53:10095 Arkadiev,
Dimitar. The population of Bulgaria during the Middle Ages
(seventh to fourteenth centuries). [Naselenieto na Balgariya prez
srednovekovieto (VII-XIV v.).] Naselenie, Vol. 4, No. 2, 1986. 3-11 pp.
Sofia, Bulgaria. In Bul. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
An attempt is made
to estimate the population of the territories forming modern Bulgaria
in the Middle Ages. The author calculates that the population grew
from around 1.1 million in the year 700 to 2.6 million in 1365. The
ethnic composition of the population in the year 681, at the foundation
of the Slavic-Bulgarian state, is also estimated.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10096 Becchia,
Alain. The parliamentary milieu and depopulation from 1900
to 1914. [Les milieux parlementaires et la depopulation de 1900 a
1914.] In: Denatalite: l'anteriorite francaise (1800-1914), edited by
the Centre d'Etudes Transdisciplinaires, Ecole des Hautes Etudes en
Sciences Sociales. Communications, No. 44, 1986. 201-46 pp. Seuil:
Paris, France. In Fre.
The author examines parliamentary concern
during the period 1900-1914 over the decline in the size of the French
population using excerpts from parliamentary debates and documents.
The creation of two extra-parliamentary commissions to investigate the
problem and the support for pronatalist family policies are
noted.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10097 Hernandez,
Hermogenes. Costa Rica: territorial developments and the
principal population censuses, 1502-1984. [Costa Rica: evolucion
territorial y principales censos de poblacion, 1502-1984.] ISBN
9977-64-243-5. 1985. xii, 183 pp. Editorial Universidad Estatal a
Distancia [EUNED]: San Jose, Costa Rica. In Spa.
The development of
the population of Costa Rica, its history of settlement, and the growth
and changes in administrative areas are traced from the beginning of
the sixteenth century to the present day using information from the
country's censuses.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
53:10098 Janczak,
Julian K. Statistics concerning the population of the
Kingdom of Poland (1830-1844). [Statystyka ludnosci Krolestwa
Polskiego (1830-1844).] Przeszlosc Demograficzna Polski, Vol. 16, 1985.
25-49 pp. Warsaw, Poland. In Pol. with sum. in Eng.
Population
trends in the Kingdom of Poland from 1830 to 1844 are reviewed. The
available data primarily concern sex and religion. Despite the
inadequacies of the data, the author is able to estimate broad changes
in population size and structure during this period at the national
level and for most provinces. Particular attention is paid to
inconsistencies in the available data.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
53:10099 de Beer,
J. Demographic estimates for 1986. [Demografische
ramingen voor 1986.] Maandstatistiek van de Bevolking, Vol. 34, No. 12,
Dec 1986. 57-63 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
Population estimates for the Netherlands for 1986 are presented.
These estimates are based on monthly data on demographic events. They
are compared with previous official projections. The author notes that
the estimate of total population by January 1, 1987, lies somewhere
between the medium and high variant of the 1985
forecast.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10100 Donkov,
Kiril. Demographic processes and world population
numbers. [Demografskite protsesi i broyat na naselenieto v sveta.]
Naselenie, Vol. 4, No. 2, 1986. 12-21 pp. Sofia, Bulgaria. In Bul. with
sum. in Eng; Rus.
Recent global population trends are reviewed.
The author notes the growing divergence in demographic trends between
the developed and developing regions. These differences are analyzed
in the light of Marxist population theory.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10101 El-Badry,
M. A.; Kono, Shigemi. Demographic estimates and
projections. Population Bulletin of the United Nations, No. 19-20,
1987. 35-43 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
The authors present a
historical review of U.N. involvement in assessing global population
growth and preparing demographic projections for the years 1947-1982.
They "review the development of those activities at the Population
Division from decade to decade, especially with regard to data
collection and evaluation, methods of analysis and projection,
frequency and refinement of outputs and the utilization of computer
technology....The authors recommend several ways in which the United
Nations demographic estimates and projections could be further
developed, and the role which they may be expected to play in the
future."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10102 Garcia,
Agustin; Cubilla, Alvaro. Republic of Panama. Evaluation
of the 1980 national census of population and population projections by
sex and age: 1950-2025. Methodological report. [Republica de
Panama: evaluacion del censo nacional de poblacion de 1980 y
proyecciones de poblacion por sexo y edad: anos 1950-2025. Informe
metodologico.] May 1983. x, 168 pp. Direccion de Estadistica y Censo:
Panama City, Panama. In Spa.
This report, which concerns the
population of Panama, is in three parts. The first part presents an
evaluation of available data, including vital statistics and the 1980
census, and provides an estimate of the extent of the undercount. In
the second part, the authors use these data to analyze population
trends during the period 1950-1980, with separate consideration given
to fertility, mortality, international migration, and age and sex
distribution. The third part presents four alternative population
projections by age and sex up to the year 2025.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10103 Grobbelaar,
J. A. The population of Natal/KwaZulu, 1904-2010.
Natal Town and Regional Planning Report, Vol. 65, ISBN 0-909232-61-X.
LC 85-194206. 1985. 80 pp. Natal Town and Regional Planning Commission:
Pietermaritzburg, South Africa. In Eng.
The author describes
population trends since 1904 and presents projections to 2010 for the
Natal-KwaZulu region of South Africa. The dynamics of the various
population groups in the region are considered, but no attention is
given to spatial distribution. "The report consists of three main
sections. Firstly an historical overview of the population of
Natal/KwaZulu as enumerated at various census dates. Secondly,
forecasts of the population of the region to the year 2010 and finally
an overview of a number of socio-economic consequences of the expected
population growth in Natal/KwaZulu to the year 2010 and its policy
implications."
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
53:10104 Malaysia.
Jabatan Perangkaan (Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia). Current
population estimates: Peninsular Malaysia, 1986. [Anggaran
penduduk semasa: Semenanjung Malaysia, 1986.] [1986]. [13] pp. Kuala
Lumpur, Malaysia. In Eng; Mal.
Population estimates are presented
for Malaysia for 1986. A brief analysis of population trends since
1980 is included.
Location: U.N. Economic and Social
Commission for Asia and the Pacific, Bangkok, Thailand.
53:10105 Rossi,
Peter H.; Wright, James D.; Fisher, Gene A.; Willis,
Georgianna. The urban homeless: estimating composition
and size. Science, Vol. 235, No. 4794, Mar 13, 1987. 1,336-41 pp.
Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"Although homelessness has been recognized
as a serious and growing urban social problem, scientifically
acceptable methods for estimating the composition and size of the
homeless population have been lacking. A new research approach to
estimating the size and composition of undomiciled [U.S.] urban
populations is presented, and its utility is illustrated through a
description of the literal homeless of Chicago. The homeless in the
Chicago sample are unaffiliated persons living in extreme poverty, with
high levels of physical and mental disability. Homelessness is
interpreted as a manifestation of extreme poverty among persons without
families in housing markets with declining stocks of inexpensive
dwelling units suitable for single persons."
Author's address:
Social and Demographic Research Institute, University of Massachusetts,
Amherst, MA 01003.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SQ).
53:10106 Sautory,
Olivier. Regional demographic data, 1982. [Donnees de
demographie regionale, 1982.] Collections de l'INSEE, Serie D:
Demographie et Emploi, No. 115, Nov 1986. 273 pp. Institut National de
la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques [INSEE]: Paris, France. In
Fre. with sum. in Eng; Spa.
Demographic indicators are computed for
various administrative divisions of France using 1982 census data and
vital statistics for 1981, 1982, and 1983. The work is divided into
two sections. In the first part, the author provides data on age
distribution, fertility, mortality, marital status, natural increase,
and migration. The second part contains diagrams and maps illustrating
the results.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10107 United
States. Bureau of the Census (Washington, D.C.). Estimates
of the population of Puerto Rico and the outlying areas: 1980 to
1985. Current Population Reports, Series P-25: Population
Estimates and Projections, No. 997, Nov 1986. 7 pp. Washington, D.C. In
Eng.
Population estimates for the years 1980 through 1985 are
presented for Puerto Rico, the United States Virgin Islands, American
Samoa, Guam, and the Northern Mariana Islands.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10108 United
States. Bureau of the Census (Washington, D.C.). Estimates
of the population of the United States, by age, sex, and race: 1980 to
1986. Current Population Reports, Series P-25: Population
Estimates and Projections, No. 1000, Feb 1987. iii, 59 pp. Washington,
D.C. In Eng.
"This report presents estimates of the population of
the United States by single years of age, sex, and race for each year
from July 1, 1980, to July 1, 1986; comparable census figures are also
shown for April 1, 1980. Estimates are shown for the total population
including Armed Forces overseas, the resident population, and the
civilian population."
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
53:10109 United
States. Bureau of the Census (Washington, D.C.). State
population and household estimates to 1985, with age and components of
change. Current Population Reports, Series P-25: Population
Estimates and Projections, No. 998, Dec 1986. iii, 40 pp. Washington,
D.C. In Eng.
"This report contains provisional estimates of the
resident and civilian populations of [U.S.] States for July 1, 1985,
revised population estimates for July 1, 1981, through 1984, and
components of population change and revised household estimates for
States for the 1980-85 period." Annual intercensal estimates by age for
1971 to 1979 are also presented. "This is the first time that
estimates of population and households for States have been included in
the same issue of Current Population Reports."
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10110 United
States. Bureau of the Census (Washington, D.C.). World
population profile: 1985. Pub. Order No. WP-85. LC 86-600584. Oct
1986. vi, 53 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"This report presents
summary demographic data for 205 countries and territories of the world
with a population of at least 5,000 in 1985; and estimates and
projections for the world and its regions. Of the 205 countries and
territories, 160 are classified as developing and 45 as developed."
The primary sources for the data are censuses, surveys, and vital
registration systems, supplemented from other sources and adjusted if
appropriate. Sections are included on world population trends, regional
population trends, fertility, use of contraception, literacy, infant
mortality, urbanization and density, and aging.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10111 Assogba,
Messan L. N. Perspectives of the Togolese population,
1971-2006. [Perspectives de la population togolaise, 1971-2006.]
Etudes Togolaises de Population, No. 6, 1984. 36, [6] pp. Universite du
Benin, Unite de Recherche Demographique: Lome, Togo. In Fre.
Data
from the 1970 census are used to make population projections for Togo
up to the year 2006. The sources of data and hypotheses used
concerning trends in fertility and mortality are first described. Five
projections based on different fertility assumptions are
presented.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10112 Australia.
Bureau of Statistics (Canberra, Australia). Projections of
the populations of Australia, states and territories, 1984 to
2021. Pub. Order No. 3222.0. May 1985. viii, 180 pp. Canberra,
Australia. In Eng.
Population projections for Australia, its
states, and territories are presented for the period 1984 to 2021. The
methodology and assumptions used in preparing the projections are
explained. The projections are provided separately by age group and
sex.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10113 Beekman,
John A. Population and social security projections for
Bangladesh. Rural Demography, Vol. 11, No. 1-2, 1984. 1-20 pp.
Dacca, Bangladesh. In Eng.
The author presents population
projections for Bangladesh using data from the 1981 census, U.N.
sources, and other official and nonofficial sources. "Confidence
intervals for year 1986 and year 2001 populations for Bangladesh are
developed. Rural-urban shifts in population are analyzed through
Markov chains, and reveal a significant projected redistribution to
urban areas. A study is presented of the actuarial cost of a potential
social security program designed to meet the financial needs of an
increasing set of urban dwellers....Aggregate projected contributions
and benefits for the years 1975, 2005, 2015, and 2025 illustrate the
possible program."
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
53:10114 Bolivia.
Instituto Nacional de Estadistica (La Paz, Bolivia); United Nations.
Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia [CELADE] (Santiago,
Chile). Bolivia: population estimates and projections.
Total for the country, 1950-2025; urban and rural, 1970-2000.
[Bolivia: estimaciones y proyecciones de poblacion. Total del pais
1950-2025, urbana y rural 1970-2000.] Fasciculo F/Bol, No. 1;
LC/DEM/R.4, Mar 1985. [105] pp. U.N. Centro Latinoamericano de
Demografia [CELADE]: Santiago, Chile. In Spa.
Population estimates
and projections for Bolivia are presented for the period 1950-2025.
The report first considers fertility, mortality, and international
migration trends separately as a basis for making such estimates and
projections. Population projections are then provided for the country
as a whole up to the year 2025. The rural and urban populations are
then estimated by age and sex and projected to the year
2000.
Location: Stanford University Libraries.
53:10115 Cuba.
Comite Estatal de Estadisticas. Instituto de Investigaciones
Estadisticas [INSIE] (Havana, Cuba). Population
projections for Cuba and its provinces, 1991-2000. [Proyeccion de
la poblacion de Cuba y provincias, 1991-2000.] Sep 1986. 98 pp. Havana,
Cuba. In Spa.
Population projections are presented by single year
of age and sex for each year from 1991 to 2000 for Cuba and its
provinces.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10116 Dinh,
Quang-Chi; Labat, Jean-Claude. Projection of the total
population of France, 1985-2040. [Projection de population totale
pour la France, 1985-2040.] Collections de l'INSEE, Serie D:
Demographie et Emploi, No. 113, Nov 1986. 93 pp. Institut National de
la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques [INSEE]: Paris, France. In
Fre.
Population projections for France by sex are presented up to
the year 2040. They are based on the latest official data concerning
mortality, fertility, and migration, including the 1982 census. Two
alternative hypotheses concerning fertility are presented, one in which
fertility remains at the present level of 1.8 and the other in which it
rises to the replacement level of 2.1.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
53:10117 Ecuador.
Instituto Nacional de Estadistica y Censos (Quito, Ecuador).
Projections for the population of Ecuador by province, canton,
area, and age group (1982-1995). [Proyecciones de la poblacion
ecuatoriana por provincias, cantones, areas y grupos de edad
(1982-1995).] Nov 1985. v, 77 pp. Quito, Ecuador. In Spa.
Population projections for Ecuador are presented by province,
canton, and area up to the year 1995. The projections by province are
provided by age group. Data are from both the census and vital
statistics sources.
Location: New York Public Library.
53:10118 Grobbelaar,
J. A. Demographic trends in South Africa: 1980-2015.
Institute for Futures Research Occasional Paper, No. 3, ISBN
0-7972-0042-8. LC 85-227079. Sep 1984. 37 pp. University of
Stellenbosch, Institute for Futures Research: Stellenbosch, South
Africa. In Eng.
Probable population trends in South Africa for the
period 1980 to 2015 are reviewed using population projections
previously developed by the author.
Location: U.S. Library
of Congress, Washington, D.C.
53:10119 Heida, H.
R. Municipal household forecasts according to the
PRIMOS-household model. [Huishoudensprognoses per gemeente volgens
het PRIMOS-huishoudenmodel.] Maandstatistiek van de Bevolking, Vol. 34,
No. 10, Oct 1986. 40-6 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands. In Dut. with sum. in
Eng.
The PRIMOS-household model is described. Its application to
the formulation of household projections for the Netherlands is
reviewed. Household projections up to the year 2000 are
presented.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10120 Kravdal,
Oystein. Population projections by sex, age, and marital
status, 1985-2050. [Framskriving av befolkningen etter kjonn,
alder og ekteskapelig status, 1985-2050.] Rapporter fra Statistisk
Sentralbyra, No. 86/22, ISBN 82-537-2387-3. 1986. 132 pp. Statistisk
Sentralbyra: Oslo-Kongsvinger, Norway. In Nor.
Official population
projections for Norway are presented by sex, age, and marital status up
to the year 2050. The projections were prepared using the MAKE model
developed by the Central Bureau of Statistics in 1984. The factors
affecting such projections are reviewed, including changes in
fertility, the increased occurrence of consensual unions and divorce,
the decline in the frequency of marriage, increased age at marriage,
and changes in mortality and migration. High, medium, and low
alternative projections are included.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
53:10121 Land,
Kenneth C. Methods for national population forecasts: a
review. JASA: Journal of the American Statistical Association,
Vol. 81, No. 396, Dec 1986. 888-901 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"Three widely used classes of methods for forecasting national
populations are reviewed: demographic accounting/cohort-component
methods for long-range projections, statistical time series methods for
short-range forecasts, and structural modeling methods for the
simulation and forecasting of the effects of policy changes. In each
case, the major characteristics, strengths, and weaknesses of the
methods are described. Factors that place intrinsic limits on the
accuracy of population forecasts are articulated. Promising lines of
additional research by statisticians and demographers are identified
for each class of methods and for population forecasting
generally."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10122 Mode,
Charles J.; Pickens, Gary T. Demographic stochasticity and
uncertainty in population projections--a study by computer
simulation. Mathematical Biosciences, Vol. 79, No. 1, May 1986.
55-72 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"Measuring uncertainty in
projections of future natural and human populations is a problem that
has been under consideration at least two decades. Demographic
stochasticity, the idea that reproduction and survivorship are governed
in part by laws of chance, plays a role in this uncertainty. Computer
simulation experiments partially reported here suggested that, in large
populations with homogeneity in laws of reproduction and survivorship
among members of a population, the impact of demographic stochasticity
on this uncertainty could be low. But, if the laws of reproduction and
survivorship are heterogeneous among members of a population, then
demographic stochasticity could be a significant factor in measuring
the uncertainty of a population projection, even for large
populations."
Author's address: Department of Mathematics and
Computer Science, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA
19104.
Location: Princeton University Library (SM).
53:10123 Mukerji,
S. Population projection. Journal of Family Welfare,
Vol. 32, No. 2 [mislabeled 3], Dec 1985. 18-29 pp. Bombay, India. In
Eng.
"The paper presents a mathematical method for population
projection with the following objectives: (i) No assumption should be
made about the base period fertility, mortality and migration
rates....(ii) The method should provide the estimates of future
population(s) along with its standard deviation....(iii) The method
should be applicable uniformly for all subpopulations of the total
population....[and] (iv) Information requirements for the projection
should not exceed the end product." The method is illustrated using
data from the 1971 census for India to project the 1981
population.
Location: Population Council Library, New York,
N.Y.
53:10124 Nelissen,
J. H. M.; Vossen, A. P. A short-term population
forecasting model evaluated. [Een prognosemethodiek geevalueerd.]
Bevolking en Gezin, No. 1, Nov 1986. 17-50 pp. Brussels, Belgium. In
Dut. with sum. in Eng.
The authors present an evaluation of
forecasting results obtained using a specific short-term population
forecasting model that they had developed previously. "The method
developed was rooted in the opinion that--contrary to the conventional
projections, based on time series analysis and trend
extrapolation--population forecasts should find their point of
departure in scientific systems of facts (theories, hypotheses) in
which the relation between the forecasting object and its demographic,
and especially its non-demographic predictors, is explicitly expressed
by means of open, multi-variate regression models....The differences
between observed and expected numbers of births, first and non-first
marriages, and marriage dissolutions in the Netherlands are
analysed....The forecasting results are compared with the results of
the official national forecast of the Dutch Central Bureau of
Statistics and also compared with the results of so called naive
projections."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10125 Nepal.
Central Bureau of Statistics. Population Division (Kathmandu,
Nepal). Population projection of Nepal: national,
regional and sectoral, 1981-2001. 1986. viii, 83 pp. Kathmandu,
Nepal. In Eng.
Four alternative population projections for Nepal
are presented for the period up to 2001. These are the first official
projections to take into account the effect of internal migration on
regional population dynamics and to provide separate projections for
rural and urban areas as well as projections of the labor force and
school-age population.
Location: East-West Population
Institute, Honolulu, Hawaii.; Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10126 Nunez,
Leopoldo; Moreno, Lorenzo. Mexico: population projections
for urban and rural areas, 1980-2010. [Mexico: proyecciones de
poblacion urbana y rural, 1980-2010.] 1986. vii, 120 pp. Academia
Mexicana de Investigacion en Demografia Medica: Mexico City, Mexico. In
Spa.
Population projections are presented for urban and rural areas
of Mexico up to the year 2010. The first chapter provides population
estimates by age, sex, and area of residence for 1980. Chapters are
then included on the estimation and prediction of fertility, mortality,
internal migration, and international migration. Finally, the method
of projection used is described. The projections are presented
separately for rural and urban areas and by sex and five-year age group
for each five-year interval from 1980 to 2010.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10127 Pflaumer,
Peter. Forecasting the German population with Monte Carlo
methods. Economics Letters, Vol. 21, 1986. 385-90 pp. Amsterdam,
Netherlands. In Eng.
"This paper presents an approach of
constructing confidence intervals by means of Monte Carlo simulation.
This technique attempts to incorporate the uncertainty involved in
projecting the [West] German population by letting the fertility,
mortality and net immigration rates vary as a random variable with a
specific distribution. Since fertility and migration are by far the
most volatile, and therefore, the most critical components to
population forecasting, this technique has the potential of accounting
for this uncertainty, if the subjective distributions are specified
with enough care."
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
53:10128 Proebsting,
H. Population forecasts, use, methods, reliability and
problems. Use of population forecasts.
[Bevolkerungsvorausschatzungen, Zweck, Methoden, Zuverlassigkeit und
Probleme. Zweck von Bevolkerungsvorausschatzungen.]
Lebensversicherungsmedizin, Vol. 38, No. 4, Jul 1, 1986. 102-8 pp.
Karlsruhe, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger. with sum. in Eng.
The purposes of population forecasts and of the assumptions on
which they are based are described. The author concentrates on what
can be deduced concerning these assumptions if actual population trends
differ from forecasted trends. Consideration is given to various
aspects of current projections of the population of the Federal
Republic of Germany up to the year 2030.
Location: U.S.
National Library of Medicine, Bethesda, Md.
53:10129
Sinnig-Prusse, Sabine. Population projection for
West Berlin and its districts from 1985 to 1995. [Vorausberechnung
der Bevolkerung fur Berlin (West) und die Bezirke von 1985 bis 1995.]
Berliner Statistik: Monatsschrift, Vol. 40, No. 7, 1986. 118-33 pp.
Berlin, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger.
Population
projections for West Berlin and its districts for 1985-1995 are
presented and discussed. Methodological aspects are first outlined.
Projections of population size, fertility, mortality, migration,
nationality structure, and sex and age structure are then
examined.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10130 Srinivasan,
K.; Parasuraman, Sulabha. Population projections for India
(under alternative strategies for reaching replacement levels of
fertility). In: Dynamics of population and family welfare, 1985,
edited by K. Srinivasan and S. Mukerji. Dec 1985. 3-40 pp. Himalaya
Publishing House: Bombay, India. In Eng.
"This exercise in
population projections is based on the age-sex and marital distribution
of India's population as obtained in the 1981 Census (5 per cent
samples); the latest available estimates of fertility [and] mortality
as obtained from the sample registration data for 1980; and future
assumptions of trends in mortality, nuptiality and contraceptive use
which will affect marital fertility....The projections have been
carried out by three alternative assumptions, namely, achieving the
replacement level of fertility by the year 2001 (alternative one), by
the year 2011 (alternative two) and by the year 2021 (alternative
three)."
The first alternative corresponds with the population
policy goals set forth in India's Seventh Five-Year Plan. For each of
the three projections, the authors provide "data on the age
distribution of the population for the two sexes separately and all the
important vital rates, such as the crude birth rate, the crude death
rate, the general fertility rate, the gross reproduction rate, the net
reproduction rate, at five-year intervals from 1981 to
2021."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10131 Uruguay.
Direccion General de Estadistica y Censos (Montevideo, Uruguay); United
Nations. Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia [CELADE] (Santiago,
Chile). Uruguay: population estimates and projections,
1950-2025. [Uruguay: estimaciones y proyecciones de poblacion,
1950-2025.] Fasciculo F/URU, No. 1; LC/DEM/R.3, Mar 1985. 101 pp. U.N.
Centro Latinoamericano de Demografia [CELADE]: Santiago, Chile. In Spa.
Estimates and projections of the population of Uruguay are
presented for the period 1950-2025. They are based on data from the
censuses of 1963 and 1975, vital statistics, and the 1976 National
Survey on International Emigration. Four alternative hypotheses
concerning future fertility trends are considered; the median estimate
is used in these projections. The projections are presented separately
by age and sex and for rural and urban areas. Life tables by sex for
the period 1950-1980 are also included.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
53:10132 Zimbabwe.
Central Statistical Office (Harare, Zimbabwe). Population
projections of Zimbabwe: 1982 to 2032. Jan 1986. iii, 59 pp.
Harare, Zimbabwe. In Eng.
National population projections are
presented for Zimbabwe by age and sex for the period 1982-2032. They
are based on data from a 10 percent sample of 1982 census results.
Three alternative projections are included.
Location:
Population Council Library, New York, N.Y.
53:10133 Choe,
Ehn-Hyun; Byun, Yong-Chan. An overview of population
growth and redistribution in Korea: 1966-1985. Journal of
Population and Health Studies, Vol. 6, No. 1, Jul 1986. 3-23 pp. Seoul,
Korea, Republic of. In Kor. with sum. in Eng.
Trends in population
growth and redistribution from 1966 to 1985 in the Republic of Korea
are explored using census data. The results indicate a general
concentration of population in the major urban areas, although the
volume of internal migration has declined over this
period.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10134 Gosal,
Gurdev S. Recent population growth in India.
Population Geography, Vol. 4, No. 1-2, Jun-Dec 1982. 33-53 pp.
Chandigarh, India. In Eng.
"The purpose of this paper is to examine
in some detail the spatial patterns of population change in India
during 1971-81." The author also describes general trends in rural and
urban population growth since 1891 and the socioeconomic implications.
Figures from the 1961, 1971, and 1981 censuses as well as maps are used
to illustrate the trends.
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
53:10135 Gupta,
Kamla. Growth and redistribution of population in Uttar
Pradesh: a district level study. In: Dynamics of population and
family welfare, 1985, edited by K. Srinivasan and S. Mukerji. Dec 1985.
398-438 pp. Himalaya Publishing House: Bombay, India. In Eng.
"The
article describes, on the basis of census data, the changes in the
population of Uttar Pradesh [India] at the district level during the
period from 1901 to 1981. Factors related to inter-district variations
in the population growth, and the redistribution of population due to
differential growth in the geographical regions, have been included in
the analysis. The data used in the study have been taken from the
various censuses, agricultural statistics and statistical abstracts
published by the State Government."
The authors examine population
redistribution "by noting the changes in the percentage share of each
district, by drawing Lorenz curves, and calculating concentration
ratios and the redistribution index over the 1901-1981 period of time.
Population redistribution has also been studied by noting the changes
in the mean centre of population."
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
53:10136 Krishan,
Gopal; Kant, Surya. Spurts in India's population growth
during the twentieth century: a spatial view. Population
Geography, Vol. 6, No. 1-2, Jun-Dec 1984. 12-25 pp. Chandigarh, India.
In Eng.
The authors study population growth in India and test the
assumption that 1921 and 1951 are critical points in Indian population
growth. Using official and other published information, they
demonstrate that "while the above generalisation did hold good at the
all India level, it was found true for only one-third of the districts
at the disaggregated level. The relevance of the demographic
transition model to India was also examined. The model did apply, in
its essence, to the Indian situation but its quantitative parameters,
as derived from the Western experience, were not
appropriate."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10137 Sawant, S.
B.; Khan, Y. S. Some factors influencing variations in the
rate of natural increase of population in Western Maharashtra.
Population Geography, Vol. 4, No. 1-2, Jun-Dec 1982. 67-75 pp.
Chandigarh, India. In Eng.
"The paper analyses the impact of
various factors on variations in the rate of natural increase of [the]
population in Western Maharashtra [India]....The analysis shows that in
Western Maharashtra [the] birthrate is high in response to high death
rate and high infant mortality rate. It is also revealed that the rate
of natural increase of [the] population declines with [an] increase in
[the] proportion of working females...."
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10138 Singh, R.
N.; Chaturvedi, R. P. Dynamics of population growth.
Bundelkhand region: a case study. Population Geography, Vol. 6,
No. 1-2, Jun-Dec 1984. 53-65 pp. Chandigarh, India. In Eng.
This
report on the Bundelkhand region of India presents a historical survey
of population growth over the past 80 years. Decades of decrease
(1901-1921), decades of moderate increase (1921-1951), decades of rapid
increase (1951-1981), and the distribution of the growth are studied.
Growth projections are also included.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
