelling. The unit
of analysis and modelling is the individual. Household composition
matrices are used to obtain results for households. Algorithms that
provide for the dependency in behaviour between the members of a
household are discussed. The model is applied to data from the 1984
Lifestyle Survey for the Netherlands. Simulations show that the
proportion of cohabiting couples among private households will be
doubled by the end of the century, but that married couples will not
lose their dominant position."
Correspondence: NIDI, P.O.
Box 11650, Lange Houtstraat 19, 2502 AR, The Hague, Netherlands.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10121 Keyfitz,
Nathan. The social and political context of population
forecasting. In: The politics of numbers, edited by William Alonso
and Paul Starr. The Population of the United States in the 1980s: A
Census Monograph Series, 1987. 235-58 pp. Russell Sage Foundation: New
York, New York. In Eng.
Social and political aspects of population
forecasting are considered. The author describes the tension between
the impossibility of knowing the future and the unavoidability of the
need to know, the pervasiveness of forecasting as a basis for planning
and policy-making, the distinctions between projections and forecasts,
and conflicts between forecasting and policy. Particular attention is
given to forecasting as persuasion, the ideological element in data
presentation, the advantage of disinterested forecasts, and the
division of labor between statisticians and users of forecasts.
Finally, the assessment of error is discussed.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10122 Kingkade,
W. Ward. Estimates and projections of the population of
the USSR: 1979 to 2025. CIR Staff Paper, No. 33, Dec 1987. viii,
108 pp. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Center for International Research,
Soviet Branch: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This report presents the
principal results, assumptions and methodology of the Center for
International Research (CIR) projections of the population of the USSR
by age and sex, 1979-2025. The projections vary fertility and
mortality over alternative scenarios and assume zero international
migration." The first section considers trends in population size and
composition, mortality, fertility, and international migration. The
second section describes the methodology used. Life tables for the
years 1970 and 1979 are also included.
Correspondence:
Barry L. Kostinsky, Acting Chief, Soviet Branch, CIR, U.S. Bureau of
the Census, Scuderi Building, Room 710, Washington, D.C. 20233.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10123 Krneta,
Milorad. The accuracy of population forecasts:
alternative approaches. [Efikasnost predvidanja ukupnog
stanovnistva: alternativni principi.] Stanovnistvo, Vol. 24, No. 1-4,
Jan-Dec 1986. 28-41 pp. Belgrade, Yugoslavia. In Scr. with sum. in Eng.
The accuracy of population projections and forecasts in general is
examined using the approach developed by Nathan Keyfitz. The author
uses data for developed countries to compare the effectiveness of
various projection methods and concludes that component methods are the
most accurate.
Correspondence: M. Krneta, Filozofski
Fakultet, University of Belgrade, 11001 Belgrade 6, Studenski trg 1,
Yugoslavia. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10124 Louvot,
C. Projection of the number of households to the year
2010. [Projection jusqu'en 2010 du nombre de menages.] [1986?]. 49
pp. Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques
[INSEE]: Paris, France. In Fre.
A projection of the number of
households in France up to the year 2010 is presented based on census
data, including that of 1982, and more recent employment surveys,
including one undertaken in 1985. These projections are provided by
type of household.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
54:10125 Muller,
Alexander. The prognostic quality of population forecasts:
investigations of prognostication/realization using the regional
forecasting model in North Rhine-Westphalia. [Zur Prognosegute von
Bevolkerungsprognosen: Prognose/realisations-Untersuchungen mit dem
regionalen Prognosemodell in Nordrhein-Westfalen.] Zeitschrift fur
Bevolkerungswissenschaft, Vol. 13, No. 3, 1987. 345-78 pp. Wiesbaden,
Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger. with sum. in Eng; Fre.
"The
author explains the regionalized population projections which [are] the
core of demographic model calculations carried out [in the Federal
Republic of Germany]....The high degree of differentiation most clearly
expressed by the component model used in connection with migration
phenomena...makes it possible adequately to represent the existing,
region-specific features characterizing demographic events. However,
the competent adaptation of the model to the existing demographic
conditions does not necessarily translate into a faultless prognostic
efficiency; the results of the current 'Population projections 1984 to
2000/2010' which are briefly outlined are...viewed against the
background of the projection risks at
hand...."
Correspondence: A. Muller, Landesamt fur
Datenverarbeitung und Statistik Nordrhein-Westfalen, Postfach 11 05,
4000 Dusseldorf 1, Federal Republic of Germany. Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10126
Philippines. National Census and Statistics Office (Manila,
Philippines). Population projections by province, city and
municipality: 1980-2000. Metropolitan Manila area. Jun 1983. 73
pp. Manila, Philippines. In Eng.
This is one of a series of reports
providing population projections to the year 2000 by province, city,
and municipality for the regions of the Philippines. The projections,
based on official sources including the 1980 census, are presented by
age and sex. This report concerns the Metropolitan Manila
area.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10127 Rainford,
P.; Masser, I. Population forecasting and urban planning
practice: a case study. Environment and Planning A, Vol. 19, No.
11, Nov 1987. 1,463-75 pp. London, England. In Eng.
"The present
paper is an exploration of the organisational environment that
surrounds population forecasting in urban planning practice with
reference to a detailed case study of one British planning authority:
South Yorkshire." The emphasis is on the dialogue between those who
prepare such forecasts and those who use
them.
Correspondence: P. Rainford, Department of Land and
Planning, Sheffield City Council, Town Hall, Sheffield S1 2HH, England.
Location: Princeton University Library (UES).
54:10128 Reunion des
Directeurs d'Instituts et Centres Universitaires de Demographie (Paris,
France); France. Institut National d'Etudes Demographiques [INED]
(Paris, France); France. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
[CNRS] (Paris, France). Eighth National Demographic
Conference, Grenoble, May 5-7, 1987: population projections.
Conference proceedings, Volume 1. [VIIIe Colloque National de
Demographie, Grenoble, 5, 6, 7 mai 1987: les projections
demographiques. Actes du colloque, Tome 1.] INED Travaux et Documents
Cahier, No. 116, ISBN 2-7332-0116-6. 1987. viii, 275 pp. Presses
Universitaires de France: Paris, France. In Fre.
This is the first
volume of the proceedings of the Eighth National Demographic
Conference, held in Grenoble, France, in May 1987. It contains the
papers prepared for the conference: a second volume, to be published,
will contain a selection of additional papers presented at the
conference and a summary of the discussions. The 16 papers included
here are organized under the following topics: history of projections
and a comparison with actual trends, projections of the population of
France using data from the 1982 census, regional and local projections,
projections of subpopulations, and the relationships among projections,
demographic analysis, and development.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
54:10129 Schroeder,
Esther C. Testing local level labor force and unemployment
projections. Demography, Vol. 24, No. 4, Nov 1987. 649-61 pp.
Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"For several years, Lawrence Berkeley
Laboratory has been using a model to provide projections at the local
level of population, labor force, and unemployment by race, sex, and
age for more than 1,200 substate areas [in the United States]. The
labor force, and unemployment projections use the population
projections and rely on the assumption that local trends can be
approximated by national trends. Summary Tape File 4 of the 1980
census has made it possible to test these assumptions by comparing the
projections against actual data. The tests show that local changes in
the labor force can be approximated by national trends, but local
changes in unemployment do not follow national trends."
This is a
revised version of a paper originally presented at the 1985 Annual
Meeting of the Population Association of America (see Population Index,
Vol. 51, No. 3, Fall 1985, p. 392).
Correspondence: E. C.
Schroeder, Computer Science Research Department, Lawrence Berkeley
Laboratory, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10130 Smith,
Stanley K. Population projections: what do we really
know. BEBR Monographs, No. 1, LC 84-622665. May 1984. 50 pp.
University of Florida, Bureau of Economic and Business Research:
Gainesville, Florida. In Eng.
The author examines the accuracy and
value of various methods of projecting and forecasting future
population trends, with particular reference to U.S. state- and
county-level projections and to the situation in
Florida.
Location: U.S. Library of Congress, Washington,
D.C.
54:10131 Smith,
Stanley K. Tests of forecast accuracy and bias for county
population projections. JASA: Journal of the American Statistical
Association, Vol. 82, No. 400, Dec 1987. 991-1,012 pp. Washington, D.C.
In Eng.
"This article deals with the forecast accuracy and bias of
population projections for 2,971 counties in the United States. It
uses three different projection techniques and data from 1950, 1960,
1970, and 1980 to make two sets of 10-year projections and one set of
20-year projections. These projections are compared with census counts
to determine forecast errors. The size, direction, and distribution of
forecast errors are analyzed by size of place, rate of growth, and
length of projection horizon. A number of consistent patterns are
noted, and an extension of the empirical results to the production of
confidence intervals for population projections is considered."
A
comment by Paul M. Beaumont and Andrew M. Isserman is included (pp.
1,004-9) together with a rejoinder by the author (pp.
1,009-12).
This is a revised version of a paper presented at the
1986 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (see
Population Index, Vol. 52, No. 3, Fall 1986, p.
456).
Correspondence: S. K. Smith, Bureau of Economic and
Business Research, College of Business Administration, University of
Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611. Location: Princeton University
Library (SM).
54:10132 United
States. Bureau of the Census (Washington, D.C.).
Projections of the population of voting age, for states: November
1988. Current Population Reports, Series P-25: Population
Estimates and Projections, No. 1019, Jan 1988. 11 pp. Washington, D.C.
In Eng.
"This report presents projections of the population of
voting age (18 years and over) for [U.S.] States on November 1, 1988,
by broad age groups and sex. Projections of the State voting-age
populations are also shown by race and Hispanic
origin."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
54:10133 Basher,
Mian M. A. Modern population trends in Bangladesh.
Rural Demography, Vol. 12, No. 1-2, 1985. 71-83 pp. Dhaka, Bangladesh.
In Eng.
Population trends in Bangladesh from 1871 to 1981 are
examined, and projections to the year 2001 are produced. Makeham's
model, a logistic model, and a regression polynomial are evaluated in
light of their ability to reproduce past population movements in
Bangladesh. "Of the models studied, polynomial of degree four...best
reproduces the past population. [The] population is projected for
1986-2001 as per fitted polynomial, Logistic and Makeham's
model."
Correspondence: M. M. A. Basher, University of
Rajshahi, Rajshahi, Bangladesh. Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
54:10134 Nissan,
Edward; Caveny, Regina. Regional population growth rate
differences: note. Growth and Change, Vol. 19, No. 1, Winter
1988. 67-74 pp. Lexington, Kentucky. In Eng.
"This note
investigates regional population growth in the U.S. for 1959-84, taking
into account four city sizes and three time periods. It is found that
the growth is largest in city size (0.5-1.0) million and (1.0-2.0)
million. Over time, the growth is largest in the less urbanized
regions." The note aims to supplement the findings of Daniel Garnick
and is based on data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
For
a related study by Garnick, published in 1984, see 51:30039.
Correspondence: E. Nissan, Professor of Economics,
University of Southern Mississippi, Southern Station, Box 5001,
Hattiesburg, MS 39401. Location: Princeton University Library
(PF).
54:10135 Stempell,
Dieter. The most rapid population growth in world
history. [Schnellster Bevolkerungszuwachs der Weltgeschichte.]
Petermanns Geographische Mitteilungen, Vol. 131, No. 3, 1987. 189-92
pp. Gotha, German Democratic Republic. In Ger.
This is a study of
recent global population growth by continent. Sections are included on
continents with low growth rates, variations in demographic transition,
death rates, immigration, and estimates for the year 2000. Charts
provide comparative growth data by continent for the years 1960-1980
and data on birth and death rates for selected
areas.
Correspondence: D. Stempell, Karl Marx Universitat
Leipzig, Sektion Wirtschaftswissenschaften, WB Arbeitswissenschaften,
Karl Marx Platz 9, Leipzig 7010, German Democratic Republic.
Location: Princeton University Library (Maproom).
54:10136 Thibault,
Normand. Comments on the article by Henripin and
Pelletier, "A quarter of Quebecois born outside Quebec 100 years from
now?": a statistical genocide. [Commentaires sur l'article
d'Henripin et Pelletier "Un quart d'allogenes au Quebec dans 100 ans?":
un genocide statistique.] Cahiers Quebecois de Demographie, Vol. 16,
No. 1, Apr 1987. 121-64 pp. Montreal, Canada. In Fre.
The author
comments on an article by Jacques Henripin and Louis Pelletier
concerning the implications of current demographic trends for the
population of the province of Quebec. He critically evaluates their
methodology, calculations, hypotheses, and conclusions. A reply by
Henripin and Pelletier is included (pp. 145-64).
For the article by
Henripin and Pelletier, published in 1986, see 53:20116.
Correspondence: N. Thibault, Direction des Statistiques
Demographiques, Bureau de la Statistique du Quebec, Quebec, Quebec,
Canada. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).