53:10001 Institut
Francais de Recherche Scientifique pour le Developpement en Cooperation
(Paris, France). Changes or demographic transitions in the
contemporary developing world. ORSTOM 1985 demographic workshops,
Paris--September 23, 24, and 25, 1985. [Les changements ou les
transitions demographiques dans le monde contemporain en developpement.
Journees demographiques de l'ORSTOM 1985 Paris--23, 24 et 25 septembre
1985.] Colloques et Seminaires, ISBN 2-7099-0814-X. 1986. v, 469 pp.
Editions de l'ORSTOM: Paris, France. In Fre.
This book contains
papers presented at a 1985 meeting on demographic change in developing
countries, which was sponsored by the Office de la Recherche
Scientifique et Technique Outre-Mer (ORSTOM) and held in Paris. The
objective of the workshops was to bring together demographers from
ORSTOM who have been examining demographic change in developing
countries as well as demographers in France and other countries who
have been working in the same area in order to jointly reflect on the
nature and forms of recent changes. Sections are included on concepts
and theories, mortality, fertility, migration, and population policy.
Summary reports are provided in each section.
Selected items will be
cited in this or subsequent issues of Population
Index.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10002 Sudoplatov,
A.; Salas, R.; Valentei, D.; Horlacher, D.; Ivanov, S.; Kvasha,
A. Population and socioeconomic development. 1986.
187 pp. Progress Publishers: Moscow, USSR. In Eng.
This work,
jointly prepared by Soviet and United Nations demographers, officials,
and administrators, concerns global population issues. "The book
analyses theoretical questions of the relationship between social
progress and population development, methodological problems in
applying the systems approach to interdisciplinary research into
demographic processes, and shows the importance of population studies
for the theory and practice of planning socio-economic development in
the developing countries."
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
53:10003 Bernabe
Maestre, Jose B. Recent trends in world population: one
or several types of demographic transition? [Tendencias recientes
en la poblacion mundial: uno o varios tipos de transicion
demografica?] Estudios Geograficos, Vol. 46, No. 178-179, Feb-May 1985.
83-101 pp. Madrid, Spain. In Spa.
The author reviews the process of
demographic transition around the world. Data are from published
official sources, primarily those published by the United
Nations.
Location: U.S. Library of Congress, Washington,
D.C.
53:10004 Pressat,
Roland. A century of demography at the International
Statistical Institute. [Un siecle de demographie a l'Institut
international de statistique.] Review of Historical
Demography/Communications de Demographie Historique, No. 5, 1986. 54-80
pp. Budapest, Hungary. In Fre. with sum. in Eng.
The author
discusses the evolution of the activities of the International
Statistical Institute (ISI) in the field of demography. Phases in the
development of the Institute are outlined, and the shifting of certain
functions to the International Union for the Scientific Study of
Population (IUSSP), founded in 1928, is noted. Particular attention is
given to significant ISI contributions in several areas of demographic
study.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10005 Chesnais,
Jean-Claude. The demographic transition: stages, forms,
and economic implications. A time series study (1720-1984) concerning
67 countries. [La transition demographique: etapes, formes,
implications economiques. Etude de series temporelles (1720-1984)
relatives a 67 pays.] INED Travaux et Documents Cahier, No. 113, ISBN
2-7332-0113-1. 1986. iv, 580 pp. Institut National d'Etudes
Demographiques [INED]: Paris, France; Presses Universitaires de France:
Paris, France. In Fre.
The author reexamines the theory of the
demographic transition, originally based on the European experience, in
the light of recent global demographic developments. In particular, he
attempts to present a complete picture of the occurrence of this
transition in both time and space, to test its basic premises, and to
amend them when necessary. The stages of the transition are first
described, with the role of international migration included, and
various types of transition are identified. Next, the author attempts
to interpret the observed trends, with the emphasis on fertility, and
seeks to identify a common denominator for countries entering the
period of fertility decline.
The other major section examines the
relationship between the demographic transition and modern economic
growth. In this section, the transition is considered as an
independent variable that can both affect and be affected by economic
growth. Overall, the author strives to establish the validity of three
concepts basic to the theory of demographic transition: the necessary
decline in mortality preceding fertility decline, the existence of two
stages in the fertility decline involving a preliminary change in
marriage patterns, and the impact of modernization on the unleashing of
the fertility decline.
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
53:10006 Chesnais,
Jean-Claude. The original theory of the demographic
transition: validity and limits of the models. [La theorie
originelle de la transition demographique: validite et limites du
modeles.] In: Les changements ou les transitions demographiques dans le
monde contemporain en developpement. Journees demographiques de
l'ORSTOM 1985 Paris--23, 24 et 25 septembre 1985. ISBN 2-7099-0814-X.
1986. 7-23 pp. Institut Francais de Recherche Scientifique pour le
Developpement en Cooperation: Paris, France. In Fre.
The author
assesses the significance and limitations of demographic transition
theory, referring to existing literature and using the results of his
1986 study of 67 countries. Evidence is found to support three central
postulates of the theory: the initial mortality decline, marriage
limitation followed by birth limitation, and the influence of modern
economic growth on fertility decline. Three limitations of the
original theory are also outlined.
First, according to the author,
the notion of pre- and post-transitional equilibriums must be
considered in a relative sense. Second, it is noted that the closed
framework of transition theory, with international migration excluded,
considerably limits the theory's applicability. Finally, the author
argues that transition theory is above all a theory of fertility; he
asserts that this emphasis on fertility as the dependent variable has
obscured the fundamental role of the mortality decline in the
transition and has neglected the reverse influence of demographic
variables on economic variables.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
53:10007 Clarke,
John I. Demographic transition in small countries.
Population Geography, Vol. 4, No. 1-2, Jun-Dec 1982. 1-9 pp.
Chandigarh, India. In Eng.
The author studies current assumptions
pertaining to the demographic transition in small countries. He uses
estimates from the U.S. Bureau of the Census for 1979 and concludes
that although smallness of population is not sufficient to ensure rapid
transition, it is often associated with factors that are conducive to
rapid transition. The geographic focus is on developing
countries.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10008 Courgeau,
Daniel. The hypothesis of simultaneous mobility and
demographic transitions: has it been verified? [L'hypothese d'une
transition dans la mobilite, simultanee a la transition demographique,
est-elle verifiee?] In: Les changements ou les transitions
demographiques dans le monde contemporain en developpement. Journees
demographiques de l'ORSTOM 1985 Paris--23, 24 et 25 septembre 1985.
ISBN 2-7099-0814-X. 1986. 325-31 pp. Institut Francais de Recherche
Scientifique pour le Developpement en Cooperation: Paris, France. In
Fre.
The author reviews the hypothesis of the mobility transition
set forth by Wilbur Zelinsky in a 1971 study. Three brief critiques of
the hypothesis, based on published articles, are
outlined.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10009 Dangschat,
Jens; Friedrichs, Jurgen; Mariak, Volker. A time series
analysis of demographic transition in seven European countries and
their capital cities. [Eine Zeitreihenanalyse des demographischen
Ubergangs in sieben europaischen Landern und deren Hauptstadten.]
Zeitschrift fur Bevolkerungswissenschaft, Vol. 12, No. 3, 1986. 363-87
pp. Wiesbaden, Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger. with sum. in Eng;
Fre.
The authors examine the demographic transition model with
regard to seven European countries and their capitals. The focus is on
the period from 1820 to 1982. A time series analysis according to the
ARIMA model is used. "With regard to the curve trajectories of both
birth and death rates, the tree-phased model assumes two structural
breaks and trend changes. This was investigated with the aid of the
Box-Jenkins method....47 cases showed changes in trend following the
direction postulated by the model of demographic transition (France
being the exception). The result...is therefore that the model of
demographic transition both with regard to the countries and their
capitals proved its worth with limitations. In conclusion, the
usefulness of the statistical method for testing theories as well as
some results referring to individual countries and cities are
discussed."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10010 de Gans,
Henk A. Demographic model populations. [Demografische
modelbevolkingen.] Werkstukken van het Planologisch en Demografisch
Instituut, No. 72, Oct 1984. 52 pp. Universiteit van Amsterdam,
Planologisch en Demografisch Instituut, Subfakulteit Planologie en
Demografie, Vakgroep Demografie: Amsterdam, Netherlands. In Dut.
An
overview of theoretical population models is presented. Topics covered
include stationary and stable population models, average life
expectancy and average age, zero population growth, and the net
reproduction rate.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
53:10011 Frank,
Steven A. Individual and population sex allocation
patterns. Theoretical Population Biology, Vol. 31, No. 1, Feb
1987. 47-74 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
"A variety of sex
allocation models is considered in which (i) the reproductive returns
on investment in males differ from the returns on investment in
females, (ii) the amounts of resources available for reproduction vary
in the population, (iii) the costs of making male and female
reproductive structures differ, and (iv) the conception sex ratio may
be fixed and there may be an initial minimum investment per offspring.
Results of these models include quantitative predictions for both
individual- and population-level sex allocation, an opportunity to
study the magnitude of changes in predicted patterns as key variables
change, and therefore an analysis of the robustness of Fisher's equal
investment theory."
Author's address: Division of Biological
Sciences, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
48109-1048.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10012 Livenais,
Patrick. Population theories: a certain continuity in
change. [Les theories de la population: une continuite certaine
dans le changement.] In: Les changements ou les transitions
demographiques dans le monde contemporain en developpement. Journees
demographiques de l'ORSTOM 1985 Paris--23, 24 et 25 septembre 1985.
ISBN 2-7099-0814-X. 1986. 67-79 pp. Institut Francais de Recherche
Scientifique pour le Developpement en Cooperation: Paris, France. In
Fre.
The author outlines the history of population theories from
the seventeenth century to the present, giving attention to demographic
transition theory, the theory of thresholds, and microeconomic theories
of fertility. The validity and context of the theories are
considered.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10013 Mertens,
Walter; Przeworski, Adam; Zemelman, Hugo; Mora y Araujo,
Manuel. Theoretical and methodological reflections on
population research. [Reflexiones teorico-metodologicas sobre
investigaciones en poblacion.] ISBN 968-12-0102-7. 1982. [151] pp.
Colegio de Mexico: Mexico City, Mexico. In Spa.
This report is the
result of a seminar held in 1976, organized by the Commission on
Population and Development of the Latin American Council on the Social
Sciences (CLACSO), concerning selected methodological and theoretical
aspects of the study of population in Latin America. Four background
papers prepared for the seminar deal with recent approaches to the
study of Latin American population problems, the relationship between
sociological theory and the study of population, problems concerning
the measurement of reproductive behavior, and historical perspectives
on the convergence between theory and data. The report also includes
information on the Commission's work program and the related working
groups.
Location: Harvard University, Center for Population
Studies, Cambridge, Mass.
53:10014 Wunsch,
Guillaume. Causal connections in causal modeling.
Departement de Demographie Working Paper, No. 134, ISBN 2-87085-086-7.
Aug 1986. 13 pp. Universite Catholique de Louvain, Departement de
Demographie: Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium. In Eng.
The author examines
theories of causation and their relation to causal modeling in the
social sciences. Humean causation, necessary and sufficient causes,
the INUS approach, and probabilistic causation are
considered.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10015 Bosque
Sendra, Joaquin. Mathematical models and theories in
population geography. [Modelos y teorias matematicas en geografia
de la poblacion.] Estudios Geograficos, Vol. 46, No. 178-179, Feb-May
1985. 103-22 pp. Madrid, Spain. In Spa. with sum. in Eng; Fre.
The
application of mathematical concepts to the study of population
geography is reviewed. Forecasting techniques such as logistic
function, multi-regional analysis, and demographic accounting are
explained. Consideration is also given to theoretical approaches to the
demographic analysis of fertility, mortality, and
migration.
Location: U.S. Library of Congress, Washington,
D.C.
53:10016 Garcia
Ballesteros, Aurora. Population geography in Spain.
[La geografia de la poblacion en Espana.] Estudios Geograficos, Vol.
46, No. 178-179, Feb-May 1985. 29-47 pp. Madrid, Spain. In Spa. with
sum. in Eng; Fre.
The study of population geography in Spain from
1940 to 1984 is reviewed. Available sources of data are described. The
changing emphasis of population studies is related to the changes that
the country has experienced with regard to political as well as
economic and social factors.
Location: U.S. Library of
Congress, Washington, D.C.
53:10017 Imhof,
Arthur E. Statistician, historian--and the others: a
chapter of applied Berlin population statistics. [Statistiker,
Historiker--und die andern: ein Kapitel angewandter Berliner
Bevolkerungsstatistik.] In: Berlin-Forschungen, I, edited by Wolfgang
Ribbe. Einzelveroffentlichungen der Historischen Kommission zu Berlin,
Vol. 54, ISBN 3-7678-0681-9. 1986. 296-332 pp. Colloquium: Berlin,
Germany, Federal Republic of. In Ger.
This paper focuses on the
need for interdisciplinary cooperation among statisticians, historians,
and other types of researchers. The benefits of such cooperation are
illustrated using historical demographic data for Berlin. The data are
from eighteenth- and nineteenth-century parish registers as well as
other sources. Topics discussed include mortality and age at death,
causes of death, infant mortality, life expectancy, the epidemiological
transition, and one-person households. Some brief comparisons are also
made with recent data for Brazil.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
53:10018 Puyol
Antolin, Rafael. Population geography in search of signs
of its identity. [La geografia de la poblacion a la busqueda de
sus senas de identidad.] Estudios Geograficos, Vol. 46, No. 178-179,
Feb-May 1985. 49-60 pp. Madrid, Spain. In Spa. with sum. in Eng; Fre.
Some conceptual problems concerning the study of population
geography in Spain are reviewed. The results of a general survey of
geography departments in Spanish universities with regard to the
teaching of population geography are summarized.
Location:
U.S. Library of Congress, Washington, D.C.
53:10019 Trebici,
Vladimir; Ghinoiu, Ion. Demography and ethnography.
[Demografie si etnografie.] 1986. 325 pp. Editura Stiintifica si
Enciclopedica: Bucharest, Romania. In Rum.
This book is an
interdisciplinary approach to the study of the population of Romania.
The first part is demographic, and includes chapters on recent
population trends, the demographic transition, marriage and the family
life cycle, national and regional demographic models, rural population
trends, and the peasant population in the process of change. The
ethnographic part includes sections on births, marriage and the family,
and deaths.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10020 Locoh,
Therese; Gbenyon, Kuakuvi; Vignikin, Kokou. Understanding
population problems. [Comprendre les problemes de population.]
Etudes Togolaises de Population, No. 1, 1984. 72, [5] pp. Universite du
Benin, Unite de Recherche Demographique: Lome, Togo. In Fre.
This
is an introductory textbook to the study of demography designed for use
in Togo. It deals with population issues at the global, African, and
Togolese levels. Chapters are included on how human activities can
influence mortality, fertility, and migration; and on the relationship
between population growth and socioeconomic
development.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10021 Merrick,
Thomas W. Teaching applied demography. Teaching
Sociology, Vol. 14, No. 2, Apr 1986. 102-9 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"In this paper, I examine the training needs of applied demography
and suggest how demography courses and programs can better meet the
needs of applied demography students. After defining applied
demography, I discuss the topics that applied demography courses might
cover, how to structure a program in applied demography, and available
and needed teaching resources." The emphasis is on the United
States.
Location: Princeton University Library (PR).
53:10022 Pavlik,
Zdenek; Rychtarikova, Jitka; Subrtova, Alena. Principles
of demography. [Zaklady demografie.] 1986. 732 pp. Academia Praha:
Prague, Czechoslovakia. In Cze.
This is a general textbook on
demography. It is concerned with population dynamics in general, with
particular reference to Czechoslovakia. The first part is concerned
with theory and examines the place of demography in the social
sciences, the areas of demographic research, and the construction of
demographic indices for demographic analysis. The second part deals
with the analysis of the process of population reproduction and
includes sections on mortality and morbidity; marriage, divorce, and
fertility; the characteristics of natural reproduction; and population
estimates and projections.
The third part examines the factors
affecting population dynamics, including spatial distribution and
migration. The fourth part examines recent population trends in the
world and Czechoslovakia. A final part deals with population theory
and policy.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10023 Peru.
Consejo Nacional de Poblacion [CNP] (Lima, Peru).
Communication in population in Peru: balance and perspectives. The
mandate and conclusions of the First National Seminar on Communication
in Population, held in Lima, November 1984. [Comunicacion en
poblacion en el Peru: balance y perspectivas. Ponencias y
conclusiones del Primer Seminario Nacional de Comunicacion en
Poblacion, realizado en Lima en noviembre de 1984.] 1985. 143 pp. Lima,
Peru. In Spa.
These are the proceedings of a seminar on population
information, held in Peru in 1984. The first part concerns the role of
information and communications in the development of a national
population policy. Sections are also included on the role of population
information in the educational program, the health program, and the
information programs of various national institutions. The final part
presents two reports prepared by Unesco and a basic
bibliography.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10024 Poston,
Dudley L.; Sullivan, Teresa A. Developing demographic
literacy and evaluation skills: techniques for the introductory
demography course. Teaching Sociology, Vol. 14, No. 2, Apr 1986.
83-91 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"The paper describes several
techniques and exercises useful in teaching demography as an analytic
discipline. Demographic literacy and data interpretation and
evaluation skills are stressed. An introduction to the John Graunt
orientation helps sensitize students to the need for solid demographic
data. Having students determine who qualifies as a Mexican-American
and having them determine how many illegal aliens exist help build data
scrutiny skills. Exercises employing different rates and life tables
help to introduce demographic techniques. The County Demographic
Profile and the Policy Simulation help integrate knowledge and skills
gained." The focus is on the United States.
Location:
Princeton University Library (PR).
53:10025 Ramakumar,
R.; Gopal, Y. S. Technical demography. ISBN
0-85226-743-6. 1986. viii, 219, [4] pp. Wiley Eastern: New Delhi,
India. In Eng.
This book is an introduction to the mathematical
aspects of demographic measurement and analysis. The focus is on
mathematical terminology and technical demography as a branch of
applied mathematics; no numerical examples are provided. The book is
designed primarily as a textbook for postgraduate courses in
demography.
Chapters are included on age-sex composition, rates,
population growth, mortality, life tables, the construction of life
tables, fertility, nuptiality, population structure, projections,
censuses, vital statistics, and data quality.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
53:10026 Weeks, John
R. Teaching international demography. Teaching
Sociology, Vol. 14, No. 2, Apr 1986. 92-101 pp. Washington, D.C. In
Eng.
"I describe a course on international demography in this
paper. The course enables students to use demographic concepts to
understand the demographics of various countries and regions. The
course involves an introduction, examination of specific geographic
regions, and a concluding overview. I also describe several student
projects and review available course materials."
Location:
Princeton University Library (PR).
