52:40001 Belbeoch,
Olivier; Charbit, Yves; Faron, Olivier; Magescas, Jean-Bernard; Mata,
Carmen. World population: towards stabilization in the
twenty-first century? [La population mondiale: vers une
stabilisation au XXIe siecle?] Notes et Etudes Documentaires, No. 4806,
1986. 143 pp. Documentation Francaise: Paris, France. In Fre.
A
review of global population trends is presented in this special issue.
The emphasis is on prospects for growth up to the end of this century
and the reasons for the apparent slowdown in the rate of growth. The
first article summarizes the history of world population growth to the
present. Articles are also included on spatial distribution,
migration, mortality, fertility, age structure, and population policy.
The issue concludes with a summary of the International Conference on
Population held in Mexico in 1984.
Location: World Bank,
Joint Bank-Fund Library, Washington, D.C.
52:40002
Bourgeois-Pichat, Jean. New frontiers in
demography. [Nuevas fronteras de la demografia.] CELADE Serie E,
No. 30; LC/DEM/G.22, Oct 1985. 163 pp. U.N. Centro Latinoamericano de
Demografia [CELADE]: Santiago, Chile. In Spa.
This publication
contains summaries of six conference sessions, held in Santiago, Chile,
August 29-September 5, 1984. Session topics include a review of
previous works designed to examine mortality development and trends in
developing countries, particularly Latin America; new technological
advances for extending human life; the financing of retirement funds;
the biological limits of human life, including projections, with a
focus on developed countries; energy and population, including
industrialization, urbanization, and agricultural development; and a
fundamental equation of population dynamics.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40003 Srb, V.;
Kucera, M. Trends of world demographic development.
[Tendence demografickeho vyvoje ve svete.] 1984. 135 pp. SIVO1963:
Prague, Czechoslovakia; Ustredi Vedeckych, Technickych a Ekonomickych
Informaci: Prague, Czechoslovakia. In Cze.
A review of global
population trends is presented. The publication is in three parts,
dealing with the periods 1950-1970, 1970-1980, and 1980-2000,
respectively. Separate consideration is given to fertility, mortality,
natural increase, reproduction rates, life expectancy, age
distribution, urbanization, and literacy. The data are primarily taken
from published U.N. sources.
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
52:40004 United
Nations. Department of International Economic and Social Affairs (New
York, New York). Review and appraisal of the World
Population Plan of Action: 1984 report. Population Studies, No.
99; ST/ESA/SER.A/99, Pub. Order No. E.86.XIII.2. ISBN 92-1-151158-5.
1986. vi, 169 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
This is the second
review and appraisal of progress made toward achieving the goals and
recommendations of the World Population Plan of Action adopted in
Bucharest in 1974. The report "is organized into seven major chapters:
socio-economic development and population; the role and the status of
women; development of population policies; population trends,
prospects, goals and policies; promotion of knowledge; role of national
Governments and the international community; and monitoring, review and
appraisal of the World Population Plan of Action."
Included in each
chapter is "a summary of the major trends observed in the past decade
and, where appropriate, the most probable future prospects. This
analysis is followed by an assessment of the level of implementation of
the Plan of Action."
For a previous review of this kind, published
in 1979, see 46:1004.
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
52:40005 Vallin,
Jacques. World population. [La population mondiale.]
Collection Reperes, No. 45, ISBN 2-7071-1621-1. 1986. 127 pp. Editions
La Decouverte: Paris, France. In Fre.
This is a general
introduction to issues concerning the world's population. It includes
chapters on the current global population and its distribution by
region, age, and sex; the processes of population change; the history
of population growth; the future; and the relationship between
population and development.
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
52:40006 Demeny,
Paul. Population and the invisible hand. Demography,
Vol. 23, No. 4, Nov 1986. 473-87 pp. Washington, D.C. In Eng.
This
is the text of the Presidential Address presented at the 1986 Annual
Meeting of the Population Association of America. The author first
asserts that population problems arise from the fact that individual
decisions with respect to demographic acts do not necessarily coincide
with a recognized common good. In particular, he considers the
implications of a new trend of thought, which argues that although such
divergences between individual and social interests do occur, they are
narrow, confined, and sporadic, since there is a natural process of
self-correction, analogous to Adam Smith's invisible hand, at work.
Adherents to this viewpoint argue that attempts to alter demographic
trends through population policies and programs should be downgraded or
even abandoned. The author presents a critique of the notion of the
invisible hand in demographic developments using a range of historical
and contemporary examples. He suggests that fertility levels
consistently below replacement level in developed countries may lead to
a realization that individual fertility preferences are potentially
detrimental to a society's survival and, in time, to efforts to develop
effective pro-natalist policies.
The different approaches adopted in
developing countries, ranging from state controls to voluntary
policies, no policies, or complete reliance on the invisible hand, are
noted. In concluding, the author criticizes the failure of
demographers to produce recommendations concerning the desirable
demographic constitution of modern societies.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40007 Demeny,
Paul. The world demographic situation. In: World
population and U.S. policy: the choices ahead, edited by Jane Menken.
ISBN 0-393-02419-9. LC 86-12803. 1986. 27-66 pp. W. W. Norton: New
York, New York/London, England. In Eng.
A general review of the
global population situation is presented. Data are drawn primarily
from U.N. sources, supplemented by long-term projections prepared by
the World Bank. Consideration is given to changes in the rate of
population growth over time, the demographic transition, mortality,
fertility, natural increase, urbanization, and prospects for future
demographic changes.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
52:40008 Klinger,
Andras. World population and demographic prospects.
[A vilagnepesseg es a demografiai tavlatok.] Demografia, Vol. 28, No.
4, 1985. 458-77 pp. Budapest, Hungary. In Hun.
A review of global
population trends and prospects is presented. Data are from published
sources, including U.N. sources. The period covered is from the
eighteenth century to the year 2000. Topics covered include population
growth by region, life expectancy, age distribution, demographic aging,
school attendance, labor force developments, occupations, and
urbanization.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40009 Tsai,
Hong-chin. The importance, development situation, and
trend of population studies. Journal of Population Studies, No. 9,
Jun 1986. 193-212 pp. Taipei, Taiwan. In Chi. with sum. in Eng.
This study makes the case for the importance of including the
population factor in the study of development. It is divided into
three parts. "In the first part, the important situation of population
studies and its reasons [are] comprehensively discussed. In the second
part, discussions are extended to three subjects: (1) government's
role on data collection and data analysis; (2) teaching and research
developments in academic institutions; (3) private organizations' role
in the promotion and application of population studies. In the third
part, more than seventy international institutions and agencies of
population studies have been introduced and
examined."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40010 Easterlin,
Richard A. Economic preconceptions and demographic
research: a comment. Population and Development Review, Vol. 12,
No. 3, Sep 1986. 517-28 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
The author
responds to a critique of the study by himself and Eileen M. Crimmins
entitled "The fertility revolution: a supply demand analysis." He
develops the theme that there are "two quite different theoretical
perceptions of the fertility decision process--one influenced
substantially by certain areas of demographic research, one faithful to
certain preconceptions common in economics. This conflict reflects
fundamental differences between economists and demographers that would
benefit from more explicit recognition and confrontation."
For the
study by Easterlin et al., published in 1985, see 51:40222.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40011 Hollander,
Samuel. On Malthus's population principle and social
reform. History of Political Economy, Vol. 18, No. 2, Summer 1986.
187-235 pp. Durham, North Carolina. In Eng.
The author questions
the interpretation of Malthusian theory that emphasizes that population
growth will always outstrip available resources. He stresses instead
Malthus's alternative hypothesis that the prudential restraint of
growth in the labor force can result in constant or even rising wage
rates. The article also describes the policy objectives of Malthus to
achieve both an increasing population and high wages. Consideration is
given to the confusions arising from differences among the various
editions of Malthus's work. The emergence of an expanded role for
policy intervention in later editions is noted.
Location:
Princeton University Library (PF).
52:40012 Jaggi,
Stefan. Karl Marx and the Malthusian theory of
population. [Karl Marx und die Malthusianische
Bevolkerungstheorie.] Schweizerische Zeitschrift fur Volkswirtschaft
und Statistik/ Revue Suisse d'Economie Politique et de Statistique,
Vol. 121, No. 2, Jun 1985. 95-113 pp. Bern, Switzerland. In Ger. with
sum. in Eng; Fre.
An analysis of the works of Karl Marx is
presented in order to demonstrate the importance of the population
factor. The author contends that population growth is a critical
factor in Marx's theory of the progressive impoverishment of the
working class. However, because of his reluctance to acknowledge the
value of the Malthusian contribution, Marx focused his analysis of the
labor force under capitalism on the demand for workers and neglected
the supply side, which is determined by the growth of population. The
author concludes that Marxist theory would have benefited from greater
consideration of Malthusian theory.
Location: Princeton
University Library (PF).
52:40013 Lee, Ronald
D. Induced population growth and induced technological
progress: their interaction in the long run. Sloan-Berkeley
Working Paper in Population Studies, No. 4, Apr 1986. 15, [5] pp.
University of California, Institute of International Studies: Berkeley,
California. In Eng.
The author examines "the dynamic implications
of a very simple model combining endogenous population growth,
diminishing returns to labor, and a positive effect of population size
on the rate of technological progress. Such a model implies population
growth which, starting from a small population, is very slow, but which
accelerates until it eventually becomes very rapid."
In considering
the time paths of population, technology, and per capita income,
attention is given to the following questions: "What is the general
shape of these paths over time? What is the effect of exogenously more
rapid population growth? Under what conditions would a social planner
choose more rapid population growth? Does historical evidence of
diminishing returns to labor contradict the induced innovation theory,
as has sometimes been suggested?"
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
52:40014 Rosset,
Edward. The theory of optimum population in historical
development. [Doktryna ludnosci optymalnej w rozwoju
historycznym.] ISBN 83-208-0318-7. LC 84-177901. 1983. 434 pp.
Panstwowe Wydawnictwo Ekonomiczne: Warsaw, Poland. In Pol.
In the
first part of this study, the author describes the development of the
concept of optimum population from ancient through to modern times.
Consideration is given to the views of both proponents and opponents of
the idea of an optimum population. The development of the thinking of
Soviet demographers on this concept is described. The second part is
concerned with how theories about optimum population can be used to
develop population policies.
Location: Princeton University
Library (FST).
52:40015
Tuljapurkar, Shripad. Cycles in nonlinear
age-structured models I: renewal equations. Sloan-Berkeley
Working Paper in Population Studies, No. 1, Apr 1986. 25 pp. University
of California, Institute of International Studies: Berkeley,
California. In Eng.
"A variety of density-dependent population
models can be described by nonlinear renewal equations. This paper
develops analytical tools for such models to study the sustained
population cycles which arise by bifurcation. The results obtained
describe explicitly the direction of bifurcation, and the period, form
and dynamic stability of sustained cycles. The results are illustrated
by application to a cohort controlled model of human populations which
has been proposed as a formalization of the Easterlin
effect."
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40016
Tuljapurkar, Shripad. Cycles in nonlinear
age-structured models II: McKendrick-von Foerster equations.
Sloan-Berkeley Working Paper in Population Studies, No. 2, Apr 1986.
41, [2] pp. University of California, Institute of International
Studies: Berkeley, California. In Eng.
The author focuses on the
use of bifurcation theory in analyzing density dependence in
age-structured population models with particular attention to the
questions: "When do cycles occur? Are these cycles stable? What are
the period and form of the cycles?"
The results presented "apply to
a wide class of nonlinear demographic models for a single sex in a
closed population. A precise definition of this class of models is
given in Section 2 with the models written in a form best suited to
bifurcation analysis." In the final section, the methods developed are
applied, and a detailed example is presented.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40017 Woods,
Robert. The spatial dynamics of the demographic transition
in the West. In: Population structures and models: developments
in spatial demography, edited by Robert Woods and Philip Rees. ISBN
0-04-301200-0. LC 85-30642. 1986. 21-44 pp. George Allen and Unwin:
Boston, Massachusetts/London, England. In Eng.
The author examines
the shortcomings of existing models of the Western European demographic
transition and emphasizes the importance of exploring the spatial
dynamics of the transition. After presenting tabular and graphic data
to describe the transition, he gives examples from France and from
England and Wales of spatial variations in marital fertility and the
pattern of mortality decline. He describes four categories of
transition theory and relates them to social and individual involvement
in the mortality and fertility change sequences.
Location:
Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:40018 Shai,
Donna. The diffusion of a statistical method: a sociology
of science approach to hazards models. Pub. Order No. DA8417360.
1984. 236 pp. University Microfilms International: Ann Arbor, Michigan.
In Eng.
"This dissertation deals with the diffusion of hazards
models into the social sciences from medical research. It is
particularly concerned with applications in demography. The
comparative case method is used to contrast the applicability of the
technique in medical research and demography. The 'social structure'
of the two disciplines is examined from a sociology of science point of
view."
Differences between the disciplines "are illustrated through
an adaptation of survival techniques to a retrospective approach to the
open birth interval. Fertility data sets from Israel (Cochini
immigrants) and Taiwan are analyzed in a proportional hazards study of
the influence of social factors on the length of the open interval. It
is shown that aside from certain technical difficulties the
proportional hazards model provides a convenient framework for
comparing populations in demography."
This work was prepared as a
doctoral dissertation at the University of
Pennsylvania.
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International,
A: Humanities and Social Sciences 45(5).
52:40019
International Union for the Scientific Study of Population
[IUSSP] (Liege, Belgium); Institut du Sahel. Unite Socio-Economique et
de Demographie (Bamako, Mali). A refresher course for
African demographers on the analysis of mortality, Bamako, February
17-March 21, 1986. [Stage de perfectionnement pour demographes
africains sur l'analyse de la mortalite, Bamako, 17 fevrier-21 mars
1986.] Jul 1986. [440] pp. Groupe de Demographie du Developpement [IDP,
INED, INSEE, MINCOOP, ORSTOM]: Paris, France. In Fre.
These two
volumes are a product of a training course on techniques of mortality
analysis for African demographers held in Bamako, Mali, in 1986. The
first volume contains the documentation relative to the organization of
the course, which involved not only the IUSSP and the Institut du Sahel
but also the Institut de Formation et de Recherches Demographiques
(IFORD) and the French government's Groupe de Demographie du
Developpement.
The second volume consists of the documents prepared
for the meeting, including papers on the specific characteristics and
determinants of African mortality, the international classification of
diseases, a case study of infant mortality concerning Bamako,
indicators of life tables, population models, the mortality transition,
and an introduction to microcomputers.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
52:40020 Kammeyer,
Kenneth C. W.; Ginn, Helen L. An introduction to
population. ISBN 0-256-03446-X. LC 85-72252. 1986. xiv, 336, xi
pp. Dorsey Press: Chicago, Illinois. In Eng.
This textbook is
intended for the use of undergraduate students in introductory courses
on demography or population problems. The emphasis is sociological.
Chapters are included on the study of population, the history of
population studies, demographic data, population characteristics,
migration, mortality, fertility, world population growth, and
population politics and policies.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
52:40021 United
Nations. Department of Technical Co-operation for Development (New
York, New York). Teaching demography. No.
ST/TCD/SER.E/1, Pub. Order No. E.85.II.H.2 and 3. ISBN 92-1-123102-3.
LC 86-170725. 1985. xi, 97; vii, 99 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
This is the second edition of a listing prepared by the United
Nations of universities and other institutions teaching demography
around the world. It is presented in two volumes. The first volume
contains summary information on the universities and institutions
listed alphabetically by continent and country. Information is
included on name of demographic teaching unit, degrees or diplomas
awarded, current course offerings, number of teaching staff, yearly
student enrollment, admission requirements, and address and telephone
number.
The second volume presents additional details of curricula
and other related matters concerning these universities and
institutions, particularly as they concern admission requirements,
course work, degree regulations, and library, computer, and other
facilities available. The information presented is as available at the
end of 1984.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
