52:20001 Brass,
William. The potential usefulness of demography. In:
International Population Conference/Congres International de la
Population, Florence, 1985, 5-12 June/juin, 1985. Vol. 1, ISBN
2-87108-005-4. 1986. 33-46 pp. International Union for the Scientific
Study of Population [IUSSP]: Liege, Belgium. In Eng.
This paper is
concerned with those demographic issues which have become important in
the present and which represent changes from the past, including
concepts, attitudes, knowledge, and methodology. The author first
reviews some basic issues that were discussed at the IUSSP general
conferences of 1927 and 1931, with particular reference to the
threatened decline of the population of Western countries that
predominated demographic thinking in the 1930s. Next, he reviews the
1954 World Population Conference, noting its focus on socioeconomic
determinants and its emphasis on the limitations of data and
knowledge.
The author then selects some key issues which may be of
importance in the future based on the submissions to the present
conference. Topics covered include the data explosion, the
transformation of attitudes toward fertility control, fertility
determinants, population forecasts, mortality determinants, research
into indirect estimation and the biosocial aspects of reproduction, and
historical demography. A final section considers the future of
demographers.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:20002 Henry,
Louis. Some wishes for the 21st century. [Voeux pour
le XXIe siecle.] In: International Population Conference/Congres
International de la Population, Florence, 1985, 5-12 June/juin, 1985.
Vol. 1, ISBN 2-87108-005-4. 1986. 47-58 pp. International Union for the
Scientific Study of Population [IUSSP]: Liege, Belgium. In Fre.
The
author examines the future of demography by stressing the importance of
the past. He first summarizes the main developments in demography from
the time of John Graunt to the present day. Consideration is given
both to developments in demographic methodology and in data
availability. With regard to the future, he stresses the importance of
improving the demographer's ability to make forecasts rather than
projections; the importance of taking into account trends over the
longer term rather than immediate past in making such projections; and
the need to devote adequate resources to preserving and making
available the data on the past, rather than data on the present. The
value of improving data on change of residence is
noted.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:20003 McNicoll,
Geoffrey. The nature of institutional and community
effects on demographic behaviour: a discussion. In: The
collection and analysis of community data. WFS seminar on collection
and analysis of data on community and institutional factors, 20-23 June
1983, edited by John B. Casterline. 1985. 177-84 pp. International
Statistical Institute [ISI]: Voorburg, Netherlands; World Fertility
Survey [WFS]: London, England. In Eng.
"The main question to be
addressed here is: how do community or institutional factors affect
demographic behaviour? The subsidiary question is: how do we find
out?...I will first try to pin down 'institutional and community
effects' as I understand them; next take up some issues that arise in
the incorporation of such factors in theories of demographic change;
then, specifically in the fertility case, consider how the array of
knowledge we have at hand...fits together and where it points for
future empirical efforts."
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
52:20004 Tabah,
Leon. Teaching demography. Populi, Vol. 12, No. 4,
1985. 15-21 pp. New York, New York. In Eng.
The author describes
the state of demography in developing countries during their period of
nationalism and decolonization, outlines the establishment of U.N.
centers in the third world for teaching demography and training
demographers, and assesses the results.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
52:20005 van
Leusden, Hans. Problems of world population: what do the
numbers mean? [Het wereldbevolkingsvraagstuk: perspectief achter
de getallen?] Internationale Spectator, Vol. 38, No. 12, Dec 1984.
691-701, 748 pp. The Hague, Netherlands. In Dut. with sum. in Eng.
A review of recent global population trends is presented. The
focus is on the consensus that seems to have developed between the
world population conferences of 1974 in Bucharest and 1984 in Mexico
concerning the relationship between population factors and
socioeconomic development. Consideration is given to possible
developments through the end of the 21st century, both with regard to
population projections and to their implications for food supplies,
employment, migration, and demographic aging.
Location:
Princeton University Library (FST).
52:20006 Hampl,
Martin; Pavlik, Zdenek. Global contexts of demographic and
geodemographic development. In: Population growth as a global
problem. 5th International Demographic Seminar, Berlin, November
20-22, 1984. Scientific programme. Part two, edited by P. Khalatbari.
Humboldt Universitat zu Berlin Berichte, Vol. 6, No. 3, 1986. 20-31 pp.
Humboldt University Berlin, Department of Economics, Demography Unit:
Berlin, German Democratic Republic. In Eng.
The authors first
outline three aspects of global systems and problems. They then
discuss the evolutionary concurrency of demographic and geo-demographic
changes, the primary specifications of demographic and geo-demographic
systems, socio-geographic differentiation as an environment for
demographic changes, and the intensification of the forms of
demographic and geo-demographic development. The focus is on defining
theoretical concepts.
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
52:20007
Impagliazzo, John. Deterministic aspects of
mathematical demography: an investigation of the stable theory of
population including an analysis of the population statistics of
Denmark. Biomathematics, Vol. 13, ISBN 0-387-13616-9. LC 84-24048.
1985. xi, 186 pp. Springer-Verlag: New York, New York/Berlin, Germany,
Federal Republic of. In Eng.
The author's aim is to present "a
single source which consolidates the principal matter [of mathematical
demography] at a mature expository level." The focus is on the
development of deterministic models and their application to population
analysis and projection, with stochastic models excluded for brevity's
sake.
"In the first chapter a broad discussion of demography is
developed from the Stone Age to the twentieth century. Chapters Two
through Five provide an in-depth mathematical discussion of the
development of the stable theory of population, together with its three
principal deterministic models. In chapters Six and Seven some of the
comparisons and consequences of stable theory are shown. Chapter Eight
discusses the population statistics of the Kingdom of Denmark to
provide the reader with an actual demographic example of the subject
discussed herein."
Location: Princeton University Library
(SZ).
52:20008
Maksimowicz, Alicja. An attempt to analyze the
usefulness of the method of demographic analysis developed by D.
Hodgson. [Metoda analizy rozwoju demografii D. Hodgsona i proba
oceny jej przydatnosci.] Studia Demograficzne, No. 3/81, 1985. 63-76
pp. Warsaw, Poland. In Pol. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
The author
discusses the value of the approach to the study of demography
developed by Dennis Hodgson. This approach considers that demographic
studies involve a changing balance between social science and
policy-oriented science over time. These concepts are applied to an
analysis of the works of the Polish demographer Edward Rosset, with
particular reference to changing approaches to the study of optimum and
stationary population concepts.
For the study by Hodgson, published
in 1983, see 49:20005.
Location: Princeton University
Library (SPR).
52:20009 Okolski,
Marek. The reproduction of population and the
modernization of society. [Reprodukcja ludnosci a modernizacja
spoleczenstwa.] Studia Demograficzne, No. 4/82, 1985. 3-32 pp. Warsaw,
Poland. In Pol. with sum. in Eng; Rus.
The main features of
population reproduction in traditional and modern societies are
described and contrasted. The author observes that most populations
are in the process of conversion from the traditional to the modern
model, leading to temporary demographic fluctuations. However, it is
also noted that there are strong pressures within a society to
establish a stable process of population
reproduction.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).
52:20010 Rodriguez
Cervantes, Margarita. From demography to a system of
scientific knowledge about population. [De la demografia al
sistema de conocimientos cientificos sobre la poblacion.] Serie
Monografica del CEDEM, No. 8, Sep 1985. 21 pp. Universidad de la
Habana, Area de Ciencias Economicas, Centro de Estudios Demograficos
[CEDEM]: Havana, Cuba. In Spa.
The author describes the development
of demography by Marxist thinkers. She suggests that the main
contribution of Marxists has been to steer demography away from
theoretical issues toward the development of a system of scientific
knowledge concerning population.
Location: Princeton
University Library (SPR).
52:20011 Food and
Agriculture Organization [FAO] (Rome, Italy). Population
and the labour force in rural economies. FAO Economic and Social
Development Paper, No. 59, ISBN 92-5-102364-6. 1986. vi, 169 pp. Rome,
Italy. In Eng.
"This manual is intended to serve as a guide for
course instructors and research assistants of Faculties of Agriculture
in Africa who wish to incorporate demographic considerations into
existing educational and research programmes." It is primarily
concerned with the socio-demographic aspects of agricultural and rural
development.
For the French version of this guide, published in
1984, see 50:40643.
Location: Princeton University Library
(SPR).
52:20012 Germany,
Federal Republic of. Bundesinstitut fur Bevolkerungsforschung
(Wiesbaden, Germany, Federal Republic of). Stepping stones
for a demographic curriculum. Contributions for the meeting of the
working group on "Teaching and Research" of the German Society for
Demography, November 28, 1985, in Bielefeld. [Trittsteine fur ein
bevolkerungswissenschaftliches Curriculum. Beitrage fur die Tagung des
Arbeitskreises "Lehre und Forschung" der Deutschen Gesellschaft fur
Bevolkerungswissenschaft am 28.11.1985 in Bielefeld.] Materialien zur
Bevolkerungswissenschaft, No. 46, 1985. 67 pp. Wiesbaden, Germany,
Federal Republic of. In Ger.
This publication contains five papers
presented at a conference held in Bielefeld, Federal Republic of
Germany, in 1985. Two additional papers are also included. The focus
is on the development of a curriculum for teaching demography at
universities in the Federal Republic of Germany. Topics covered
include demography at the University of Bielefeld, the lack of academic
attention to population policy, demographic topics in economic studies,
proposals for a future-oriented demographic curriculum, a curriculum
for a two-year demographic program, and the status of demographic
teaching at German universities. One paper on the Netherlands is also
included.
Location: Princeton University Library (SPR).