Volume 54 - Number 1 - Spring 1988

D. Trends in Population Growth and Size

Studies on changes over time in population size and the bases of their estimation. Studies that are concerned primarily with the methodology of trends, estimations, and projections are classified under this heading and cross-referenced to N. Methods of Research and Analysis Including Models . Studies dealing with two or more of the topics listed in this division are coded under D.2. Current Rates and Estimates and cross-referenced where appropriate.

D.1. Past Trends

Studies of observed data on population growth in the past and its components. Includes studies that are primarily concerned with population trends up to and including World War II.

54:10101 Bellettini, Athos. The Italian population: a historical profile. [La popolazione italiana: un profilo storico.] ISBN 88-06-58651-3. 1987. xvi, 249 pp. Piccola Biblioteca Einaudi: Turin, Italy. In Ita.
A history of population developments in Italy is presented from the time of the Roman Empire to the present day. Separate chapters are included on the demographic crises of the seventeenth century, demographic trends in the eighteenth century, the demographic transition that occurred after reunification in 1860, and data sources for the modern era.
Location: New York Public Library.

54:10102 Lungu, Gheorghe. The evolution of Romania's population and its numerical components in the last century. [Evolutia populatiei Romaniei si a componentelor cresterii ei numerice in ultimul secol.] Revista de Statistica, Vol. 36, No. 7, Jul 1987. 34-42 pp. Bucharest, Romania. In Rum.
Population trends in Romania from 1886 to 1986 are reviewed. The available data on total population, birth and death rates, and natural increase are recalculated for the territory included in contemporary Romania. Data are also provided on life expectancy and on fertility and marriage rates for the period 1966-1985. Reasons for the observed increase in population are discussed.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

D.2. Current Rates and Estimates

Studies of censal and other estimates based on current data, together with the relevant methodological studies. Includes studies from World War II up to the present day.

54:10103 Ales, Milan. Population development of Czechoslovakia in 1986. [Populacni vyvoj v Ceskoslovensku v roce 1986.] Demografie, Vol. 29, No. 4, 1987. 289-98 pp. Prague, Czechoslovakia. In Cze. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
Population trends in Czechoslovakia in 1986 are reviewed. In general, previously recorded trends continued, with fertility and infant and neonatal mortality declining and induced abortion increasing. The population grew by 33,000 during the year, with the main growth occurring in Slovakia.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10104 Chen, Yuejin. A simplification of the iteration method of estimating China's midyear population for 1981. Renkou Yanjiu, No. 2, Mar 29, 1986. 46-50 pp. Beijing, China. In Chi.
An iteration method is used to estimate China's 1981 midyear population, given census data on births and deaths in 1981 and midyear population for 1982. The author mathematically proves the convergence of the iteration method and outlines a simplified method, which is shown to be as accurate as the conventional iteration method.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10105 Gisser, Richard. Trends in the development of towns and their environs derived from the 1981 large-scale census. [Stadt und Umland--Entwicklungstendenzen aufgrund der Grosszahlung 1981.] Berichte zur Raumforschung und Raumplanung, Vol. 30, No. 1-3, 1986. 74-82 pp. Vienna, Austria. In Ger.
The author examines results from the 1961, 1971, and 1981 censuses of Austria and includes information on population, fertility, migration, households, residences, and places of work. The six large Austrian cities and their environs and the Rheintal agglomeration are examined. Results for the remaining 31 city regions and rural areas are summarized. Demographic trends and differences in development among the geographic areas are discussed.
Location: Cornell University Library, Ithaca, NY.

54:10106 Hanika, Alexander. Regional variations in age and family structure. [Regionale Unterschiede der Alters- und Familienstruktur.] Berichte zur Raumforschung und Raumplanung, Vol. 30, No. 1-3, 1986. 15-20 pp. Vienna, Austria. In Ger.
Age and family structure in Austria are reviewed. Tables based on the 1981 census provide data for the whole country, provinces, and districts on sex distribution by age, age distribution by broad age group, dependency ratio, women aged 15-45 years, and average age. Family structure tables include data on the number of childless families; family types, including married couples, consensual unions, single-father families and single-mother families; and number of children by family type. Urban-rural differences in family size are noted, and differences in the demographic composition of the prosperous eastern regions and the less prosperous western regions are outlined.
Location: Cornell University Library, Ithaca, NY.

54:10107 Hobbs, Frank B. Afghanistan: a demographic profile. CIR Staff Paper, No. 34, Jan 1988. ix, 68 pp. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Center for International Research, Asia, Europe, North America, and Oceania Branch: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This report details the projected demographic picture of the population of Afghanistan, specifically covering the components of population change; namely, fertility, mortality, and migration. In addition, a brief view of selected social and economic conditions is presented." The author notes that the population has declined since 1980, primarily because of the large number of refugees leaving the country. Approximately one-quarter of the population of Afghanistan is currently living in Pakistan and Iran.
Correspondence: Arjun Adlakha, Chief, Asia, Europe, North America, and Oceania Branch, CIR, Bureau of the Census, Washington, D.C. 20233. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10108 Hohn, Charlotte; Schulz, Reiner. Report on the demographic situation in the Federal Republic of Germany. [Bericht zur demographischen Lage in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland.] Zeitschrift fur Bevolkerungswissenschaft, Vol. 13, No. 2, 1987. 137-213 pp. Wiesbaden, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger. with sum. in Eng; Fre.
The authors report on the current population situation in the Federal Republic of Germany, using the most recent data available, generally for 1985-1987. Figures for earlier years are given for purposes of comparison, and data from other European Community and selected other countries are presented. The section on demography provides tables, diagrams, and analyses pertaining to marriages and divorces; fertility; abortion; mortality; migration, including asylum seekers; population size and structure; population projections; and households and families. The section on employment includes statistics and diagrams pertaining to the labor force, type of employment, employment by sector of the economy, income, and employment of females by number of children. Economic models and employment data sources are discussed. "The most remarkable 1986 event in terms of demography is the increase in births by 6.8 per cent to 626,000 live births....Nevertheless, the Federal Republic of Germany remains the country with the lowest fertility level of the world." Data are taken primarily from official sources in the Federal Republic and the European Community.
Correspondence: C. Hohn, Bundesinstitut fur Bevolkerungsforschung, Postfach 55 28, 6200 Wiesbaden 1, Federal Republic of Germany. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10109 Kedelski, Mieczyslaw. The potential for Poland's population growth in light of demo-econometric analysis and projection. [Potencjal wzrostu ludnosci Polski w swietle analizy i projekcji demometrycznej.] Studia Demograficzne, No. 2/88, 1987. 97-114 pp. Warsaw, Poland. In Pol. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
The author attempts to estimate the "potential of Poland's population growth, connected with progressive age structure. The divergence between intrinsic...and real rates of natural increase was defined in subpopulations of women and men separately. The divergence between rates in the two subpopulations was estimated. Analysis of dynamics and oscillation of intrinsic and real rates concerned [the] period 1960-1985, however the projection approach to the potential of population growth relates to the period 1975-2075....By reduction of [the] intrinsic rate of natural increase to the zero level after [the year] 2000, the potential, stationary size of Poland's population is obtained, at the level of 47.1 million."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10110 Proebsting, Helmut; Fleischer, Henning. Population growth, 1986. [Bevolkerungsentwicklung, 1986.] Wirtschaft und Statistik, No. 8, Aug 1987. 610-7 pp. Wiesbaden, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger.
The authors examine recent population growth in the Federal Republic of Germany and present population statistics, the most recent of which are for 1986. A section on natural increase includes information on marriages and marriage age; births, including data on national origin; mothers' age structure; deaths, including stillbirths and infant deaths; births among resident foreigners; and public opinion concerning population size and growth. A section on growth due to migration examines internal migration and the international migration of German citizens and foreigners. Data and estimates are based on a variety of official and nonofficial sources.
Location: Princeton University Library (PF).

54:10111 United States. Bureau of the Census (Washington, D.C.); United States. Department of Agriculture. Economic Research Service (Washington, D.C.). Farm population of the United States, 1986. Current Population Reports, Series P-27: Farm Population, No. 60, Nov 1987. iv, 34 pp. U.S. Bureau of the Census: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
Estimates of the farm population of the United States for 1986 are provided. Topics considered include residence characteristics, ethnic groups, fertility, employment status, occupations, and poverty.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10112 United States. Bureau of the Census (Washington, D.C.). State population and household estimates, with age, sex, and components of change: 1981-86. Current Population Reports, Series P-25: Population Estimates and Projections, No. 1010, Sep 1987. iv, 89 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This report contains provisional estimates for States of the resident and civilian [U.S.] populations and of households for July 1, 1986, revised annual population and household estimates for July 1, 1981, through 1985, and components of population change for the 1980-86 period."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10113 United States. Hawaii. Department of Business and Economic Development. Research and Economic Analysis Division (Honolulu, Hawaii). The population of Hawaii, 1980-1986. Hawaii Statistical Report, No. 201, Sep 21, 1987. 20 pp. Honolulu, Hawaii. In Eng.
A review of population trends in Hawaii from 1980 to 1986 is presented. Data are included on population dynamics, 1831-1986; military population; residency status; population by county, 1970-1986; population density; age and sex distribution; and households.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

D.3. Projections and Predictions

Studies of both long-term and short-term future trends and studies on the appropriate methodology.

54:10114 Findl, Peter. Population forecast for the Austrian provinces from 1984 until 2015. [Bevolkerungsprognose fur die osterreichischen Bundeslander 1984 bis 2015.] Berichte zur Raumforschung und Raumplanung, Vol. 30, No. 1-3, 1986. 7-14 pp. Vienna, Austria. In Ger.
Population projections for Austria and its provinces up to the year 2015 are presented, based on age and sex data for January 1, 1984. Tables and text provide information on total fertility, life expectancy at birth, migration, mortality, changes in age and sex structure, the retired population, the working population, youth, and sex ratio. Vienna and selected provinces are discussed separately. Some data for earlier years are also given, and general demographic trends are outlined.
Location: Cornell University Library, Ithaca, NY.

54:10115 Ghetau, Vasile. A world of five billion: evolution and perspectives. [O lume de cinci miliarde: evolutii si perspective.] Revista de Statistica, Vol. 36, No. 7, Jul 1987. 51-61 pp. Bucharest, Romania. In Rum.
Global population trends and prospects from 1950 to 2050 are analyzed, based on data from published U.N. sources. The focus is on differences between developed and developing countries.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10116 Hablicsek, Laszlo; Monigl, Istvan. Population trends in Hungary after the year 2000, Parts 1 and 2. [A magyarorszagi nepessegfejlodes 2000 utan (I and II).] Statisztikai Szemle, Vol. 65, No. 8-9, 1987. 737-49; 837-58 pp. Budapest, Hungary. In Hun. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
Some long-term population trends concerning Hungary are explored in this two-part article. Population projections up to the year 2021 are first presented. The authors consider how a population decline can be avoided and conclude that both an increase in life expectancy and in the number of children families have are required. The need for the development of an effective population policy by the end of the present century is stressed. The authors also consider the concept of the demographic transition in the light of Hungarian experience and suggest some theoretical modifications to it.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10117 Haub, Carl. Understanding population projections. Population Bulletin, Vol. 42, No. 4, Dec 1987. 44 pp. Population Reference Bureau: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
Population projections, as distinct from forecasts, are defined in detail, with emphasis on the need to examine the assumptions underlying a given projection. "The reliability of the projections stems from the assumptions selected. Rules of thumb for reliability: 1) the shorter the projection period, the more reliable the projection is likely to prove; 2) the larger the geographic area being projected, the more reliable the projection is likely to be; 3) the lower the current fertility and the higher the current life expectancy, the greater will be the reduction in the projection's likely margin of error. Major sources of data and projections on world, regional, national, subnational, and local areas are discussed, as are the difficulties with data for developing countries."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10118 Israel. Central Bureau of Statistics (Jerusalem, Israel). Population projection in Israel up to 2010. Monthly Bulletin of Statistics, Vol. 38, No. 4, Suppl., Apr 1987. 1-20 pp. Jerusalem, Israel. In Eng; Heb.
Projections of the population of Israel up to the year 2010 are provided. The projections are presented separately for Jews and non-Jews, and with three alternative assumptions concerning fertility and migration.
Location: Princeton University Library (PR).

54:10119 Kayani, Ashraf K. Evaluation of international population projections: lessons and experiences. Population Bulletin of ESCWA, No. 29, Dec 1986. 67-75 pp. Baghdad, Iraq. In Eng.
Global and regional population projections produced by the United Nations are evaluated and compared with actual population estimates. While general observations pertaining to the global level are made, the focus is on Latin America for selected years from 1950 to 1980. It is found that "the quality of population projections improved since 1950. In addition, short-term projections are found to be relatively more accurate than those for the long-term....In the medium- or long-term projections, at least in the Latin American case, the assumptions regarding mortality were far from the real situation. The important factors in the projections are found to be in the order of base population, fertility and mortality."
Correspondence: A. K. Kayani, College of Allied Medical Sciences, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10120 Keilman, Nico; van Dam, Jan. A dynamic household projection model. An application of multidimensional demography to lifestyles in the Netherlands. Working Papers of the NIDI, No. 72, Jun 1987. vii, 33 pp. Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute [NIDI]: The Hague, Netherlands. In Eng.
"In this paper we present a projection model for the simulation of household events. The model focuses on household dynamics, rather than on comparative statics as in the headship rate approach. It applies insights from multidimensional (multistate) demography to household and lifestyle modelling. The unit of analysis and modelling is the individual. Household composition matrices are used to obtain results for households. Algorithms that provide for the dependency in behaviour between the members of a household are discussed. The model is applied to data from the 1984 Lifestyle Survey for the Netherlands. Simulations show that the proportion of cohabiting couples among private households will be doubled by the end of the century, but that married couples will not lose their dominant position."
Correspondence: NIDI, P.O. Box 11650, Lange Houtstraat 19, 2502 AR, The Hague, Netherlands. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10121 Keyfitz, Nathan. The social and political context of population forecasting. In: The politics of numbers, edited by William Alonso and Paul Starr. The Population of the United States in the 1980s: A Census Monograph Series, 1987. 235-58 pp. Russell Sage Foundation: New York, New York. In Eng.
Social and political aspects of population forecasting are considered. The author describes the tension between the impossibility of knowing the future and the unavoidability of the need to know, the pervasiveness of forecasting as a basis for planning and policy-making, the distinctions between projections and forecasts, and conflicts between forecasting and policy. Particular attention is given to forecasting as persuasion, the ideological element in data presentation, the advantage of disinterested forecasts, and the division of labor between statisticians and users of forecasts. Finally, the assessment of error is discussed.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10122 Kingkade, W. Ward. Estimates and projections of the population of the USSR: 1979 to 2025. CIR Staff Paper, No. 33, Dec 1987. viii, 108 pp. U.S. Bureau of the Census, Center for International Research, Soviet Branch: Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This report presents the principal results, assumptions and methodology of the Center for International Research (CIR) projections of the population of the USSR by age and sex, 1979-2025. The projections vary fertility and mortality over alternative scenarios and assume zero international migration." The first section considers trends in population size and composition, mortality, fertility, and international migration. The second section describes the methodology used. Life tables for the years 1970 and 1979 are also included.
Correspondence: Barry L. Kostinsky, Acting Chief, Soviet Branch, CIR, U.S. Bureau of the Census, Scuderi Building, Room 710, Washington, D.C. 20233. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10123 Krneta, Milorad. The accuracy of population forecasts: alternative approaches. [Efikasnost predvidanja ukupnog stanovnistva: alternativni principi.] Stanovnistvo, Vol. 24, No. 1-4, Jan-Dec 1986. 28-41 pp. Belgrade, Yugoslavia. In Scr. with sum. in Eng.
The accuracy of population projections and forecasts in general is examined using the approach developed by Nathan Keyfitz. The author uses data for developed countries to compare the effectiveness of various projection methods and concludes that component methods are the most accurate.
Correspondence: M. Krneta, Filozofski Fakultet, University of Belgrade, 11001 Belgrade 6, Studenski trg 1, Yugoslavia. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10124 Louvot, C. Projection of the number of households to the year 2010. [Projection jusqu'en 2010 du nombre de menages.] [1986?]. 49 pp. Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques [INSEE]: Paris, France. In Fre.
A projection of the number of households in France up to the year 2010 is presented based on census data, including that of 1982, and more recent employment surveys, including one undertaken in 1985. These projections are provided by type of household.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10125 Muller, Alexander. The prognostic quality of population forecasts: investigations of prognostication/realization using the regional forecasting model in North Rhine-Westphalia. [Zur Prognosegute von Bevolkerungsprognosen: Prognose/realisations-Untersuchungen mit dem regionalen Prognosemodell in Nordrhein-Westfalen.] Zeitschrift fur Bevolkerungswissenschaft, Vol. 13, No. 3, 1987. 345-78 pp. Wiesbaden, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger. with sum. in Eng; Fre.
"The author explains the regionalized population projections which [are] the core of demographic model calculations carried out [in the Federal Republic of Germany]....The high degree of differentiation most clearly expressed by the component model used in connection with migration phenomena...makes it possible adequately to represent the existing, region-specific features characterizing demographic events. However, the competent adaptation of the model to the existing demographic conditions does not necessarily translate into a faultless prognostic efficiency; the results of the current 'Population projections 1984 to 2000/2010' which are briefly outlined are...viewed against the background of the projection risks at hand...."
Correspondence: A. Muller, Landesamt fur Datenverarbeitung und Statistik Nordrhein-Westfalen, Postfach 11 05, 4000 Dusseldorf 1, Federal Republic of Germany. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10126 Philippines. National Census and Statistics Office (Manila, Philippines). Population projections by province, city and municipality: 1980-2000. Metropolitan Manila area. Jun 1983. 73 pp. Manila, Philippines. In Eng.
This is one of a series of reports providing population projections to the year 2000 by province, city, and municipality for the regions of the Philippines. The projections, based on official sources including the 1980 census, are presented by age and sex. This report concerns the Metropolitan Manila area.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10127 Rainford, P.; Masser, I. Population forecasting and urban planning practice: a case study. Environment and Planning A, Vol. 19, No. 11, Nov 1987. 1,463-75 pp. London, England. In Eng.
"The present paper is an exploration of the organisational environment that surrounds population forecasting in urban planning practice with reference to a detailed case study of one British planning authority: South Yorkshire." The emphasis is on the dialogue between those who prepare such forecasts and those who use them.
Correspondence: P. Rainford, Department of Land and Planning, Sheffield City Council, Town Hall, Sheffield S1 2HH, England. Location: Princeton University Library (UES).

54:10128 Reunion des Directeurs d'Instituts et Centres Universitaires de Demographie (Paris, France); France. Institut National d'Etudes Demographiques [INED] (Paris, France); France. Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique [CNRS] (Paris, France). Eighth National Demographic Conference, Grenoble, May 5-7, 1987: population projections. Conference proceedings, Volume 1. [VIIIe Colloque National de Demographie, Grenoble, 5, 6, 7 mai 1987: les projections demographiques. Actes du colloque, Tome 1.] INED Travaux et Documents Cahier, No. 116, ISBN 2-7332-0116-6. 1987. viii, 275 pp. Presses Universitaires de France: Paris, France. In Fre.
This is the first volume of the proceedings of the Eighth National Demographic Conference, held in Grenoble, France, in May 1987. It contains the papers prepared for the conference: a second volume, to be published, will contain a selection of additional papers presented at the conference and a summary of the discussions. The 16 papers included here are organized under the following topics: history of projections and a comparison with actual trends, projections of the population of France using data from the 1982 census, regional and local projections, projections of subpopulations, and the relationships among projections, demographic analysis, and development.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10129 Schroeder, Esther C. Testing local level labor force and unemployment projections. Demography, Vol. 24, No. 4, Nov 1987. 649-61 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"For several years, Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory has been using a model to provide projections at the local level of population, labor force, and unemployment by race, sex, and age for more than 1,200 substate areas [in the United States]. The labor force, and unemployment projections use the population projections and rely on the assumption that local trends can be approximated by national trends. Summary Tape File 4 of the 1980 census has made it possible to test these assumptions by comparing the projections against actual data. The tests show that local changes in the labor force can be approximated by national trends, but local changes in unemployment do not follow national trends."
This is a revised version of a paper originally presented at the 1985 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (see Population Index, Vol. 51, No. 3, Fall 1985, p. 392).
Correspondence: E. C. Schroeder, Computer Science Research Department, Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10130 Smith, Stanley K. Population projections: what do we really know. BEBR Monographs, No. 1, LC 84-622665. May 1984. 50 pp. University of Florida, Bureau of Economic and Business Research: Gainesville, Florida. In Eng.
The author examines the accuracy and value of various methods of projecting and forecasting future population trends, with particular reference to U.S. state- and county-level projections and to the situation in Florida.
Location: U.S. Library of Congress, Washington, D.C.

54:10131 Smith, Stanley K. Tests of forecast accuracy and bias for county population projections. JASA: Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 82, No. 400, Dec 1987. 991-1,012 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This article deals with the forecast accuracy and bias of population projections for 2,971 counties in the United States. It uses three different projection techniques and data from 1950, 1960, 1970, and 1980 to make two sets of 10-year projections and one set of 20-year projections. These projections are compared with census counts to determine forecast errors. The size, direction, and distribution of forecast errors are analyzed by size of place, rate of growth, and length of projection horizon. A number of consistent patterns are noted, and an extension of the empirical results to the production of confidence intervals for population projections is considered."
A comment by Paul M. Beaumont and Andrew M. Isserman is included (pp. 1,004-9) together with a rejoinder by the author (pp. 1,009-12).
This is a revised version of a paper presented at the 1986 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (see Population Index, Vol. 52, No. 3, Fall 1986, p. 456).
Correspondence: S. K. Smith, Bureau of Economic and Business Research, College of Business Administration, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611. Location: Princeton University Library (SM).

54:10132 United States. Bureau of the Census (Washington, D.C.). Projections of the population of voting age, for states: November 1988. Current Population Reports, Series P-25: Population Estimates and Projections, No. 1019, Jan 1988. 11 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This report presents projections of the population of voting age (18 years and over) for [U.S.] States on November 1, 1988, by broad age groups and sex. Projections of the State voting-age populations are also shown by race and Hispanic origin."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

D.4. Population Size and Growth

Studies on changes in population between two specific points in time. Includes studies on negative growth, natural increase, zero population growth, and population reproduction.

54:10133 Basher, Mian M. A. Modern population trends in Bangladesh. Rural Demography, Vol. 12, No. 1-2, 1985. 71-83 pp. Dhaka, Bangladesh. In Eng.
Population trends in Bangladesh from 1871 to 1981 are examined, and projections to the year 2001 are produced. Makeham's model, a logistic model, and a regression polynomial are evaluated in light of their ability to reproduce past population movements in Bangladesh. "Of the models studied, polynomial of degree four...best reproduces the past population. [The] population is projected for 1986-2001 as per fitted polynomial, Logistic and Makeham's model."
Correspondence: M. M. A. Basher, University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi, Bangladesh. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).

54:10134 Nissan, Edward; Caveny, Regina. Regional population growth rate differences: note. Growth and Change, Vol. 19, No. 1, Winter 1988. 67-74 pp. Lexington, Kentucky. In Eng.
"This note investigates regional population growth in the U.S. for 1959-84, taking into account four city sizes and three time periods. It is found that the growth is largest in city size (0.5-1.0) million and (1.0-2.0) million. Over time, the growth is largest in the less urbanized regions." The note aims to supplement the findings of Daniel Garnick and is based on data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
For a related study by Garnick, published in 1984, see 51:30039.
Correspondence: E. Nissan, Professor of Economics, University of Southern Mississippi, Southern Station, Box 5001, Hattiesburg, MS 39401. Location: Princeton University Library (PF).

54:10135 Stempell, Dieter. The most rapid population growth in world history. [Schnellster Bevolkerungszuwachs der Weltgeschichte.] Petermanns Geographische Mitteilungen, Vol. 131, No. 3, 1987. 189-92 pp. Gotha, German Democratic Republic. In Ger.
This is a study of recent global population growth by continent. Sections are included on continents with low growth rates, variations in demographic transition, death rates, immigration, and estimates for the year 2000. Charts provide comparative growth data by continent for the years 1960-1980 and data on birth and death rates for selected areas.
Correspondence: D. Stempell, Karl Marx Universitat Leipzig, Sektion Wirtschaftswissenschaften, WB Arbeitswissenschaften, Karl Marx Platz 9, Leipzig 7010, German Democratic Republic. Location: Princeton University Library (Maproom).

54:10136 Thibault, Normand. Comments on the article by Henripin and Pelletier, "A quarter of Quebecois born outside Quebec 100 years from now?": a statistical genocide. [Commentaires sur l'article d'Henripin et Pelletier "Un quart d'allogenes au Quebec dans 100 ans?": un genocide statistique.] Cahiers Quebecois de Demographie, Vol. 16, No. 1, Apr 1987. 121-64 pp. Montreal, Canada. In Fre.
The author comments on an article by Jacques Henripin and Louis Pelletier concerning the implications of current demographic trends for the population of the province of Quebec. He critically evaluates their methodology, calculations, hypotheses, and conclusions. A reply by Henripin and Pelletier is included (pp. 145-64).
For the article by Henripin and Pelletier, published in 1986, see 53:20116.
Correspondence: N. Thibault, Direction des Statistiques Demographiques, Bureau de la Statistique du Quebec, Quebec, Quebec, Canada. Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).


Copyright © 1988-1996, Office of Population Research, Princeton University.