52:40794 Beretta,
Carlo. Age structure and population growth.
[Struttura per eta e crescita della popolazione.] Rivista
Internazionale di Scienze Sociali, Vol. 93, No. 3-4, Jul-Dec 1985.
405-15 pp. Milan, Italy. In Ita.
The age structure of a population
is examined as one of the elements affecting its homogeneity. A
theoretical model is developed in order to illustrate the
problem.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40795 de Beer,
J. Trends. [Trends.] Maandstatistiek van de
Bevolking, Vol. 34, No. 8, Aug 1986. 24-31 pp. Voorburg, Netherlands.
In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
Trends in live births and immigration in
the Netherlands are examined over the period 1976-1985. The focus is
on alternative ways to account for seasonal variations. These include
the use of quarterly data, the calculation of a three months moving
median, the calculation of a moving average after elimination of
outliers, the use of a cubic spline function, and fitting a linear
function.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40796 Diamond,
Ian D.; McDonald, John W.; Shah, Iqbal H. Proportional
hazards models for current status data: application to the study of
differentials in age at weaning in Pakistan. Demography, Vol. 23,
No. 4, Nov 1986. 607-20 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"Survival
analysis can be used to study the association between a set of
explanatory variables and the age at which an event of interest, say
weaning, occurs. As retrospectively reported age data often contain
serious reporting errors, many analysts prefer to use current status
data. In this paper, the authors discuss two approaches to fitting
survival models to current status data from the Pakistan Fertility
Survey. A generalized linear model approach, using constrained maximum
likelihood estimates, proves computationally expensive, so a
transformation of the baseline hazard is modeled, using spline
function."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40797 Dionne,
Claude. The estimation of matrices of mobility at a given
moment in time from matrices of resulting mobility. [Estimation de
matrices de mobilite du moment a partir de matrices de mobilite
resultante.] Cahiers Quebecois de Demographie, Vol. 14, No. 1, Apr
1985. 121-5 pp. Montreal, Canada. In Fre.
Two methods for the
estimation of matrices of mobility for a given population in the period
preceding a census or survey are presented. The primary concern here
is with geographic mobility, or migration.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40798 Doeve,
Wim. Regional population analysis in developing countries:
the creation of a database for Thailand. In: Population
structures and models: developments in spatial demography, edited by
Robert Woods and Philip Rees. ISBN 0-04-301200-0. LC 85-30642. 1986.
344-66 pp. George Allen and Unwin: Boston, Massachusetts/London,
England. In Eng.
The author discusses the problems involved in
creating an adequate data base for the application of multistate
demographic theory to regional population analysis in developing
countries. The criteria and procedure for the establishment of a
benchmark integrated data base are described, and some preliminary
results from the application of generalized multistate demographic
theory to Thailand are presented.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
52:40799 Keyfitz,
Nathan. Applied mathematical demography. Springer
Texts in Statistics, 2nd ed. ISBN 0-387-96155-0. LC 85-16430. 1985.
xxi, 441 pp. Springer-Verlag: New York, New York/Berlin, Germany,
Federal Republic of. In Eng.
This book is one in a series of three
textbooks on the mathematical development of demography. The focus is
on applications to demographic problems rather than on the mathematics
involved. Chapters are included on population without age; the life
table; variations in the sex ratio of mortality; the applications of
stable theory to a fixed regime of mortality and fertility; birth and
the intrinsic rate of natural increase; reproductive value, with
applications to migration, contraception, and zero population growth;
understanding population characteristics; projection and forecasting;
some types of instability; the demographic theory of kinship; and
micro-demography.
This edition also includes new chapters on the
multistate model, family demography, and heterogeneity and selection in
population analysis. An epilogue entitled "How do we know the facts of
demography?" is also included.
For the first edition, published in
1977, see 44:2037.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
52:40800 Krishnan,
Parameswara. On a method of robust standardization.
Janasamkhya, Vol. 3, No. 1-2, Jun-Dec 1985. 67-72 pp. Kariavattom,
India. In Eng.
"The need of summary measures of the incidence of a
phenomenon independent of age structure (composition) and other
compositional factors is noted in demographic literature. One such
index is developed in this paper. A standardized index is defined as
robust, if it is least sensitive [to] the age structure of the standard
population. The Banerjee-Stuvel price index is shown to have this
property by a computer simulation experiment."
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40801 Mader,
R. A model for the developmental prognosis of the age
structure of a population in different phases of health status
development. [Model pro prognozu vyvoje vekove struktury
obyvatelstva v ruznych fazich vyvoje zdravotniho stavu.] Ceskoslovenske
Zdravotnictvi, Vol. 34, No. 5, May 1986. 218-24 pp. Prague,
Czechoslovakia. In Cze. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
A model for
investigating the impact of alternative age distributions of a
population on the availability of health services is presented. The
model, MULTISPOM, is used to demonstrate the progressive changes in the
health status of a theoretical population over
time.
Location: New York Academy of Medicine.
52:40802 Paradysz,
Jan. Parameters of the distribution of women according to
the number of children in hypothetical birth cohorts. [Parametry
rozkladu dzietnosci teoretycznych w hipotetycznej generacji kobiet.]
Studia Demograficzne, No. 1/83, 1986. 79-98 pp. Warsaw, Poland. In Pol.
with sum. in Eng; Rus.
The author attempts to prove that "the total
fertility rate is the mean in the women distribution by the number of
children. Our approach makes it possible to calculate all other
parameters describing this distribution such as : median, mode,
moments, and the measures of variance, skewness, and excess." The
method is tested using official Polish data for the period
1970-1983.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40803 Poirier,
Jean; Dagenais, Huguette; Gregory, Joel W. Demography and
the feminist approach. A methodological reflection based on research
in progress. [Demographie et approche feministe. Reflexion
methodologique a partir d'une recherche en cours.] Cahiers Quebecois de
Demographie, Vol. 14, No. 2, Oct 1985. 277-83 pp. Montreal, Canada. In
Fre.
The authors describe a new approach to the study of the status
of women based on experience gained during an interdisciplinary
research project conducted in Guadeloupe. The method involves the
development of a separate questionnaire to study women's labor force
participation in a capitalist developing economy. The relevance of this
differential approach by sex for demographic research as a whole is
noted.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40804 Richtering,
Jurgen. Modelling fertility and mortality rates in the
framework of a demographic-economic model. UNCTAD Discussion
Paper, No. 15, 1986. 35 pp. United Nations Conference on Trade and
Development [UNCTAD]: Geneva, Switzerland. In Eng.
"This paper
presents a demographic-economic model that is only concerned with the
socioeconomic explanations of fertility and mortality levels; it also
makes suggestions about the way in which these global demographic
indicators can consistently be translated into age-specific fertility
and mortality rates. The model does not deal with migration, nor does
it have a labour market system. The study is based on data for the
mid-1970s, covering 100 countries having a population of over 1
million."
Location: World Bank, Joint Bank-Fund Library,
Washington, D.C.
52:40805 Slater,
Paul B. Large scale data analytic studies in the social
sciences. 1986. 153 pp. University of California, Community and
Organization Research Institute: Santa Barbara, California. In Eng.
This volume contains 12 studies, "each attempting to discern
structural patterns in some large data set of socioeconomic relevance.
The methodologies employed, as well as the data sets analyzed, vary
widely. The subject matters include housing prices, trade flows,
input-output transactions, metropolitan mortality rates, interstate as
well as intercounty migration, international migration and air travel,
world population distribution and citations between 4,000 scientific
journals."
Among the techniques utilized are "analysis of variance;
singular decomposition; graphical representations; hierarchical
clustering; multidimensional scaling; the max-flow min-cut network
algorithm; biplots; entropy measures; and polynomial and spline
smoothing. The stress throughout is on the exploration and probing of
data."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40806 Wolter,
Kirk M. Some coverage error models for census data.
JASA: Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 81, No.
394, Jun 1986. 338-46 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
"Alternative
models are presented for representing coverage error in surveys and
censuses of human populations. The models are related to the
capture-recapture models used in wildlife applications and to the
dual-system models employed in the vital events literature. Estimation
methodologies are discussed for one of the coverage error
models."
After a discussion of the theory underlying the
methodology, "distinctions are made between two kinds of error: (a)
sampling error and (b) error associated with the model. An example
involving data from the 1980 U.S. census is presented. The problem of
adjusting census and survey data for coverage error is also
discussed."
Location: Princeton University Library (SM).
